Idioma:Português
Alex Michelsen v Jannik Sinner
Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →
Frente a frente
Alex Michelsen (Local)
Previsão 7.68%13.02odd justa
EV +30.57%
Vantagem +1.80%
Kelly +1.91%
Crescimento +0.584%
pressupondo odds máximas de 17.00
Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
5.66%7.88%7.63%10.90%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
8.5012.0711.5017.0011.76%8.28%8.70%5.88%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Jannik Sinner (Visitante)
Previsão 92.32%1.08odd justa
EV -2.14%
Vantagem -2.02%
Kelly -35.69%
Crescimento +0.000%
pressupondo odds máximas de 1.06
Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
89.10%92.12%92.37%94.34%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.011.041.041.0699.01%96.56%96.15%94.34%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Alex Michelsen (Local): 7.68%; Jannik Sinner (Visitante): 92.32%. Para Alex Michelsen (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 13.02. 8 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 17.00, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +30.57%.
Odds das casas de apostas (52 casas de apostas)
Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.
| Casa de apostas | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margem | Atualização |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paddy Power🎯 | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.66%EV +30.57%E +1.80%K +1.91%G +0.584% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 94.34%EV -5.83%E -5.72%K -291.70%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-24 20:35 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.99%EV +22.89%E +1.43%K +1.53%G +0.349% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 94.01%EV -5.83%E -5.72%K -291.70%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-24 17:35 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.43%EV +15.21%E +1.01%K +1.09%G +0.165% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 93.57%EV -4.91%E -4.77%K -163.70%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-24 20:24 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV +15.21%E +1.01%K +1.09%G +0.165% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -5.83%E -5.72%K -291.70%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-24 19:59 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV +15.21%E +1.01%K +1.09%G +0.165% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -5.83%E -5.72%K -291.70%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-24 19:45 |
| Betway🎯 | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV +15.21%E +1.01%K +1.09%G +0.165% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -6.76%E -6.69%K -675.73%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-24 20:09 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 14.80I 6.76%NM 6.62%EV +13.67%E +0.924%K +0.991%G +0.135% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 93.38%EV -3.06%E -2.92%K -61.29%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-03-24 14:44 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 13.50I 7.41%NM 7.09%EV +3.69%E +0.273%K +0.295%G +0.011% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.91%EV -4.91%E -4.77%K -163.70%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-24 20:24 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.41%EV -0.154%E -0.012%K -0.013%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.59%EV -3.99%E -3.83%K -99.69%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-24 20:39 |
| Coral🎯 | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.41%EV -0.154%E -0.012%K -0.013%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.59%EV -3.99%E -3.83%K -99.69%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-24 20:40 |
| ReBet🎯 | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV -0.154%E -0.012%K -0.013%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -4.91%E -4.77%K -163.70%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-24 20:24 |
| Betsson🎯 | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV -0.154%E -0.012%K -0.013%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -4.91%E -4.77%K -163.70%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-24 20:25 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV -0.154%E -0.012%K -0.013%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -4.91%E -4.77%K -163.70%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-24 20:25 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV -0.154%E -0.012%K -0.013%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -4.91%E -4.77%K -163.70%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-24 17:30 |
| Bovada🎯 | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV -0.154%E -0.012%K -0.013%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -4.91%E -4.77%K -163.70%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-24 20:54 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV -0.154%E -0.012%K -0.013%G +0.000% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 92.79%EV -6.76%E -6.69%K -675.73%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-24 19:59 |
| GTbets🎯 | 12.98I 7.70%NM 7.35%EV -0.307%E -0.024%K -0.026%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.65%EV -4.91%E -4.77%K -163.70%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-24 20:34 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 12.56I 7.96%NM 7.65%EV -3.53%E -0.281%K -0.306%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.35%EV -3.99%E -3.83%K -99.69%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-24 19:39 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 12.56I 7.96%NM 7.65%EV -3.53%E -0.281%K -0.306%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.35%EV -3.99%E -3.83%K -99.69%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-24 19:40 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.61%EV -3.99%E -0.320%K -0.347%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.39%EV -4.91%E -4.77%K -163.70%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-24 20:04 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV -7.83%E -0.653%K -0.712%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -3.99%E -3.83%K -99.69%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-24 20:15 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -7.83%E -0.653%K -0.712%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -4.91%E -4.77%K -163.70%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-24 20:49 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 11.75I 8.51%NM 8.06%EV -9.75%E -0.830%K -0.907%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.94%EV -4.91%E -4.77%K -163.70%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-24 20:54 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 11.75I 8.51%NM 8.06%EV -9.75%E -0.830%K -0.907%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.94%EV -4.91%E -4.77%K -163.70%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-24 17:29 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 11.70I 8.55%NM 8.16%EV -10.14%E -0.867%K -0.948%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.84%EV -3.99%E -3.83%K -99.69%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-24 20:54 |
| Unibet🎯 | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV -11.67%E -1.02%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -3.99%E -3.83%K -99.69%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-24 20:15 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV -11.67%E -1.02%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -3.99%E -3.83%K -99.69%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-24 20:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV -11.67%E -1.02%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -3.99%E -3.83%K -99.69%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-24 20:15 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV -11.67%E -1.02%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -3.99%E -3.83%K -99.69%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-24 20:14 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV -11.67%E -1.02%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -3.99%E -3.83%K -99.69%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-24 20:14 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV -11.67%E -1.02%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -3.99%E -3.83%K -99.69%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-24 20:15 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV -11.67%E -1.02%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -3.99%E -3.83%K -99.69%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-24 20:14 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV -11.67%E -1.02%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -3.99%E -3.83%K -99.69%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-24 20:14 |
| Casumo🎯 | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV -11.67%E -1.02%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -3.99%E -3.83%K -99.69%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-24 20:14 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV -11.67%E -1.02%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -3.99%E -3.83%K -99.69%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-24 20:14 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV -11.67%E -1.02%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -3.99%E -3.83%K -99.69%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-24 20:14 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV -11.67%E -1.02%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -3.99%E -3.83%K -99.69%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-24 20:14 |
| betPARX🎯 | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV -11.67%E -1.02%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -3.99%E -3.83%K -99.69%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-24 20:14 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV -11.67%E -1.02%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -3.99%E -3.83%K -99.69%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-24 20:15 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 11.25I 8.89%NM 8.39%EV -13.59%E -1.21%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.61%EV -4.91%E -4.77%K -163.70%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-24 16:34 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -15.51%E -1.41%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -3.99%E -3.83%K -99.69%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-24 20:50 |
| BetUS🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -15.51%E -1.41%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -4.91%E -4.77%K -163.70%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-24 19:43 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV -23.20%E -2.32%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -2.14%E -2.02%K -35.69%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-24 07:25 |
| 888sport🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -23.20%E -2.32%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -3.06%E -2.92%K -61.29%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-24 07:24 |
| William Hill🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -23.20%E -2.32%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -3.06%E -2.92%K -61.29%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-24 07:29 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -23.20%E -2.32%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -3.06%E -2.92%K -61.29%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-24 11:45 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -23.20%E -2.32%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -3.06%E -2.92%K -61.29%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-24 11:45 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -23.20%E -2.32%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -3.99%E -3.83%K -99.69%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-24 08:39 |
| Caesars🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -23.20%E -2.32%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -3.99%E -3.83%K -99.69%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-24 13:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.34%EV -23.20%E -2.32%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 90.66%EV -4.91%E -4.77%K -163.70%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-24 19:44 |
| TAB🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.34%EV -23.20%E -2.32%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 90.66%EV -4.91%E -4.77%K -163.70%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-24 13:50 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.90%EV -34.72%E -4.08%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 89.10%EV -3.99%E -3.83%K -99.69%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-24 20:54 |
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas
Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.
Bolsas de apostas (7)
| Casa de apostas | Local | Visitante | Margem ▲ | Atualização |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 20.00I 5.00%NM 4.99% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 95.01% | 0.2% | 2026-03-24 20:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 20.00I 5.00%NM 4.99% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 95.01% | 0.2% | 2026-03-24 20:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 20.00I 5.00%NM 4.99% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 95.01% | 0.2% | 2026-03-24 20:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.72% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 95.28% | 0.9% | 2026-03-24 20:35 |
| ProphetX◎ | 17.50I 5.71%NM 5.66% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 94.34% | 1.0% | 2026-03-24 20:55 |
| Novig◎ | 18.18I 5.50%NM 5.41% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 94.59% | 1.7% | 2026-03-24 20:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 20.00I 5.00%NM 4.90% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 95.10% | 2.1% | 2026-03-24 20:55 |