La scuola delle quoteLingua:Italiano
Alex Michelsen v Jannik Sinner
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
Testa a testa
Alex Michelsen (Casa)
Previsione 7.68%13.02quota equa
EV +30.57%
Vantaggio +1.80%
Kelly +1.91%
Crescita +0.584%
ipotizzando la quota massima 17.00
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
5.66%7.88%7.63%10.90%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
8.5012.0711.5017.0011.76%8.28%8.70%5.88%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Jannik Sinner (Trasferta)
Previsione 92.32%1.08quota equa
EV -2.14%
Vantaggio -2.02%
Kelly -35.69%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.06
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
89.10%92.12%92.37%94.34%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.011.041.041.0699.01%96.56%96.15%94.34%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Quote dei bookmaker (52 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa ▼ | Trasferta | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paddy Power | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.66%EV +30.57%E +1.80%K +1.91%G +0.584% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 94.34%EV -5.83%E -5.72%K -291.70%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-24 20:35 |
| theScore Bet | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.99%EV +22.89%E +1.43%K +1.53%G +0.349% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 94.01%EV -5.83%E -5.72%K -291.70%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-24 17:35 |
| Winamax (DE) | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.43%EV +15.21%E +1.01%K +1.09%G +0.165% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 93.57%EV -4.91%E -4.77%K -163.70%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-24 20:24 |
| FanDuel | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV +15.21%E +1.01%K +1.09%G +0.165% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -5.83%E -5.72%K -291.70%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-24 19:59 |
| SportsBet | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV +15.21%E +1.01%K +1.09%G +0.165% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -5.83%E -5.72%K -291.70%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-24 19:45 |
| Betway | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV +15.21%E +1.01%K +1.09%G +0.165% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -6.76%E -6.69%K -675.73%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-24 20:09 |
| DraftKings | 14.80I 6.76%NM 6.62%EV +13.67%E +0.924%K +0.991%G +0.135% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 93.38%EV -3.06%E -2.92%K -61.29%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-03-24 14:44 |
| Winamax (FR) | 13.50I 7.41%NM 7.09%EV +3.69%E +0.273%K +0.295%G +0.011% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.91%EV -4.91%E -4.77%K -163.70%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-24 20:24 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.41%EV -0.154%E -0.012%K -0.013%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.59%EV -3.99%E -3.83%K -99.69%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-24 20:39 |
| Coral | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.41%EV -0.154%E -0.012%K -0.013%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.59%EV -3.99%E -3.83%K -99.69%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-24 20:40 |
| ReBet | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV -0.154%E -0.012%K -0.013%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -4.91%E -4.77%K -163.70%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-24 20:24 |
| Betsson | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV -0.154%E -0.012%K -0.013%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -4.91%E -4.77%K -163.70%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-24 20:25 |
| NordicBet | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV -0.154%E -0.012%K -0.013%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -4.91%E -4.77%K -163.70%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-24 20:25 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV -0.154%E -0.012%K -0.013%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -4.91%E -4.77%K -163.70%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-24 17:30 |
| Bovada | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV -0.154%E -0.012%K -0.013%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -4.91%E -4.77%K -163.70%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-24 20:54 |
| PMU (FR) | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV -0.154%E -0.012%K -0.013%G +0.000% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 92.79%EV -6.76%E -6.69%K -675.73%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-24 19:59 |
| GTbets | 12.98I 7.70%NM 7.35%EV -0.307%E -0.024%K -0.026%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.65%EV -4.91%E -4.77%K -163.70%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-24 20:34 |
| LowVig.ag | 12.56I 7.96%NM 7.65%EV -3.53%E -0.281%K -0.306%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.35%EV -3.99%E -3.83%K -99.69%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-24 19:39 |
| BetOnline.ag | 12.56I 7.96%NM 7.65%EV -3.53%E -0.281%K -0.306%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.35%EV -3.99%E -3.83%K -99.69%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-24 19:40 |
| Unibet (UK) | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.61%EV -3.99%E -0.320%K -0.347%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.39%EV -4.91%E -4.77%K -163.70%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-24 20:04 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV -7.83%E -0.653%K -0.712%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -3.99%E -3.83%K -99.69%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-24 20:15 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -7.83%E -0.653%K -0.712%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -4.91%E -4.77%K -163.70%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-24 20:49 |
| Marathon Bet | 11.75I 8.51%NM 8.06%EV -9.75%E -0.830%K -0.907%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.94%EV -4.91%E -4.77%K -163.70%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-24 20:54 |
| Fanatics | 11.75I 8.51%NM 8.06%EV -9.75%E -0.830%K -0.907%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.94%EV -4.91%E -4.77%K -163.70%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-24 17:29 |
| 1xBet | 11.70I 8.55%NM 8.16%EV -10.14%E -0.867%K -0.948%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.84%EV -3.99%E -3.83%K -99.69%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-24 20:54 |
| Unibet | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV -11.67%E -1.02%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -3.99%E -3.83%K -99.69%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-24 20:15 |
| TABtouch | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV -11.67%E -1.02%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -3.99%E -3.83%K -99.69%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-24 20:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV -11.67%E -1.02%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -3.99%E -3.83%K -99.69%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-24 20:15 |
| BetRivers | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV -11.67%E -1.02%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -3.99%E -3.83%K -99.69%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-24 20:14 |
| LeoVegas | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV -11.67%E -1.02%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -3.99%E -3.83%K -99.69%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-24 20:14 |
| Grosvenor | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV -11.67%E -1.02%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -3.99%E -3.83%K -99.69%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-24 20:15 |
| Unibet (SE) | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV -11.67%E -1.02%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -3.99%E -3.83%K -99.69%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-24 20:14 |
| LiveScore Bet | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV -11.67%E -1.02%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -3.99%E -3.83%K -99.69%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-24 20:14 |
| Casumo | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV -11.67%E -1.02%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -3.99%E -3.83%K -99.69%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-24 20:14 |
| Unibet (NL) | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV -11.67%E -1.02%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -3.99%E -3.83%K -99.69%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-24 20:14 |
| ATG (SE) | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV -11.67%E -1.02%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -3.99%E -3.83%K -99.69%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-24 20:14 |
| Svenska Spel | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV -11.67%E -1.02%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -3.99%E -3.83%K -99.69%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-24 20:14 |
| betPARX | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV -11.67%E -1.02%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -3.99%E -3.83%K -99.69%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-24 20:14 |
| Bally Bet | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV -11.67%E -1.02%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -3.99%E -3.83%K -99.69%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-24 20:15 |
| Betr (AU) | 11.25I 8.89%NM 8.39%EV -13.59%E -1.21%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.61%EV -4.91%E -4.77%K -163.70%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-24 16:34 |
| Bet Right | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -15.51%E -1.41%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -3.99%E -3.83%K -99.69%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-24 20:50 |
| BetUS | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -15.51%E -1.41%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -4.91%E -4.77%K -163.70%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-24 19:43 |
| BoyleSports | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV -23.20%E -2.32%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -2.14%E -2.02%K -35.69%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-24 07:25 |
| 888sport | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -23.20%E -2.32%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -3.06%E -2.92%K -61.29%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-24 07:24 |
| William Hill | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -23.20%E -2.32%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -3.06%E -2.92%K -61.29%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-24 07:29 |
| 888sport (SE) | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -23.20%E -2.32%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -3.06%E -2.92%K -61.29%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-24 11:45 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -23.20%E -2.32%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -3.06%E -2.92%K -61.29%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-24 11:45 |
| PlayUp | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -23.20%E -2.32%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -3.99%E -3.83%K -99.69%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-24 08:39 |
| Caesars | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -23.20%E -2.32%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -3.99%E -3.83%K -99.69%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-24 13:40 |
| Virgin Bet | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.34%EV -23.20%E -2.32%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 90.66%EV -4.91%E -4.77%K -163.70%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-24 19:44 |
| TAB | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.34%EV -23.20%E -2.32%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 90.66%EV -4.91%E -4.77%K -163.70%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-24 13:50 |
| Bet Victor | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.90%EV -34.72%E -4.08%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 89.10%EV -3.99%E -3.83%K -99.69%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-24 20:54 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (7)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 20.00I 5.00%NM 4.99% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 95.01% | 0.2% | 2026-03-24 20:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 20.00I 5.00%NM 4.99% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 95.01% | 0.2% | 2026-03-24 20:55 |
| Matchbook | 20.00I 5.00%NM 4.99% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 95.01% | 0.2% | 2026-03-24 20:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.72% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 95.28% | 0.9% | 2026-03-24 20:35 |
| ProphetX | 17.50I 5.71%NM 5.66% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 94.34% | 1.0% | 2026-03-24 20:55 |
| Novig | 18.18I 5.50%NM 5.41% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 94.59% | 1.7% | 2026-03-24 20:40 |
| Smarkets | 20.00I 5.00%NM 4.90% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 95.10% | 2.1% | 2026-03-24 20:55 |