Język:Polski
Alex Michelsen v Jannik Sinner
Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →
Zwycięzca spotkania
Alex Michelsen (Gospodarze)
Prognoza 7.68%13.02kurs godziwy
EV +30.57%
Przewaga +1.80%
Kelly +1.91%
Wzrost +0.584%
przy maksymalnym kursie 17.00
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
5.66%7.88%7.63%10.90%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
8.5012.0711.5017.0011.76%8.28%8.70%5.88%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Jannik Sinner (Goście)
Prognoza 92.32%1.08kurs godziwy
EV -2.14%
Przewaga -2.02%
Kelly -35.69%
Wzrost +0.000%
przy maksymalnym kursie 1.06
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
89.10%92.12%92.37%94.34%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.011.041.041.0699.01%96.56%96.15%94.34%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Przy ostatnich kursach przed rozpoczęciem model Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana) szacował rynek Zwycięzca spotkania następująco: Alex Michelsen (Gospodarze): 7.68%; Jannik Sinner (Goście): 92.32%. Dla wyniku Alex Michelsen (Gospodarze) oszacowanie to odpowiadało uczciwemu kursowi dziesiętnemu 13.02. 8 bukmacherów oferowało kursy zamknięcia powyżej tego poziomu; najlepszy wynosił 17.00, co odpowiadało dodatniej wartości oczekiwanej +30.57%.
Kursy bukmacherskie (52 bukmacherów)
Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.
| Bukmacher | Gospodarze ▼ | Goście | Marża | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paddy Power🎯 | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.66%EV +30.57%E +1.80%K +1.91%G +0.584% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 94.34%EV -5.83%E -5.72%K -291.70%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-24 20:35 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.99%EV +22.89%E +1.43%K +1.53%G +0.349% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 94.01%EV -5.83%E -5.72%K -291.70%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-24 17:35 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.43%EV +15.21%E +1.01%K +1.09%G +0.165% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 93.57%EV -4.91%E -4.77%K -163.70%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-24 20:24 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV +15.21%E +1.01%K +1.09%G +0.165% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -5.83%E -5.72%K -291.70%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-24 19:59 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV +15.21%E +1.01%K +1.09%G +0.165% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -5.83%E -5.72%K -291.70%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-24 19:45 |
| Betway🎯 | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV +15.21%E +1.01%K +1.09%G +0.165% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -6.76%E -6.69%K -675.73%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-24 20:09 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 14.80I 6.76%NM 6.62%EV +13.67%E +0.924%K +0.991%G +0.135% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 93.38%EV -3.06%E -2.92%K -61.29%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-03-24 14:44 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 13.50I 7.41%NM 7.09%EV +3.69%E +0.273%K +0.295%G +0.011% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.91%EV -4.91%E -4.77%K -163.70%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-24 20:24 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.41%EV -0.154%E -0.012%K -0.013%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.59%EV -3.99%E -3.83%K -99.69%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-24 20:39 |
| Coral🎯 | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.41%EV -0.154%E -0.012%K -0.013%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.59%EV -3.99%E -3.83%K -99.69%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-24 20:40 |
| ReBet🎯 | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV -0.154%E -0.012%K -0.013%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -4.91%E -4.77%K -163.70%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-24 20:24 |
| Betsson🎯 | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV -0.154%E -0.012%K -0.013%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -4.91%E -4.77%K -163.70%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-24 20:25 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV -0.154%E -0.012%K -0.013%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -4.91%E -4.77%K -163.70%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-24 20:25 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV -0.154%E -0.012%K -0.013%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -4.91%E -4.77%K -163.70%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-24 17:30 |
| Bovada🎯 | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV -0.154%E -0.012%K -0.013%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -4.91%E -4.77%K -163.70%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-24 20:54 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV -0.154%E -0.012%K -0.013%G +0.000% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 92.79%EV -6.76%E -6.69%K -675.73%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-24 19:59 |
| GTbets🎯 | 12.98I 7.70%NM 7.35%EV -0.307%E -0.024%K -0.026%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.65%EV -4.91%E -4.77%K -163.70%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-24 20:34 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 12.56I 7.96%NM 7.65%EV -3.53%E -0.281%K -0.306%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.35%EV -3.99%E -3.83%K -99.69%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-24 19:39 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 12.56I 7.96%NM 7.65%EV -3.53%E -0.281%K -0.306%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.35%EV -3.99%E -3.83%K -99.69%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-24 19:40 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.61%EV -3.99%E -0.320%K -0.347%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.39%EV -4.91%E -4.77%K -163.70%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-24 20:04 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV -7.83%E -0.653%K -0.712%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -3.99%E -3.83%K -99.69%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-24 20:15 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -7.83%E -0.653%K -0.712%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -4.91%E -4.77%K -163.70%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-24 20:49 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 11.75I 8.51%NM 8.06%EV -9.75%E -0.830%K -0.907%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.94%EV -4.91%E -4.77%K -163.70%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-24 20:54 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 11.75I 8.51%NM 8.06%EV -9.75%E -0.830%K -0.907%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.94%EV -4.91%E -4.77%K -163.70%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-24 17:29 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 11.70I 8.55%NM 8.16%EV -10.14%E -0.867%K -0.948%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.84%EV -3.99%E -3.83%K -99.69%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-24 20:54 |
| Unibet🎯 | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV -11.67%E -1.02%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -3.99%E -3.83%K -99.69%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-24 20:15 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV -11.67%E -1.02%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -3.99%E -3.83%K -99.69%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-24 20:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV -11.67%E -1.02%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -3.99%E -3.83%K -99.69%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-24 20:15 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV -11.67%E -1.02%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -3.99%E -3.83%K -99.69%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-24 20:14 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV -11.67%E -1.02%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -3.99%E -3.83%K -99.69%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-24 20:14 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV -11.67%E -1.02%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -3.99%E -3.83%K -99.69%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-24 20:15 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV -11.67%E -1.02%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -3.99%E -3.83%K -99.69%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-24 20:14 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV -11.67%E -1.02%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -3.99%E -3.83%K -99.69%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-24 20:14 |
| Casumo🎯 | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV -11.67%E -1.02%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -3.99%E -3.83%K -99.69%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-24 20:14 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV -11.67%E -1.02%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -3.99%E -3.83%K -99.69%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-24 20:14 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV -11.67%E -1.02%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -3.99%E -3.83%K -99.69%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-24 20:14 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV -11.67%E -1.02%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -3.99%E -3.83%K -99.69%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-24 20:14 |
| betPARX🎯 | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV -11.67%E -1.02%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -3.99%E -3.83%K -99.69%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-24 20:14 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV -11.67%E -1.02%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -3.99%E -3.83%K -99.69%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-24 20:15 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 11.25I 8.89%NM 8.39%EV -13.59%E -1.21%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.61%EV -4.91%E -4.77%K -163.70%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-24 16:34 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -15.51%E -1.41%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -3.99%E -3.83%K -99.69%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-24 20:50 |
| BetUS🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -15.51%E -1.41%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -4.91%E -4.77%K -163.70%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-24 19:43 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV -23.20%E -2.32%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -2.14%E -2.02%K -35.69%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-24 07:25 |
| 888sport🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -23.20%E -2.32%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -3.06%E -2.92%K -61.29%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-24 07:24 |
| William Hill🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -23.20%E -2.32%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -3.06%E -2.92%K -61.29%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-24 07:29 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -23.20%E -2.32%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -3.06%E -2.92%K -61.29%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-24 11:45 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -23.20%E -2.32%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -3.06%E -2.92%K -61.29%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-24 11:45 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -23.20%E -2.32%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -3.99%E -3.83%K -99.69%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-24 08:39 |
| Caesars🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -23.20%E -2.32%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -3.99%E -3.83%K -99.69%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-24 13:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.34%EV -23.20%E -2.32%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 90.66%EV -4.91%E -4.77%K -163.70%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-24 19:44 |
| TAB🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.34%EV -23.20%E -2.32%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 90.66%EV -4.91%E -4.77%K -163.70%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-24 13:50 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.90%EV -34.72%E -4.08%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 89.10%EV -3.99%E -3.83%K -99.69%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-24 20:54 |
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału
Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.
Giełdy zakładów (7)
| Bukmacher | Gospodarze | Goście | Marża ▲ | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 20.00I 5.00%NM 4.99% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 95.01% | 0.2% | 2026-03-24 20:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 20.00I 5.00%NM 4.99% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 95.01% | 0.2% | 2026-03-24 20:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 20.00I 5.00%NM 4.99% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 95.01% | 0.2% | 2026-03-24 20:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.72% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 95.28% | 0.9% | 2026-03-24 20:35 |
| ProphetX◎ | 17.50I 5.71%NM 5.66% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 94.34% | 1.0% | 2026-03-24 20:55 |
| Novig◎ | 18.18I 5.50%NM 5.41% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 94.59% | 1.7% | 2026-03-24 20:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 20.00I 5.00%NM 4.90% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 95.10% | 2.1% | 2026-03-24 20:55 |