The School of Odds

Alex Michelsen v Cameron Norrie

Matchstart: 2026-03-21 20:15 UTC

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

49 spelbolag (16 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: IQM

Alex Michelsen (Hemma)

Prognos 67.59%1.48rättvist odds
EV +13.55%
Fördel +8.06%
Kelly +19.92%
Tillväxt +2.70%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.68

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
56.14%66.26%68.39%70.64%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX
Oddsfördelning
1.331.441.401.6875.19%69.32%71.43%59.52%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX

Cameron Norrie (Borta)

Prognos 32.41%3.09rättvist odds
EV +3.72%
Fördel +1.16%
Kelly +1.69%
Tillväxt +0.063%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.20

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
29.36%33.74%31.61%43.86%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX
Oddsfördelning
2.152.772.953.2046.51%36.09%33.90%31.25%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX

Spelbolagsodds (49 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemma ▼BortaMarginalUppdaterat
1xBet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.92%EV +13.55%E +8.06%K +19.92%G +2.70%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.08%EV -28.04%E -12.63%K -22.99%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-21 19:49
PlayUp1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV +13.55%E +8.06%K +19.92%G +2.70%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -30.31%E -14.10%K -26.36%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-21 19:58
BetOnline.ag1.66I 60.24%NM 58.29%EV +12.19%E +7.35%K +18.48%G +2.25%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.71%EV -24.80%E -10.69%K -18.79%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-21 19:49
LowVig.ag1.66I 60.24%NM 58.29%EV +12.19%E +7.35%K +18.48%G +2.25%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.71%EV -24.80%E -10.69%K -18.79%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-21 19:49
BetUS1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV +11.52%E +6.98%K +17.72%G +2.04%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -27.07%E -12.03%K -21.66%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-21 19:50
Bet Right1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV +10.17%E +6.24%K +16.14%G +1.64%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -26.10%E -11.45%K -20.39%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-21 19:53
Unibet (FR)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV +9.49%E +5.86%K +15.31%G +1.45%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -24.80%E -10.69%K -18.79%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-21 19:46
William Hill1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV +9.49%E +5.86%K +15.31%G +1.45%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -25.45%E -11.07%K -19.58%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-21 19:50
Betr (AU)1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV +8.82%E +5.48%K +14.45%G +1.27%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -27.07%E -12.03%K -21.66%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-21 19:49
Marathon Bet1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV +8.14%E +5.09%K +13.57%G +1.10%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -24.48%E -10.51%K -18.40%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-21 19:49
SportsBet1.56I 64.10%NM 59.79%EV +5.44%E +3.48%K +9.71%G +0.528%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.21%EV -24.80%E -10.69%K -18.79%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-21 19:58
Bovada1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV +1.38%E +0.921%K +2.76%G +0.038%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -14.11%E -5.32%K -8.55%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-21 20:04
Bet Victor1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV +1.38%E +0.921%K +2.76%G +0.038%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -18.97%E -7.59%K -12.65%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-21 20:00
BetRivers1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -0.647%E -0.440%K -1.38%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -15.73%E -6.05%K -9.83%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-21 20:03
TABtouch1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -0.647%E -0.440%K -1.38%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -15.73%E -6.05%K -9.83%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-21 20:05
FanDuel1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -2.00%E -1.38%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -10.86%E -3.95%K -6.21%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 20:04
Caesars1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -2.00%E -1.38%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -14.11%E -5.32%K -8.55%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-21 19:59
Unibet (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -5.38%E -3.84%K -13.44%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -1.14%E -0.374%K -0.557%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-21 20:04
Unibet (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.38%E -3.84%K -13.44%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.38%E -1.49%K -2.25%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 20:04
Casumo1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.38%E -3.84%K -13.44%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.38%E -1.49%K -2.25%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 20:04
Unibet (NL)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.38%E -3.84%K -13.44%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.38%E -1.49%K -2.25%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 20:04
Unibet1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.38%E -3.84%K -13.44%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.38%E -1.49%K -2.25%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 20:04
ATG (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.38%E -3.84%K -13.44%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.38%E -1.49%K -2.25%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 20:04
Svenska Spel1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.38%E -3.84%K -13.44%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.38%E -1.49%K -2.25%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 20:04
betPARX1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.38%E -3.84%K -13.44%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.38%E -1.49%K -2.25%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 20:04
Hard Rock Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.38%E -3.84%K -13.44%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.38%E -1.49%K -2.25%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 20:05
Ladbrokes (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -5.38%E -3.84%K -13.44%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -10.86%E -3.95%K -6.21%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-21 20:04
Betway1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -6.73%E -4.88%K -17.71%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -2.76%E -0.921%K -1.38%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-21 20:04
LiveScore Bet1.38I 72.46%NM 67.61%EV -6.73%E -4.88%K -17.71%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.39%EV -6.65%E -2.31%K -3.54%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-21 20:04
Grosvenor1.38I 72.46%NM 67.61%EV -6.73%E -4.88%K -17.71%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.39%EV -6.65%E -2.31%K -3.54%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-21 20:04
Virgin Bet1.38I 72.46%NM 67.61%EV -6.73%E -4.88%K -17.71%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.39%EV -6.65%E -2.31%K -3.54%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-21 20:04
DraftKings1.37I 72.99%NM 69.07%EV -7.41%E -5.41%K -20.01%G +0.000%3.06I 32.68%NM 30.93%EV -0.817%E -0.267%K -0.397%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-21 20:04
NordicBet1.37I 72.99%NM 69.00%EV -7.41%E -5.41%K -20.01%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.00%EV -1.14%E -0.374%K -0.557%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-21 20:05
Betsson1.37I 72.99%NM 68.29%EV -7.41%E -5.41%K -20.01%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -4.38%E -1.49%K -2.25%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-21 20:04
888sport1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -8.08%E -5.94%K -22.45%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -2.76%E -0.921%K -1.38%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-21 20:04
BoyleSports1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -8.08%E -5.94%K -22.45%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -2.76%E -0.921%K -1.38%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-21 20:04
PointsBet (AU)1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -8.08%E -5.94%K -22.45%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -2.76%E -0.921%K -1.38%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-21 20:04
theScore Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -8.08%E -5.94%K -22.45%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -2.76%E -0.921%K -1.38%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-21 20:04
Mr Green (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -8.08%E -5.94%K -22.45%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -2.76%E -0.921%K -1.38%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-21 20:04
888sport (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -8.08%E -5.94%K -22.45%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -2.76%E -0.921%K -1.38%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-21 20:04
LeoVegas (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 67.70%EV -8.08%E -5.94%K -22.45%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.30%EV -7.62%E -2.67%K -4.12%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-21 20:04
LeoVegas1.36I 73.53%NM 67.70%EV -8.08%E -5.94%K -22.45%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.30%EV -7.62%E -2.67%K -4.12%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-21 20:04
Fanatics1.36I 73.53%NM 67.70%EV -8.08%E -5.94%K -22.45%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.30%EV -7.62%E -2.67%K -4.12%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-21 20:04
TAB1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -9.43%E -7.04%K -27.74%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV +0.480%E +0.155%K +0.228%G +0.001%6.9%2026-03-21 20:05
Winamax (DE)1.34I 74.63%NM 69.48%EV -9.43%E -7.04%K -27.74%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52%EV -1.14%E -0.374%K -0.557%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-21 20:05
Winamax (FR)1.34I 74.63%NM 68.76%EV -9.43%E -7.04%K -27.74%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.24%EV -4.38%E -1.49%K -2.25%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-21 20:05
Coral1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -10.11%E -7.60%K -30.63%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV +3.72%E +1.16%K +1.69%G +0.063%6.4%2026-03-21 20:05
Paddy Power1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -10.11%E -7.60%K -30.63%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -2.76%E -0.921%K -1.38%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-21 20:05
Fliff1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -10.11%E -7.60%K -30.63%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -2.76%E -0.921%K -1.38%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-21 20:05
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (7)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.41I 70.92%NM 70.69%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.31%0.3%2026-03-21 20:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.47I 68.03%NM 67.11%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.89%1.4%2026-03-21 20:04
Smarkets1.38I 72.46%NM 71.43%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.57%1.4%2026-03-21 20:05
Matchbook1.41I 70.92%NM 68.03%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.97%4.3%2026-03-21 20:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%4.7%2026-03-21 20:04
Novig1.32I 75.76%NM 71.18%3.26I 30.67%NM 28.82%6.4%2026-03-21 20:05
ProphetX1.31I 76.34%NM 69.61%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%9.7%2026-03-21 20:05