Szkoła Kursów

Alex Michelsen v Cameron Norrie

Początek: 2026-03-21 20:15 UTC

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

49 bukmacherów (16 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: IQM

Alex Michelsen (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 67.59%1.48kurs godziwy
EV +13.55%
Przewaga +8.06%
Kelly +19.92%
Wzrost +2.70%

przy maksymalnym kursie 1.68

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
56.14%66.26%68.39%70.64%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.331.441.401.6875.19%69.32%71.43%59.52%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Cameron Norrie (Goście)

Prognoza 32.41%3.09kurs godziwy
EV +3.72%
Przewaga +1.16%
Kelly +1.69%
Wzrost +0.063%

przy maksymalnym kursie 3.20

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
29.36%33.74%31.61%43.86%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.152.772.953.2046.51%36.09%33.90%31.25%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Kursy bukmacherskie (49 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarze ▼GościeMarżaAktualizacja
1xBet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.92%EV +13.55%E +8.06%K +19.92%G +2.70%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.08%EV -28.04%E -12.63%K -22.99%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-21 19:49
PlayUp1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV +13.55%E +8.06%K +19.92%G +2.70%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -30.31%E -14.10%K -26.36%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-21 19:58
BetOnline.ag1.66I 60.24%NM 58.29%EV +12.19%E +7.35%K +18.48%G +2.25%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.71%EV -24.80%E -10.69%K -18.79%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-21 19:49
LowVig.ag1.66I 60.24%NM 58.29%EV +12.19%E +7.35%K +18.48%G +2.25%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.71%EV -24.80%E -10.69%K -18.79%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-21 19:49
BetUS1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV +11.52%E +6.98%K +17.72%G +2.04%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -27.07%E -12.03%K -21.66%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-21 19:50
Bet Right1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV +10.17%E +6.24%K +16.14%G +1.64%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -26.10%E -11.45%K -20.39%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-21 19:53
Unibet (FR)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV +9.49%E +5.86%K +15.31%G +1.45%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -24.80%E -10.69%K -18.79%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-21 19:46
William Hill1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV +9.49%E +5.86%K +15.31%G +1.45%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -25.45%E -11.07%K -19.58%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-21 19:50
Betr (AU)1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV +8.82%E +5.48%K +14.45%G +1.27%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -27.07%E -12.03%K -21.66%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-21 19:49
Marathon Bet1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV +8.14%E +5.09%K +13.57%G +1.10%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -24.48%E -10.51%K -18.40%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-21 19:49
SportsBet1.56I 64.10%NM 59.79%EV +5.44%E +3.48%K +9.71%G +0.528%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.21%EV -24.80%E -10.69%K -18.79%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-21 19:58
Bovada1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV +1.38%E +0.921%K +2.76%G +0.038%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -14.11%E -5.32%K -8.55%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-21 20:04
Bet Victor1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV +1.38%E +0.921%K +2.76%G +0.038%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -18.97%E -7.59%K -12.65%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-21 20:00
BetRivers1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -0.647%E -0.440%K -1.38%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -15.73%E -6.05%K -9.83%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-21 20:03
TABtouch1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -0.647%E -0.440%K -1.38%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -15.73%E -6.05%K -9.83%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-21 20:05
FanDuel1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -2.00%E -1.38%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -10.86%E -3.95%K -6.21%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 20:04
Caesars1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -2.00%E -1.38%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -14.11%E -5.32%K -8.55%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-21 19:59
Unibet (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -5.38%E -3.84%K -13.44%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -1.14%E -0.374%K -0.557%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-21 20:04
Unibet (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.38%E -3.84%K -13.44%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.38%E -1.49%K -2.25%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 20:04
Casumo1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.38%E -3.84%K -13.44%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.38%E -1.49%K -2.25%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 20:04
Unibet (NL)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.38%E -3.84%K -13.44%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.38%E -1.49%K -2.25%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 20:04
Unibet1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.38%E -3.84%K -13.44%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.38%E -1.49%K -2.25%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 20:04
ATG (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.38%E -3.84%K -13.44%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.38%E -1.49%K -2.25%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 20:04
Svenska Spel1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.38%E -3.84%K -13.44%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.38%E -1.49%K -2.25%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 20:04
betPARX1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.38%E -3.84%K -13.44%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.38%E -1.49%K -2.25%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 20:04
Hard Rock Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.38%E -3.84%K -13.44%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.38%E -1.49%K -2.25%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 20:05
Ladbrokes (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -5.38%E -3.84%K -13.44%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -10.86%E -3.95%K -6.21%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-21 20:04
Betway1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -6.73%E -4.88%K -17.71%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -2.76%E -0.921%K -1.38%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-21 20:04
LiveScore Bet1.38I 72.46%NM 67.61%EV -6.73%E -4.88%K -17.71%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.39%EV -6.65%E -2.31%K -3.54%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-21 20:04
Grosvenor1.38I 72.46%NM 67.61%EV -6.73%E -4.88%K -17.71%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.39%EV -6.65%E -2.31%K -3.54%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-21 20:04
Virgin Bet1.38I 72.46%NM 67.61%EV -6.73%E -4.88%K -17.71%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.39%EV -6.65%E -2.31%K -3.54%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-21 20:04
DraftKings1.37I 72.99%NM 69.07%EV -7.41%E -5.41%K -20.01%G +0.000%3.06I 32.68%NM 30.93%EV -0.817%E -0.267%K -0.397%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-21 20:04
NordicBet1.37I 72.99%NM 69.00%EV -7.41%E -5.41%K -20.01%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.00%EV -1.14%E -0.374%K -0.557%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-21 20:05
Betsson1.37I 72.99%NM 68.29%EV -7.41%E -5.41%K -20.01%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -4.38%E -1.49%K -2.25%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-21 20:04
888sport1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -8.08%E -5.94%K -22.45%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -2.76%E -0.921%K -1.38%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-21 20:04
BoyleSports1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -8.08%E -5.94%K -22.45%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -2.76%E -0.921%K -1.38%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-21 20:04
PointsBet (AU)1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -8.08%E -5.94%K -22.45%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -2.76%E -0.921%K -1.38%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-21 20:04
theScore Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -8.08%E -5.94%K -22.45%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -2.76%E -0.921%K -1.38%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-21 20:04
Mr Green (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -8.08%E -5.94%K -22.45%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -2.76%E -0.921%K -1.38%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-21 20:04
888sport (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -8.08%E -5.94%K -22.45%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -2.76%E -0.921%K -1.38%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-21 20:04
LeoVegas (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 67.70%EV -8.08%E -5.94%K -22.45%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.30%EV -7.62%E -2.67%K -4.12%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-21 20:04
LeoVegas1.36I 73.53%NM 67.70%EV -8.08%E -5.94%K -22.45%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.30%EV -7.62%E -2.67%K -4.12%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-21 20:04
Fanatics1.36I 73.53%NM 67.70%EV -8.08%E -5.94%K -22.45%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.30%EV -7.62%E -2.67%K -4.12%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-21 20:04
TAB1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -9.43%E -7.04%K -27.74%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV +0.480%E +0.155%K +0.228%G +0.001%6.9%2026-03-21 20:05
Winamax (DE)1.34I 74.63%NM 69.48%EV -9.43%E -7.04%K -27.74%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52%EV -1.14%E -0.374%K -0.557%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-21 20:05
Winamax (FR)1.34I 74.63%NM 68.76%EV -9.43%E -7.04%K -27.74%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.24%EV -4.38%E -1.49%K -2.25%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-21 20:05
Coral1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -10.11%E -7.60%K -30.63%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV +3.72%E +1.16%K +1.69%G +0.063%6.4%2026-03-21 20:05
Paddy Power1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -10.11%E -7.60%K -30.63%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -2.76%E -0.921%K -1.38%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-21 20:05
Fliff1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -10.11%E -7.60%K -30.63%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -2.76%E -0.921%K -1.38%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-21 20:05
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (7)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeMarża ▲Aktualizacja
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.41I 70.92%NM 70.69%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.31%0.3%2026-03-21 20:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.47I 68.03%NM 67.11%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.89%1.4%2026-03-21 20:04
Smarkets1.38I 72.46%NM 71.43%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.57%1.4%2026-03-21 20:05
Matchbook1.41I 70.92%NM 68.03%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.97%4.3%2026-03-21 20:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%4.7%2026-03-21 20:04
Novig1.32I 75.76%NM 71.18%3.26I 30.67%NM 28.82%6.4%2026-03-21 20:05
ProphetX1.31I 76.34%NM 69.61%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%9.7%2026-03-21 20:05