Школа коэффициентов

Alex Michelsen v Cameron Norrie

Начало: 2026-03-21 20:15 UTC

Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →

Победитель встречи

49 букмекерских контор (16 в анализе )

Оценка вероятности каждого исхода по модели: IQM

Alex Michelsen (Хозяева)

Прогноз 67.59%1.48справедливый коэффициент
EV +13.55%
Преимущество +8.06%
Kelly +19.92%
Рост +2.70%

при максимальном коэффициенте 1.68

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
56.14%66.26%68.39%70.64%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
1.331.441.401.6875.19%69.32%71.43%59.52%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Cameron Norrie (Гости)

Прогноз 32.41%3.09справедливый коэффициент
EV +3.72%
Преимущество +1.16%
Kelly +1.69%
Рост +0.063%

при максимальном коэффициенте 3.20

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
29.36%33.74%31.61%43.86%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
2.152.772.953.2046.51%36.09%33.90%31.25%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (49 букмекерских контор)

Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.

Букмекерская контораХозяева ▼ГостиМаржаОбновлено
1xBet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.92%EV +13.55%E +8.06%K +19.92%G +2.70%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.08%EV -28.04%E -12.63%K -22.99%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-21 19:49
PlayUp1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV +13.55%E +8.06%K +19.92%G +2.70%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -30.31%E -14.10%K -26.36%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-21 19:58
BetOnline.ag1.66I 60.24%NM 58.29%EV +12.19%E +7.35%K +18.48%G +2.25%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.71%EV -24.80%E -10.69%K -18.79%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-21 19:49
LowVig.ag1.66I 60.24%NM 58.29%EV +12.19%E +7.35%K +18.48%G +2.25%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.71%EV -24.80%E -10.69%K -18.79%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-21 19:49
BetUS1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV +11.52%E +6.98%K +17.72%G +2.04%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -27.07%E -12.03%K -21.66%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-21 19:50
Bet Right1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV +10.17%E +6.24%K +16.14%G +1.64%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -26.10%E -11.45%K -20.39%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-21 19:53
Unibet (FR)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV +9.49%E +5.86%K +15.31%G +1.45%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -24.80%E -10.69%K -18.79%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-21 19:46
William Hill1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV +9.49%E +5.86%K +15.31%G +1.45%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -25.45%E -11.07%K -19.58%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-21 19:50
Betr (AU)1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV +8.82%E +5.48%K +14.45%G +1.27%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -27.07%E -12.03%K -21.66%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-21 19:49
Marathon Bet1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV +8.14%E +5.09%K +13.57%G +1.10%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -24.48%E -10.51%K -18.40%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-21 19:49
SportsBet1.56I 64.10%NM 59.79%EV +5.44%E +3.48%K +9.71%G +0.528%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.21%EV -24.80%E -10.69%K -18.79%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-21 19:58
Bovada1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV +1.38%E +0.921%K +2.76%G +0.038%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -14.11%E -5.32%K -8.55%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-21 20:04
Bet Victor1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV +1.38%E +0.921%K +2.76%G +0.038%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -18.97%E -7.59%K -12.65%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-21 20:00
BetRivers1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -0.647%E -0.440%K -1.38%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -15.73%E -6.05%K -9.83%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-21 20:03
TABtouch1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -0.647%E -0.440%K -1.38%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -15.73%E -6.05%K -9.83%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-21 20:05
FanDuel1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -2.00%E -1.38%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -10.86%E -3.95%K -6.21%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 20:04
Caesars1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -2.00%E -1.38%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -14.11%E -5.32%K -8.55%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-21 19:59
Unibet (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -5.38%E -3.84%K -13.44%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -1.14%E -0.374%K -0.557%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-21 20:04
Unibet (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.38%E -3.84%K -13.44%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.38%E -1.49%K -2.25%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 20:04
Casumo1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.38%E -3.84%K -13.44%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.38%E -1.49%K -2.25%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 20:04
Unibet (NL)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.38%E -3.84%K -13.44%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.38%E -1.49%K -2.25%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 20:04
Unibet1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.38%E -3.84%K -13.44%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.38%E -1.49%K -2.25%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 20:04
ATG (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.38%E -3.84%K -13.44%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.38%E -1.49%K -2.25%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 20:04
Svenska Spel1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.38%E -3.84%K -13.44%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.38%E -1.49%K -2.25%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 20:04
betPARX1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.38%E -3.84%K -13.44%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.38%E -1.49%K -2.25%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 20:04
Hard Rock Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.38%E -3.84%K -13.44%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.38%E -1.49%K -2.25%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 20:05
Ladbrokes (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -5.38%E -3.84%K -13.44%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -10.86%E -3.95%K -6.21%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-21 20:04
Betway1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -6.73%E -4.88%K -17.71%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -2.76%E -0.921%K -1.38%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-21 20:04
LiveScore Bet1.38I 72.46%NM 67.61%EV -6.73%E -4.88%K -17.71%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.39%EV -6.65%E -2.31%K -3.54%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-21 20:04
Grosvenor1.38I 72.46%NM 67.61%EV -6.73%E -4.88%K -17.71%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.39%EV -6.65%E -2.31%K -3.54%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-21 20:04
Virgin Bet1.38I 72.46%NM 67.61%EV -6.73%E -4.88%K -17.71%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.39%EV -6.65%E -2.31%K -3.54%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-21 20:04
DraftKings1.37I 72.99%NM 69.07%EV -7.41%E -5.41%K -20.01%G +0.000%3.06I 32.68%NM 30.93%EV -0.817%E -0.267%K -0.397%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-21 20:04
NordicBet1.37I 72.99%NM 69.00%EV -7.41%E -5.41%K -20.01%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.00%EV -1.14%E -0.374%K -0.557%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-21 20:05
Betsson1.37I 72.99%NM 68.29%EV -7.41%E -5.41%K -20.01%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -4.38%E -1.49%K -2.25%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-21 20:04
888sport1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -8.08%E -5.94%K -22.45%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -2.76%E -0.921%K -1.38%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-21 20:04
BoyleSports1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -8.08%E -5.94%K -22.45%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -2.76%E -0.921%K -1.38%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-21 20:04
PointsBet (AU)1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -8.08%E -5.94%K -22.45%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -2.76%E -0.921%K -1.38%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-21 20:04
theScore Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -8.08%E -5.94%K -22.45%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -2.76%E -0.921%K -1.38%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-21 20:04
Mr Green (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -8.08%E -5.94%K -22.45%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -2.76%E -0.921%K -1.38%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-21 20:04
888sport (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -8.08%E -5.94%K -22.45%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -2.76%E -0.921%K -1.38%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-21 20:04
LeoVegas (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 67.70%EV -8.08%E -5.94%K -22.45%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.30%EV -7.62%E -2.67%K -4.12%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-21 20:04
LeoVegas1.36I 73.53%NM 67.70%EV -8.08%E -5.94%K -22.45%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.30%EV -7.62%E -2.67%K -4.12%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-21 20:04
Fanatics1.36I 73.53%NM 67.70%EV -8.08%E -5.94%K -22.45%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.30%EV -7.62%E -2.67%K -4.12%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-21 20:04
TAB1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -9.43%E -7.04%K -27.74%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV +0.480%E +0.155%K +0.228%G +0.001%6.9%2026-03-21 20:05
Winamax (DE)1.34I 74.63%NM 69.48%EV -9.43%E -7.04%K -27.74%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52%EV -1.14%E -0.374%K -0.557%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-21 20:05
Winamax (FR)1.34I 74.63%NM 68.76%EV -9.43%E -7.04%K -27.74%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.24%EV -4.38%E -1.49%K -2.25%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-21 20:05
Coral1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -10.11%E -7.60%K -30.63%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV +3.72%E +1.16%K +1.69%G +0.063%6.4%2026-03-21 20:05
Paddy Power1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -10.11%E -7.60%K -30.63%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -2.76%E -0.921%K -1.38%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-21 20:05
Fliff1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -10.11%E -7.60%K -30.63%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -2.76%E -0.921%K -1.38%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-21 20:05
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала

Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.

Биржи ставок (7)

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГостиМаржа ▲Обновлено
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.41I 70.92%NM 70.69%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.31%0.3%2026-03-21 20:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.47I 68.03%NM 67.11%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.89%1.4%2026-03-21 20:04
Smarkets1.38I 72.46%NM 71.43%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.57%1.4%2026-03-21 20:05
Matchbook1.41I 70.92%NM 68.03%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.97%4.3%2026-03-21 20:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%4.7%2026-03-21 20:04
Novig1.32I 75.76%NM 71.18%3.26I 30.67%NM 28.82%6.4%2026-03-21 20:05
ProphetX1.31I 76.34%NM 69.61%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%9.7%2026-03-21 20:05