Sprache:Deutsch
Alex Michelsen v Cameron Norrie
Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →
Direkter Vergleich
Alex Michelsen (Heim)
Prognose 67.59%1.48faire Quote
EV +13.55%
Vorteil +8.06%
Kelly +19.92%
Wachstum +2.70%
bei einer Höchstquote von 1.68
Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
56.14%66.26%68.39%70.64%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.331.441.401.6875.19%69.32%71.43%59.52%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Cameron Norrie (Auswärts)
Prognose 32.41%3.09faire Quote
EV +3.72%
Vorteil +1.16%
Kelly +1.69%
Wachstum +0.063%
bei einer Höchstquote von 3.20
Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
29.36%33.74%31.61%43.86%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
2.152.772.953.2046.51%36.09%33.90%31.25%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Bei den letzten Quoten vor Spielbeginn schätzte Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) für Direkter Vergleich: Alex Michelsen (Heim): 67.59%; Cameron Norrie (Auswärts): 32.41%. Für Alex Michelsen (Heim) entsprach diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 1.48. 13 Wettanbieter boten Schlussquoten über diesem Wert an; die beste betrug 1.68 und entsprach einem positiven Erwartungswert von +13.55%.
Wettanbieterquoten (49 Wettanbieter)
Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.
| Wettanbieter | Heim ▼ | Auswärts | Marge | Aktualisiert |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.92%EV +13.55%E +8.06%K +19.92%G +2.70% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.08%EV -28.04%E -12.63%K -22.99%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-21 19:49 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV +13.55%E +8.06%K +19.92%G +2.70% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -30.31%E -14.10%K -26.36%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-21 19:58 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.29%EV +12.19%E +7.35%K +18.48%G +2.25% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.71%EV -24.80%E -10.69%K -18.79%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-03-21 19:49 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.29%EV +12.19%E +7.35%K +18.48%G +2.25% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.71%EV -24.80%E -10.69%K -18.79%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-03-21 19:49 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV +11.52%E +6.98%K +17.72%G +2.04% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -27.07%E -12.03%K -21.66%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-21 19:50 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV +10.17%E +6.24%K +16.14%G +1.64% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -26.10%E -11.45%K -20.39%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-21 19:53 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV +9.49%E +5.86%K +15.31%G +1.45% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -24.80%E -10.69%K -18.79%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-21 19:46 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV +9.49%E +5.86%K +15.31%G +1.45% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -25.45%E -11.07%K -19.58%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-21 19:50 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV +8.82%E +5.48%K +14.45%G +1.27% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -27.07%E -12.03%K -21.66%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-21 19:49 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV +8.14%E +5.09%K +13.57%G +1.10% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -24.48%E -10.51%K -18.40%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-21 19:49 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.79%EV +5.44%E +3.48%K +9.71%G +0.528% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.21%EV -24.80%E -10.69%K -18.79%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-21 19:58 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV +1.38%E +0.921%K +2.76%G +0.038% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -14.11%E -5.32%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-21 20:04 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV +1.38%E +0.921%K +2.76%G +0.038% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -18.97%E -7.59%K -12.65%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-21 20:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -0.647%E -0.440%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -15.73%E -6.05%K -9.83%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-21 20:03 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -0.647%E -0.440%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -15.73%E -6.05%K -9.83%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-21 20:05 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -2.00%E -1.38%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -10.86%E -3.95%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-21 20:04 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -2.00%E -1.38%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -14.11%E -5.32%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-21 19:59 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -5.38%E -3.84%K -13.44%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -1.14%E -0.374%K -0.557%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-21 20:04 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.38%E -3.84%K -13.44%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.38%E -1.49%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-21 20:04 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.38%E -3.84%K -13.44%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.38%E -1.49%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-21 20:04 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.38%E -3.84%K -13.44%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.38%E -1.49%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-21 20:04 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.38%E -3.84%K -13.44%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.38%E -1.49%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-21 20:04 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.38%E -3.84%K -13.44%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.38%E -1.49%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-21 20:04 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.38%E -3.84%K -13.44%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.38%E -1.49%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-21 20:04 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.38%E -3.84%K -13.44%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.38%E -1.49%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-21 20:04 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.38%E -3.84%K -13.44%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.38%E -1.49%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-21 20:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -5.38%E -3.84%K -13.44%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -10.86%E -3.95%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-21 20:04 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -6.73%E -4.88%K -17.71%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -2.76%E -0.921%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-21 20:04 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.61%EV -6.73%E -4.88%K -17.71%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.39%EV -6.65%E -2.31%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-21 20:04 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.61%EV -6.73%E -4.88%K -17.71%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.39%EV -6.65%E -2.31%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-21 20:04 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.61%EV -6.73%E -4.88%K -17.71%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.39%EV -6.65%E -2.31%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-21 20:04 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.07%EV -7.41%E -5.41%K -20.01%G +0.000% | 3.06I 32.68%NM 30.93%EV -0.817%E -0.267%K -0.397%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-21 20:04 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.00%EV -7.41%E -5.41%K -20.01%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.00%EV -1.14%E -0.374%K -0.557%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-21 20:05 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.29%EV -7.41%E -5.41%K -20.01%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -4.38%E -1.49%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-21 20:04 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -8.08%E -5.94%K -22.45%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -2.76%E -0.921%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-21 20:04 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -8.08%E -5.94%K -22.45%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -2.76%E -0.921%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-21 20:04 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -8.08%E -5.94%K -22.45%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -2.76%E -0.921%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-21 20:04 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -8.08%E -5.94%K -22.45%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -2.76%E -0.921%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-21 20:04 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -8.08%E -5.94%K -22.45%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -2.76%E -0.921%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-21 20:04 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -8.08%E -5.94%K -22.45%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -2.76%E -0.921%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-21 20:04 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.70%EV -8.08%E -5.94%K -22.45%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.30%EV -7.62%E -2.67%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-21 20:04 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.70%EV -8.08%E -5.94%K -22.45%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.30%EV -7.62%E -2.67%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-21 20:04 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.70%EV -8.08%E -5.94%K -22.45%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.30%EV -7.62%E -2.67%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-21 20:04 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -9.43%E -7.04%K -27.74%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV +0.480%E +0.155%K +0.228%G +0.001% | 6.9% | 2026-03-21 20:05 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.48%EV -9.43%E -7.04%K -27.74%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52%EV -1.14%E -0.374%K -0.557%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-21 20:05 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 68.76%EV -9.43%E -7.04%K -27.74%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.24%EV -4.38%E -1.49%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-21 20:05 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -10.11%E -7.60%K -30.63%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV +3.72%E +1.16%K +1.69%G +0.063% | 6.4% | 2026-03-21 20:05 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -10.11%E -7.60%K -30.63%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -2.76%E -0.921%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-21 20:05 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -10.11%E -7.60%K -30.63%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -2.76%E -0.921%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-21 20:05 |
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals
Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.
Wettbörsen (7)
| Wettanbieter | Heim | Auswärts | Marge ▲ | Aktualisiert |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.41I 70.92%NM 70.69% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.31% | 0.3% | 2026-03-21 20:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.11% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.89% | 1.4% | 2026-03-21 20:04 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.38I 72.46%NM 71.43% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.57% | 1.4% | 2026-03-21 20:05 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.03% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.97% | 4.3% | 2026-03-21 20:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80% | 4.7% | 2026-03-21 20:04 |
| Novig◎ | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.18% | 3.26I 30.67%NM 28.82% | 6.4% | 2026-03-21 20:05 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.31I 76.34%NM 69.61% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39% | 9.7% | 2026-03-21 20:05 |