L’École des cotesLangue:Français
Alex Michelsen v Cameron Norrie
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Alex Michelsen (Local)
Prévision 67.59%1.48cote équitable
EV +13.55%
Avantage +8.06%
Kelly +19.92%
Croissance +2.70%
avec la cote maximale 1.68
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
56.14%66.26%68.39%70.64%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.331.441.401.6875.19%69.32%71.43%59.52%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cameron Norrie (Visiteur)
Prévision 32.41%3.09cote équitable
EV +3.72%
Avantage +1.16%
Kelly +1.69%
Croissance +0.063%
avec la cote maximale 3.20
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
29.36%33.74%31.61%43.86%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.152.772.953.2046.51%36.09%33.90%31.25%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (49 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.92%EV +13.55%E +8.06%K +19.92%G +2.70% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.08%EV -28.04%E -12.63%K -22.99%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-21 19:49 |
| PlayUp | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV +13.55%E +8.06%K +19.92%G +2.70% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -30.31%E -14.10%K -26.36%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-21 19:58 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.29%EV +12.19%E +7.35%K +18.48%G +2.25% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.71%EV -24.80%E -10.69%K -18.79%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-03-21 19:49 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.29%EV +12.19%E +7.35%K +18.48%G +2.25% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.71%EV -24.80%E -10.69%K -18.79%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-03-21 19:49 |
| BetUS | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV +11.52%E +6.98%K +17.72%G +2.04% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -27.07%E -12.03%K -21.66%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-21 19:50 |
| Bet Right | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV +10.17%E +6.24%K +16.14%G +1.64% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -26.10%E -11.45%K -20.39%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-21 19:53 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV +9.49%E +5.86%K +15.31%G +1.45% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -24.80%E -10.69%K -18.79%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-21 19:46 |
| William Hill | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV +9.49%E +5.86%K +15.31%G +1.45% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -25.45%E -11.07%K -19.58%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-21 19:50 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV +8.82%E +5.48%K +14.45%G +1.27% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -27.07%E -12.03%K -21.66%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-21 19:49 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV +8.14%E +5.09%K +13.57%G +1.10% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -24.48%E -10.51%K -18.40%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-21 19:49 |
| SportsBet | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.79%EV +5.44%E +3.48%K +9.71%G +0.528% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.21%EV -24.80%E -10.69%K -18.79%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-21 19:58 |
| Bovada | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV +1.38%E +0.921%K +2.76%G +0.038% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -14.11%E -5.32%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-21 20:04 |
| Bet Victor | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV +1.38%E +0.921%K +2.76%G +0.038% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -18.97%E -7.59%K -12.65%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-21 20:00 |
| BetRivers | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -0.647%E -0.440%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -15.73%E -6.05%K -9.83%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-21 20:03 |
| TABtouch | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -0.647%E -0.440%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -15.73%E -6.05%K -9.83%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-21 20:05 |
| FanDuel | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -2.00%E -1.38%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -10.86%E -3.95%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-21 20:04 |
| Caesars | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -2.00%E -1.38%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -14.11%E -5.32%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-21 19:59 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -5.38%E -3.84%K -13.44%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -1.14%E -0.374%K -0.557%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-21 20:04 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.38%E -3.84%K -13.44%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.38%E -1.49%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-21 20:04 |
| Casumo | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.38%E -3.84%K -13.44%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.38%E -1.49%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-21 20:04 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.38%E -3.84%K -13.44%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.38%E -1.49%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-21 20:04 |
| Unibet | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.38%E -3.84%K -13.44%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.38%E -1.49%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-21 20:04 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.38%E -3.84%K -13.44%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.38%E -1.49%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-21 20:04 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.38%E -3.84%K -13.44%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.38%E -1.49%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-21 20:04 |
| betPARX | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.38%E -3.84%K -13.44%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.38%E -1.49%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-21 20:04 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.38%E -3.84%K -13.44%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.38%E -1.49%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-21 20:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -5.38%E -3.84%K -13.44%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -10.86%E -3.95%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-21 20:04 |
| Betway | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -6.73%E -4.88%K -17.71%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -2.76%E -0.921%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-21 20:04 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.61%EV -6.73%E -4.88%K -17.71%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.39%EV -6.65%E -2.31%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-21 20:04 |
| Grosvenor | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.61%EV -6.73%E -4.88%K -17.71%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.39%EV -6.65%E -2.31%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-21 20:04 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.61%EV -6.73%E -4.88%K -17.71%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.39%EV -6.65%E -2.31%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-21 20:04 |
| DraftKings | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.07%EV -7.41%E -5.41%K -20.01%G +0.000% | 3.06I 32.68%NM 30.93%EV -0.817%E -0.267%K -0.397%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-21 20:04 |
| NordicBet | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.00%EV -7.41%E -5.41%K -20.01%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.00%EV -1.14%E -0.374%K -0.557%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-21 20:05 |
| Betsson | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.29%EV -7.41%E -5.41%K -20.01%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -4.38%E -1.49%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-21 20:04 |
| 888sport | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -8.08%E -5.94%K -22.45%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -2.76%E -0.921%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-21 20:04 |
| BoyleSports | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -8.08%E -5.94%K -22.45%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -2.76%E -0.921%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-21 20:04 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -8.08%E -5.94%K -22.45%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -2.76%E -0.921%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-21 20:04 |
| theScore Bet | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -8.08%E -5.94%K -22.45%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -2.76%E -0.921%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-21 20:04 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -8.08%E -5.94%K -22.45%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -2.76%E -0.921%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-21 20:04 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -8.08%E -5.94%K -22.45%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -2.76%E -0.921%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-21 20:04 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.70%EV -8.08%E -5.94%K -22.45%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.30%EV -7.62%E -2.67%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-21 20:04 |
| LeoVegas | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.70%EV -8.08%E -5.94%K -22.45%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.30%EV -7.62%E -2.67%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-21 20:04 |
| Fanatics | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.70%EV -8.08%E -5.94%K -22.45%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.30%EV -7.62%E -2.67%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-21 20:04 |
| TAB | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -9.43%E -7.04%K -27.74%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV +0.480%E +0.155%K +0.228%G +0.001% | 6.9% | 2026-03-21 20:05 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.48%EV -9.43%E -7.04%K -27.74%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52%EV -1.14%E -0.374%K -0.557%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-21 20:05 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.34I 74.63%NM 68.76%EV -9.43%E -7.04%K -27.74%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.24%EV -4.38%E -1.49%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-21 20:05 |
| Coral | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -10.11%E -7.60%K -30.63%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV +3.72%E +1.16%K +1.69%G +0.063% | 6.4% | 2026-03-21 20:05 |
| Paddy Power | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -10.11%E -7.60%K -30.63%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -2.76%E -0.921%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-21 20:05 |
| Fliff | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -10.11%E -7.60%K -30.63%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -2.76%E -0.921%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-21 20:05 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (7)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.41I 70.92%NM 70.69% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.31% | 0.3% | 2026-03-21 20:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.11% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.89% | 1.4% | 2026-03-21 20:04 |
| Smarkets | 1.38I 72.46%NM 71.43% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.57% | 1.4% | 2026-03-21 20:05 |
| Matchbook | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.03% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.97% | 4.3% | 2026-03-21 20:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80% | 4.7% | 2026-03-21 20:04 |
| Novig | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.18% | 3.26I 30.67%NM 28.82% | 6.4% | 2026-03-21 20:05 |
| ProphetX | 1.31I 76.34%NM 69.61% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39% | 9.7% | 2026-03-21 20:05 |