La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Alex Michelsen v Cameron Norrie
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Alex Michelsen (Local)
Predicción 67.59%1.48momio equitativo
EV +13.55%
Ventaja +8.06%
Kelly +19.92%
Crecimiento +2.70%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.68
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
56.14%66.26%68.39%70.64%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.331.441.401.6875.19%69.32%71.43%59.52%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Cameron Norrie (Visitante)
Predicción 32.41%3.09momio equitativo
EV +3.72%
Ventaja +1.16%
Kelly +1.69%
Crecimiento +0.063%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.20
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
29.36%33.74%31.61%43.86%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.152.772.953.2046.51%36.09%33.90%31.25%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (49 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.92%EV +13.55%E +8.06%K +19.92%G +2.70% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.08%EV -28.04%E -12.63%K -22.99%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-21 19:49 |
| PlayUp | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV +13.55%E +8.06%K +19.92%G +2.70% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -30.31%E -14.10%K -26.36%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-21 19:58 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.29%EV +12.19%E +7.35%K +18.48%G +2.25% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.71%EV -24.80%E -10.69%K -18.79%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-03-21 19:49 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.29%EV +12.19%E +7.35%K +18.48%G +2.25% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.71%EV -24.80%E -10.69%K -18.79%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-03-21 19:49 |
| BetUS | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV +11.52%E +6.98%K +17.72%G +2.04% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -27.07%E -12.03%K -21.66%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-21 19:50 |
| Bet Right | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV +10.17%E +6.24%K +16.14%G +1.64% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -26.10%E -11.45%K -20.39%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-21 19:53 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV +9.49%E +5.86%K +15.31%G +1.45% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -24.80%E -10.69%K -18.79%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-21 19:46 |
| William Hill | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV +9.49%E +5.86%K +15.31%G +1.45% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -25.45%E -11.07%K -19.58%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-21 19:50 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV +8.82%E +5.48%K +14.45%G +1.27% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -27.07%E -12.03%K -21.66%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-21 19:49 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV +8.14%E +5.09%K +13.57%G +1.10% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -24.48%E -10.51%K -18.40%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-21 19:49 |
| SportsBet | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.79%EV +5.44%E +3.48%K +9.71%G +0.528% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.21%EV -24.80%E -10.69%K -18.79%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-21 19:58 |
| Bovada | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV +1.38%E +0.921%K +2.76%G +0.038% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -14.11%E -5.32%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-21 20:04 |
| Bet Victor | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV +1.38%E +0.921%K +2.76%G +0.038% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -18.97%E -7.59%K -12.65%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-21 20:00 |
| BetRivers | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -0.647%E -0.440%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -15.73%E -6.05%K -9.83%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-21 20:03 |
| TABtouch | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -0.647%E -0.440%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -15.73%E -6.05%K -9.83%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-21 20:05 |
| FanDuel | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -2.00%E -1.38%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -10.86%E -3.95%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-21 20:04 |
| Caesars | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -2.00%E -1.38%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -14.11%E -5.32%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-21 19:59 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -5.38%E -3.84%K -13.44%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -1.14%E -0.374%K -0.557%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-21 20:04 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.38%E -3.84%K -13.44%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.38%E -1.49%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-21 20:04 |
| Casumo | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.38%E -3.84%K -13.44%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.38%E -1.49%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-21 20:04 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.38%E -3.84%K -13.44%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.38%E -1.49%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-21 20:04 |
| Unibet | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.38%E -3.84%K -13.44%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.38%E -1.49%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-21 20:04 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.38%E -3.84%K -13.44%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.38%E -1.49%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-21 20:04 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.38%E -3.84%K -13.44%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.38%E -1.49%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-21 20:04 |
| betPARX | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.38%E -3.84%K -13.44%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.38%E -1.49%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-21 20:04 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.38%E -3.84%K -13.44%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.38%E -1.49%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-21 20:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -5.38%E -3.84%K -13.44%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -10.86%E -3.95%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-21 20:04 |
| Betway | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -6.73%E -4.88%K -17.71%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -2.76%E -0.921%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-21 20:04 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.61%EV -6.73%E -4.88%K -17.71%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.39%EV -6.65%E -2.31%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-21 20:04 |
| Grosvenor | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.61%EV -6.73%E -4.88%K -17.71%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.39%EV -6.65%E -2.31%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-21 20:04 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.61%EV -6.73%E -4.88%K -17.71%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.39%EV -6.65%E -2.31%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-21 20:04 |
| DraftKings | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.07%EV -7.41%E -5.41%K -20.01%G +0.000% | 3.06I 32.68%NM 30.93%EV -0.817%E -0.267%K -0.397%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-21 20:04 |
| NordicBet | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.00%EV -7.41%E -5.41%K -20.01%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.00%EV -1.14%E -0.374%K -0.557%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-21 20:05 |
| Betsson | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.29%EV -7.41%E -5.41%K -20.01%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -4.38%E -1.49%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-21 20:04 |
| 888sport | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -8.08%E -5.94%K -22.45%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -2.76%E -0.921%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-21 20:04 |
| BoyleSports | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -8.08%E -5.94%K -22.45%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -2.76%E -0.921%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-21 20:04 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -8.08%E -5.94%K -22.45%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -2.76%E -0.921%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-21 20:04 |
| theScore Bet | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -8.08%E -5.94%K -22.45%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -2.76%E -0.921%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-21 20:04 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -8.08%E -5.94%K -22.45%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -2.76%E -0.921%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-21 20:04 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -8.08%E -5.94%K -22.45%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -2.76%E -0.921%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-21 20:04 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.70%EV -8.08%E -5.94%K -22.45%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.30%EV -7.62%E -2.67%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-21 20:04 |
| LeoVegas | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.70%EV -8.08%E -5.94%K -22.45%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.30%EV -7.62%E -2.67%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-21 20:04 |
| Fanatics | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.70%EV -8.08%E -5.94%K -22.45%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.30%EV -7.62%E -2.67%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-21 20:04 |
| TAB | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -9.43%E -7.04%K -27.74%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV +0.480%E +0.155%K +0.228%G +0.001% | 6.9% | 2026-03-21 20:05 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.48%EV -9.43%E -7.04%K -27.74%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52%EV -1.14%E -0.374%K -0.557%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-21 20:05 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.34I 74.63%NM 68.76%EV -9.43%E -7.04%K -27.74%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.24%EV -4.38%E -1.49%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-21 20:05 |
| Coral | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -10.11%E -7.60%K -30.63%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV +3.72%E +1.16%K +1.69%G +0.063% | 6.4% | 2026-03-21 20:05 |
| Paddy Power | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -10.11%E -7.60%K -30.63%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -2.76%E -0.921%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-21 20:05 |
| Fliff | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -10.11%E -7.60%K -30.63%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -2.76%E -0.921%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-21 20:05 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (7)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.41I 70.92%NM 70.69% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.31% | 0.3% | 2026-03-21 20:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.11% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.89% | 1.4% | 2026-03-21 20:04 |
| Smarkets | 1.38I 72.46%NM 71.43% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.57% | 1.4% | 2026-03-21 20:05 |
| Matchbook | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.03% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.97% | 4.3% | 2026-03-21 20:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80% | 4.7% | 2026-03-21 20:04 |
| Novig | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.18% | 3.26I 30.67%NM 28.82% | 6.4% | 2026-03-21 20:05 |
| ProphetX | 1.31I 76.34%NM 69.61% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39% | 9.7% | 2026-03-21 20:05 |