The School of Odds

Aleksandar Vukic v Rafael Jodar

Matchstart: 2026-03-21 16:00 UTC

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

48 spelbolag (16 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: IQM

Aleksandar Vukic (Hemma)

Prognos 22.45%4.46rättvist odds
EV +17.84%
Fördel +3.40%
Kelly +4.20%
Tillväxt +0.749%

med antagandet om högsta odds 5.25

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
18.10%22.04%22.35%26.23%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX
Oddsfördelning
3.604.324.255.2527.78%23.17%23.50%19.05%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX

Rafael Jodar (Borta)

Prognos 77.55%1.29rättvist odds
EV -0.731%
Fördel -0.571%
Kelly -2.61%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.28

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
73.77%77.96%77.65%81.90%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX
Oddsfördelning
1.141.211.211.2887.72%82.76%82.64%78.13%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX

Spelbolagsodds (48 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemma ▼BortaMarginalUppdaterat
Unibet (UK)5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV +17.84%E +3.40%K +4.20%G +0.749%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -10.04%E -8.65%K -62.73%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 15:20
Betsson5.20I 19.23%NM 18.11%EV +16.72%E +3.22%K +3.98%G +0.666%1.15I 86.96%NM 81.89%EV -10.81%E -9.40%K -72.09%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-21 15:20
Unibet (NL)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV +12.23%E +2.45%K +3.06%G +0.374%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -9.26%E -7.92%K -54.48%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-21 15:20
Unibet (SE)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV +12.23%E +2.45%K +3.06%G +0.374%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -9.26%E -7.92%K -54.48%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-21 15:20
betPARX5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV +12.23%E +2.45%K +3.06%G +0.374%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -9.26%E -7.92%K -54.48%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-21 15:20
Svenska Spel5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV +12.23%E +2.45%K +3.06%G +0.374%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -9.26%E -7.92%K -54.48%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-21 15:20
BetRivers4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV +7.74%E +1.61%K +2.04%G +0.158%1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -9.26%E -7.92%K -54.48%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-21 15:20
Virgin Bet4.75I 21.05%NM 19.63%EV +6.62%E +1.39%K +1.77%G +0.117%1.16I 86.21%NM 80.37%EV -10.04%E -8.65%K -62.73%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-21 15:20
Grosvenor4.75I 21.05%NM 19.63%EV +6.62%E +1.39%K +1.77%G +0.117%1.16I 86.21%NM 80.37%EV -10.04%E -8.65%K -62.73%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-21 15:20
LeoVegas (SE)4.70I 21.28%NM 19.52%EV +5.50%E +1.17%K +1.49%G +0.082%1.14I 87.72%NM 80.48%EV -11.59%E -10.17%K -82.78%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-21 15:20
Hard Rock Bet4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV +1.01%E +0.224%K +0.288%G +0.003%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -6.16%E -5.09%K -29.33%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-21 15:19
NordicBet4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV +1.01%E +0.224%K +0.288%G +0.003%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.94%E -5.78%K -34.68%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-21 15:19
Winamax (DE)4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV +1.01%E +0.224%K +0.288%G +0.003%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -9.26%E -7.92%K -54.48%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-21 15:19
FanDuel4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -1.24%E -0.281%K -0.364%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -6.16%E -5.09%K -29.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-21 15:19
Unibet4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -1.24%E -0.281%K -0.364%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -6.16%E -5.09%K -29.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-21 15:19
Casumo4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -1.24%E -0.281%K -0.364%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -6.16%E -5.09%K -29.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-21 15:19
ATG (SE)4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -1.24%E -0.281%K -0.364%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -6.16%E -5.09%K -29.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-21 15:19
TAB4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -1.24%E -0.281%K -0.364%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -8.49%E -7.19%K -47.15%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-21 15:19
SportsBet4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -2.36%E -0.542%K -0.704%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -5.38%E -4.41%K -24.47%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-21 15:09
Pinnacle4.33I 23.09%NM 22.40%EV -2.81%E -0.649%K -0.843%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 77.60%EV -3.06%E -2.45%K -12.23%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-21 15:17
PointsBet (AU)4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -3.48%E -0.810%K -1.06%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -6.94%E -5.78%K -34.68%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-21 15:19
Winamax (FR)4.30I 23.26%NM 21.68%EV -3.48%E -0.810%K -1.06%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 78.32%EV -7.71%E -6.48%K -40.58%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-21 15:19
Fliff4.30I 23.26%NM 21.39%EV -3.48%E -0.810%K -1.06%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 78.61%EV -9.26%E -7.92%K -54.48%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-21 15:20
DraftKings4.26I 23.47%NM 22.40%EV -4.38%E -1.03%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.60%EV -4.61%E -3.75%K -20.04%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-21 15:19
Bet Right4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%EV -4.60%E -1.08%K -1.42%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.55%EV -4.61%E -3.75%K -20.04%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-21 15:05
Betway4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -4.60%E -1.08%K -1.42%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -5.38%E -4.41%K -24.47%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-21 15:19
Ladbrokes (UK)4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -5.73%E -1.36%K -1.79%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -6.94%E -5.78%K -34.68%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-21 15:19
BoyleSports4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -5.73%E -1.36%K -1.79%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -6.94%E -5.78%K -34.68%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-21 15:19
LeoVegas4.20I 23.81%NM 22.08%EV -5.73%E -1.36%K -1.79%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 77.92%EV -7.71%E -6.48%K -40.58%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-21 15:19
Betr (AU)4.15I 24.10%NM 22.72%EV -6.85%E -1.65%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.28%EV -5.38%E -4.41%K -24.47%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-21 15:06
Unibet (FR)4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -7.97%E -1.94%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -3.83%E -3.09%K -15.97%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-21 15:07
LiveScore Bet4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -7.97%E -1.94%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -5.38%E -4.41%K -24.47%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-21 15:19
GTbets4.09I 24.45%NM 23.26%EV -8.20%E -2.00%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.74%EV -3.83%E -3.09%K -15.97%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-21 15:05
LowVig.ag4.06I 24.63%NM 23.68%EV -8.87%E -2.18%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 76.32%EV -2.28%E -1.81%K -8.78%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-21 15:09
BetOnline.ag4.06I 24.63%NM 23.68%EV -8.87%E -2.18%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 76.32%EV -2.28%E -1.81%K -8.78%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-21 15:09
Bovada4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -10.22%E -2.55%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.06%E -2.45%K -12.23%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-21 15:17
888sport4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -10.22%E -2.55%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.38%E -4.41%K -24.47%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-21 15:19
Caesars4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -10.22%E -2.55%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.38%E -4.41%K -24.47%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-21 15:17
theScore Bet4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -10.22%E -2.55%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.38%E -4.41%K -24.47%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-21 15:19
Mr Green (SE)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -10.22%E -2.55%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.38%E -4.41%K -24.47%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-21 15:19
888sport (SE)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -10.22%E -2.55%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.38%E -4.41%K -24.47%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-21 15:19
Paddy Power4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -10.22%E -2.55%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -6.94%E -5.78%K -34.68%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-21 15:18
TABtouch3.90I 25.64%NM 24.12%EV -12.46%E -3.19%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 75.88%EV -3.83%E -3.09%K -15.97%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-21 15:20
Fanatics3.90I 25.64%NM 23.68%EV -12.46%E -3.19%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 76.32%EV -6.16%E -5.09%K -29.33%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-21 15:19
Bally Bet3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -13.58%E -3.53%K -4.77%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -2.28%E -1.81%K -8.78%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 15:08
Bet Victor3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -15.83%E -4.22%K -5.76%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -3.06%E -2.45%K -12.23%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-21 15:19
Coral3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -16.95%E -4.58%K -6.28%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -3.06%E -2.45%K -12.23%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-21 15:20
PlayUp3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -19.19%E -5.33%K -7.38%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -0.731%E -0.571%K -2.61%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-21 15:09
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (7)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.80I 20.83%NM 20.66%1.25I 80.00%NM 79.34%0.8%2026-03-21 15:20
Matchbook6.20I 16.13%NM 15.88%1.17I 85.47%NM 84.12%1.6%2026-03-21 15:20
Smarkets4.80I 20.83%NM 20.40%1.23I 81.30%NM 79.60%2.1%2026-03-21 15:19
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.50I 22.22%NM 21.74%1.25I 80.00%NM 78.26%2.2%2026-03-21 15:19
ProphetX5.25I 19.05%NM 18.60%1.20I 83.33%NM 81.40%2.4%2026-03-21 15:19
Novig5.15I 19.42%NM 18.90%1.20I 83.33%NM 81.10%2.8%2026-03-21 15:19
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.20I 23.81%NM 23.08%1.26I 79.37%NM 76.92%3.2%2026-03-21 15:19