L’École des cotesLangue:Français
Aleksandar Vukic v Rafael Jodar
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Aleksandar Vukic (Local)
Prévision 22.45%4.46cote équitable
EV +17.84%
Avantage +3.40%
Kelly +4.20%
Croissance +0.749%
avec la cote maximale 5.25
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
18.10%22.04%22.35%26.23%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.604.324.255.2527.78%23.17%23.50%19.05%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Rafael Jodar (Visiteur)
Prévision 77.55%1.29cote équitable
EV -0.731%
Avantage -0.571%
Kelly -2.61%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.28
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
73.77%77.96%77.65%81.90%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.141.211.211.2887.72%82.76%82.64%78.13%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (48 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (UK) | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV +17.84%E +3.40%K +4.20%G +0.749% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -10.04%E -8.65%K -62.73%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-21 15:20 |
| Betsson | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.11%EV +16.72%E +3.22%K +3.98%G +0.666% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.89%EV -10.81%E -9.40%K -72.09%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-21 15:20 |
| Unibet (NL) | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV +12.23%E +2.45%K +3.06%G +0.374% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -9.26%E -7.92%K -54.48%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-21 15:20 |
| Unibet (SE) | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV +12.23%E +2.45%K +3.06%G +0.374% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -9.26%E -7.92%K -54.48%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-21 15:20 |
| betPARX | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV +12.23%E +2.45%K +3.06%G +0.374% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -9.26%E -7.92%K -54.48%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-21 15:20 |
| Svenska Spel | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV +12.23%E +2.45%K +3.06%G +0.374% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -9.26%E -7.92%K -54.48%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-21 15:20 |
| BetRivers | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV +7.74%E +1.61%K +2.04%G +0.158% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -9.26%E -7.92%K -54.48%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-21 15:20 |
| Virgin Bet | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.63%EV +6.62%E +1.39%K +1.77%G +0.117% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.37%EV -10.04%E -8.65%K -62.73%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-21 15:20 |
| Grosvenor | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.63%EV +6.62%E +1.39%K +1.77%G +0.117% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.37%EV -10.04%E -8.65%K -62.73%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-21 15:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.52%EV +5.50%E +1.17%K +1.49%G +0.082% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 80.48%EV -11.59%E -10.17%K -82.78%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-21 15:20 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV +1.01%E +0.224%K +0.288%G +0.003% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -6.16%E -5.09%K -29.33%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-21 15:19 |
| NordicBet | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV +1.01%E +0.224%K +0.288%G +0.003% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.94%E -5.78%K -34.68%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-21 15:19 |
| Winamax (DE) | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV +1.01%E +0.224%K +0.288%G +0.003% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -9.26%E -7.92%K -54.48%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-21 15:19 |
| FanDuel | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -1.24%E -0.281%K -0.364%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -6.16%E -5.09%K -29.33%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-21 15:19 |
| Unibet | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -1.24%E -0.281%K -0.364%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -6.16%E -5.09%K -29.33%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-21 15:19 |
| Casumo | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -1.24%E -0.281%K -0.364%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -6.16%E -5.09%K -29.33%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-21 15:19 |
| ATG (SE) | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -1.24%E -0.281%K -0.364%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -6.16%E -5.09%K -29.33%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-21 15:19 |
| TAB | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -1.24%E -0.281%K -0.364%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -8.49%E -7.19%K -47.15%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-21 15:19 |
| SportsBet | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -2.36%E -0.542%K -0.704%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -5.38%E -4.41%K -24.47%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-21 15:09 |
| Pinnacle | 4.33I 23.09%NM 22.40%EV -2.81%E -0.649%K -0.843%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 77.60%EV -3.06%E -2.45%K -12.23%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-03-21 15:17 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -3.48%E -0.810%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -6.94%E -5.78%K -34.68%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-21 15:19 |
| Winamax (FR) | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.68%EV -3.48%E -0.810%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 78.32%EV -7.71%E -6.48%K -40.58%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-21 15:19 |
| Fliff | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.39%EV -3.48%E -0.810%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 78.61%EV -9.26%E -7.92%K -54.48%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-21 15:20 |
| DraftKings | 4.26I 23.47%NM 22.40%EV -4.38%E -1.03%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.60%EV -4.61%E -3.75%K -20.04%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-21 15:19 |
| Bet Right | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%EV -4.60%E -1.08%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.55%EV -4.61%E -3.75%K -20.04%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-21 15:05 |
| Betway | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -4.60%E -1.08%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -5.38%E -4.41%K -24.47%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-21 15:19 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -5.73%E -1.36%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -6.94%E -5.78%K -34.68%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-21 15:19 |
| BoyleSports | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -5.73%E -1.36%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -6.94%E -5.78%K -34.68%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-21 15:19 |
| LeoVegas | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.08%EV -5.73%E -1.36%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 77.92%EV -7.71%E -6.48%K -40.58%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-21 15:19 |
| Betr (AU) | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.72%EV -6.85%E -1.65%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.28%EV -5.38%E -4.41%K -24.47%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-21 15:06 |
| Unibet (FR) | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -7.97%E -1.94%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -3.83%E -3.09%K -15.97%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-21 15:07 |
| LiveScore Bet | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -7.97%E -1.94%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -5.38%E -4.41%K -24.47%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-21 15:19 |
| GTbets | 4.09I 24.45%NM 23.26%EV -8.20%E -2.00%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.74%EV -3.83%E -3.09%K -15.97%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-21 15:05 |
| LowVig.ag | 4.06I 24.63%NM 23.68%EV -8.87%E -2.18%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.32%EV -2.28%E -1.81%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-21 15:09 |
| BetOnline.ag | 4.06I 24.63%NM 23.68%EV -8.87%E -2.18%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.32%EV -2.28%E -1.81%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-21 15:09 |
| Bovada | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -10.22%E -2.55%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.06%E -2.45%K -12.23%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-21 15:17 |
| 888sport | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -10.22%E -2.55%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.38%E -4.41%K -24.47%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-21 15:19 |
| Caesars | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -10.22%E -2.55%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.38%E -4.41%K -24.47%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-21 15:17 |
| theScore Bet | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -10.22%E -2.55%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.38%E -4.41%K -24.47%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-21 15:19 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -10.22%E -2.55%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.38%E -4.41%K -24.47%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-21 15:19 |
| 888sport (SE) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -10.22%E -2.55%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.38%E -4.41%K -24.47%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-21 15:19 |
| Paddy Power | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -10.22%E -2.55%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -6.94%E -5.78%K -34.68%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-21 15:18 |
| TABtouch | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.12%EV -12.46%E -3.19%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.88%EV -3.83%E -3.09%K -15.97%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-21 15:20 |
| Fanatics | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.68%EV -12.46%E -3.19%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 76.32%EV -6.16%E -5.09%K -29.33%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-21 15:19 |
| Bally Bet | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -13.58%E -3.53%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -2.28%E -1.81%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-21 15:08 |
| Bet Victor | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -15.83%E -4.22%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -3.06%E -2.45%K -12.23%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-21 15:19 |
| Coral | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -16.95%E -4.58%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -3.06%E -2.45%K -12.23%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-21 15:20 |
| PlayUp | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -19.19%E -5.33%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -0.731%E -0.571%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-21 15:09 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (7)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.66% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 79.34% | 0.8% | 2026-03-21 15:20 |
| Matchbook | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.88% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 84.12% | 1.6% | 2026-03-21 15:20 |
| Smarkets | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.40% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 79.60% | 2.1% | 2026-03-21 15:19 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.74% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 78.26% | 2.2% | 2026-03-21 15:19 |
| ProphetX | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.60% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 81.40% | 2.4% | 2026-03-21 15:19 |
| Novig | 5.15I 19.42%NM 18.90% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 81.10% | 2.8% | 2026-03-21 15:19 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.08% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.92% | 3.2% | 2026-03-21 15:19 |