Die Wettquotenschule

Aleksandar Vukic v Rafael Jodar

Spielbeginn: 2026-03-21 16:00 UTC

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

48 Wettanbieter (16 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: IQM

Aleksandar Vukic (Heim)

Prognose 22.45%4.46faire Quote
EV +17.84%
Vorteil +3.40%
Kelly +4.20%
Wachstum +0.749%

bei einer Höchstquote von 5.25

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
18.10%22.04%22.35%26.23%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
3.604.324.255.2527.78%23.17%23.50%19.05%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Rafael Jodar (Auswärts)

Prognose 77.55%1.29faire Quote
EV -0.731%
Vorteil -0.571%
Kelly -2.61%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.28

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
73.77%77.96%77.65%81.90%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
1.141.211.211.2887.72%82.76%82.64%78.13%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Wettanbieterquoten (48 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeim ▼AuswärtsMargeAktualisiert
Unibet (UK)5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV +17.84%E +3.40%K +4.20%G +0.749%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -10.04%E -8.65%K -62.73%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 15:20
Betsson5.20I 19.23%NM 18.11%EV +16.72%E +3.22%K +3.98%G +0.666%1.15I 86.96%NM 81.89%EV -10.81%E -9.40%K -72.09%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-21 15:20
Unibet (NL)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV +12.23%E +2.45%K +3.06%G +0.374%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -9.26%E -7.92%K -54.48%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-21 15:20
Unibet (SE)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV +12.23%E +2.45%K +3.06%G +0.374%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -9.26%E -7.92%K -54.48%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-21 15:20
betPARX5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV +12.23%E +2.45%K +3.06%G +0.374%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -9.26%E -7.92%K -54.48%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-21 15:20
Svenska Spel5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV +12.23%E +2.45%K +3.06%G +0.374%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -9.26%E -7.92%K -54.48%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-21 15:20
BetRivers4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV +7.74%E +1.61%K +2.04%G +0.158%1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -9.26%E -7.92%K -54.48%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-21 15:20
Virgin Bet4.75I 21.05%NM 19.63%EV +6.62%E +1.39%K +1.77%G +0.117%1.16I 86.21%NM 80.37%EV -10.04%E -8.65%K -62.73%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-21 15:20
Grosvenor4.75I 21.05%NM 19.63%EV +6.62%E +1.39%K +1.77%G +0.117%1.16I 86.21%NM 80.37%EV -10.04%E -8.65%K -62.73%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-21 15:20
LeoVegas (SE)4.70I 21.28%NM 19.52%EV +5.50%E +1.17%K +1.49%G +0.082%1.14I 87.72%NM 80.48%EV -11.59%E -10.17%K -82.78%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-21 15:20
Hard Rock Bet4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV +1.01%E +0.224%K +0.288%G +0.003%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -6.16%E -5.09%K -29.33%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-21 15:19
NordicBet4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV +1.01%E +0.224%K +0.288%G +0.003%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.94%E -5.78%K -34.68%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-21 15:19
Winamax (DE)4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV +1.01%E +0.224%K +0.288%G +0.003%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -9.26%E -7.92%K -54.48%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-21 15:19
FanDuel4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -1.24%E -0.281%K -0.364%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -6.16%E -5.09%K -29.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-21 15:19
Unibet4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -1.24%E -0.281%K -0.364%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -6.16%E -5.09%K -29.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-21 15:19
Casumo4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -1.24%E -0.281%K -0.364%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -6.16%E -5.09%K -29.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-21 15:19
ATG (SE)4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -1.24%E -0.281%K -0.364%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -6.16%E -5.09%K -29.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-21 15:19
TAB4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -1.24%E -0.281%K -0.364%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -8.49%E -7.19%K -47.15%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-21 15:19
SportsBet4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -2.36%E -0.542%K -0.704%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -5.38%E -4.41%K -24.47%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-21 15:09
Pinnacle4.33I 23.09%NM 22.40%EV -2.81%E -0.649%K -0.843%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 77.60%EV -3.06%E -2.45%K -12.23%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-21 15:17
PointsBet (AU)4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -3.48%E -0.810%K -1.06%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -6.94%E -5.78%K -34.68%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-21 15:19
Winamax (FR)4.30I 23.26%NM 21.68%EV -3.48%E -0.810%K -1.06%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 78.32%EV -7.71%E -6.48%K -40.58%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-21 15:19
Fliff4.30I 23.26%NM 21.39%EV -3.48%E -0.810%K -1.06%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 78.61%EV -9.26%E -7.92%K -54.48%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-21 15:20
DraftKings4.26I 23.47%NM 22.40%EV -4.38%E -1.03%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.60%EV -4.61%E -3.75%K -20.04%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-21 15:19
Bet Right4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%EV -4.60%E -1.08%K -1.42%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.55%EV -4.61%E -3.75%K -20.04%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-21 15:05
Betway4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -4.60%E -1.08%K -1.42%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -5.38%E -4.41%K -24.47%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-21 15:19
Ladbrokes (UK)4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -5.73%E -1.36%K -1.79%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -6.94%E -5.78%K -34.68%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-21 15:19
BoyleSports4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -5.73%E -1.36%K -1.79%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -6.94%E -5.78%K -34.68%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-21 15:19
LeoVegas4.20I 23.81%NM 22.08%EV -5.73%E -1.36%K -1.79%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 77.92%EV -7.71%E -6.48%K -40.58%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-21 15:19
Betr (AU)4.15I 24.10%NM 22.72%EV -6.85%E -1.65%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.28%EV -5.38%E -4.41%K -24.47%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-21 15:06
Unibet (FR)4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -7.97%E -1.94%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -3.83%E -3.09%K -15.97%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-21 15:07
LiveScore Bet4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -7.97%E -1.94%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -5.38%E -4.41%K -24.47%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-21 15:19
GTbets4.09I 24.45%NM 23.26%EV -8.20%E -2.00%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.74%EV -3.83%E -3.09%K -15.97%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-21 15:05
LowVig.ag4.06I 24.63%NM 23.68%EV -8.87%E -2.18%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 76.32%EV -2.28%E -1.81%K -8.78%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-21 15:09
BetOnline.ag4.06I 24.63%NM 23.68%EV -8.87%E -2.18%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 76.32%EV -2.28%E -1.81%K -8.78%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-21 15:09
Bovada4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -10.22%E -2.55%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.06%E -2.45%K -12.23%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-21 15:17
888sport4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -10.22%E -2.55%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.38%E -4.41%K -24.47%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-21 15:19
Caesars4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -10.22%E -2.55%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.38%E -4.41%K -24.47%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-21 15:17
theScore Bet4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -10.22%E -2.55%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.38%E -4.41%K -24.47%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-21 15:19
Mr Green (SE)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -10.22%E -2.55%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.38%E -4.41%K -24.47%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-21 15:19
888sport (SE)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -10.22%E -2.55%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.38%E -4.41%K -24.47%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-21 15:19
Paddy Power4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -10.22%E -2.55%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -6.94%E -5.78%K -34.68%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-21 15:18
TABtouch3.90I 25.64%NM 24.12%EV -12.46%E -3.19%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 75.88%EV -3.83%E -3.09%K -15.97%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-21 15:20
Fanatics3.90I 25.64%NM 23.68%EV -12.46%E -3.19%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 76.32%EV -6.16%E -5.09%K -29.33%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-21 15:19
Bally Bet3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -13.58%E -3.53%K -4.77%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -2.28%E -1.81%K -8.78%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 15:08
Bet Victor3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -15.83%E -4.22%K -5.76%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -3.06%E -2.45%K -12.23%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-21 15:19
Coral3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -16.95%E -4.58%K -6.28%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -3.06%E -2.45%K -12.23%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-21 15:20
PlayUp3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -19.19%E -5.33%K -7.38%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -0.731%E -0.571%K -2.61%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-21 15:09
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (7)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.80I 20.83%NM 20.66%1.25I 80.00%NM 79.34%0.8%2026-03-21 15:20
Matchbook6.20I 16.13%NM 15.88%1.17I 85.47%NM 84.12%1.6%2026-03-21 15:20
Smarkets4.80I 20.83%NM 20.40%1.23I 81.30%NM 79.60%2.1%2026-03-21 15:19
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.50I 22.22%NM 21.74%1.25I 80.00%NM 78.26%2.2%2026-03-21 15:19
ProphetX5.25I 19.05%NM 18.60%1.20I 83.33%NM 81.40%2.4%2026-03-21 15:19
Novig5.15I 19.42%NM 18.90%1.20I 83.33%NM 81.10%2.8%2026-03-21 15:19
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.20I 23.81%NM 23.08%1.26I 79.37%NM 76.92%3.2%2026-03-21 15:19