La scuola delle quoteLingua:Italiano
Aleksandar Vukic v Rafael Jodar
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
Testa a testa
Aleksandar Vukic (Casa)
Previsione 22.45%4.46quota equa
EV +17.84%
Vantaggio +3.40%
Kelly +4.20%
Crescita +0.749%
ipotizzando la quota massima 5.25
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
18.10%22.04%22.35%26.23%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.604.324.255.2527.78%23.17%23.50%19.05%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Rafael Jodar (Trasferta)
Previsione 77.55%1.29quota equa
EV -0.731%
Vantaggio -0.571%
Kelly -2.61%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.28
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
73.77%77.96%77.65%81.90%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.141.211.211.2887.72%82.76%82.64%78.13%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Quote dei bookmaker (48 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa ▼ | Trasferta | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (UK) | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV +17.84%E +3.40%K +4.20%G +0.749% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -10.04%E -8.65%K -62.73%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-21 15:20 |
| Betsson | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.11%EV +16.72%E +3.22%K +3.98%G +0.666% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.89%EV -10.81%E -9.40%K -72.09%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-21 15:20 |
| Unibet (NL) | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV +12.23%E +2.45%K +3.06%G +0.374% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -9.26%E -7.92%K -54.48%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-21 15:20 |
| Unibet (SE) | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV +12.23%E +2.45%K +3.06%G +0.374% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -9.26%E -7.92%K -54.48%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-21 15:20 |
| betPARX | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV +12.23%E +2.45%K +3.06%G +0.374% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -9.26%E -7.92%K -54.48%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-21 15:20 |
| Svenska Spel | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV +12.23%E +2.45%K +3.06%G +0.374% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -9.26%E -7.92%K -54.48%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-21 15:20 |
| BetRivers | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV +7.74%E +1.61%K +2.04%G +0.158% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -9.26%E -7.92%K -54.48%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-21 15:20 |
| Virgin Bet | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.63%EV +6.62%E +1.39%K +1.77%G +0.117% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.37%EV -10.04%E -8.65%K -62.73%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-21 15:20 |
| Grosvenor | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.63%EV +6.62%E +1.39%K +1.77%G +0.117% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.37%EV -10.04%E -8.65%K -62.73%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-21 15:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.52%EV +5.50%E +1.17%K +1.49%G +0.082% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 80.48%EV -11.59%E -10.17%K -82.78%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-21 15:20 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV +1.01%E +0.224%K +0.288%G +0.003% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -6.16%E -5.09%K -29.33%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-21 15:19 |
| NordicBet | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV +1.01%E +0.224%K +0.288%G +0.003% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.94%E -5.78%K -34.68%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-21 15:19 |
| Winamax (DE) | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV +1.01%E +0.224%K +0.288%G +0.003% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -9.26%E -7.92%K -54.48%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-21 15:19 |
| FanDuel | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -1.24%E -0.281%K -0.364%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -6.16%E -5.09%K -29.33%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-21 15:19 |
| Unibet | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -1.24%E -0.281%K -0.364%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -6.16%E -5.09%K -29.33%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-21 15:19 |
| Casumo | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -1.24%E -0.281%K -0.364%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -6.16%E -5.09%K -29.33%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-21 15:19 |
| ATG (SE) | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -1.24%E -0.281%K -0.364%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -6.16%E -5.09%K -29.33%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-21 15:19 |
| TAB | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -1.24%E -0.281%K -0.364%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -8.49%E -7.19%K -47.15%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-21 15:19 |
| SportsBet | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -2.36%E -0.542%K -0.704%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -5.38%E -4.41%K -24.47%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-21 15:09 |
| Pinnacle | 4.33I 23.09%NM 22.40%EV -2.81%E -0.649%K -0.843%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 77.60%EV -3.06%E -2.45%K -12.23%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-03-21 15:17 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -3.48%E -0.810%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -6.94%E -5.78%K -34.68%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-21 15:19 |
| Winamax (FR) | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.68%EV -3.48%E -0.810%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 78.32%EV -7.71%E -6.48%K -40.58%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-21 15:19 |
| Fliff | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.39%EV -3.48%E -0.810%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 78.61%EV -9.26%E -7.92%K -54.48%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-21 15:20 |
| DraftKings | 4.26I 23.47%NM 22.40%EV -4.38%E -1.03%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.60%EV -4.61%E -3.75%K -20.04%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-21 15:19 |
| Bet Right | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%EV -4.60%E -1.08%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.55%EV -4.61%E -3.75%K -20.04%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-21 15:05 |
| Betway | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -4.60%E -1.08%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -5.38%E -4.41%K -24.47%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-21 15:19 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -5.73%E -1.36%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -6.94%E -5.78%K -34.68%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-21 15:19 |
| BoyleSports | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -5.73%E -1.36%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -6.94%E -5.78%K -34.68%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-21 15:19 |
| LeoVegas | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.08%EV -5.73%E -1.36%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 77.92%EV -7.71%E -6.48%K -40.58%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-21 15:19 |
| Betr (AU) | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.72%EV -6.85%E -1.65%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.28%EV -5.38%E -4.41%K -24.47%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-21 15:06 |
| Unibet (FR) | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -7.97%E -1.94%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -3.83%E -3.09%K -15.97%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-21 15:07 |
| LiveScore Bet | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -7.97%E -1.94%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -5.38%E -4.41%K -24.47%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-21 15:19 |
| GTbets | 4.09I 24.45%NM 23.26%EV -8.20%E -2.00%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.74%EV -3.83%E -3.09%K -15.97%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-21 15:05 |
| LowVig.ag | 4.06I 24.63%NM 23.68%EV -8.87%E -2.18%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.32%EV -2.28%E -1.81%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-21 15:09 |
| BetOnline.ag | 4.06I 24.63%NM 23.68%EV -8.87%E -2.18%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.32%EV -2.28%E -1.81%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-21 15:09 |
| Bovada | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -10.22%E -2.55%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.06%E -2.45%K -12.23%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-21 15:17 |
| 888sport | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -10.22%E -2.55%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.38%E -4.41%K -24.47%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-21 15:19 |
| Caesars | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -10.22%E -2.55%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.38%E -4.41%K -24.47%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-21 15:17 |
| theScore Bet | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -10.22%E -2.55%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.38%E -4.41%K -24.47%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-21 15:19 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -10.22%E -2.55%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.38%E -4.41%K -24.47%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-21 15:19 |
| 888sport (SE) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -10.22%E -2.55%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.38%E -4.41%K -24.47%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-21 15:19 |
| Paddy Power | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -10.22%E -2.55%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -6.94%E -5.78%K -34.68%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-21 15:18 |
| TABtouch | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.12%EV -12.46%E -3.19%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.88%EV -3.83%E -3.09%K -15.97%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-21 15:20 |
| Fanatics | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.68%EV -12.46%E -3.19%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 76.32%EV -6.16%E -5.09%K -29.33%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-21 15:19 |
| Bally Bet | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -13.58%E -3.53%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -2.28%E -1.81%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-21 15:08 |
| Bet Victor | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -15.83%E -4.22%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -3.06%E -2.45%K -12.23%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-21 15:19 |
| Coral | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -16.95%E -4.58%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -3.06%E -2.45%K -12.23%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-21 15:20 |
| PlayUp | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -19.19%E -5.33%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -0.731%E -0.571%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-21 15:09 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (7)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.66% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 79.34% | 0.8% | 2026-03-21 15:20 |
| Matchbook | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.88% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 84.12% | 1.6% | 2026-03-21 15:20 |
| Smarkets | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.40% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 79.60% | 2.1% | 2026-03-21 15:19 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.74% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 78.26% | 2.2% | 2026-03-21 15:19 |
| ProphetX | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.60% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 81.40% | 2.4% | 2026-03-21 15:19 |
| Novig | 5.15I 19.42%NM 18.90% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 81.10% | 2.8% | 2026-03-21 15:19 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.08% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.92% | 3.2% | 2026-03-21 15:19 |