La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Aleksandar Vukic v Rafael Jodar
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Aleksandar Vukic (Local)
Predicción 22.45%4.46momio equitativo
EV +17.84%
Ventaja +3.40%
Kelly +4.20%
Crecimiento +0.749%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.25
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
18.10%22.04%22.35%26.23%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.604.324.255.2527.78%23.17%23.50%19.05%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Rafael Jodar (Visitante)
Predicción 77.55%1.29momio equitativo
EV -0.731%
Ventaja -0.571%
Kelly -2.61%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.28
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
73.77%77.96%77.65%81.90%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.141.211.211.2887.72%82.76%82.64%78.13%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (48 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (UK) | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV +17.84%E +3.40%K +4.20%G +0.749% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -10.04%E -8.65%K -62.73%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-21 15:20 |
| Betsson | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.11%EV +16.72%E +3.22%K +3.98%G +0.666% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.89%EV -10.81%E -9.40%K -72.09%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-21 15:20 |
| Unibet (NL) | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV +12.23%E +2.45%K +3.06%G +0.374% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -9.26%E -7.92%K -54.48%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-21 15:20 |
| Unibet (SE) | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV +12.23%E +2.45%K +3.06%G +0.374% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -9.26%E -7.92%K -54.48%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-21 15:20 |
| betPARX | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV +12.23%E +2.45%K +3.06%G +0.374% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -9.26%E -7.92%K -54.48%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-21 15:20 |
| Svenska Spel | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV +12.23%E +2.45%K +3.06%G +0.374% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -9.26%E -7.92%K -54.48%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-21 15:20 |
| BetRivers | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV +7.74%E +1.61%K +2.04%G +0.158% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -9.26%E -7.92%K -54.48%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-21 15:20 |
| Virgin Bet | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.63%EV +6.62%E +1.39%K +1.77%G +0.117% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.37%EV -10.04%E -8.65%K -62.73%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-21 15:20 |
| Grosvenor | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.63%EV +6.62%E +1.39%K +1.77%G +0.117% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.37%EV -10.04%E -8.65%K -62.73%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-21 15:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.52%EV +5.50%E +1.17%K +1.49%G +0.082% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 80.48%EV -11.59%E -10.17%K -82.78%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-21 15:20 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV +1.01%E +0.224%K +0.288%G +0.003% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -6.16%E -5.09%K -29.33%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-21 15:19 |
| NordicBet | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV +1.01%E +0.224%K +0.288%G +0.003% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.94%E -5.78%K -34.68%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-21 15:19 |
| Winamax (DE) | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV +1.01%E +0.224%K +0.288%G +0.003% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -9.26%E -7.92%K -54.48%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-21 15:19 |
| FanDuel | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -1.24%E -0.281%K -0.364%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -6.16%E -5.09%K -29.33%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-21 15:19 |
| Unibet | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -1.24%E -0.281%K -0.364%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -6.16%E -5.09%K -29.33%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-21 15:19 |
| Casumo | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -1.24%E -0.281%K -0.364%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -6.16%E -5.09%K -29.33%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-21 15:19 |
| ATG (SE) | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -1.24%E -0.281%K -0.364%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -6.16%E -5.09%K -29.33%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-21 15:19 |
| TAB | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -1.24%E -0.281%K -0.364%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -8.49%E -7.19%K -47.15%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-21 15:19 |
| SportsBet | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -2.36%E -0.542%K -0.704%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -5.38%E -4.41%K -24.47%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-21 15:09 |
| Pinnacle | 4.33I 23.09%NM 22.40%EV -2.81%E -0.649%K -0.843%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 77.60%EV -3.06%E -2.45%K -12.23%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-03-21 15:17 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -3.48%E -0.810%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -6.94%E -5.78%K -34.68%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-21 15:19 |
| Winamax (FR) | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.68%EV -3.48%E -0.810%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 78.32%EV -7.71%E -6.48%K -40.58%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-21 15:19 |
| Fliff | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.39%EV -3.48%E -0.810%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 78.61%EV -9.26%E -7.92%K -54.48%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-21 15:20 |
| DraftKings | 4.26I 23.47%NM 22.40%EV -4.38%E -1.03%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.60%EV -4.61%E -3.75%K -20.04%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-21 15:19 |
| Bet Right | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%EV -4.60%E -1.08%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.55%EV -4.61%E -3.75%K -20.04%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-21 15:05 |
| Betway | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -4.60%E -1.08%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -5.38%E -4.41%K -24.47%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-21 15:19 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -5.73%E -1.36%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -6.94%E -5.78%K -34.68%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-21 15:19 |
| BoyleSports | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -5.73%E -1.36%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -6.94%E -5.78%K -34.68%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-21 15:19 |
| LeoVegas | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.08%EV -5.73%E -1.36%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 77.92%EV -7.71%E -6.48%K -40.58%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-21 15:19 |
| Betr (AU) | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.72%EV -6.85%E -1.65%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.28%EV -5.38%E -4.41%K -24.47%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-21 15:06 |
| Unibet (FR) | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -7.97%E -1.94%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -3.83%E -3.09%K -15.97%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-21 15:07 |
| LiveScore Bet | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -7.97%E -1.94%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -5.38%E -4.41%K -24.47%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-21 15:19 |
| GTbets | 4.09I 24.45%NM 23.26%EV -8.20%E -2.00%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.74%EV -3.83%E -3.09%K -15.97%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-21 15:05 |
| LowVig.ag | 4.06I 24.63%NM 23.68%EV -8.87%E -2.18%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.32%EV -2.28%E -1.81%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-21 15:09 |
| BetOnline.ag | 4.06I 24.63%NM 23.68%EV -8.87%E -2.18%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.32%EV -2.28%E -1.81%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-21 15:09 |
| Bovada | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -10.22%E -2.55%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.06%E -2.45%K -12.23%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-21 15:17 |
| 888sport | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -10.22%E -2.55%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.38%E -4.41%K -24.47%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-21 15:19 |
| Caesars | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -10.22%E -2.55%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.38%E -4.41%K -24.47%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-21 15:17 |
| theScore Bet | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -10.22%E -2.55%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.38%E -4.41%K -24.47%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-21 15:19 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -10.22%E -2.55%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.38%E -4.41%K -24.47%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-21 15:19 |
| 888sport (SE) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -10.22%E -2.55%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.38%E -4.41%K -24.47%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-21 15:19 |
| Paddy Power | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -10.22%E -2.55%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -6.94%E -5.78%K -34.68%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-21 15:18 |
| TABtouch | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.12%EV -12.46%E -3.19%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.88%EV -3.83%E -3.09%K -15.97%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-21 15:20 |
| Fanatics | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.68%EV -12.46%E -3.19%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 76.32%EV -6.16%E -5.09%K -29.33%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-21 15:19 |
| Bally Bet | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -13.58%E -3.53%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -2.28%E -1.81%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-21 15:08 |
| Bet Victor | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -15.83%E -4.22%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -3.06%E -2.45%K -12.23%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-21 15:19 |
| Coral | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -16.95%E -4.58%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -3.06%E -2.45%K -12.23%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-21 15:20 |
| PlayUp | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -19.19%E -5.33%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -0.731%E -0.571%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-21 15:09 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (7)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.66% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 79.34% | 0.8% | 2026-03-21 15:20 |
| Matchbook | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.88% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 84.12% | 1.6% | 2026-03-21 15:20 |
| Smarkets | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.40% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 79.60% | 2.1% | 2026-03-21 15:19 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.74% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 78.26% | 2.2% | 2026-03-21 15:19 |
| ProphetX | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.60% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 81.40% | 2.4% | 2026-03-21 15:19 |
| Novig | 5.15I 19.42%NM 18.90% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 81.10% | 2.8% | 2026-03-21 15:19 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.08% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.92% | 3.2% | 2026-03-21 15:19 |