Szkoła Kursów

Aleksandar Vukic v Rafael Jodar

Początek: 2026-03-21 16:00 UTC

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

48 bukmacherów (16 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: IQM

Aleksandar Vukic (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 22.45%4.46kurs godziwy
EV +17.84%
Przewaga +3.40%
Kelly +4.20%
Wzrost +0.749%

przy maksymalnym kursie 5.25

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
18.10%22.04%22.35%26.23%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
3.604.324.255.2527.78%23.17%23.50%19.05%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Rafael Jodar (Goście)

Prognoza 77.55%1.29kurs godziwy
EV -0.731%
Przewaga -0.571%
Kelly -2.61%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 1.28

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
73.77%77.96%77.65%81.90%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.141.211.211.2887.72%82.76%82.64%78.13%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Kursy bukmacherskie (48 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarze ▼GościeMarżaAktualizacja
Unibet (UK)5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV +17.84%E +3.40%K +4.20%G +0.749%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -10.04%E -8.65%K -62.73%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 15:20
Betsson5.20I 19.23%NM 18.11%EV +16.72%E +3.22%K +3.98%G +0.666%1.15I 86.96%NM 81.89%EV -10.81%E -9.40%K -72.09%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-21 15:20
Unibet (NL)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV +12.23%E +2.45%K +3.06%G +0.374%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -9.26%E -7.92%K -54.48%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-21 15:20
Unibet (SE)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV +12.23%E +2.45%K +3.06%G +0.374%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -9.26%E -7.92%K -54.48%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-21 15:20
betPARX5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV +12.23%E +2.45%K +3.06%G +0.374%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -9.26%E -7.92%K -54.48%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-21 15:20
Svenska Spel5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV +12.23%E +2.45%K +3.06%G +0.374%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -9.26%E -7.92%K -54.48%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-21 15:20
BetRivers4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV +7.74%E +1.61%K +2.04%G +0.158%1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -9.26%E -7.92%K -54.48%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-21 15:20
Virgin Bet4.75I 21.05%NM 19.63%EV +6.62%E +1.39%K +1.77%G +0.117%1.16I 86.21%NM 80.37%EV -10.04%E -8.65%K -62.73%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-21 15:20
Grosvenor4.75I 21.05%NM 19.63%EV +6.62%E +1.39%K +1.77%G +0.117%1.16I 86.21%NM 80.37%EV -10.04%E -8.65%K -62.73%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-21 15:20
LeoVegas (SE)4.70I 21.28%NM 19.52%EV +5.50%E +1.17%K +1.49%G +0.082%1.14I 87.72%NM 80.48%EV -11.59%E -10.17%K -82.78%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-21 15:20
Hard Rock Bet4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV +1.01%E +0.224%K +0.288%G +0.003%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -6.16%E -5.09%K -29.33%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-21 15:19
NordicBet4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV +1.01%E +0.224%K +0.288%G +0.003%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.94%E -5.78%K -34.68%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-21 15:19
Winamax (DE)4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV +1.01%E +0.224%K +0.288%G +0.003%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -9.26%E -7.92%K -54.48%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-21 15:19
FanDuel4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -1.24%E -0.281%K -0.364%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -6.16%E -5.09%K -29.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-21 15:19
Unibet4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -1.24%E -0.281%K -0.364%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -6.16%E -5.09%K -29.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-21 15:19
Casumo4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -1.24%E -0.281%K -0.364%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -6.16%E -5.09%K -29.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-21 15:19
ATG (SE)4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -1.24%E -0.281%K -0.364%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -6.16%E -5.09%K -29.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-21 15:19
TAB4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -1.24%E -0.281%K -0.364%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -8.49%E -7.19%K -47.15%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-21 15:19
SportsBet4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -2.36%E -0.542%K -0.704%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -5.38%E -4.41%K -24.47%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-21 15:09
Pinnacle4.33I 23.09%NM 22.40%EV -2.81%E -0.649%K -0.843%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 77.60%EV -3.06%E -2.45%K -12.23%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-21 15:17
PointsBet (AU)4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -3.48%E -0.810%K -1.06%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -6.94%E -5.78%K -34.68%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-21 15:19
Winamax (FR)4.30I 23.26%NM 21.68%EV -3.48%E -0.810%K -1.06%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 78.32%EV -7.71%E -6.48%K -40.58%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-21 15:19
Fliff4.30I 23.26%NM 21.39%EV -3.48%E -0.810%K -1.06%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 78.61%EV -9.26%E -7.92%K -54.48%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-21 15:20
DraftKings4.26I 23.47%NM 22.40%EV -4.38%E -1.03%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.60%EV -4.61%E -3.75%K -20.04%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-21 15:19
Bet Right4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%EV -4.60%E -1.08%K -1.42%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.55%EV -4.61%E -3.75%K -20.04%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-21 15:05
Betway4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -4.60%E -1.08%K -1.42%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -5.38%E -4.41%K -24.47%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-21 15:19
Ladbrokes (UK)4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -5.73%E -1.36%K -1.79%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -6.94%E -5.78%K -34.68%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-21 15:19
BoyleSports4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -5.73%E -1.36%K -1.79%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -6.94%E -5.78%K -34.68%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-21 15:19
LeoVegas4.20I 23.81%NM 22.08%EV -5.73%E -1.36%K -1.79%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 77.92%EV -7.71%E -6.48%K -40.58%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-21 15:19
Betr (AU)4.15I 24.10%NM 22.72%EV -6.85%E -1.65%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.28%EV -5.38%E -4.41%K -24.47%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-21 15:06
Unibet (FR)4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -7.97%E -1.94%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -3.83%E -3.09%K -15.97%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-21 15:07
LiveScore Bet4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -7.97%E -1.94%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -5.38%E -4.41%K -24.47%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-21 15:19
GTbets4.09I 24.45%NM 23.26%EV -8.20%E -2.00%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.74%EV -3.83%E -3.09%K -15.97%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-21 15:05
LowVig.ag4.06I 24.63%NM 23.68%EV -8.87%E -2.18%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 76.32%EV -2.28%E -1.81%K -8.78%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-21 15:09
BetOnline.ag4.06I 24.63%NM 23.68%EV -8.87%E -2.18%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 76.32%EV -2.28%E -1.81%K -8.78%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-21 15:09
Bovada4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -10.22%E -2.55%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.06%E -2.45%K -12.23%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-21 15:17
888sport4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -10.22%E -2.55%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.38%E -4.41%K -24.47%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-21 15:19
Caesars4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -10.22%E -2.55%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.38%E -4.41%K -24.47%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-21 15:17
theScore Bet4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -10.22%E -2.55%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.38%E -4.41%K -24.47%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-21 15:19
Mr Green (SE)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -10.22%E -2.55%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.38%E -4.41%K -24.47%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-21 15:19
888sport (SE)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -10.22%E -2.55%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.38%E -4.41%K -24.47%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-21 15:19
Paddy Power4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -10.22%E -2.55%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -6.94%E -5.78%K -34.68%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-21 15:18
TABtouch3.90I 25.64%NM 24.12%EV -12.46%E -3.19%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 75.88%EV -3.83%E -3.09%K -15.97%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-21 15:20
Fanatics3.90I 25.64%NM 23.68%EV -12.46%E -3.19%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 76.32%EV -6.16%E -5.09%K -29.33%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-21 15:19
Bally Bet3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -13.58%E -3.53%K -4.77%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -2.28%E -1.81%K -8.78%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 15:08
Bet Victor3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -15.83%E -4.22%K -5.76%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -3.06%E -2.45%K -12.23%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-21 15:19
Coral3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -16.95%E -4.58%K -6.28%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -3.06%E -2.45%K -12.23%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-21 15:20
PlayUp3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -19.19%E -5.33%K -7.38%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -0.731%E -0.571%K -2.61%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-21 15:09
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (7)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeMarża ▲Aktualizacja
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.80I 20.83%NM 20.66%1.25I 80.00%NM 79.34%0.8%2026-03-21 15:20
Matchbook6.20I 16.13%NM 15.88%1.17I 85.47%NM 84.12%1.6%2026-03-21 15:20
Smarkets4.80I 20.83%NM 20.40%1.23I 81.30%NM 79.60%2.1%2026-03-21 15:19
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.50I 22.22%NM 21.74%1.25I 80.00%NM 78.26%2.2%2026-03-21 15:19
ProphetX5.25I 19.05%NM 18.60%1.20I 83.33%NM 81.40%2.4%2026-03-21 15:19
Novig5.15I 19.42%NM 18.90%1.20I 83.33%NM 81.10%2.8%2026-03-21 15:19
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.20I 23.81%NM 23.08%1.26I 79.37%NM 76.92%3.2%2026-03-21 15:19