A Escola das Odds

Alejandro Tabilo v Alex Michelsen

Início: 2026-03-23 20:00 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

56 casas de apostas (17 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Alejandro Tabilo (Local)

Previsão 39.65%2.52odd justa
EV -1.26%
Vantagem -0.508%
Kelly -0.849%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.49

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
38.37%39.64%39.70%41.10%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.252.392.402.4944.44%41.91%41.67%40.16%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Alex Michelsen (Visitante)

Previsão 60.35%1.66odd justa
EV -2.84%
Vantagem -1.76%
Kelly -4.66%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.61

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
58.90%60.36%60.30%61.63%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.531.571.571.6165.36%63.64%63.69%62.11%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (56 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
DraftKings2.49I 40.16%NM 38.37%EV -1.26%E -0.508%K -0.849%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.63%EV -6.46%E -4.17%K -11.75%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-23 19:55
BetOnline.ag2.47I 40.49%NM 39.16%EV -2.06%E -0.833%K -1.40%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.84%EV -4.05%E -2.55%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-23 18:40
LowVig.ag2.47I 40.49%NM 39.16%EV -2.06%E -0.833%K -1.40%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.84%EV -4.05%E -2.55%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-23 18:40
Winamax (DE)2.45I 40.82%NM 39.21%EV -2.85%E -1.16%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.79%EV -4.65%E -2.94%K -8.02%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-23 10:59
GTbets2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -2.85%E -1.16%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -6.46%E -4.17%K -11.75%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-22 11:35
1xBet2.43I 41.15%NM 39.85%EV -3.64%E -1.50%K -2.55%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.15%EV -2.84%E -1.76%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-23 18:44
FanDuel2.42I 41.32%NM 39.50%EV -4.04%E -1.67%K -2.85%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.50%EV -4.65%E -2.94%K -8.02%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-22 12:34
SportsBet2.41I 41.49%NM 39.45%EV -4.44%E -1.84%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.55%EV -5.25%E -3.35%K -9.22%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-22 15:15
Fanatics2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.83%E -2.01%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.05%E -2.55%K -6.86%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-22 15:14
Hard Rock Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.83%E -2.01%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.05%E -2.55%K -6.86%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-23 10:58
NordicBet2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.83%E -2.01%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.65%E -2.94%K -8.02%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-22 12:34
Betsson2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.83%E -2.01%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.65%E -2.94%K -8.02%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-22 12:35
Unibet (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.83%E -2.01%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.65%E -2.94%K -8.02%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-23 14:59
ReBet2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.83%E -2.01%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.65%E -2.94%K -8.02%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-23 19:05
Unibet (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.83%E -2.01%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.65%E -2.94%K -8.02%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-23 02:39
LiveScore Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.83%E -2.01%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.65%E -2.94%K -8.02%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-23 10:59
Unibet2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.83%E -2.01%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.65%E -2.94%K -8.02%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-23 10:59
Bet Right2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.83%E -2.01%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.25%E -3.35%K -9.22%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-23 18:39
Paddy Power2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.83%E -2.01%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.25%E -3.35%K -9.22%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-22 12:33
theScore Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.83%E -2.01%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.25%E -3.35%K -9.22%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-23 08:24
Casumo2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.83%E -2.01%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.25%E -3.35%K -9.22%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-23 11:00
Unibet (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.83%E -2.01%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.25%E -3.35%K -9.22%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-23 10:59
BetRivers2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.83%E -2.01%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.25%E -3.35%K -9.22%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-23 10:59
LeoVegas2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.83%E -2.01%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.25%E -3.35%K -9.22%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-23 10:59
Grosvenor2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.83%E -2.01%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.25%E -3.35%K -9.22%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-23 11:00
TABtouch2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.83%E -2.01%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.25%E -3.35%K -9.22%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-23 10:59
Unibet (NL)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.83%E -2.01%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.25%E -3.35%K -9.22%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-23 11:00
LeoVegas (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.83%E -2.01%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.25%E -3.35%K -9.22%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-23 11:00
Bally Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.83%E -2.01%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.25%E -3.35%K -9.22%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-23 10:59
betPARX2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.83%E -2.01%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.25%E -3.35%K -9.22%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-23 10:59
ATG (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.83%E -2.01%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.25%E -3.35%K -9.22%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-23 11:00
Svenska Spel2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.83%E -2.01%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.25%E -3.35%K -9.22%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-23 11:00
Winamax (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -4.83%E -2.01%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.86%E -3.76%K -10.46%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-23 10:59
Betway2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -4.83%E -2.01%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.46%E -4.17%K -11.75%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-23 18:39
Marathon Bet2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -5.63%E -2.36%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -4.65%E -2.94%K -8.02%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-23 18:39
888sport2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.63%E -2.36%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.25%E -3.35%K -9.22%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-22 11:34
William Hill2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.63%E -2.36%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.25%E -3.35%K -9.22%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-22 11:34
Mr Green (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.63%E -2.36%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.25%E -3.35%K -9.22%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-22 11:34
888sport (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.63%E -2.36%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.25%E -3.35%K -9.22%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-22 11:34
BoyleSports2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.63%E -2.36%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.25%E -3.35%K -9.22%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-23 11:00
PMU (FR)2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -5.63%E -2.36%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -7.67%E -5.01%K -14.47%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-23 08:23
NetBet (FR)2.37I 42.19%NM 39.54%EV -6.02%E -2.54%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.46%EV -6.46%E -4.17%K -11.75%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-23 18:40
Bovada2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -6.82%E -2.90%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -2.84%E -1.76%K -4.66%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-23 15:20
BetUS2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -6.82%E -2.90%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -2.84%E -1.76%K -4.66%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-23 15:20
PlayUp2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -6.82%E -2.90%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -4.65%E -2.94%K -8.02%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-23 17:00
PointsBet (AU)2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.82%E -2.90%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.25%E -3.35%K -9.22%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-22 12:35
Parions Sport (FR)2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.82%E -2.90%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.25%E -3.35%K -9.22%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-23 19:50
Betr (AU)2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.82%E -2.90%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.25%E -3.35%K -9.22%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-23 18:39
Fliff2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -6.82%E -2.90%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -5.86%E -3.76%K -10.46%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-23 18:45
Virgin Bet2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -6.82%E -2.90%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -6.46%E -4.17%K -11.75%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-23 10:59
TAB2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -6.82%E -2.90%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -6.46%E -4.17%K -11.75%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-23 18:39
Everygame2.35I 42.55%NM 39.43%EV -6.82%E -2.90%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.57%EV -7.67%E -5.01%K -14.47%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-23 18:40
Caesars2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -8.80%E -3.83%K -6.77%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -4.05%E -2.55%K -6.86%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-22 13:08
Bet Victor2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -8.80%E -3.83%K -6.77%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -7.67%E -5.01%K -14.47%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-23 16:58
Coral2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -10.78%E -4.79%K -8.63%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -5.25%E -3.35%K -9.22%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-22 12:35
Ladbrokes (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -10.78%E -4.79%K -8.63%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -5.25%E -3.35%K -9.22%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-22 12:35
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (7)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.56I 39.06%NM 38.90%1.63I 61.35%NM 61.10%0.4%2026-03-23 19:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.56I 39.06%NM 38.90%1.63I 61.35%NM 61.10%0.4%2026-03-23 19:55
Matchbook2.56I 39.06%NM 38.90%1.63I 61.35%NM 61.10%0.4%2026-03-23 19:55
ProphetX2.52I 39.68%NM 39.42%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.58%0.7%2026-03-23 19:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.56I 39.06%NM 38.76%1.62I 61.73%NM 61.24%0.8%2026-03-23 19:55
Novig2.50I 40.00%NM 39.47%1.63I 61.35%NM 60.53%1.3%2026-03-23 19:55
Smarkets2.52I 39.68%NM 39.13%1.62I 61.73%NM 60.87%1.4%2026-03-23 19:55