Idioma:Português
Alejandro Tabilo v Alex Michelsen
Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →
Frente a frente
Alejandro Tabilo (Local)
Previsão 39.65%2.52odd justa
EV -1.26%
Vantagem -0.508%
Kelly -0.849%
Crescimento +0.000%
pressupondo odds máximas de 2.49
Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
38.37%39.64%39.70%41.10%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.252.392.402.4944.44%41.91%41.67%40.16%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Alex Michelsen (Visitante)
Previsão 60.35%1.66odd justa
EV -2.84%
Vantagem -1.76%
Kelly -4.66%
Crescimento +0.000%
pressupondo odds máximas de 1.61
Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
58.90%60.36%60.30%61.63%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.531.571.571.6165.36%63.64%63.69%62.11%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Alejandro Tabilo (Local): 39.65%; Alex Michelsen (Visitante): 60.35%. Para Alejandro Tabilo (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.52. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 2.49, com valor esperado de -1.26%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.
Odds das casas de apostas (56 casas de apostas)
Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.
| Casa de apostas | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margem | Atualização |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.49I 40.16%NM 38.37%EV -1.26%E -0.508%K -0.849%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.63%EV -6.46%E -4.17%K -11.75%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-23 19:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.47I 40.49%NM 39.16%EV -2.06%E -0.833%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.84%EV -4.05%E -2.55%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-23 18:40 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.47I 40.49%NM 39.16%EV -2.06%E -0.833%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.84%EV -4.05%E -2.55%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-23 18:40 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.21%EV -2.85%E -1.16%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.79%EV -4.65%E -2.94%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-23 10:59 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -2.85%E -1.16%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -6.46%E -4.17%K -11.75%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-22 11:35 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.85%EV -3.64%E -1.50%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.15%EV -2.84%E -1.76%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-03-23 18:44 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.50%EV -4.04%E -1.67%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.50%EV -4.65%E -2.94%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-22 12:34 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.41I 41.49%NM 39.45%EV -4.44%E -1.84%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.55%EV -5.25%E -3.35%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-22 15:15 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.83%E -2.01%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.05%E -2.55%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-22 15:14 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.83%E -2.01%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.05%E -2.55%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-23 10:58 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.83%E -2.01%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.65%E -2.94%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-22 12:34 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.83%E -2.01%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.65%E -2.94%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-22 12:35 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.83%E -2.01%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.65%E -2.94%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-23 14:59 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.83%E -2.01%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.65%E -2.94%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-23 19:05 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.83%E -2.01%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.65%E -2.94%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-23 02:39 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.83%E -2.01%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.65%E -2.94%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-23 10:59 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.83%E -2.01%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.65%E -2.94%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-23 10:59 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.83%E -2.01%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.25%E -3.35%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-23 18:39 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.83%E -2.01%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.25%E -3.35%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-22 12:33 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.83%E -2.01%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.25%E -3.35%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-23 08:24 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.83%E -2.01%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.25%E -3.35%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-23 11:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.83%E -2.01%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.25%E -3.35%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-23 10:59 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.83%E -2.01%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.25%E -3.35%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-23 10:59 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.83%E -2.01%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.25%E -3.35%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-23 10:59 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.83%E -2.01%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.25%E -3.35%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-23 11:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.83%E -2.01%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.25%E -3.35%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-23 10:59 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.83%E -2.01%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.25%E -3.35%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-23 11:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.83%E -2.01%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.25%E -3.35%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-23 11:00 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.83%E -2.01%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.25%E -3.35%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-23 10:59 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.83%E -2.01%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.25%E -3.35%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-23 10:59 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.83%E -2.01%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.25%E -3.35%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-23 11:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.83%E -2.01%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.25%E -3.35%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-23 11:00 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -4.83%E -2.01%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.86%E -3.76%K -10.46%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-23 10:59 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -4.83%E -2.01%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.46%E -4.17%K -11.75%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-23 18:39 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -5.63%E -2.36%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -4.65%E -2.94%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-23 18:39 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.63%E -2.36%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.25%E -3.35%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-22 11:34 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.63%E -2.36%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.25%E -3.35%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-22 11:34 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.63%E -2.36%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.25%E -3.35%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-22 11:34 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.63%E -2.36%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.25%E -3.35%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-22 11:34 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.63%E -2.36%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.25%E -3.35%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-23 11:00 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -5.63%E -2.36%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -7.67%E -5.01%K -14.47%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-23 08:23 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.54%EV -6.02%E -2.54%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.46%EV -6.46%E -4.17%K -11.75%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-23 18:40 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -6.82%E -2.90%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -2.84%E -1.76%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-23 15:20 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -6.82%E -2.90%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -2.84%E -1.76%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-23 15:20 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -6.82%E -2.90%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -4.65%E -2.94%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-23 17:00 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.82%E -2.90%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.25%E -3.35%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-22 12:35 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.82%E -2.90%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.25%E -3.35%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-23 19:50 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.82%E -2.90%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.25%E -3.35%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-23 18:39 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -6.82%E -2.90%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -5.86%E -3.76%K -10.46%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-23 18:45 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -6.82%E -2.90%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -6.46%E -4.17%K -11.75%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-23 10:59 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -6.82%E -2.90%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -6.46%E -4.17%K -11.75%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-23 18:39 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.43%EV -6.82%E -2.90%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.57%EV -7.67%E -5.01%K -14.47%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-23 18:40 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -8.80%E -3.83%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -4.05%E -2.55%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-22 13:08 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -8.80%E -3.83%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -7.67%E -5.01%K -14.47%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-23 16:58 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -10.78%E -4.79%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -5.25%E -3.35%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-22 12:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -10.78%E -4.79%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -5.25%E -3.35%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-22 12:35 |
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas
Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.
Bolsas de apostas (7)
| Casa de apostas | Local | Visitante | Margem ▲ | Atualização |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.90% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 61.10% | 0.4% | 2026-03-23 19:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.90% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 61.10% | 0.4% | 2026-03-23 19:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.90% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 61.10% | 0.4% | 2026-03-23 19:55 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.42% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.58% | 0.7% | 2026-03-23 19:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.76% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 61.24% | 0.8% | 2026-03-23 19:55 |
| Novig◎ | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.47% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.53% | 1.3% | 2026-03-23 19:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.13% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.87% | 1.4% | 2026-03-23 19:55 |