Langue:Français
Alejandro Tabilo v Alex Michelsen
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Alejandro Tabilo (Local)
Prévision 39.65%2.52cote équitable
EV -1.26%
Avantage -0.508%
Kelly -0.849%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.49
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
38.37%39.64%39.70%41.10%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.252.392.402.4944.44%41.91%41.67%40.16%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Alex Michelsen (Visiteur)
Prévision 60.35%1.66cote équitable
EV -2.84%
Avantage -1.76%
Kelly -4.66%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.61
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
58.90%60.36%60.30%61.63%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.531.571.571.6165.36%63.64%63.69%62.11%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Alejandro Tabilo (Local) : 39.65% ; Alex Michelsen (Visiteur) : 60.35%. Pour Alejandro Tabilo (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 2.52. Aucun opérateur admissible ne proposait de cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure était 2.49, pour une espérance de -1.26% ; elle ne produisait pas d’espérance positive.
Cotes des opérateurs (56 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.49I 40.16%NM 38.37%EV -1.26%E -0.508%K -0.849%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.63%EV -6.46%E -4.17%K -11.75%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-23 19:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.47I 40.49%NM 39.16%EV -2.06%E -0.833%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.84%EV -4.05%E -2.55%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-23 18:40 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.47I 40.49%NM 39.16%EV -2.06%E -0.833%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.84%EV -4.05%E -2.55%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-23 18:40 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.21%EV -2.85%E -1.16%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.79%EV -4.65%E -2.94%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-23 10:59 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -2.85%E -1.16%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -6.46%E -4.17%K -11.75%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-22 11:35 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.85%EV -3.64%E -1.50%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.15%EV -2.84%E -1.76%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-03-23 18:44 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.50%EV -4.04%E -1.67%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.50%EV -4.65%E -2.94%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-22 12:34 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.41I 41.49%NM 39.45%EV -4.44%E -1.84%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.55%EV -5.25%E -3.35%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-22 15:15 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.83%E -2.01%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.05%E -2.55%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-22 15:14 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.83%E -2.01%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.05%E -2.55%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-23 10:58 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.83%E -2.01%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.65%E -2.94%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-22 12:34 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.83%E -2.01%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.65%E -2.94%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-22 12:35 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.83%E -2.01%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.65%E -2.94%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-23 14:59 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.83%E -2.01%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.65%E -2.94%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-23 19:05 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.83%E -2.01%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.65%E -2.94%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-23 02:39 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.83%E -2.01%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.65%E -2.94%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-23 10:59 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.83%E -2.01%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.65%E -2.94%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-23 10:59 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.83%E -2.01%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.25%E -3.35%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-23 18:39 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.83%E -2.01%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.25%E -3.35%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-22 12:33 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.83%E -2.01%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.25%E -3.35%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-23 08:24 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.83%E -2.01%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.25%E -3.35%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-23 11:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.83%E -2.01%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.25%E -3.35%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-23 10:59 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.83%E -2.01%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.25%E -3.35%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-23 10:59 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.83%E -2.01%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.25%E -3.35%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-23 10:59 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.83%E -2.01%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.25%E -3.35%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-23 11:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.83%E -2.01%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.25%E -3.35%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-23 10:59 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.83%E -2.01%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.25%E -3.35%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-23 11:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.83%E -2.01%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.25%E -3.35%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-23 11:00 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.83%E -2.01%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.25%E -3.35%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-23 10:59 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.83%E -2.01%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.25%E -3.35%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-23 10:59 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.83%E -2.01%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.25%E -3.35%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-23 11:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.83%E -2.01%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.25%E -3.35%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-23 11:00 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -4.83%E -2.01%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.86%E -3.76%K -10.46%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-23 10:59 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -4.83%E -2.01%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.46%E -4.17%K -11.75%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-23 18:39 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -5.63%E -2.36%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -4.65%E -2.94%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-23 18:39 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.63%E -2.36%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.25%E -3.35%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-22 11:34 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.63%E -2.36%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.25%E -3.35%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-22 11:34 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.63%E -2.36%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.25%E -3.35%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-22 11:34 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.63%E -2.36%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.25%E -3.35%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-22 11:34 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.63%E -2.36%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.25%E -3.35%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-23 11:00 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -5.63%E -2.36%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -7.67%E -5.01%K -14.47%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-23 08:23 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.54%EV -6.02%E -2.54%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.46%EV -6.46%E -4.17%K -11.75%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-23 18:40 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -6.82%E -2.90%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -2.84%E -1.76%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-23 15:20 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -6.82%E -2.90%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -2.84%E -1.76%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-23 15:20 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -6.82%E -2.90%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -4.65%E -2.94%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-23 17:00 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.82%E -2.90%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.25%E -3.35%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-22 12:35 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.82%E -2.90%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.25%E -3.35%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-23 19:50 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.82%E -2.90%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.25%E -3.35%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-23 18:39 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -6.82%E -2.90%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -5.86%E -3.76%K -10.46%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-23 18:45 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -6.82%E -2.90%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -6.46%E -4.17%K -11.75%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-23 10:59 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -6.82%E -2.90%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -6.46%E -4.17%K -11.75%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-23 18:39 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.43%EV -6.82%E -2.90%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.57%EV -7.67%E -5.01%K -14.47%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-23 18:40 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -8.80%E -3.83%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -4.05%E -2.55%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-22 13:08 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -8.80%E -3.83%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -7.67%E -5.01%K -14.47%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-23 16:58 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -10.78%E -4.79%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -5.25%E -3.35%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-22 12:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -10.78%E -4.79%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -5.25%E -3.35%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-22 12:35 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (7)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.90% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 61.10% | 0.4% | 2026-03-23 19:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.90% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 61.10% | 0.4% | 2026-03-23 19:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.90% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 61.10% | 0.4% | 2026-03-23 19:55 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.42% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.58% | 0.7% | 2026-03-23 19:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.76% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 61.24% | 0.8% | 2026-03-23 19:55 |
| Novig◎ | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.47% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.53% | 1.3% | 2026-03-23 19:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.13% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.87% | 1.4% | 2026-03-23 19:55 |