مدرسة الاحتمالات

Alejandro Tabilo v Alex Michelsen

البداية: 2026-03-23 20:00 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

56 شركة مراهنات (17 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Alejandro Tabilo (المضيف)

التنبؤ 39.65%2.52السعر العادل
EV -1.26%
الأفضلية -0.508%
Kelly -0.849%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.49

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
38.37%39.64%39.70%41.10%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.252.392.402.4944.44%41.91%41.67%40.16%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Alex Michelsen (الضيف)

التنبؤ 60.35%1.66السعر العادل
EV -2.84%
الأفضلية -1.76%
Kelly -4.66%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.61

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
58.90%60.36%60.30%61.63%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.531.571.571.6165.36%63.64%63.69%62.11%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (56 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفالهامشآخر تحديث
DraftKings2.49I 40.16%NM 38.37%EV -1.26%E -0.508%K -0.849%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.63%EV -6.46%E -4.17%K -11.75%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-23 19:55
BetOnline.ag2.47I 40.49%NM 39.16%EV -2.06%E -0.833%K -1.40%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.84%EV -4.05%E -2.55%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-23 18:40
LowVig.ag2.47I 40.49%NM 39.16%EV -2.06%E -0.833%K -1.40%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.84%EV -4.05%E -2.55%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-23 18:40
Winamax (DE)2.45I 40.82%NM 39.21%EV -2.85%E -1.16%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.79%EV -4.65%E -2.94%K -8.02%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-23 10:59
GTbets2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -2.85%E -1.16%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -6.46%E -4.17%K -11.75%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-22 11:35
1xBet2.43I 41.15%NM 39.85%EV -3.64%E -1.50%K -2.55%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.15%EV -2.84%E -1.76%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-23 18:44
FanDuel2.42I 41.32%NM 39.50%EV -4.04%E -1.67%K -2.85%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.50%EV -4.65%E -2.94%K -8.02%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-22 12:34
SportsBet2.41I 41.49%NM 39.45%EV -4.44%E -1.84%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.55%EV -5.25%E -3.35%K -9.22%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-22 15:15
Fanatics2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.83%E -2.01%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.05%E -2.55%K -6.86%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-22 15:14
Hard Rock Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.83%E -2.01%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.05%E -2.55%K -6.86%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-23 10:58
NordicBet2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.83%E -2.01%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.65%E -2.94%K -8.02%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-22 12:34
Betsson2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.83%E -2.01%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.65%E -2.94%K -8.02%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-22 12:35
Unibet (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.83%E -2.01%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.65%E -2.94%K -8.02%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-23 14:59
ReBet2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.83%E -2.01%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.65%E -2.94%K -8.02%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-23 19:05
Unibet (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.83%E -2.01%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.65%E -2.94%K -8.02%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-23 02:39
LiveScore Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.83%E -2.01%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.65%E -2.94%K -8.02%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-23 10:59
Unibet2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.83%E -2.01%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.65%E -2.94%K -8.02%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-23 10:59
Bet Right2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.83%E -2.01%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.25%E -3.35%K -9.22%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-23 18:39
Paddy Power2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.83%E -2.01%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.25%E -3.35%K -9.22%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-22 12:33
theScore Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.83%E -2.01%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.25%E -3.35%K -9.22%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-23 08:24
Casumo2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.83%E -2.01%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.25%E -3.35%K -9.22%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-23 11:00
Unibet (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.83%E -2.01%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.25%E -3.35%K -9.22%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-23 10:59
BetRivers2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.83%E -2.01%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.25%E -3.35%K -9.22%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-23 10:59
LeoVegas2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.83%E -2.01%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.25%E -3.35%K -9.22%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-23 10:59
Grosvenor2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.83%E -2.01%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.25%E -3.35%K -9.22%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-23 11:00
TABtouch2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.83%E -2.01%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.25%E -3.35%K -9.22%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-23 10:59
Unibet (NL)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.83%E -2.01%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.25%E -3.35%K -9.22%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-23 11:00
LeoVegas (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.83%E -2.01%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.25%E -3.35%K -9.22%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-23 11:00
Bally Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.83%E -2.01%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.25%E -3.35%K -9.22%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-23 10:59
betPARX2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.83%E -2.01%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.25%E -3.35%K -9.22%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-23 10:59
ATG (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.83%E -2.01%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.25%E -3.35%K -9.22%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-23 11:00
Svenska Spel2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.83%E -2.01%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.25%E -3.35%K -9.22%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-23 11:00
Winamax (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -4.83%E -2.01%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.86%E -3.76%K -10.46%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-23 10:59
Betway2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -4.83%E -2.01%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.46%E -4.17%K -11.75%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-23 18:39
Marathon Bet2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -5.63%E -2.36%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -4.65%E -2.94%K -8.02%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-23 18:39
888sport2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.63%E -2.36%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.25%E -3.35%K -9.22%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-22 11:34
William Hill2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.63%E -2.36%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.25%E -3.35%K -9.22%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-22 11:34
Mr Green (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.63%E -2.36%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.25%E -3.35%K -9.22%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-22 11:34
888sport (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.63%E -2.36%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.25%E -3.35%K -9.22%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-22 11:34
BoyleSports2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.63%E -2.36%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.25%E -3.35%K -9.22%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-23 11:00
PMU (FR)2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -5.63%E -2.36%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -7.67%E -5.01%K -14.47%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-23 08:23
NetBet (FR)2.37I 42.19%NM 39.54%EV -6.02%E -2.54%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.46%EV -6.46%E -4.17%K -11.75%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-23 18:40
Bovada2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -6.82%E -2.90%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -2.84%E -1.76%K -4.66%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-23 15:20
BetUS2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -6.82%E -2.90%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -2.84%E -1.76%K -4.66%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-23 15:20
PlayUp2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -6.82%E -2.90%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -4.65%E -2.94%K -8.02%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-23 17:00
PointsBet (AU)2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.82%E -2.90%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.25%E -3.35%K -9.22%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-22 12:35
Parions Sport (FR)2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.82%E -2.90%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.25%E -3.35%K -9.22%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-23 19:50
Betr (AU)2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.82%E -2.90%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.25%E -3.35%K -9.22%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-23 18:39
Fliff2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -6.82%E -2.90%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -5.86%E -3.76%K -10.46%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-23 18:45
Virgin Bet2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -6.82%E -2.90%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -6.46%E -4.17%K -11.75%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-23 10:59
TAB2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -6.82%E -2.90%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -6.46%E -4.17%K -11.75%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-23 18:39
Everygame2.35I 42.55%NM 39.43%EV -6.82%E -2.90%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.57%EV -7.67%E -5.01%K -14.47%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-23 18:40
Caesars2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -8.80%E -3.83%K -6.77%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -4.05%E -2.55%K -6.86%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-22 13:08
Bet Victor2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -8.80%E -3.83%K -6.77%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -7.67%E -5.01%K -14.47%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-23 16:58
Coral2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -10.78%E -4.79%K -8.63%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -5.25%E -3.35%K -9.22%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-22 12:35
Ladbrokes (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -10.78%E -4.79%K -8.63%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -5.25%E -3.35%K -9.22%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-22 12:35
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (7)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.56I 39.06%NM 38.90%1.63I 61.35%NM 61.10%0.4%2026-03-23 19:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.56I 39.06%NM 38.90%1.63I 61.35%NM 61.10%0.4%2026-03-23 19:55
Matchbook2.56I 39.06%NM 38.90%1.63I 61.35%NM 61.10%0.4%2026-03-23 19:55
ProphetX2.52I 39.68%NM 39.42%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.58%0.7%2026-03-23 19:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.56I 39.06%NM 38.76%1.62I 61.73%NM 61.24%0.8%2026-03-23 19:55
Novig2.50I 40.00%NM 39.47%1.63I 61.35%NM 60.53%1.3%2026-03-23 19:55
Smarkets2.52I 39.68%NM 39.13%1.62I 61.73%NM 60.87%1.4%2026-03-23 19:55