Die Wettquotenschule

Alejandro Tabilo v Alex Michelsen

Spielbeginn: 2026-03-23 20:00 UTC

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

56 Wettanbieter (17 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: IQM

Alejandro Tabilo (Heim)

Prognose 39.65%2.52faire Quote
EV -1.26%
Vorteil -0.508%
Kelly -0.849%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 2.49

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
38.37%39.64%39.70%41.10%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
2.252.392.402.4944.44%41.91%41.67%40.16%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Alex Michelsen (Auswärts)

Prognose 60.35%1.66faire Quote
EV -2.84%
Vorteil -1.76%
Kelly -4.66%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.61

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
58.90%60.36%60.30%61.63%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
1.531.571.571.6165.36%63.64%63.69%62.11%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Wettanbieterquoten (56 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeim ▼AuswärtsMargeAktualisiert
DraftKings2.49I 40.16%NM 38.37%EV -1.26%E -0.508%K -0.849%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.63%EV -6.46%E -4.17%K -11.75%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-23 19:55
BetOnline.ag2.47I 40.49%NM 39.16%EV -2.06%E -0.833%K -1.40%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.84%EV -4.05%E -2.55%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-23 18:40
LowVig.ag2.47I 40.49%NM 39.16%EV -2.06%E -0.833%K -1.40%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.84%EV -4.05%E -2.55%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-23 18:40
Winamax (DE)2.45I 40.82%NM 39.21%EV -2.85%E -1.16%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.79%EV -4.65%E -2.94%K -8.02%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-23 10:59
GTbets2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -2.85%E -1.16%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -6.46%E -4.17%K -11.75%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-22 11:35
1xBet2.43I 41.15%NM 39.85%EV -3.64%E -1.50%K -2.55%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.15%EV -2.84%E -1.76%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-23 18:44
FanDuel2.42I 41.32%NM 39.50%EV -4.04%E -1.67%K -2.85%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.50%EV -4.65%E -2.94%K -8.02%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-22 12:34
SportsBet2.41I 41.49%NM 39.45%EV -4.44%E -1.84%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.55%EV -5.25%E -3.35%K -9.22%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-22 15:15
Fanatics2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.83%E -2.01%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.05%E -2.55%K -6.86%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-22 15:14
Hard Rock Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.83%E -2.01%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.05%E -2.55%K -6.86%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-23 10:58
NordicBet2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.83%E -2.01%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.65%E -2.94%K -8.02%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-22 12:34
Betsson2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.83%E -2.01%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.65%E -2.94%K -8.02%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-22 12:35
Unibet (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.83%E -2.01%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.65%E -2.94%K -8.02%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-23 14:59
ReBet2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.83%E -2.01%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.65%E -2.94%K -8.02%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-23 19:05
Unibet (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.83%E -2.01%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.65%E -2.94%K -8.02%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-23 02:39
LiveScore Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.83%E -2.01%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.65%E -2.94%K -8.02%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-23 10:59
Unibet2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.83%E -2.01%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.65%E -2.94%K -8.02%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-23 10:59
Bet Right2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.83%E -2.01%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.25%E -3.35%K -9.22%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-23 18:39
Paddy Power2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.83%E -2.01%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.25%E -3.35%K -9.22%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-22 12:33
theScore Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.83%E -2.01%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.25%E -3.35%K -9.22%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-23 08:24
Casumo2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.83%E -2.01%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.25%E -3.35%K -9.22%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-23 11:00
Unibet (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.83%E -2.01%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.25%E -3.35%K -9.22%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-23 10:59
BetRivers2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.83%E -2.01%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.25%E -3.35%K -9.22%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-23 10:59
LeoVegas2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.83%E -2.01%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.25%E -3.35%K -9.22%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-23 10:59
Grosvenor2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.83%E -2.01%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.25%E -3.35%K -9.22%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-23 11:00
TABtouch2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.83%E -2.01%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.25%E -3.35%K -9.22%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-23 10:59
Unibet (NL)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.83%E -2.01%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.25%E -3.35%K -9.22%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-23 11:00
LeoVegas (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.83%E -2.01%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.25%E -3.35%K -9.22%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-23 11:00
Bally Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.83%E -2.01%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.25%E -3.35%K -9.22%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-23 10:59
betPARX2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.83%E -2.01%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.25%E -3.35%K -9.22%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-23 10:59
ATG (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.83%E -2.01%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.25%E -3.35%K -9.22%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-23 11:00
Svenska Spel2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.83%E -2.01%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.25%E -3.35%K -9.22%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-23 11:00
Winamax (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -4.83%E -2.01%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.86%E -3.76%K -10.46%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-23 10:59
Betway2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -4.83%E -2.01%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.46%E -4.17%K -11.75%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-23 18:39
Marathon Bet2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -5.63%E -2.36%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -4.65%E -2.94%K -8.02%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-23 18:39
888sport2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.63%E -2.36%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.25%E -3.35%K -9.22%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-22 11:34
William Hill2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.63%E -2.36%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.25%E -3.35%K -9.22%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-22 11:34
Mr Green (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.63%E -2.36%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.25%E -3.35%K -9.22%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-22 11:34
888sport (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.63%E -2.36%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.25%E -3.35%K -9.22%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-22 11:34
BoyleSports2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.63%E -2.36%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.25%E -3.35%K -9.22%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-23 11:00
PMU (FR)2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -5.63%E -2.36%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -7.67%E -5.01%K -14.47%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-23 08:23
NetBet (FR)2.37I 42.19%NM 39.54%EV -6.02%E -2.54%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.46%EV -6.46%E -4.17%K -11.75%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-23 18:40
Bovada2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -6.82%E -2.90%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -2.84%E -1.76%K -4.66%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-23 15:20
BetUS2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -6.82%E -2.90%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -2.84%E -1.76%K -4.66%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-23 15:20
PlayUp2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -6.82%E -2.90%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -4.65%E -2.94%K -8.02%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-23 17:00
PointsBet (AU)2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.82%E -2.90%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.25%E -3.35%K -9.22%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-22 12:35
Parions Sport (FR)2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.82%E -2.90%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.25%E -3.35%K -9.22%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-23 19:50
Betr (AU)2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.82%E -2.90%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.25%E -3.35%K -9.22%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-23 18:39
Fliff2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -6.82%E -2.90%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -5.86%E -3.76%K -10.46%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-23 18:45
Virgin Bet2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -6.82%E -2.90%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -6.46%E -4.17%K -11.75%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-23 10:59
TAB2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -6.82%E -2.90%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -6.46%E -4.17%K -11.75%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-23 18:39
Everygame2.35I 42.55%NM 39.43%EV -6.82%E -2.90%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.57%EV -7.67%E -5.01%K -14.47%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-23 18:40
Caesars2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -8.80%E -3.83%K -6.77%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -4.05%E -2.55%K -6.86%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-22 13:08
Bet Victor2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -8.80%E -3.83%K -6.77%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -7.67%E -5.01%K -14.47%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-23 16:58
Coral2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -10.78%E -4.79%K -8.63%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -5.25%E -3.35%K -9.22%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-22 12:35
Ladbrokes (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -10.78%E -4.79%K -8.63%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -5.25%E -3.35%K -9.22%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-22 12:35
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (7)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.56I 39.06%NM 38.90%1.63I 61.35%NM 61.10%0.4%2026-03-23 19:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.56I 39.06%NM 38.90%1.63I 61.35%NM 61.10%0.4%2026-03-23 19:55
Matchbook2.56I 39.06%NM 38.90%1.63I 61.35%NM 61.10%0.4%2026-03-23 19:55
ProphetX2.52I 39.68%NM 39.42%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.58%0.7%2026-03-23 19:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.56I 39.06%NM 38.76%1.62I 61.73%NM 61.24%0.8%2026-03-23 19:55
Novig2.50I 40.00%NM 39.47%1.63I 61.35%NM 60.53%1.3%2026-03-23 19:55
Smarkets2.52I 39.68%NM 39.13%1.62I 61.73%NM 60.87%1.4%2026-03-23 19:55