Język:Polski
Alejandro Tabilo v Alex Michelsen
Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →
Zwycięzca spotkania
Alejandro Tabilo (Gospodarze)
Prognoza 39.65%2.52kurs godziwy
EV -1.26%
Przewaga -0.508%
Kelly -0.849%
Wzrost +0.000%
przy maksymalnym kursie 2.49
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
38.37%39.64%39.70%41.10%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.252.392.402.4944.44%41.91%41.67%40.16%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Alex Michelsen (Goście)
Prognoza 60.35%1.66kurs godziwy
EV -2.84%
Przewaga -1.76%
Kelly -4.66%
Wzrost +0.000%
przy maksymalnym kursie 1.61
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
58.90%60.36%60.30%61.63%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.531.571.571.6165.36%63.64%63.69%62.11%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Przy ostatnich kursach przed rozpoczęciem model Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana) szacował rynek Zwycięzca spotkania następująco: Alejandro Tabilo (Gospodarze): 39.65%; Alex Michelsen (Goście): 60.35%. Dla wyniku Alejandro Tabilo (Gospodarze) oszacowanie to odpowiadało uczciwemu kursowi dziesiętnemu 2.52. Żaden kwalifikujący się bukmacher nie oferował kursu zamknięcia powyżej tego poziomu: najlepszy wynosił 2.49, przy wartości oczekiwanej -1.26%; nie dawał dodatniej wartości oczekiwanej.
Kursy bukmacherskie (56 bukmacherów)
Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.
| Bukmacher | Gospodarze ▼ | Goście | Marża | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.49I 40.16%NM 38.37%EV -1.26%E -0.508%K -0.849%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.63%EV -6.46%E -4.17%K -11.75%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-23 19:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.47I 40.49%NM 39.16%EV -2.06%E -0.833%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.84%EV -4.05%E -2.55%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-23 18:40 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.47I 40.49%NM 39.16%EV -2.06%E -0.833%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.84%EV -4.05%E -2.55%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-23 18:40 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.21%EV -2.85%E -1.16%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.79%EV -4.65%E -2.94%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-23 10:59 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -2.85%E -1.16%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -6.46%E -4.17%K -11.75%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-22 11:35 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.85%EV -3.64%E -1.50%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.15%EV -2.84%E -1.76%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-03-23 18:44 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.50%EV -4.04%E -1.67%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.50%EV -4.65%E -2.94%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-22 12:34 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.41I 41.49%NM 39.45%EV -4.44%E -1.84%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.55%EV -5.25%E -3.35%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-22 15:15 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.83%E -2.01%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.05%E -2.55%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-22 15:14 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.83%E -2.01%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.05%E -2.55%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-23 10:58 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.83%E -2.01%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.65%E -2.94%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-22 12:34 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.83%E -2.01%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.65%E -2.94%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-22 12:35 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.83%E -2.01%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.65%E -2.94%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-23 14:59 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.83%E -2.01%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.65%E -2.94%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-23 19:05 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.83%E -2.01%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.65%E -2.94%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-23 02:39 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.83%E -2.01%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.65%E -2.94%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-23 10:59 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.83%E -2.01%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.65%E -2.94%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-23 10:59 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.83%E -2.01%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.25%E -3.35%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-23 18:39 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.83%E -2.01%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.25%E -3.35%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-22 12:33 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.83%E -2.01%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.25%E -3.35%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-23 08:24 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.83%E -2.01%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.25%E -3.35%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-23 11:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.83%E -2.01%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.25%E -3.35%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-23 10:59 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.83%E -2.01%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.25%E -3.35%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-23 10:59 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.83%E -2.01%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.25%E -3.35%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-23 10:59 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.83%E -2.01%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.25%E -3.35%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-23 11:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.83%E -2.01%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.25%E -3.35%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-23 10:59 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.83%E -2.01%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.25%E -3.35%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-23 11:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.83%E -2.01%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.25%E -3.35%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-23 11:00 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.83%E -2.01%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.25%E -3.35%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-23 10:59 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.83%E -2.01%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.25%E -3.35%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-23 10:59 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.83%E -2.01%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.25%E -3.35%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-23 11:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.83%E -2.01%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.25%E -3.35%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-23 11:00 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -4.83%E -2.01%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.86%E -3.76%K -10.46%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-23 10:59 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -4.83%E -2.01%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.46%E -4.17%K -11.75%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-23 18:39 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -5.63%E -2.36%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -4.65%E -2.94%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-23 18:39 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.63%E -2.36%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.25%E -3.35%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-22 11:34 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.63%E -2.36%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.25%E -3.35%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-22 11:34 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.63%E -2.36%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.25%E -3.35%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-22 11:34 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.63%E -2.36%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.25%E -3.35%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-22 11:34 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.63%E -2.36%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.25%E -3.35%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-23 11:00 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -5.63%E -2.36%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -7.67%E -5.01%K -14.47%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-23 08:23 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.54%EV -6.02%E -2.54%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.46%EV -6.46%E -4.17%K -11.75%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-23 18:40 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -6.82%E -2.90%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -2.84%E -1.76%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-23 15:20 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -6.82%E -2.90%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -2.84%E -1.76%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-23 15:20 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -6.82%E -2.90%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -4.65%E -2.94%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-23 17:00 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.82%E -2.90%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.25%E -3.35%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-22 12:35 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.82%E -2.90%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.25%E -3.35%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-23 19:50 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.82%E -2.90%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.25%E -3.35%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-23 18:39 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -6.82%E -2.90%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -5.86%E -3.76%K -10.46%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-23 18:45 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -6.82%E -2.90%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -6.46%E -4.17%K -11.75%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-23 10:59 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -6.82%E -2.90%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -6.46%E -4.17%K -11.75%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-23 18:39 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.43%EV -6.82%E -2.90%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.57%EV -7.67%E -5.01%K -14.47%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-23 18:40 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -8.80%E -3.83%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -4.05%E -2.55%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-22 13:08 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -8.80%E -3.83%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -7.67%E -5.01%K -14.47%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-23 16:58 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -10.78%E -4.79%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -5.25%E -3.35%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-22 12:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -10.78%E -4.79%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -5.25%E -3.35%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-22 12:35 |
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału
Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.
Giełdy zakładów (7)
| Bukmacher | Gospodarze | Goście | Marża ▲ | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.90% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 61.10% | 0.4% | 2026-03-23 19:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.90% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 61.10% | 0.4% | 2026-03-23 19:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.90% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 61.10% | 0.4% | 2026-03-23 19:55 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.42% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.58% | 0.7% | 2026-03-23 19:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.76% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 61.24% | 0.8% | 2026-03-23 19:55 |
| Novig◎ | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.47% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.53% | 1.3% | 2026-03-23 19:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.13% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.87% | 1.4% | 2026-03-23 19:55 |