Language:English
Martin Landaluce v Adam Walton
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Martin Landaluce (Local)
Prediction 78.99%1.27fair odd
EV -2.05%
Edge -1.65%
Kelly -8.54%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.24
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
76.25%78.81%78.95%80.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.151.211.211.2486.96%82.62%82.64%80.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Adam Walton (Visit)
Prediction 21.01%4.76fair odd
EV +2.94%
Edge +0.599%
Kelly +0.753%
Growth +0.022%
assuming max odds 4.90
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
19.41%21.19%21.05%23.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.954.384.444.9025.32%22.83%22.52%20.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Martin Landaluce (Local): 78.99%; Adam Walton (Visit): 21.01%. For Adam Walton (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.76. 6 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.90, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.94%.
Sportsbook Odds (58 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -6.79%E -5.75%K -37.72%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV +2.94%E +0.599%K +0.753%G +0.022% | 5.2% | 2026-04-23 16:19 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 79.93%EV -3.63%E -2.97%K -16.50%G +0.000% | 4.86I 20.58%NM 20.07%EV +2.10%E +0.431%K +0.543%G +0.011% | 2.5% | 2026-04-23 16:20 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.30%EV -6.00%E -5.04%K -31.57%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.70%EV +1.89%E +0.389%K +0.490%G +0.009% | 4.7% | 2026-04-23 16:20 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.93%EV -4.42%E -3.65%K -21.04%G +0.000% | 4.82I 20.75%NM 20.07%EV +1.26%E +0.261%K +0.329%G +0.004% | 3.4% | 2026-04-23 16:20 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.87%EV -4.42%E -3.65%K -21.04%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.13%EV +0.837%E +0.174%K +0.220%G +0.002% | 3.5% | 2026-04-23 16:20 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.00%EV -5.21%E -4.34%K -26.05%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.00%EV +0.837%E +0.174%K +0.220%G +0.002% | 4.2% | 2026-04-23 16:23 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 79.56%EV -3.63%E -2.97%K -16.50%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.44%EV -0.214%E -0.045%K -0.057%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-04-23 16:20 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -6.79%E -5.75%K -37.72%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -0.214%E -0.045%K -0.057%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-23 16:19 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.34%EV -9.16%E -7.96%K -61.06%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.66%EV -1.26%E -0.269%K -0.342%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-23 16:20 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.59%EV -5.21%E -4.34%K -26.05%G +0.000% | 4.68I 21.37%NM 20.41%EV -1.68%E -0.360%K -0.458%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-23 16:20 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.32%EV -4.42%E -3.65%K -21.04%G +0.000% | 4.64I 21.55%NM 20.68%EV -2.52%E -0.544%K -0.694%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-23 16:20 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.32%EV -4.42%E -3.65%K -21.04%G +0.000% | 4.64I 21.55%NM 20.68%EV -2.52%E -0.544%K -0.694%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-23 16:20 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -6.79%E -5.75%K -37.72%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -3.36%E -0.732%K -0.935%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-23 16:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -6.79%E -5.75%K -37.72%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -3.36%E -0.732%K -0.935%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-23 16:20 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.42%E -3.65%K -21.04%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -5.47%E -1.21%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-23 16:19 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.42%E -3.65%K -21.04%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -5.47%E -1.21%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-23 16:19 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.42%E -3.65%K -21.04%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -5.47%E -1.21%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-23 16:19 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.42%E -3.65%K -21.04%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -5.47%E -1.21%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-23 16:20 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.42%E -3.65%K -21.04%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -5.47%E -1.21%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-23 16:20 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.42%E -3.65%K -21.04%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -5.47%E -1.21%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-23 16:20 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.21%E -4.34%K -26.05%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -5.47%E -1.21%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-23 16:20 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.21%E -4.34%K -26.05%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -5.47%E -1.21%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-23 16:19 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.21%E -4.34%K -26.05%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -5.47%E -1.21%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-23 16:19 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.21%E -4.34%K -26.05%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -5.47%E -1.21%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-23 16:19 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.21%E -4.34%K -26.05%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -5.47%E -1.21%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-23 16:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -7.58%E -6.48%K -44.58%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -5.47%E -1.21%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-23 16:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -7.58%E -6.48%K -44.58%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -5.47%E -1.21%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-23 16:19 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -7.58%E -6.48%K -44.58%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -5.47%E -1.21%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-23 16:19 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.73%EV -4.42%E -3.65%K -21.04%G +0.000% | 4.48I 22.32%NM 21.27%EV -5.89%E -1.31%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-23 16:19 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -5.21%E -4.34%K -26.05%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -7.57%E -1.72%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-23 16:20 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -5.21%E -4.34%K -26.05%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -7.57%E -1.72%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-23 16:29 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -5.21%E -4.34%K -26.05%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -7.57%E -1.72%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-23 16:20 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -5.21%E -4.34%K -26.05%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -9.67%E -2.25%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-23 16:19 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.47%EV -6.79%E -5.75%K -37.72%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.53%EV -9.67%E -2.25%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-23 16:19 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.84%EV -4.42%E -3.65%K -21.04%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.16%EV -10.72%E -2.52%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-23 16:20 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -3.63%E -2.97%K -16.50%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -11.77%E -2.80%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-23 16:19 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -3.63%E -2.97%K -16.50%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -11.77%E -2.80%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-23 16:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -3.63%E -2.97%K -16.50%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -11.77%E -2.80%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-23 16:20 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -3.63%E -2.97%K -16.50%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -11.77%E -2.80%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-23 16:20 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -5.21%E -4.34%K -26.05%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -11.77%E -2.80%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-23 16:18 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -2.05%E -1.65%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -13.87%E -3.38%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-23 16:19 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -2.05%E -1.65%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -13.87%E -3.38%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-23 16:19 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -2.05%E -1.65%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -13.87%E -3.38%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-23 16:20 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -2.05%E -1.65%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -13.87%E -3.38%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-23 16:19 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -2.05%E -1.65%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -13.87%E -3.38%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-23 16:20 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -2.05%E -1.65%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -13.87%E -3.38%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-23 16:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -2.05%E -1.65%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -13.87%E -3.38%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-23 16:19 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -2.05%E -1.65%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -13.87%E -3.38%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-23 16:19 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -2.05%E -1.65%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -13.87%E -3.38%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-23 16:19 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -2.05%E -1.65%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -13.87%E -3.38%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-23 16:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -2.05%E -1.65%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -13.87%E -3.38%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-23 16:19 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -2.05%E -1.65%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -13.87%E -3.38%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-23 16:20 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -2.05%E -1.65%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -13.87%E -3.38%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-23 16:19 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -3.63%E -2.97%K -16.50%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -15.97%E -3.99%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-23 16:20 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -5.21%E -4.34%K -26.05%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -15.97%E -3.99%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-23 16:19 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.25%EV -2.84%E -2.31%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.75%EV -17.02%E -4.31%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-23 16:19 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.40%EV -3.63%E -2.97%K -16.50%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.60%EV -17.02%E -4.31%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-23 16:20 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.40%EV -3.63%E -2.97%K -16.50%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.60%EV -17.02%E -4.31%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-23 16:20 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.22I 81.97%NM 81.57% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.43% | 0.5% | 2026-04-23 16:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.22I 81.97%NM 81.57% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.43% | 0.5% | 2026-04-23 16:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.22I 81.97%NM 81.57% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.43% | 0.5% | 2026-04-23 16:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.22I 81.97%NM 81.57% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.43% | 0.5% | 2026-04-23 16:20 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.20I 83.33%NM 81.82% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.18% | 1.9% | 2026-04-23 16:20 |
| Novig◎ | 1.22I 81.97%NM 80.00% | 4.88I 20.49%NM 20.00% | 2.5% | 2026-04-23 16:25 |