La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Martin Landaluce v Adam Walton
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Martin Landaluce (Local)
Predicción 78.99%1.27momio equitativo
EV -2.05%
Ventaja -1.65%
Kelly -8.54%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.24
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
76.25%78.81%78.95%80.59%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.151.211.211.2486.96%82.62%82.64%80.65%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Adam Walton (Visitante)
Predicción 21.01%4.76momio equitativo
EV +2.94%
Ventaja +0.599%
Kelly +0.753%
Crecimiento +0.022%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.90
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
19.41%21.19%21.05%23.75%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.954.384.444.9025.32%22.83%22.52%20.41%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (58 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportsBet | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -6.79%E -5.75%K -37.72%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV +2.94%E +0.599%K +0.753%G +0.022% | 5.2% | 2026-04-23 16:19 |
| Pinnacle | 1.22I 81.97%NM 79.93%EV -3.63%E -2.97%K -16.50%G +0.000% | 4.86I 20.58%NM 20.07%EV +2.10%E +0.431%K +0.543%G +0.011% | 2.5% | 2026-04-23 16:20 |
| FanDuel | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.30%EV -6.00%E -5.04%K -31.57%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.70%EV +1.89%E +0.389%K +0.490%G +0.009% | 4.7% | 2026-04-23 16:20 |
| 1xBet | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.93%EV -4.42%E -3.65%K -21.04%G +0.000% | 4.82I 20.75%NM 20.07%EV +1.26%E +0.261%K +0.329%G +0.004% | 3.4% | 2026-04-23 16:20 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.87%EV -4.42%E -3.65%K -21.04%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.13%EV +0.837%E +0.174%K +0.220%G +0.002% | 3.5% | 2026-04-23 16:20 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.00%EV -5.21%E -4.34%K -26.05%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.00%EV +0.837%E +0.174%K +0.220%G +0.002% | 4.2% | 2026-04-23 16:23 |
| Coolbet | 1.22I 81.97%NM 79.56%EV -3.63%E -2.97%K -16.50%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.44%EV -0.214%E -0.045%K -0.057%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-04-23 16:20 |
| BetMGM | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -6.79%E -5.75%K -37.72%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -0.214%E -0.045%K -0.057%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-23 16:19 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.34%EV -9.16%E -7.96%K -61.06%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.66%EV -1.26%E -0.269%K -0.342%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-23 16:20 |
| DraftKings | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.59%EV -5.21%E -4.34%K -26.05%G +0.000% | 4.68I 21.37%NM 20.41%EV -1.68%E -0.360%K -0.458%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-23 16:20 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.32%EV -4.42%E -3.65%K -21.04%G +0.000% | 4.64I 21.55%NM 20.68%EV -2.52%E -0.544%K -0.694%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-23 16:20 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.32%EV -4.42%E -3.65%K -21.04%G +0.000% | 4.64I 21.55%NM 20.68%EV -2.52%E -0.544%K -0.694%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-23 16:20 |
| Coral | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -6.79%E -5.75%K -37.72%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -3.36%E -0.732%K -0.935%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-23 16:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -6.79%E -5.75%K -37.72%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -3.36%E -0.732%K -0.935%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-23 16:20 |
| Bet Right | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.42%E -3.65%K -21.04%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -5.47%E -1.21%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-23 16:19 |
| Fanatics | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.42%E -3.65%K -21.04%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -5.47%E -1.21%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-23 16:19 |
| NordicBet | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.42%E -3.65%K -21.04%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -5.47%E -1.21%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-23 16:19 |
| Betsson | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.42%E -3.65%K -21.04%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -5.47%E -1.21%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-23 16:20 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.42%E -3.65%K -21.04%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -5.47%E -1.21%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-23 16:20 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.42%E -3.65%K -21.04%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -5.47%E -1.21%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-23 16:20 |
| BoyleSports | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.21%E -4.34%K -26.05%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -5.47%E -1.21%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-23 16:20 |
| Betway | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.21%E -4.34%K -26.05%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -5.47%E -1.21%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-23 16:19 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.21%E -4.34%K -26.05%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -5.47%E -1.21%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-23 16:19 |
| BetUS | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.21%E -4.34%K -26.05%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -5.47%E -1.21%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-23 16:19 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.21%E -4.34%K -26.05%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -5.47%E -1.21%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-23 16:20 |
| Paddy Power | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -7.58%E -6.48%K -44.58%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -5.47%E -1.21%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-23 16:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -7.58%E -6.48%K -44.58%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -5.47%E -1.21%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-23 16:19 |
| Neds | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -7.58%E -6.48%K -44.58%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -5.47%E -1.21%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-23 16:19 |
| GTbets | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.73%EV -4.42%E -3.65%K -21.04%G +0.000% | 4.48I 22.32%NM 21.27%EV -5.89%E -1.31%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-23 16:19 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -5.21%E -4.34%K -26.05%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -7.57%E -1.72%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-23 16:20 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -5.21%E -4.34%K -26.05%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -7.57%E -1.72%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-23 16:29 |
| PlayUp | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -5.21%E -4.34%K -26.05%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -7.57%E -1.72%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-23 16:20 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -5.21%E -4.34%K -26.05%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -9.67%E -2.25%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-23 16:19 |
| Everygame | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.47%EV -6.79%E -5.75%K -37.72%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.53%EV -9.67%E -2.25%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-23 16:19 |
| theScore Bet | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.84%EV -4.42%E -3.65%K -21.04%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.16%EV -10.72%E -2.52%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-23 16:20 |
| 888sport | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -3.63%E -2.97%K -16.50%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -11.77%E -2.80%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-23 16:19 |
| William Hill | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -3.63%E -2.97%K -16.50%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -11.77%E -2.80%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-23 16:20 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -3.63%E -2.97%K -16.50%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -11.77%E -2.80%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-23 16:20 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -3.63%E -2.97%K -16.50%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -11.77%E -2.80%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-23 16:20 |
| TAB | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -5.21%E -4.34%K -26.05%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -11.77%E -2.80%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-23 16:18 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -2.05%E -1.65%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -13.87%E -3.38%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-23 16:19 |
| TABtouch | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -2.05%E -1.65%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -13.87%E -3.38%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-23 16:19 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -2.05%E -1.65%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -13.87%E -3.38%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-23 16:20 |
| LeoVegas | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -2.05%E -1.65%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -13.87%E -3.38%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-23 16:19 |
| BetRivers | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -2.05%E -1.65%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -13.87%E -3.38%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-23 16:20 |
| Casumo | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -2.05%E -1.65%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -13.87%E -3.38%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-23 16:20 |
| Unibet | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -2.05%E -1.65%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -13.87%E -3.38%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-23 16:19 |
| Grosvenor | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -2.05%E -1.65%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -13.87%E -3.38%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-23 16:19 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -2.05%E -1.65%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -13.87%E -3.38%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-23 16:19 |
| betPARX | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -2.05%E -1.65%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -13.87%E -3.38%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-23 16:20 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -2.05%E -1.65%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -13.87%E -3.38%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-23 16:19 |
| Bally Bet | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -2.05%E -1.65%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -13.87%E -3.38%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-23 16:20 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -2.05%E -1.65%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -13.87%E -3.38%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-23 16:19 |
| Caesars | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -3.63%E -2.97%K -16.50%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -15.97%E -3.99%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-23 16:20 |
| Bet Victor | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -5.21%E -4.34%K -26.05%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -15.97%E -3.99%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-23 16:19 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.25%EV -2.84%E -2.31%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.75%EV -17.02%E -4.31%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-23 16:19 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.40%EV -3.63%E -2.97%K -16.50%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.60%EV -17.02%E -4.31%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-23 16:20 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.40%EV -3.63%E -2.97%K -16.50%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.60%EV -17.02%E -4.31%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-23 16:20 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 1.22I 81.97%NM 81.57% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.43% | 0.5% | 2026-04-23 16:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 81.57% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.43% | 0.5% | 2026-04-23 16:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 81.57% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.43% | 0.5% | 2026-04-23 16:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 81.57% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.43% | 0.5% | 2026-04-23 16:20 |
| Smarkets | 1.20I 83.33%NM 81.82% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.18% | 1.9% | 2026-04-23 16:20 |
| Novig | 1.22I 81.97%NM 80.00% | 4.88I 20.49%NM 20.00% | 2.5% | 2026-04-23 16:25 |