L’École des cotes

Martin Landaluce v Adam Walton

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-23 16:35 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

58 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Martin Landaluce (Local)

Prévision 78.99%1.27cote équitable
EV -2.05%
Avantage -1.65%
Kelly -8.54%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.24

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
76.25%78.81%78.95%80.59%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.151.211.211.2486.96%82.62%82.64%80.65%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Adam Walton (Visiteur)

Prévision 21.01%4.76cote équitable
EV +2.94%
Avantage +0.599%
Kelly +0.753%
Croissance +0.022%

avec la cote maximale 4.90

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
19.41%21.19%21.05%23.75%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.954.384.444.9025.32%22.83%22.52%20.41%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (58 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
SportsBet1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -6.79%E -5.75%K -37.72%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV +2.94%E +0.599%K +0.753%G +0.022%5.2%2026-04-23 16:19
Pinnacle1.22I 81.97%NM 79.93%EV -3.63%E -2.97%K -16.50%G +0.000%4.86I 20.58%NM 20.07%EV +2.10%E +0.431%K +0.543%G +0.011%2.5%2026-04-23 16:20
FanDuel1.19I 84.03%NM 80.30%EV -6.00%E -5.04%K -31.57%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.70%EV +1.89%E +0.389%K +0.490%G +0.009%4.7%2026-04-23 16:20
1xBet1.21I 82.64%NM 79.93%EV -4.42%E -3.65%K -21.04%G +0.000%4.82I 20.75%NM 20.07%EV +1.26%E +0.261%K +0.329%G +0.004%3.4%2026-04-23 16:20
Winamax (DE)1.21I 82.64%NM 79.87%EV -4.42%E -3.65%K -21.04%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.13%EV +0.837%E +0.174%K +0.220%G +0.002%3.5%2026-04-23 16:20
Betclic (FR)1.20I 83.33%NM 80.00%EV -5.21%E -4.34%K -26.05%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.00%EV +0.837%E +0.174%K +0.220%G +0.002%4.2%2026-04-23 16:23
Coolbet1.22I 81.97%NM 79.56%EV -3.63%E -2.97%K -16.50%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.44%EV -0.214%E -0.045%K -0.057%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-23 16:20
BetMGM1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -6.79%E -5.75%K -37.72%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -0.214%E -0.045%K -0.057%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-23 16:19
Tipico (DE)1.15I 86.96%NM 80.34%EV -9.16%E -7.96%K -61.06%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.66%EV -1.26%E -0.269%K -0.342%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-23 16:20
DraftKings1.20I 83.33%NM 79.59%EV -5.21%E -4.34%K -26.05%G +0.000%4.68I 21.37%NM 20.41%EV -1.68%E -0.360%K -0.458%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-23 16:20
LowVig.ag1.21I 82.64%NM 79.32%EV -4.42%E -3.65%K -21.04%G +0.000%4.64I 21.55%NM 20.68%EV -2.52%E -0.544%K -0.694%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-23 16:20
BetOnline.ag1.21I 82.64%NM 79.32%EV -4.42%E -3.65%K -21.04%G +0.000%4.64I 21.55%NM 20.68%EV -2.52%E -0.544%K -0.694%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-23 16:20
Coral1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -6.79%E -5.75%K -37.72%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -3.36%E -0.732%K -0.935%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-23 16:20
Ladbrokes (UK)1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -6.79%E -5.75%K -37.72%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -3.36%E -0.732%K -0.935%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-23 16:20
Bet Right1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.42%E -3.65%K -21.04%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -5.47%E -1.21%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-23 16:19
Fanatics1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.42%E -3.65%K -21.04%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -5.47%E -1.21%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-23 16:19
NordicBet1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.42%E -3.65%K -21.04%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -5.47%E -1.21%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-23 16:19
Betsson1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.42%E -3.65%K -21.04%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -5.47%E -1.21%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-23 16:20
Unibet (UK)1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.42%E -3.65%K -21.04%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -5.47%E -1.21%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-23 16:20
Hard Rock Bet1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.42%E -3.65%K -21.04%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -5.47%E -1.21%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-23 16:20
BoyleSports1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.21%E -4.34%K -26.05%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -5.47%E -1.21%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-23 16:20
Betway1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.21%E -4.34%K -26.05%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -5.47%E -1.21%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-23 16:19
Winamax (FR)1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.21%E -4.34%K -26.05%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -5.47%E -1.21%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-23 16:19
BetUS1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.21%E -4.34%K -26.05%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -5.47%E -1.21%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-23 16:19
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.21%E -4.34%K -26.05%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -5.47%E -1.21%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-23 16:20
Paddy Power1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -7.58%E -6.48%K -44.58%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -5.47%E -1.21%K -1.56%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-23 16:20
Ladbrokes (AU)1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -7.58%E -6.48%K -44.58%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -5.47%E -1.21%K -1.56%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-23 16:19
Neds1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -7.58%E -6.48%K -44.58%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -5.47%E -1.21%K -1.56%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-23 16:19
GTbets1.21I 82.64%NM 78.73%EV -4.42%E -3.65%K -21.04%G +0.000%4.48I 22.32%NM 21.27%EV -5.89%E -1.31%K -1.69%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 16:19
Betr (AU)1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -5.21%E -4.34%K -26.05%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -7.57%E -1.72%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-23 16:20
Unibet (FR)1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -5.21%E -4.34%K -26.05%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -7.57%E -1.72%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-23 16:29
PlayUp1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -5.21%E -4.34%K -26.05%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -7.57%E -1.72%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-23 16:20
PointsBet (AU)1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -5.21%E -4.34%K -26.05%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -9.67%E -2.25%K -2.93%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-23 16:19
Everygame1.18I 84.75%NM 78.47%EV -6.79%E -5.75%K -37.72%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.53%EV -9.67%E -2.25%K -2.93%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-23 16:19
theScore Bet1.21I 82.64%NM 77.84%EV -4.42%E -3.65%K -21.04%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.16%EV -10.72%E -2.52%K -3.30%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-23 16:20
888sport1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -3.63%E -2.97%K -16.50%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -11.77%E -2.80%K -3.68%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-23 16:19
William Hill1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -3.63%E -2.97%K -16.50%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -11.77%E -2.80%K -3.68%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-23 16:20
Mr Green (SE)1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -3.63%E -2.97%K -16.50%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -11.77%E -2.80%K -3.68%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-23 16:20
888sport (SE)1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -3.63%E -2.97%K -16.50%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -11.77%E -2.80%K -3.68%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-23 16:20
TAB1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -5.21%E -4.34%K -26.05%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -11.77%E -2.80%K -3.68%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-23 16:18
Unibet (SE)1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -2.05%E -1.65%K -8.54%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -13.87%E -3.38%K -4.47%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 16:19
TABtouch1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -2.05%E -1.65%K -8.54%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -13.87%E -3.38%K -4.47%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 16:19
Unibet (NL)1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -2.05%E -1.65%K -8.54%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -13.87%E -3.38%K -4.47%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 16:20
LeoVegas1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -2.05%E -1.65%K -8.54%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -13.87%E -3.38%K -4.47%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 16:19
BetRivers1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -2.05%E -1.65%K -8.54%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -13.87%E -3.38%K -4.47%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 16:20
Casumo1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -2.05%E -1.65%K -8.54%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -13.87%E -3.38%K -4.47%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 16:20
Unibet1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -2.05%E -1.65%K -8.54%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -13.87%E -3.38%K -4.47%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 16:19
Grosvenor1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -2.05%E -1.65%K -8.54%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -13.87%E -3.38%K -4.47%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 16:19
LeoVegas (SE)1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -2.05%E -1.65%K -8.54%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -13.87%E -3.38%K -4.47%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 16:19
betPARX1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -2.05%E -1.65%K -8.54%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -13.87%E -3.38%K -4.47%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 16:20
ATG (SE)1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -2.05%E -1.65%K -8.54%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -13.87%E -3.38%K -4.47%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 16:19
Bally Bet1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -2.05%E -1.65%K -8.54%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -13.87%E -3.38%K -4.47%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 16:20
Svenska Spel1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -2.05%E -1.65%K -8.54%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -13.87%E -3.38%K -4.47%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 16:19
Caesars1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -3.63%E -2.97%K -16.50%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -15.97%E -3.99%K -5.32%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 16:20
Bet Victor1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -5.21%E -4.34%K -26.05%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -15.97%E -3.99%K -5.32%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-23 16:19
PMU (FR)1.23I 81.30%NM 76.25%EV -2.84%E -2.31%K -12.35%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.75%EV -17.02%E -4.31%K -5.77%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-23 16:19
Virgin Bet1.22I 81.97%NM 76.40%EV -3.63%E -2.97%K -16.50%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.60%EV -17.02%E -4.31%K -5.77%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-23 16:20
LiveScore Bet1.22I 81.97%NM 76.40%EV -3.63%E -2.97%K -16.50%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.60%EV -17.02%E -4.31%K -5.77%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-23 16:20
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook1.22I 81.97%NM 81.57%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.43%0.5%2026-04-23 16:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.22I 81.97%NM 81.57%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.43%0.5%2026-04-23 16:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.22I 81.97%NM 81.57%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.43%0.5%2026-04-23 16:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.22I 81.97%NM 81.57%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.43%0.5%2026-04-23 16:20
Smarkets1.20I 83.33%NM 81.82%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.18%1.9%2026-04-23 16:20
Novig1.22I 81.97%NM 80.00%4.88I 20.49%NM 20.00%2.5%2026-04-23 16:25