مدرسة الاحتمالات

Martin Landaluce v Adam Walton

البداية: 2026-04-23 16:35 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

58 شركة مراهنات (20 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Martin Landaluce (المضيف)

التنبؤ 78.99%1.27السعر العادل
EV -2.05%
الأفضلية -1.65%
Kelly -8.54%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.24

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
76.25%78.81%78.95%80.59%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.151.211.211.2486.96%82.62%82.64%80.65%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Adam Walton (الضيف)

التنبؤ 21.01%4.76السعر العادل
EV +2.94%
الأفضلية +0.599%
Kelly +0.753%
النمو +0.022%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.90

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
19.41%21.19%21.05%23.75%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.954.384.444.9025.32%22.83%22.52%20.41%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (58 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼الهامشآخر تحديث
SportsBet1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -6.79%E -5.75%K -37.72%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV +2.94%E +0.599%K +0.753%G +0.022%5.2%2026-04-23 16:19
Pinnacle1.22I 81.97%NM 79.93%EV -3.63%E -2.97%K -16.50%G +0.000%4.86I 20.58%NM 20.07%EV +2.10%E +0.431%K +0.543%G +0.011%2.5%2026-04-23 16:20
FanDuel1.19I 84.03%NM 80.30%EV -6.00%E -5.04%K -31.57%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.70%EV +1.89%E +0.389%K +0.490%G +0.009%4.7%2026-04-23 16:20
1xBet1.21I 82.64%NM 79.93%EV -4.42%E -3.65%K -21.04%G +0.000%4.82I 20.75%NM 20.07%EV +1.26%E +0.261%K +0.329%G +0.004%3.4%2026-04-23 16:20
Winamax (DE)1.21I 82.64%NM 79.87%EV -4.42%E -3.65%K -21.04%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.13%EV +0.837%E +0.174%K +0.220%G +0.002%3.5%2026-04-23 16:20
Betclic (FR)1.20I 83.33%NM 80.00%EV -5.21%E -4.34%K -26.05%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.00%EV +0.837%E +0.174%K +0.220%G +0.002%4.2%2026-04-23 16:23
Coolbet1.22I 81.97%NM 79.56%EV -3.63%E -2.97%K -16.50%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.44%EV -0.214%E -0.045%K -0.057%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-23 16:20
BetMGM1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -6.79%E -5.75%K -37.72%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -0.214%E -0.045%K -0.057%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-23 16:19
Tipico (DE)1.15I 86.96%NM 80.34%EV -9.16%E -7.96%K -61.06%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.66%EV -1.26%E -0.269%K -0.342%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-23 16:20
DraftKings1.20I 83.33%NM 79.59%EV -5.21%E -4.34%K -26.05%G +0.000%4.68I 21.37%NM 20.41%EV -1.68%E -0.360%K -0.458%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-23 16:20
LowVig.ag1.21I 82.64%NM 79.32%EV -4.42%E -3.65%K -21.04%G +0.000%4.64I 21.55%NM 20.68%EV -2.52%E -0.544%K -0.694%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-23 16:20
BetOnline.ag1.21I 82.64%NM 79.32%EV -4.42%E -3.65%K -21.04%G +0.000%4.64I 21.55%NM 20.68%EV -2.52%E -0.544%K -0.694%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-23 16:20
Coral1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -6.79%E -5.75%K -37.72%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -3.36%E -0.732%K -0.935%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-23 16:20
Ladbrokes (UK)1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -6.79%E -5.75%K -37.72%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -3.36%E -0.732%K -0.935%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-23 16:20
Bet Right1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.42%E -3.65%K -21.04%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -5.47%E -1.21%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-23 16:19
Fanatics1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.42%E -3.65%K -21.04%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -5.47%E -1.21%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-23 16:19
NordicBet1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.42%E -3.65%K -21.04%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -5.47%E -1.21%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-23 16:19
Betsson1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.42%E -3.65%K -21.04%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -5.47%E -1.21%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-23 16:20
Unibet (UK)1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.42%E -3.65%K -21.04%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -5.47%E -1.21%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-23 16:20
Hard Rock Bet1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.42%E -3.65%K -21.04%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -5.47%E -1.21%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-23 16:20
BoyleSports1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.21%E -4.34%K -26.05%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -5.47%E -1.21%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-23 16:20
Betway1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.21%E -4.34%K -26.05%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -5.47%E -1.21%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-23 16:19
Winamax (FR)1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.21%E -4.34%K -26.05%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -5.47%E -1.21%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-23 16:19
BetUS1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.21%E -4.34%K -26.05%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -5.47%E -1.21%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-23 16:19
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.21%E -4.34%K -26.05%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -5.47%E -1.21%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-23 16:20
Paddy Power1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -7.58%E -6.48%K -44.58%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -5.47%E -1.21%K -1.56%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-23 16:20
Ladbrokes (AU)1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -7.58%E -6.48%K -44.58%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -5.47%E -1.21%K -1.56%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-23 16:19
Neds1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -7.58%E -6.48%K -44.58%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -5.47%E -1.21%K -1.56%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-23 16:19
GTbets1.21I 82.64%NM 78.73%EV -4.42%E -3.65%K -21.04%G +0.000%4.48I 22.32%NM 21.27%EV -5.89%E -1.31%K -1.69%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 16:19
Betr (AU)1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -5.21%E -4.34%K -26.05%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -7.57%E -1.72%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-23 16:20
Unibet (FR)1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -5.21%E -4.34%K -26.05%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -7.57%E -1.72%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-23 16:29
PlayUp1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -5.21%E -4.34%K -26.05%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -7.57%E -1.72%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-23 16:20
PointsBet (AU)1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -5.21%E -4.34%K -26.05%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -9.67%E -2.25%K -2.93%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-23 16:19
Everygame1.18I 84.75%NM 78.47%EV -6.79%E -5.75%K -37.72%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.53%EV -9.67%E -2.25%K -2.93%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-23 16:19
theScore Bet1.21I 82.64%NM 77.84%EV -4.42%E -3.65%K -21.04%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.16%EV -10.72%E -2.52%K -3.30%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-23 16:20
888sport1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -3.63%E -2.97%K -16.50%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -11.77%E -2.80%K -3.68%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-23 16:19
William Hill1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -3.63%E -2.97%K -16.50%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -11.77%E -2.80%K -3.68%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-23 16:20
Mr Green (SE)1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -3.63%E -2.97%K -16.50%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -11.77%E -2.80%K -3.68%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-23 16:20
888sport (SE)1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -3.63%E -2.97%K -16.50%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -11.77%E -2.80%K -3.68%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-23 16:20
TAB1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -5.21%E -4.34%K -26.05%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -11.77%E -2.80%K -3.68%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-23 16:18
Unibet (SE)1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -2.05%E -1.65%K -8.54%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -13.87%E -3.38%K -4.47%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 16:19
TABtouch1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -2.05%E -1.65%K -8.54%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -13.87%E -3.38%K -4.47%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 16:19
Unibet (NL)1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -2.05%E -1.65%K -8.54%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -13.87%E -3.38%K -4.47%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 16:20
LeoVegas1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -2.05%E -1.65%K -8.54%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -13.87%E -3.38%K -4.47%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 16:19
BetRivers1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -2.05%E -1.65%K -8.54%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -13.87%E -3.38%K -4.47%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 16:20
Casumo1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -2.05%E -1.65%K -8.54%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -13.87%E -3.38%K -4.47%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 16:20
Unibet1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -2.05%E -1.65%K -8.54%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -13.87%E -3.38%K -4.47%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 16:19
Grosvenor1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -2.05%E -1.65%K -8.54%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -13.87%E -3.38%K -4.47%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 16:19
LeoVegas (SE)1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -2.05%E -1.65%K -8.54%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -13.87%E -3.38%K -4.47%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 16:19
betPARX1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -2.05%E -1.65%K -8.54%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -13.87%E -3.38%K -4.47%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 16:20
ATG (SE)1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -2.05%E -1.65%K -8.54%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -13.87%E -3.38%K -4.47%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 16:19
Bally Bet1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -2.05%E -1.65%K -8.54%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -13.87%E -3.38%K -4.47%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 16:20
Svenska Spel1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -2.05%E -1.65%K -8.54%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -13.87%E -3.38%K -4.47%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 16:19
Caesars1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -3.63%E -2.97%K -16.50%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -15.97%E -3.99%K -5.32%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 16:20
Bet Victor1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -5.21%E -4.34%K -26.05%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -15.97%E -3.99%K -5.32%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-23 16:19
PMU (FR)1.23I 81.30%NM 76.25%EV -2.84%E -2.31%K -12.35%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.75%EV -17.02%E -4.31%K -5.77%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-23 16:19
Virgin Bet1.22I 81.97%NM 76.40%EV -3.63%E -2.97%K -16.50%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.60%EV -17.02%E -4.31%K -5.77%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-23 16:20
LiveScore Bet1.22I 81.97%NM 76.40%EV -3.63%E -2.97%K -16.50%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.60%EV -17.02%E -4.31%K -5.77%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-23 16:20
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Matchbook1.22I 81.97%NM 81.57%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.43%0.5%2026-04-23 16:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.22I 81.97%NM 81.57%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.43%0.5%2026-04-23 16:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.22I 81.97%NM 81.57%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.43%0.5%2026-04-23 16:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.22I 81.97%NM 81.57%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.43%0.5%2026-04-23 16:20
Smarkets1.20I 83.33%NM 81.82%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.18%1.9%2026-04-23 16:20
Novig1.22I 81.97%NM 80.00%4.88I 20.49%NM 20.00%2.5%2026-04-23 16:25