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Martin Landaluce v Adam Walton
Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →
Победитель встречи
Martin Landaluce (Хозяева)
Прогноз 78.99%1.27справедливый коэффициент
EV -2.05%
Преимущество -1.65%
Kelly -8.54%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 1.24
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
76.25%78.81%78.95%80.59%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
1.151.211.211.2486.96%82.62%82.64%80.65%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Adam Walton (Гости)
Прогноз 21.01%4.76справедливый коэффициент
EV +2.94%
Преимущество +0.599%
Kelly +0.753%
Рост +0.022%
при максимальном коэффициенте 4.90
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
19.41%21.19%21.05%23.75%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
3.954.384.444.9025.32%22.83%22.52%20.41%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
По последним коэффициентам перед началом модель Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список) оценивала рынок «Победитель встречи» так: Martin Landaluce (Хозяева): 78.99%; Adam Walton (Гости): 21.01%. Для исхода «Adam Walton (Гости)» эта оценка соответствовала справедливому десятичному коэффициенту 4.76. 6 букмекеров предлагали итоговые коэффициенты выше этого уровня; лучший составлял 4.90, что соответствовало положительному математическому ожиданию +2.94%.
Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (58 букмекерских контор)
Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости ▼ | Маржа | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -6.79%E -5.75%K -37.72%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV +2.94%E +0.599%K +0.753%G +0.022% | 5.2% | 2026-04-23 16:19 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 79.93%EV -3.63%E -2.97%K -16.50%G +0.000% | 4.86I 20.58%NM 20.07%EV +2.10%E +0.431%K +0.543%G +0.011% | 2.5% | 2026-04-23 16:20 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.30%EV -6.00%E -5.04%K -31.57%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.70%EV +1.89%E +0.389%K +0.490%G +0.009% | 4.7% | 2026-04-23 16:20 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.93%EV -4.42%E -3.65%K -21.04%G +0.000% | 4.82I 20.75%NM 20.07%EV +1.26%E +0.261%K +0.329%G +0.004% | 3.4% | 2026-04-23 16:20 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.87%EV -4.42%E -3.65%K -21.04%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.13%EV +0.837%E +0.174%K +0.220%G +0.002% | 3.5% | 2026-04-23 16:20 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.00%EV -5.21%E -4.34%K -26.05%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.00%EV +0.837%E +0.174%K +0.220%G +0.002% | 4.2% | 2026-04-23 16:23 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 79.56%EV -3.63%E -2.97%K -16.50%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.44%EV -0.214%E -0.045%K -0.057%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-04-23 16:20 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -6.79%E -5.75%K -37.72%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -0.214%E -0.045%K -0.057%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-23 16:19 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.34%EV -9.16%E -7.96%K -61.06%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.66%EV -1.26%E -0.269%K -0.342%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-23 16:20 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.59%EV -5.21%E -4.34%K -26.05%G +0.000% | 4.68I 21.37%NM 20.41%EV -1.68%E -0.360%K -0.458%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-23 16:20 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.32%EV -4.42%E -3.65%K -21.04%G +0.000% | 4.64I 21.55%NM 20.68%EV -2.52%E -0.544%K -0.694%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-23 16:20 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.32%EV -4.42%E -3.65%K -21.04%G +0.000% | 4.64I 21.55%NM 20.68%EV -2.52%E -0.544%K -0.694%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-23 16:20 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -6.79%E -5.75%K -37.72%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -3.36%E -0.732%K -0.935%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-23 16:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -6.79%E -5.75%K -37.72%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -3.36%E -0.732%K -0.935%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-23 16:20 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.42%E -3.65%K -21.04%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -5.47%E -1.21%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-23 16:19 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.42%E -3.65%K -21.04%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -5.47%E -1.21%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-23 16:19 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.42%E -3.65%K -21.04%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -5.47%E -1.21%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-23 16:19 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.42%E -3.65%K -21.04%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -5.47%E -1.21%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-23 16:20 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.42%E -3.65%K -21.04%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -5.47%E -1.21%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-23 16:20 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.42%E -3.65%K -21.04%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -5.47%E -1.21%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-23 16:20 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.21%E -4.34%K -26.05%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -5.47%E -1.21%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-23 16:20 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.21%E -4.34%K -26.05%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -5.47%E -1.21%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-23 16:19 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.21%E -4.34%K -26.05%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -5.47%E -1.21%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-23 16:19 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.21%E -4.34%K -26.05%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -5.47%E -1.21%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-23 16:19 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.21%E -4.34%K -26.05%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -5.47%E -1.21%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-23 16:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -7.58%E -6.48%K -44.58%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -5.47%E -1.21%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-23 16:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -7.58%E -6.48%K -44.58%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -5.47%E -1.21%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-23 16:19 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -7.58%E -6.48%K -44.58%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -5.47%E -1.21%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-23 16:19 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.73%EV -4.42%E -3.65%K -21.04%G +0.000% | 4.48I 22.32%NM 21.27%EV -5.89%E -1.31%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-23 16:19 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -5.21%E -4.34%K -26.05%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -7.57%E -1.72%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-23 16:20 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -5.21%E -4.34%K -26.05%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -7.57%E -1.72%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-23 16:29 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -5.21%E -4.34%K -26.05%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -7.57%E -1.72%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-23 16:20 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -5.21%E -4.34%K -26.05%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -9.67%E -2.25%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-23 16:19 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.47%EV -6.79%E -5.75%K -37.72%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.53%EV -9.67%E -2.25%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-23 16:19 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.84%EV -4.42%E -3.65%K -21.04%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.16%EV -10.72%E -2.52%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-23 16:20 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -3.63%E -2.97%K -16.50%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -11.77%E -2.80%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-23 16:19 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -3.63%E -2.97%K -16.50%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -11.77%E -2.80%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-23 16:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -3.63%E -2.97%K -16.50%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -11.77%E -2.80%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-23 16:20 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -3.63%E -2.97%K -16.50%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -11.77%E -2.80%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-23 16:20 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -5.21%E -4.34%K -26.05%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -11.77%E -2.80%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-23 16:18 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -2.05%E -1.65%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -13.87%E -3.38%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-23 16:19 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -2.05%E -1.65%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -13.87%E -3.38%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-23 16:19 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -2.05%E -1.65%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -13.87%E -3.38%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-23 16:20 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -2.05%E -1.65%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -13.87%E -3.38%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-23 16:19 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -2.05%E -1.65%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -13.87%E -3.38%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-23 16:20 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -2.05%E -1.65%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -13.87%E -3.38%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-23 16:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -2.05%E -1.65%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -13.87%E -3.38%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-23 16:19 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -2.05%E -1.65%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -13.87%E -3.38%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-23 16:19 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -2.05%E -1.65%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -13.87%E -3.38%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-23 16:19 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -2.05%E -1.65%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -13.87%E -3.38%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-23 16:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -2.05%E -1.65%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -13.87%E -3.38%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-23 16:19 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -2.05%E -1.65%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -13.87%E -3.38%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-23 16:20 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -2.05%E -1.65%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -13.87%E -3.38%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-23 16:19 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -3.63%E -2.97%K -16.50%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -15.97%E -3.99%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-23 16:20 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -5.21%E -4.34%K -26.05%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -15.97%E -3.99%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-23 16:19 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.25%EV -2.84%E -2.31%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.75%EV -17.02%E -4.31%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-23 16:19 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.40%EV -3.63%E -2.97%K -16.50%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.60%EV -17.02%E -4.31%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-23 16:20 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.40%EV -3.63%E -2.97%K -16.50%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.60%EV -17.02%E -4.31%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-23 16:20 |
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала
Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.
Биржи ставок (6)
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости | Маржа ▲ | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.22I 81.97%NM 81.57% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.43% | 0.5% | 2026-04-23 16:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.22I 81.97%NM 81.57% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.43% | 0.5% | 2026-04-23 16:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.22I 81.97%NM 81.57% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.43% | 0.5% | 2026-04-23 16:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.22I 81.97%NM 81.57% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.43% | 0.5% | 2026-04-23 16:20 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.20I 83.33%NM 81.82% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.18% | 1.9% | 2026-04-23 16:20 |
| Novig◎ | 1.22I 81.97%NM 80.00% | 4.88I 20.49%NM 20.00% | 2.5% | 2026-04-23 16:25 |