A Escola das Odds

Martin Landaluce v Adam Walton

Início: 2026-04-23 16:35 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

58 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Martin Landaluce (Local)

Previsão 78.99%1.27odd justa
EV -2.05%
Vantagem -1.65%
Kelly -8.54%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.24

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
76.25%78.81%78.95%80.59%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.151.211.211.2486.96%82.62%82.64%80.65%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Adam Walton (Visitante)

Previsão 21.01%4.76odd justa
EV +2.94%
Vantagem +0.599%
Kelly +0.753%
Crescimento +0.022%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.90

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
19.41%21.19%21.05%23.75%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.954.384.444.9025.32%22.83%22.52%20.41%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (58 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
SportsBet1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -6.79%E -5.75%K -37.72%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV +2.94%E +0.599%K +0.753%G +0.022%5.2%2026-04-23 16:19
Pinnacle1.22I 81.97%NM 79.93%EV -3.63%E -2.97%K -16.50%G +0.000%4.86I 20.58%NM 20.07%EV +2.10%E +0.431%K +0.543%G +0.011%2.5%2026-04-23 16:20
FanDuel1.19I 84.03%NM 80.30%EV -6.00%E -5.04%K -31.57%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.70%EV +1.89%E +0.389%K +0.490%G +0.009%4.7%2026-04-23 16:20
1xBet1.21I 82.64%NM 79.93%EV -4.42%E -3.65%K -21.04%G +0.000%4.82I 20.75%NM 20.07%EV +1.26%E +0.261%K +0.329%G +0.004%3.4%2026-04-23 16:20
Winamax (DE)1.21I 82.64%NM 79.87%EV -4.42%E -3.65%K -21.04%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.13%EV +0.837%E +0.174%K +0.220%G +0.002%3.5%2026-04-23 16:20
Betclic (FR)1.20I 83.33%NM 80.00%EV -5.21%E -4.34%K -26.05%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.00%EV +0.837%E +0.174%K +0.220%G +0.002%4.2%2026-04-23 16:23
Coolbet1.22I 81.97%NM 79.56%EV -3.63%E -2.97%K -16.50%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.44%EV -0.214%E -0.045%K -0.057%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-23 16:20
BetMGM1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -6.79%E -5.75%K -37.72%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -0.214%E -0.045%K -0.057%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-23 16:19
Tipico (DE)1.15I 86.96%NM 80.34%EV -9.16%E -7.96%K -61.06%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.66%EV -1.26%E -0.269%K -0.342%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-23 16:20
DraftKings1.20I 83.33%NM 79.59%EV -5.21%E -4.34%K -26.05%G +0.000%4.68I 21.37%NM 20.41%EV -1.68%E -0.360%K -0.458%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-23 16:20
LowVig.ag1.21I 82.64%NM 79.32%EV -4.42%E -3.65%K -21.04%G +0.000%4.64I 21.55%NM 20.68%EV -2.52%E -0.544%K -0.694%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-23 16:20
BetOnline.ag1.21I 82.64%NM 79.32%EV -4.42%E -3.65%K -21.04%G +0.000%4.64I 21.55%NM 20.68%EV -2.52%E -0.544%K -0.694%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-23 16:20
Coral1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -6.79%E -5.75%K -37.72%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -3.36%E -0.732%K -0.935%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-23 16:20
Ladbrokes (UK)1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -6.79%E -5.75%K -37.72%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -3.36%E -0.732%K -0.935%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-23 16:20
Bet Right1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.42%E -3.65%K -21.04%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -5.47%E -1.21%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-23 16:19
Fanatics1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.42%E -3.65%K -21.04%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -5.47%E -1.21%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-23 16:19
NordicBet1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.42%E -3.65%K -21.04%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -5.47%E -1.21%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-23 16:19
Betsson1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.42%E -3.65%K -21.04%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -5.47%E -1.21%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-23 16:20
Unibet (UK)1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.42%E -3.65%K -21.04%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -5.47%E -1.21%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-23 16:20
Hard Rock Bet1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.42%E -3.65%K -21.04%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -5.47%E -1.21%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-23 16:20
BoyleSports1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.21%E -4.34%K -26.05%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -5.47%E -1.21%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-23 16:20
Betway1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.21%E -4.34%K -26.05%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -5.47%E -1.21%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-23 16:19
Winamax (FR)1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.21%E -4.34%K -26.05%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -5.47%E -1.21%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-23 16:19
BetUS1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.21%E -4.34%K -26.05%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -5.47%E -1.21%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-23 16:19
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.21%E -4.34%K -26.05%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -5.47%E -1.21%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-23 16:20
Paddy Power1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -7.58%E -6.48%K -44.58%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -5.47%E -1.21%K -1.56%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-23 16:20
Ladbrokes (AU)1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -7.58%E -6.48%K -44.58%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -5.47%E -1.21%K -1.56%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-23 16:19
Neds1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -7.58%E -6.48%K -44.58%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -5.47%E -1.21%K -1.56%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-23 16:19
GTbets1.21I 82.64%NM 78.73%EV -4.42%E -3.65%K -21.04%G +0.000%4.48I 22.32%NM 21.27%EV -5.89%E -1.31%K -1.69%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 16:19
Betr (AU)1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -5.21%E -4.34%K -26.05%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -7.57%E -1.72%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-23 16:20
Unibet (FR)1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -5.21%E -4.34%K -26.05%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -7.57%E -1.72%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-23 16:29
PlayUp1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -5.21%E -4.34%K -26.05%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -7.57%E -1.72%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-23 16:20
PointsBet (AU)1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -5.21%E -4.34%K -26.05%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -9.67%E -2.25%K -2.93%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-23 16:19
Everygame1.18I 84.75%NM 78.47%EV -6.79%E -5.75%K -37.72%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.53%EV -9.67%E -2.25%K -2.93%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-23 16:19
theScore Bet1.21I 82.64%NM 77.84%EV -4.42%E -3.65%K -21.04%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.16%EV -10.72%E -2.52%K -3.30%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-23 16:20
888sport1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -3.63%E -2.97%K -16.50%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -11.77%E -2.80%K -3.68%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-23 16:19
William Hill1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -3.63%E -2.97%K -16.50%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -11.77%E -2.80%K -3.68%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-23 16:20
Mr Green (SE)1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -3.63%E -2.97%K -16.50%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -11.77%E -2.80%K -3.68%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-23 16:20
888sport (SE)1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -3.63%E -2.97%K -16.50%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -11.77%E -2.80%K -3.68%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-23 16:20
TAB1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -5.21%E -4.34%K -26.05%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -11.77%E -2.80%K -3.68%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-23 16:18
Unibet (SE)1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -2.05%E -1.65%K -8.54%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -13.87%E -3.38%K -4.47%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 16:19
TABtouch1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -2.05%E -1.65%K -8.54%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -13.87%E -3.38%K -4.47%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 16:19
Unibet (NL)1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -2.05%E -1.65%K -8.54%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -13.87%E -3.38%K -4.47%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 16:20
LeoVegas1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -2.05%E -1.65%K -8.54%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -13.87%E -3.38%K -4.47%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 16:19
BetRivers1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -2.05%E -1.65%K -8.54%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -13.87%E -3.38%K -4.47%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 16:20
Casumo1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -2.05%E -1.65%K -8.54%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -13.87%E -3.38%K -4.47%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 16:20
Unibet1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -2.05%E -1.65%K -8.54%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -13.87%E -3.38%K -4.47%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 16:19
Grosvenor1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -2.05%E -1.65%K -8.54%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -13.87%E -3.38%K -4.47%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 16:19
LeoVegas (SE)1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -2.05%E -1.65%K -8.54%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -13.87%E -3.38%K -4.47%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 16:19
betPARX1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -2.05%E -1.65%K -8.54%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -13.87%E -3.38%K -4.47%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 16:20
ATG (SE)1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -2.05%E -1.65%K -8.54%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -13.87%E -3.38%K -4.47%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 16:19
Bally Bet1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -2.05%E -1.65%K -8.54%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -13.87%E -3.38%K -4.47%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 16:20
Svenska Spel1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -2.05%E -1.65%K -8.54%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -13.87%E -3.38%K -4.47%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 16:19
Caesars1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -3.63%E -2.97%K -16.50%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -15.97%E -3.99%K -5.32%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 16:20
Bet Victor1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -5.21%E -4.34%K -26.05%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -15.97%E -3.99%K -5.32%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-23 16:19
PMU (FR)1.23I 81.30%NM 76.25%EV -2.84%E -2.31%K -12.35%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.75%EV -17.02%E -4.31%K -5.77%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-23 16:19
Virgin Bet1.22I 81.97%NM 76.40%EV -3.63%E -2.97%K -16.50%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.60%EV -17.02%E -4.31%K -5.77%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-23 16:20
LiveScore Bet1.22I 81.97%NM 76.40%EV -3.63%E -2.97%K -16.50%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.60%EV -17.02%E -4.31%K -5.77%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-23 16:20
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook1.22I 81.97%NM 81.57%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.43%0.5%2026-04-23 16:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.22I 81.97%NM 81.57%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.43%0.5%2026-04-23 16:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.22I 81.97%NM 81.57%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.43%0.5%2026-04-23 16:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.22I 81.97%NM 81.57%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.43%0.5%2026-04-23 16:20
Smarkets1.20I 83.33%NM 81.82%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.18%1.9%2026-04-23 16:20
Novig1.22I 81.97%NM 80.00%4.88I 20.49%NM 20.00%2.5%2026-04-23 16:25