赔率学院

Lorenzo Sonego v Dusan Lajovic

开赛时间: 2026-04-22 13:00 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

50 家博彩公司 (20 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:IQM

Lorenzo Sonego (主队)

预测 21.02%4.76公平赔率
EV +7.22%
优势 +1.42%
Kelly +1.76%
增长率 +0.127%

假设最高赔率为 5.10

博彩公司预测分布
18.66%22.83%21.08%46.05%MIN均值中位数MAX
赔率分布
2.054.224.535.1048.78%23.71%22.10%19.61%MIN均值中位数MAX

Dusan Lajovic (客队)

预测 78.98%1.27公平赔率
EV +38.21%
优势 +21.83%
Kelly +50.94%
增长率 +19.46%

假设最高赔率为 1.75

博彩公司预测分布
53.95%77.17%78.92%81.34%MIN均值中位数MAX
赔率分布
1.121.261.171.7589.29%79.42%85.47%57.14%MIN均值中位数MAX

博彩公司赔率 (50 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼利润率更新时间
PlayUp2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -56.90%E -27.76%K -54.19%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV +38.21%E +21.83%K +50.94%G +19.46%5.9%2026-04-22 12:39
BetOnline.ag2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -54.80%E -25.49%K -47.65%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV +37.42%E +21.50%K +50.57%G +18.92%4.0%2026-04-22 12:40
LowVig.ag2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -54.80%E -25.49%K -47.65%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV +37.42%E +21.50%K +50.57%G +18.92%4.0%2026-04-22 12:39
BetUS2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -55.85%E -26.60%K -50.77%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV +35.05%E +20.50%K +49.36%G +17.30%6.1%2026-04-22 12:39
Betr (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -54.80%E -25.49%K -47.65%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV +33.47%E +19.80%K +48.51%G +16.23%5.7%2026-04-22 12:35
SportsBet2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -55.85%E -26.60%K -50.77%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV +33.47%E +19.80%K +48.51%G +16.23%6.8%2026-04-22 12:39
Ladbrokes (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -54.80%E -25.49%K -47.65%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV +30.31%E +18.37%K +46.63%G +14.13%7.1%2026-04-22 12:35
Pinnacle2.62I 38.17%NM 36.87%EV -44.92%E -17.14%K -27.73%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 63.13%EV +20.83%E +13.62%K +39.31%G +8.19%3.5%2026-04-22 12:49
TAB3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -20.11%E -5.29%K -7.18%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -2.07%E -1.67%K -8.62%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-22 12:54
FanDuel4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -11.70%E -2.79%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -2.86%E -2.32%K -12.43%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-22 12:54
Coolbet4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -7.49%E -1.70%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -3.65%E -2.99%K -16.59%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-22 12:54
Betway4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -10.65%E -2.51%K -3.28%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -3.65%E -2.99%K -16.59%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-22 12:54
BetMGM4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -15.90%E -3.98%K -5.30%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -3.65%E -2.99%K -16.59%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-22 12:54
Caesars4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -15.90%E -3.98%K -5.30%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -3.65%E -2.99%K -16.59%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-22 12:54
888sport (SE)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -15.90%E -3.98%K -5.30%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -3.65%E -2.99%K -16.59%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-22 12:54
LiveScore Bet4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -11.70%E -2.79%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 77.63%EV -4.44%E -3.67%K -21.14%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-22 12:54
NordicBet4.55I 21.98%NM 20.87%EV -4.34%E -0.954%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.13%EV -5.23%E -4.36%K -26.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-22 12:54
Ladbrokes (UK)4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -8.97%E -2.07%K -2.69%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -5.23%E -4.36%K -26.14%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-22 12:55
BoyleSports4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -8.97%E -2.07%K -2.69%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -5.23%E -4.36%K -26.14%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-22 12:54
Paddy Power4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -15.90%E -3.98%K -5.30%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -5.23%E -4.36%K -26.14%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-22 12:54
DraftKings4.83I 20.70%NM 19.77%EV +1.55%E +0.320%K +0.404%G +0.006%1.19I 84.03%NM 80.23%EV -6.02%E -5.06%K -31.68%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-22 12:53
PointsBet (AU)4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -5.39%E -1.20%K -1.54%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -6.81%E -5.77%K -37.82%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-22 12:54
Fliff4.15I 24.10%NM 22.14%EV -12.75%E -3.07%K -4.05%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 77.86%EV -6.81%E -5.77%K -37.82%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-22 12:54
Casumo5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV +7.22%E +1.42%K +1.76%G +0.127%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -7.60%E -6.49%K -44.69%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-22 12:54
Unibet5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV +7.22%E +1.42%K +1.76%G +0.127%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -7.60%E -6.49%K -44.69%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-22 12:54
Unibet (SE)5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV +7.22%E +1.42%K +1.76%G +0.127%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -7.60%E -6.49%K -44.69%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-22 12:54
Unibet (NL)5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV +7.22%E +1.42%K +1.76%G +0.127%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -7.60%E -6.49%K -44.69%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-22 12:54
betPARX5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV +7.22%E +1.42%K +1.76%G +0.127%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -7.60%E -6.49%K -44.69%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-22 12:54
ATG (SE)5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV +7.22%E +1.42%K +1.76%G +0.127%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -7.60%E -6.49%K -44.69%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-22 12:54
Svenska Spel5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV +7.22%E +1.42%K +1.76%G +0.127%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -7.60%E -6.49%K -44.69%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-22 12:54
Unibet (UK)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV +5.12%E +1.02%K +1.28%G +0.066%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -7.60%E -6.49%K -44.69%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-22 12:54
Hard Rock Bet5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV +5.12%E +1.02%K +1.28%G +0.066%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -7.60%E -6.49%K -44.69%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-22 12:54
TABtouch4.90I 20.41%NM 19.28%EV +3.02%E +0.616%K +0.774%G +0.023%1.17I 85.47%NM 80.72%EV -7.60%E -6.49%K -44.69%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-22 12:54
Bet Victor4.75I 21.05%NM 19.76%EV -0.136%E -0.029%K -0.036%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 80.24%EV -7.60%E -6.49%K -44.69%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-22 12:53
Coral4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -3.29%E -0.715%K -0.914%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.72%EV -7.60%E -6.49%K -44.69%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-22 12:54
Tipico (DE)4.30I 23.26%NM 21.39%EV -9.60%E -2.23%K -2.91%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 78.61%EV -7.60%E -6.49%K -44.69%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-22 12:54
Betsson4.95I 20.20%NM 18.99%EV +4.07%E +0.822%K +1.03%G +0.042%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.01%EV -8.39%E -7.23%K -52.42%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-22 12:54
Grosvenor4.90I 20.41%NM 19.14%EV +3.02%E +0.616%K +0.774%G +0.023%1.16I 86.21%NM 80.86%EV -8.39%E -7.23%K -52.42%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-22 12:54
Virgin Bet4.90I 20.41%NM 19.14%EV +3.02%E +0.616%K +0.774%G +0.023%1.16I 86.21%NM 80.86%EV -8.39%E -7.23%K -52.42%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-22 12:54
BetRivers4.90I 20.41%NM 19.14%EV +3.02%E +0.616%K +0.774%G +0.023%1.16I 86.21%NM 80.86%EV -8.39%E -7.23%K -52.42%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-22 12:54
Winamax (DE)4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -11.70%E -2.79%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 78.36%EV -8.39%E -7.23%K -52.42%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-22 12:54
Winamax (FR)3.95I 25.32%NM 22.70%EV -16.96%E -4.29%K -5.75%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 77.30%EV -8.39%E -7.23%K -52.42%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-22 12:54
theScore Bet5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV +5.12%E +1.02%K +1.28%G +0.066%1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -9.18%E -7.98%K -61.18%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-22 12:54
LeoVegas4.80I 20.83%NM 19.33%EV +0.915%E +0.191%K +0.241%G +0.002%1.15I 86.96%NM 80.67%EV -9.18%E -7.98%K -61.18%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-22 12:54
888sport4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -0.136%E -0.029%K -0.036%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 80.51%EV -9.18%E -7.98%K -61.18%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-22 12:54
Mr Green (SE)4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -0.136%E -0.029%K -0.036%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 80.51%EV -9.18%E -7.98%K -61.18%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-22 12:54
Fanatics4.65I 21.51%NM 19.83%EV -2.24%E -0.481%K -0.613%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 80.17%EV -9.18%E -7.98%K -61.18%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-22 12:54
Betclic (FR)4.50I 22.22%NM 20.35%EV -5.39%E -1.20%K -1.54%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 79.65%EV -9.18%E -7.98%K -61.18%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-22 12:54
LeoVegas (SE)4.75I 21.05%NM 19.35%EV -0.136%E -0.029%K -0.036%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 80.65%EV -9.97%E -8.74%K -71.20%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-22 12:54
PMU (FR)4.60I 21.74%NM 19.58%EV -3.29%E -0.715%K -0.914%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 80.42%EV -11.55%E -10.31%K -96.22%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-22 12:54
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (6)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
Smarkets4.80I 20.83%NM 20.79%1.26I 79.37%NM 79.21%0.2%2026-04-22 12:54
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.80I 20.83%NM 20.66%1.25I 80.00%NM 79.34%0.8%2026-04-22 12:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)5.10I 19.61%NM 19.43%1.23I 81.30%NM 80.57%0.9%2026-04-22 12:54
Betfair Exchange (EU)5.20I 19.23%NM 18.75%1.20I 83.33%NM 81.25%2.6%2026-04-22 12:54
Matchbook3.50I 28.57%NM 24.73%1.15I 86.96%NM 75.27%15.5%2026-04-22 12:54
Novig5.52I 18.12%NM 15.34%1.00I 100.00%NM 84.66%18.1%2026-04-22 12:54