مدرسة الاحتمالات

Lorenzo Sonego v Dusan Lajovic

البداية: 2026-04-22 13:00 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

50 شركة مراهنات (20 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Lorenzo Sonego (المضيف)

التنبؤ 21.02%4.76السعر العادل
EV +7.22%
الأفضلية +1.42%
Kelly +1.76%
النمو +0.127%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 5.10

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
18.66%22.83%21.08%46.05%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.054.224.535.1048.78%23.71%22.10%19.61%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Dusan Lajovic (الضيف)

التنبؤ 78.98%1.27السعر العادل
EV +38.21%
الأفضلية +21.83%
Kelly +50.94%
النمو +19.46%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.75

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
53.95%77.17%78.92%81.34%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.121.261.171.7589.29%79.42%85.47%57.14%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (50 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼الهامشآخر تحديث
PlayUp2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -56.90%E -27.76%K -54.19%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV +38.21%E +21.83%K +50.94%G +19.46%5.9%2026-04-22 12:39
BetOnline.ag2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -54.80%E -25.49%K -47.65%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV +37.42%E +21.50%K +50.57%G +18.92%4.0%2026-04-22 12:40
LowVig.ag2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -54.80%E -25.49%K -47.65%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV +37.42%E +21.50%K +50.57%G +18.92%4.0%2026-04-22 12:39
BetUS2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -55.85%E -26.60%K -50.77%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV +35.05%E +20.50%K +49.36%G +17.30%6.1%2026-04-22 12:39
Betr (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -54.80%E -25.49%K -47.65%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV +33.47%E +19.80%K +48.51%G +16.23%5.7%2026-04-22 12:35
SportsBet2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -55.85%E -26.60%K -50.77%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV +33.47%E +19.80%K +48.51%G +16.23%6.8%2026-04-22 12:39
Ladbrokes (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -54.80%E -25.49%K -47.65%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV +30.31%E +18.37%K +46.63%G +14.13%7.1%2026-04-22 12:35
Pinnacle2.62I 38.17%NM 36.87%EV -44.92%E -17.14%K -27.73%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 63.13%EV +20.83%E +13.62%K +39.31%G +8.19%3.5%2026-04-22 12:49
TAB3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -20.11%E -5.29%K -7.18%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -2.07%E -1.67%K -8.62%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-22 12:54
FanDuel4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -11.70%E -2.79%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -2.86%E -2.32%K -12.43%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-22 12:54
Coolbet4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -7.49%E -1.70%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -3.65%E -2.99%K -16.59%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-22 12:54
Betway4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -10.65%E -2.51%K -3.28%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -3.65%E -2.99%K -16.59%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-22 12:54
BetMGM4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -15.90%E -3.98%K -5.30%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -3.65%E -2.99%K -16.59%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-22 12:54
Caesars4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -15.90%E -3.98%K -5.30%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -3.65%E -2.99%K -16.59%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-22 12:54
888sport (SE)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -15.90%E -3.98%K -5.30%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -3.65%E -2.99%K -16.59%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-22 12:54
LiveScore Bet4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -11.70%E -2.79%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 77.63%EV -4.44%E -3.67%K -21.14%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-22 12:54
NordicBet4.55I 21.98%NM 20.87%EV -4.34%E -0.954%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.13%EV -5.23%E -4.36%K -26.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-22 12:54
Ladbrokes (UK)4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -8.97%E -2.07%K -2.69%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -5.23%E -4.36%K -26.14%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-22 12:55
BoyleSports4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -8.97%E -2.07%K -2.69%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -5.23%E -4.36%K -26.14%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-22 12:54
Paddy Power4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -15.90%E -3.98%K -5.30%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -5.23%E -4.36%K -26.14%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-22 12:54
DraftKings4.83I 20.70%NM 19.77%EV +1.55%E +0.320%K +0.404%G +0.006%1.19I 84.03%NM 80.23%EV -6.02%E -5.06%K -31.68%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-22 12:53
PointsBet (AU)4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -5.39%E -1.20%K -1.54%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -6.81%E -5.77%K -37.82%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-22 12:54
Fliff4.15I 24.10%NM 22.14%EV -12.75%E -3.07%K -4.05%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 77.86%EV -6.81%E -5.77%K -37.82%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-22 12:54
Casumo5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV +7.22%E +1.42%K +1.76%G +0.127%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -7.60%E -6.49%K -44.69%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-22 12:54
Unibet5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV +7.22%E +1.42%K +1.76%G +0.127%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -7.60%E -6.49%K -44.69%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-22 12:54
Unibet (SE)5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV +7.22%E +1.42%K +1.76%G +0.127%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -7.60%E -6.49%K -44.69%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-22 12:54
Unibet (NL)5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV +7.22%E +1.42%K +1.76%G +0.127%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -7.60%E -6.49%K -44.69%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-22 12:54
betPARX5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV +7.22%E +1.42%K +1.76%G +0.127%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -7.60%E -6.49%K -44.69%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-22 12:54
ATG (SE)5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV +7.22%E +1.42%K +1.76%G +0.127%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -7.60%E -6.49%K -44.69%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-22 12:54
Svenska Spel5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV +7.22%E +1.42%K +1.76%G +0.127%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -7.60%E -6.49%K -44.69%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-22 12:54
Unibet (UK)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV +5.12%E +1.02%K +1.28%G +0.066%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -7.60%E -6.49%K -44.69%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-22 12:54
Hard Rock Bet5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV +5.12%E +1.02%K +1.28%G +0.066%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -7.60%E -6.49%K -44.69%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-22 12:54
TABtouch4.90I 20.41%NM 19.28%EV +3.02%E +0.616%K +0.774%G +0.023%1.17I 85.47%NM 80.72%EV -7.60%E -6.49%K -44.69%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-22 12:54
Bet Victor4.75I 21.05%NM 19.76%EV -0.136%E -0.029%K -0.036%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 80.24%EV -7.60%E -6.49%K -44.69%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-22 12:53
Coral4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -3.29%E -0.715%K -0.914%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.72%EV -7.60%E -6.49%K -44.69%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-22 12:54
Tipico (DE)4.30I 23.26%NM 21.39%EV -9.60%E -2.23%K -2.91%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 78.61%EV -7.60%E -6.49%K -44.69%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-22 12:54
Betsson4.95I 20.20%NM 18.99%EV +4.07%E +0.822%K +1.03%G +0.042%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.01%EV -8.39%E -7.23%K -52.42%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-22 12:54
Grosvenor4.90I 20.41%NM 19.14%EV +3.02%E +0.616%K +0.774%G +0.023%1.16I 86.21%NM 80.86%EV -8.39%E -7.23%K -52.42%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-22 12:54
Virgin Bet4.90I 20.41%NM 19.14%EV +3.02%E +0.616%K +0.774%G +0.023%1.16I 86.21%NM 80.86%EV -8.39%E -7.23%K -52.42%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-22 12:54
BetRivers4.90I 20.41%NM 19.14%EV +3.02%E +0.616%K +0.774%G +0.023%1.16I 86.21%NM 80.86%EV -8.39%E -7.23%K -52.42%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-22 12:54
Winamax (DE)4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -11.70%E -2.79%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 78.36%EV -8.39%E -7.23%K -52.42%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-22 12:54
Winamax (FR)3.95I 25.32%NM 22.70%EV -16.96%E -4.29%K -5.75%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 77.30%EV -8.39%E -7.23%K -52.42%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-22 12:54
theScore Bet5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV +5.12%E +1.02%K +1.28%G +0.066%1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -9.18%E -7.98%K -61.18%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-22 12:54
LeoVegas4.80I 20.83%NM 19.33%EV +0.915%E +0.191%K +0.241%G +0.002%1.15I 86.96%NM 80.67%EV -9.18%E -7.98%K -61.18%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-22 12:54
888sport4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -0.136%E -0.029%K -0.036%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 80.51%EV -9.18%E -7.98%K -61.18%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-22 12:54
Mr Green (SE)4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -0.136%E -0.029%K -0.036%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 80.51%EV -9.18%E -7.98%K -61.18%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-22 12:54
Fanatics4.65I 21.51%NM 19.83%EV -2.24%E -0.481%K -0.613%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 80.17%EV -9.18%E -7.98%K -61.18%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-22 12:54
Betclic (FR)4.50I 22.22%NM 20.35%EV -5.39%E -1.20%K -1.54%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 79.65%EV -9.18%E -7.98%K -61.18%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-22 12:54
LeoVegas (SE)4.75I 21.05%NM 19.35%EV -0.136%E -0.029%K -0.036%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 80.65%EV -9.97%E -8.74%K -71.20%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-22 12:54
PMU (FR)4.60I 21.74%NM 19.58%EV -3.29%E -0.715%K -0.914%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 80.42%EV -11.55%E -10.31%K -96.22%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-22 12:54
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Smarkets4.80I 20.83%NM 20.79%1.26I 79.37%NM 79.21%0.2%2026-04-22 12:54
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.80I 20.83%NM 20.66%1.25I 80.00%NM 79.34%0.8%2026-04-22 12:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)5.10I 19.61%NM 19.43%1.23I 81.30%NM 80.57%0.9%2026-04-22 12:54
Betfair Exchange (EU)5.20I 19.23%NM 18.75%1.20I 83.33%NM 81.25%2.6%2026-04-22 12:54
Matchbook3.50I 28.57%NM 24.73%1.15I 86.96%NM 75.27%15.5%2026-04-22 12:54
Novig5.52I 18.12%NM 15.34%1.00I 100.00%NM 84.66%18.1%2026-04-22 12:54