A Escola das OddsIdioma:Português
Lorenzo Sonego v Dusan Lajovic
Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →
Frente a frente
Lorenzo Sonego (Local)
Previsão 21.02%4.76odd justa
EV +7.22%
Vantagem +1.42%
Kelly +1.76%
Crescimento +0.127%
pressupondo odds máximas de 5.10
Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
18.66%22.83%21.08%46.05%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.054.224.535.1048.78%23.71%22.10%19.61%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Dusan Lajovic (Visitante)
Previsão 78.98%1.27odd justa
EV +38.21%
Vantagem +21.83%
Kelly +50.94%
Crescimento +19.46%
pressupondo odds máximas de 1.75
Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
53.95%77.17%78.92%81.34%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.121.261.171.7589.29%79.42%85.47%57.14%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Odds das casas de apostas (50 casas de apostas)
Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.
| Casa de apostas | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margem | Atualização |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PlayUp | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -56.90%E -27.76%K -54.19%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV +38.21%E +21.83%K +50.94%G +19.46% | 5.9% | 2026-04-22 12:39 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -54.80%E -25.49%K -47.65%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV +37.42%E +21.50%K +50.57%G +18.92% | 4.0% | 2026-04-22 12:40 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -54.80%E -25.49%K -47.65%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV +37.42%E +21.50%K +50.57%G +18.92% | 4.0% | 2026-04-22 12:39 |
| BetUS | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -55.85%E -26.60%K -50.77%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV +35.05%E +20.50%K +49.36%G +17.30% | 6.1% | 2026-04-22 12:39 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -54.80%E -25.49%K -47.65%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV +33.47%E +19.80%K +48.51%G +16.23% | 5.7% | 2026-04-22 12:35 |
| SportsBet | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -55.85%E -26.60%K -50.77%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV +33.47%E +19.80%K +48.51%G +16.23% | 6.8% | 2026-04-22 12:39 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -54.80%E -25.49%K -47.65%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV +30.31%E +18.37%K +46.63%G +14.13% | 7.1% | 2026-04-22 12:35 |
| Pinnacle | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.87%EV -44.92%E -17.14%K -27.73%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.13%EV +20.83%E +13.62%K +39.31%G +8.19% | 3.5% | 2026-04-22 12:49 |
| TAB | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -20.11%E -5.29%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -2.07%E -1.67%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-22 12:54 |
| FanDuel | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -11.70%E -2.79%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -2.86%E -2.32%K -12.43%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-22 12:54 |
| Coolbet | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -7.49%E -1.70%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -3.65%E -2.99%K -16.59%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-22 12:54 |
| Betway | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -10.65%E -2.51%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -3.65%E -2.99%K -16.59%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-22 12:54 |
| BetMGM | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -15.90%E -3.98%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -3.65%E -2.99%K -16.59%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-22 12:54 |
| Caesars | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -15.90%E -3.98%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -3.65%E -2.99%K -16.59%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-22 12:54 |
| 888sport (SE) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -15.90%E -3.98%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -3.65%E -2.99%K -16.59%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-22 12:54 |
| LiveScore Bet | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -11.70%E -2.79%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.63%EV -4.44%E -3.67%K -21.14%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-22 12:54 |
| NordicBet | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.87%EV -4.34%E -0.954%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.13%EV -5.23%E -4.36%K -26.14%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-22 12:54 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -8.97%E -2.07%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -5.23%E -4.36%K -26.14%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-22 12:55 |
| BoyleSports | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -8.97%E -2.07%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -5.23%E -4.36%K -26.14%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-22 12:54 |
| Paddy Power | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -15.90%E -3.98%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -5.23%E -4.36%K -26.14%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-22 12:54 |
| DraftKings | 4.83I 20.70%NM 19.77%EV +1.55%E +0.320%K +0.404%G +0.006% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.23%EV -6.02%E -5.06%K -31.68%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-22 12:53 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -5.39%E -1.20%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -6.81%E -5.77%K -37.82%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-22 12:54 |
| Fliff | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.14%EV -12.75%E -3.07%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 77.86%EV -6.81%E -5.77%K -37.82%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-22 12:54 |
| Casumo | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV +7.22%E +1.42%K +1.76%G +0.127% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -7.60%E -6.49%K -44.69%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-22 12:54 |
| Unibet | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV +7.22%E +1.42%K +1.76%G +0.127% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -7.60%E -6.49%K -44.69%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-22 12:54 |
| Unibet (SE) | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV +7.22%E +1.42%K +1.76%G +0.127% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -7.60%E -6.49%K -44.69%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-22 12:54 |
| Unibet (NL) | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV +7.22%E +1.42%K +1.76%G +0.127% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -7.60%E -6.49%K -44.69%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-22 12:54 |
| betPARX | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV +7.22%E +1.42%K +1.76%G +0.127% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -7.60%E -6.49%K -44.69%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-22 12:54 |
| ATG (SE) | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV +7.22%E +1.42%K +1.76%G +0.127% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -7.60%E -6.49%K -44.69%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-22 12:54 |
| Svenska Spel | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV +7.22%E +1.42%K +1.76%G +0.127% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -7.60%E -6.49%K -44.69%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-22 12:54 |
| Unibet (UK) | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV +5.12%E +1.02%K +1.28%G +0.066% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -7.60%E -6.49%K -44.69%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-22 12:54 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV +5.12%E +1.02%K +1.28%G +0.066% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -7.60%E -6.49%K -44.69%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-22 12:54 |
| TABtouch | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.28%EV +3.02%E +0.616%K +0.774%G +0.023% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.72%EV -7.60%E -6.49%K -44.69%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-22 12:54 |
| Bet Victor | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.76%EV -0.136%E -0.029%K -0.036%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.24%EV -7.60%E -6.49%K -44.69%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-22 12:53 |
| Coral | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -3.29%E -0.715%K -0.914%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.72%EV -7.60%E -6.49%K -44.69%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-22 12:54 |
| Tipico (DE) | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.39%EV -9.60%E -2.23%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 78.61%EV -7.60%E -6.49%K -44.69%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-22 12:54 |
| Betsson | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.99%EV +4.07%E +0.822%K +1.03%G +0.042% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.01%EV -8.39%E -7.23%K -52.42%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-22 12:54 |
| Grosvenor | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.14%EV +3.02%E +0.616%K +0.774%G +0.023% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.86%EV -8.39%E -7.23%K -52.42%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-22 12:54 |
| Virgin Bet | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.14%EV +3.02%E +0.616%K +0.774%G +0.023% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.86%EV -8.39%E -7.23%K -52.42%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-22 12:54 |
| BetRivers | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.14%EV +3.02%E +0.616%K +0.774%G +0.023% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.86%EV -8.39%E -7.23%K -52.42%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-22 12:54 |
| Winamax (DE) | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -11.70%E -2.79%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 78.36%EV -8.39%E -7.23%K -52.42%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-22 12:54 |
| Winamax (FR) | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.70%EV -16.96%E -4.29%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 77.30%EV -8.39%E -7.23%K -52.42%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-22 12:54 |
| theScore Bet | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV +5.12%E +1.02%K +1.28%G +0.066% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -9.18%E -7.98%K -61.18%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-22 12:54 |
| LeoVegas | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.33%EV +0.915%E +0.191%K +0.241%G +0.002% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.67%EV -9.18%E -7.98%K -61.18%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-22 12:54 |
| 888sport | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -0.136%E -0.029%K -0.036%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.51%EV -9.18%E -7.98%K -61.18%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-22 12:54 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -0.136%E -0.029%K -0.036%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.51%EV -9.18%E -7.98%K -61.18%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-22 12:54 |
| Fanatics | 4.65I 21.51%NM 19.83%EV -2.24%E -0.481%K -0.613%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.17%EV -9.18%E -7.98%K -61.18%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-22 12:54 |
| Betclic (FR) | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.35%EV -5.39%E -1.20%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 79.65%EV -9.18%E -7.98%K -61.18%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-22 12:54 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.35%EV -0.136%E -0.029%K -0.036%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 80.65%EV -9.97%E -8.74%K -71.20%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-22 12:54 |
| PMU (FR) | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.58%EV -3.29%E -0.715%K -0.914%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 80.42%EV -11.55%E -10.31%K -96.22%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-04-22 12:54 |
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas
Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.
Bolsas de apostas (6)
| Casa de apostas | Local | Visitante | Margem ▲ | Atualização |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.79% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 79.21% | 0.2% | 2026-04-22 12:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.66% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 79.34% | 0.8% | 2026-04-22 12:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.43% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 80.57% | 0.9% | 2026-04-22 12:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.75% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 81.25% | 2.6% | 2026-04-22 12:54 |
| Matchbook | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.73% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 75.27% | 15.5% | 2026-04-22 12:54 |
| Novig | 5.52I 18.12%NM 15.34% | 1.00I 100.00%NM 84.66% | 18.1% | 2026-04-22 12:54 |