Die Wettquotenschule

Lorenzo Sonego v Dusan Lajovic

Spielbeginn: 2026-04-22 13:00 UTC

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

50 Wettanbieter (20 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: IQM

Lorenzo Sonego (Heim)

Prognose 21.02%4.76faire Quote
EV +7.22%
Vorteil +1.42%
Kelly +1.76%
Wachstum +0.127%

bei einer Höchstquote von 5.10

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
18.66%22.83%21.08%46.05%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
2.054.224.535.1048.78%23.71%22.10%19.61%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Dusan Lajovic (Auswärts)

Prognose 78.98%1.27faire Quote
EV +38.21%
Vorteil +21.83%
Kelly +50.94%
Wachstum +19.46%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.75

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
53.95%77.17%78.92%81.34%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
1.121.261.171.7589.29%79.42%85.47%57.14%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Wettanbieterquoten (50 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeimAuswärts ▼MargeAktualisiert
PlayUp2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -56.90%E -27.76%K -54.19%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV +38.21%E +21.83%K +50.94%G +19.46%5.9%2026-04-22 12:39
BetOnline.ag2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -54.80%E -25.49%K -47.65%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV +37.42%E +21.50%K +50.57%G +18.92%4.0%2026-04-22 12:40
LowVig.ag2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -54.80%E -25.49%K -47.65%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV +37.42%E +21.50%K +50.57%G +18.92%4.0%2026-04-22 12:39
BetUS2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -55.85%E -26.60%K -50.77%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV +35.05%E +20.50%K +49.36%G +17.30%6.1%2026-04-22 12:39
Betr (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -54.80%E -25.49%K -47.65%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV +33.47%E +19.80%K +48.51%G +16.23%5.7%2026-04-22 12:35
SportsBet2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -55.85%E -26.60%K -50.77%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV +33.47%E +19.80%K +48.51%G +16.23%6.8%2026-04-22 12:39
Ladbrokes (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -54.80%E -25.49%K -47.65%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV +30.31%E +18.37%K +46.63%G +14.13%7.1%2026-04-22 12:35
Pinnacle2.62I 38.17%NM 36.87%EV -44.92%E -17.14%K -27.73%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 63.13%EV +20.83%E +13.62%K +39.31%G +8.19%3.5%2026-04-22 12:49
TAB3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -20.11%E -5.29%K -7.18%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -2.07%E -1.67%K -8.62%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-22 12:54
FanDuel4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -11.70%E -2.79%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -2.86%E -2.32%K -12.43%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-22 12:54
Coolbet4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -7.49%E -1.70%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -3.65%E -2.99%K -16.59%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-22 12:54
Betway4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -10.65%E -2.51%K -3.28%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -3.65%E -2.99%K -16.59%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-22 12:54
BetMGM4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -15.90%E -3.98%K -5.30%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -3.65%E -2.99%K -16.59%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-22 12:54
Caesars4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -15.90%E -3.98%K -5.30%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -3.65%E -2.99%K -16.59%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-22 12:54
888sport (SE)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -15.90%E -3.98%K -5.30%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -3.65%E -2.99%K -16.59%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-22 12:54
LiveScore Bet4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -11.70%E -2.79%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 77.63%EV -4.44%E -3.67%K -21.14%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-22 12:54
NordicBet4.55I 21.98%NM 20.87%EV -4.34%E -0.954%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.13%EV -5.23%E -4.36%K -26.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-22 12:54
Ladbrokes (UK)4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -8.97%E -2.07%K -2.69%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -5.23%E -4.36%K -26.14%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-22 12:55
BoyleSports4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -8.97%E -2.07%K -2.69%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -5.23%E -4.36%K -26.14%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-22 12:54
Paddy Power4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -15.90%E -3.98%K -5.30%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -5.23%E -4.36%K -26.14%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-22 12:54
DraftKings4.83I 20.70%NM 19.77%EV +1.55%E +0.320%K +0.404%G +0.006%1.19I 84.03%NM 80.23%EV -6.02%E -5.06%K -31.68%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-22 12:53
PointsBet (AU)4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -5.39%E -1.20%K -1.54%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -6.81%E -5.77%K -37.82%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-22 12:54
Fliff4.15I 24.10%NM 22.14%EV -12.75%E -3.07%K -4.05%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 77.86%EV -6.81%E -5.77%K -37.82%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-22 12:54
Casumo5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV +7.22%E +1.42%K +1.76%G +0.127%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -7.60%E -6.49%K -44.69%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-22 12:54
Unibet5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV +7.22%E +1.42%K +1.76%G +0.127%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -7.60%E -6.49%K -44.69%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-22 12:54
Unibet (SE)5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV +7.22%E +1.42%K +1.76%G +0.127%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -7.60%E -6.49%K -44.69%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-22 12:54
Unibet (NL)5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV +7.22%E +1.42%K +1.76%G +0.127%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -7.60%E -6.49%K -44.69%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-22 12:54
betPARX5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV +7.22%E +1.42%K +1.76%G +0.127%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -7.60%E -6.49%K -44.69%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-22 12:54
ATG (SE)5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV +7.22%E +1.42%K +1.76%G +0.127%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -7.60%E -6.49%K -44.69%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-22 12:54
Svenska Spel5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV +7.22%E +1.42%K +1.76%G +0.127%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -7.60%E -6.49%K -44.69%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-22 12:54
Unibet (UK)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV +5.12%E +1.02%K +1.28%G +0.066%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -7.60%E -6.49%K -44.69%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-22 12:54
Hard Rock Bet5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV +5.12%E +1.02%K +1.28%G +0.066%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -7.60%E -6.49%K -44.69%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-22 12:54
TABtouch4.90I 20.41%NM 19.28%EV +3.02%E +0.616%K +0.774%G +0.023%1.17I 85.47%NM 80.72%EV -7.60%E -6.49%K -44.69%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-22 12:54
Bet Victor4.75I 21.05%NM 19.76%EV -0.136%E -0.029%K -0.036%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 80.24%EV -7.60%E -6.49%K -44.69%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-22 12:53
Coral4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -3.29%E -0.715%K -0.914%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.72%EV -7.60%E -6.49%K -44.69%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-22 12:54
Tipico (DE)4.30I 23.26%NM 21.39%EV -9.60%E -2.23%K -2.91%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 78.61%EV -7.60%E -6.49%K -44.69%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-22 12:54
Betsson4.95I 20.20%NM 18.99%EV +4.07%E +0.822%K +1.03%G +0.042%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.01%EV -8.39%E -7.23%K -52.42%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-22 12:54
Grosvenor4.90I 20.41%NM 19.14%EV +3.02%E +0.616%K +0.774%G +0.023%1.16I 86.21%NM 80.86%EV -8.39%E -7.23%K -52.42%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-22 12:54
Virgin Bet4.90I 20.41%NM 19.14%EV +3.02%E +0.616%K +0.774%G +0.023%1.16I 86.21%NM 80.86%EV -8.39%E -7.23%K -52.42%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-22 12:54
BetRivers4.90I 20.41%NM 19.14%EV +3.02%E +0.616%K +0.774%G +0.023%1.16I 86.21%NM 80.86%EV -8.39%E -7.23%K -52.42%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-22 12:54
Winamax (DE)4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -11.70%E -2.79%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 78.36%EV -8.39%E -7.23%K -52.42%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-22 12:54
Winamax (FR)3.95I 25.32%NM 22.70%EV -16.96%E -4.29%K -5.75%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 77.30%EV -8.39%E -7.23%K -52.42%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-22 12:54
theScore Bet5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV +5.12%E +1.02%K +1.28%G +0.066%1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -9.18%E -7.98%K -61.18%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-22 12:54
LeoVegas4.80I 20.83%NM 19.33%EV +0.915%E +0.191%K +0.241%G +0.002%1.15I 86.96%NM 80.67%EV -9.18%E -7.98%K -61.18%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-22 12:54
888sport4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -0.136%E -0.029%K -0.036%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 80.51%EV -9.18%E -7.98%K -61.18%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-22 12:54
Mr Green (SE)4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -0.136%E -0.029%K -0.036%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 80.51%EV -9.18%E -7.98%K -61.18%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-22 12:54
Fanatics4.65I 21.51%NM 19.83%EV -2.24%E -0.481%K -0.613%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 80.17%EV -9.18%E -7.98%K -61.18%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-22 12:54
Betclic (FR)4.50I 22.22%NM 20.35%EV -5.39%E -1.20%K -1.54%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 79.65%EV -9.18%E -7.98%K -61.18%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-22 12:54
LeoVegas (SE)4.75I 21.05%NM 19.35%EV -0.136%E -0.029%K -0.036%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 80.65%EV -9.97%E -8.74%K -71.20%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-22 12:54
PMU (FR)4.60I 21.74%NM 19.58%EV -3.29%E -0.715%K -0.914%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 80.42%EV -11.55%E -10.31%K -96.22%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-22 12:54
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (6)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Smarkets4.80I 20.83%NM 20.79%1.26I 79.37%NM 79.21%0.2%2026-04-22 12:54
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.80I 20.83%NM 20.66%1.25I 80.00%NM 79.34%0.8%2026-04-22 12:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)5.10I 19.61%NM 19.43%1.23I 81.30%NM 80.57%0.9%2026-04-22 12:54
Betfair Exchange (EU)5.20I 19.23%NM 18.75%1.20I 83.33%NM 81.25%2.6%2026-04-22 12:54
Matchbook3.50I 28.57%NM 24.73%1.15I 86.96%NM 75.27%15.5%2026-04-22 12:54
Novig5.52I 18.12%NM 15.34%1.00I 100.00%NM 84.66%18.1%2026-04-22 12:54