L’École des cotesLangue:Français
Lorenzo Sonego v Dusan Lajovic
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Lorenzo Sonego (Local)
Prévision 21.02%4.76cote équitable
EV +7.22%
Avantage +1.42%
Kelly +1.76%
Croissance +0.127%
avec la cote maximale 5.10
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
18.66%22.83%21.08%46.05%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.054.224.535.1048.78%23.71%22.10%19.61%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Dusan Lajovic (Visiteur)
Prévision 78.98%1.27cote équitable
EV +38.21%
Avantage +21.83%
Kelly +50.94%
Croissance +19.46%
avec la cote maximale 1.75
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
53.95%77.17%78.92%81.34%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.121.261.171.7589.29%79.42%85.47%57.14%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (50 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PlayUp | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -56.90%E -27.76%K -54.19%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV +38.21%E +21.83%K +50.94%G +19.46% | 5.9% | 2026-04-22 12:39 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -54.80%E -25.49%K -47.65%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV +37.42%E +21.50%K +50.57%G +18.92% | 4.0% | 2026-04-22 12:40 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -54.80%E -25.49%K -47.65%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV +37.42%E +21.50%K +50.57%G +18.92% | 4.0% | 2026-04-22 12:39 |
| BetUS | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -55.85%E -26.60%K -50.77%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV +35.05%E +20.50%K +49.36%G +17.30% | 6.1% | 2026-04-22 12:39 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -54.80%E -25.49%K -47.65%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV +33.47%E +19.80%K +48.51%G +16.23% | 5.7% | 2026-04-22 12:35 |
| SportsBet | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -55.85%E -26.60%K -50.77%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV +33.47%E +19.80%K +48.51%G +16.23% | 6.8% | 2026-04-22 12:39 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -54.80%E -25.49%K -47.65%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV +30.31%E +18.37%K +46.63%G +14.13% | 7.1% | 2026-04-22 12:35 |
| Pinnacle | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.87%EV -44.92%E -17.14%K -27.73%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.13%EV +20.83%E +13.62%K +39.31%G +8.19% | 3.5% | 2026-04-22 12:49 |
| TAB | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -20.11%E -5.29%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -2.07%E -1.67%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-22 12:54 |
| FanDuel | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -11.70%E -2.79%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -2.86%E -2.32%K -12.43%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-22 12:54 |
| Coolbet | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -7.49%E -1.70%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -3.65%E -2.99%K -16.59%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-22 12:54 |
| Betway | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -10.65%E -2.51%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -3.65%E -2.99%K -16.59%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-22 12:54 |
| BetMGM | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -15.90%E -3.98%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -3.65%E -2.99%K -16.59%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-22 12:54 |
| Caesars | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -15.90%E -3.98%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -3.65%E -2.99%K -16.59%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-22 12:54 |
| 888sport (SE) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -15.90%E -3.98%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -3.65%E -2.99%K -16.59%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-22 12:54 |
| LiveScore Bet | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -11.70%E -2.79%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.63%EV -4.44%E -3.67%K -21.14%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-22 12:54 |
| NordicBet | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.87%EV -4.34%E -0.954%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.13%EV -5.23%E -4.36%K -26.14%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-22 12:54 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -8.97%E -2.07%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -5.23%E -4.36%K -26.14%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-22 12:55 |
| BoyleSports | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -8.97%E -2.07%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -5.23%E -4.36%K -26.14%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-22 12:54 |
| Paddy Power | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -15.90%E -3.98%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -5.23%E -4.36%K -26.14%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-22 12:54 |
| DraftKings | 4.83I 20.70%NM 19.77%EV +1.55%E +0.320%K +0.404%G +0.006% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.23%EV -6.02%E -5.06%K -31.68%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-22 12:53 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -5.39%E -1.20%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -6.81%E -5.77%K -37.82%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-22 12:54 |
| Fliff | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.14%EV -12.75%E -3.07%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 77.86%EV -6.81%E -5.77%K -37.82%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-22 12:54 |
| Casumo | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV +7.22%E +1.42%K +1.76%G +0.127% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -7.60%E -6.49%K -44.69%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-22 12:54 |
| Unibet | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV +7.22%E +1.42%K +1.76%G +0.127% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -7.60%E -6.49%K -44.69%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-22 12:54 |
| Unibet (SE) | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV +7.22%E +1.42%K +1.76%G +0.127% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -7.60%E -6.49%K -44.69%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-22 12:54 |
| Unibet (NL) | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV +7.22%E +1.42%K +1.76%G +0.127% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -7.60%E -6.49%K -44.69%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-22 12:54 |
| betPARX | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV +7.22%E +1.42%K +1.76%G +0.127% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -7.60%E -6.49%K -44.69%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-22 12:54 |
| ATG (SE) | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV +7.22%E +1.42%K +1.76%G +0.127% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -7.60%E -6.49%K -44.69%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-22 12:54 |
| Svenska Spel | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV +7.22%E +1.42%K +1.76%G +0.127% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -7.60%E -6.49%K -44.69%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-22 12:54 |
| Unibet (UK) | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV +5.12%E +1.02%K +1.28%G +0.066% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -7.60%E -6.49%K -44.69%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-22 12:54 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV +5.12%E +1.02%K +1.28%G +0.066% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -7.60%E -6.49%K -44.69%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-22 12:54 |
| TABtouch | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.28%EV +3.02%E +0.616%K +0.774%G +0.023% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.72%EV -7.60%E -6.49%K -44.69%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-22 12:54 |
| Bet Victor | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.76%EV -0.136%E -0.029%K -0.036%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.24%EV -7.60%E -6.49%K -44.69%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-22 12:53 |
| Coral | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -3.29%E -0.715%K -0.914%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.72%EV -7.60%E -6.49%K -44.69%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-22 12:54 |
| Tipico (DE) | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.39%EV -9.60%E -2.23%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 78.61%EV -7.60%E -6.49%K -44.69%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-22 12:54 |
| Betsson | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.99%EV +4.07%E +0.822%K +1.03%G +0.042% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.01%EV -8.39%E -7.23%K -52.42%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-22 12:54 |
| Grosvenor | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.14%EV +3.02%E +0.616%K +0.774%G +0.023% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.86%EV -8.39%E -7.23%K -52.42%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-22 12:54 |
| Virgin Bet | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.14%EV +3.02%E +0.616%K +0.774%G +0.023% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.86%EV -8.39%E -7.23%K -52.42%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-22 12:54 |
| BetRivers | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.14%EV +3.02%E +0.616%K +0.774%G +0.023% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.86%EV -8.39%E -7.23%K -52.42%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-22 12:54 |
| Winamax (DE) | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -11.70%E -2.79%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 78.36%EV -8.39%E -7.23%K -52.42%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-22 12:54 |
| Winamax (FR) | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.70%EV -16.96%E -4.29%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 77.30%EV -8.39%E -7.23%K -52.42%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-22 12:54 |
| theScore Bet | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV +5.12%E +1.02%K +1.28%G +0.066% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -9.18%E -7.98%K -61.18%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-22 12:54 |
| LeoVegas | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.33%EV +0.915%E +0.191%K +0.241%G +0.002% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.67%EV -9.18%E -7.98%K -61.18%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-22 12:54 |
| 888sport | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -0.136%E -0.029%K -0.036%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.51%EV -9.18%E -7.98%K -61.18%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-22 12:54 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -0.136%E -0.029%K -0.036%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.51%EV -9.18%E -7.98%K -61.18%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-22 12:54 |
| Fanatics | 4.65I 21.51%NM 19.83%EV -2.24%E -0.481%K -0.613%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.17%EV -9.18%E -7.98%K -61.18%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-22 12:54 |
| Betclic (FR) | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.35%EV -5.39%E -1.20%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 79.65%EV -9.18%E -7.98%K -61.18%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-22 12:54 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.35%EV -0.136%E -0.029%K -0.036%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 80.65%EV -9.97%E -8.74%K -71.20%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-22 12:54 |
| PMU (FR) | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.58%EV -3.29%E -0.715%K -0.914%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 80.42%EV -11.55%E -10.31%K -96.22%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-04-22 12:54 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (6)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.79% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 79.21% | 0.2% | 2026-04-22 12:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.66% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 79.34% | 0.8% | 2026-04-22 12:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.43% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 80.57% | 0.9% | 2026-04-22 12:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.75% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 81.25% | 2.6% | 2026-04-22 12:54 |
| Matchbook | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.73% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 75.27% | 15.5% | 2026-04-22 12:54 |
| Novig | 5.52I 18.12%NM 15.34% | 1.00I 100.00%NM 84.66% | 18.1% | 2026-04-22 12:54 |