La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Lorenzo Sonego v Dusan Lajovic
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Lorenzo Sonego (Local)
Predicción 21.02%4.76momio equitativo
EV +7.22%
Ventaja +1.42%
Kelly +1.76%
Crecimiento +0.127%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.10
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
18.66%22.83%21.08%46.05%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.054.224.535.1048.78%23.71%22.10%19.61%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Dusan Lajovic (Visitante)
Predicción 78.98%1.27momio equitativo
EV +38.21%
Ventaja +21.83%
Kelly +50.94%
Crecimiento +19.46%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.75
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
53.95%77.17%78.92%81.34%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.121.261.171.7589.29%79.42%85.47%57.14%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (50 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PlayUp | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -56.90%E -27.76%K -54.19%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV +38.21%E +21.83%K +50.94%G +19.46% | 5.9% | 2026-04-22 12:39 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -54.80%E -25.49%K -47.65%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV +37.42%E +21.50%K +50.57%G +18.92% | 4.0% | 2026-04-22 12:40 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -54.80%E -25.49%K -47.65%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV +37.42%E +21.50%K +50.57%G +18.92% | 4.0% | 2026-04-22 12:39 |
| BetUS | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -55.85%E -26.60%K -50.77%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV +35.05%E +20.50%K +49.36%G +17.30% | 6.1% | 2026-04-22 12:39 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -54.80%E -25.49%K -47.65%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV +33.47%E +19.80%K +48.51%G +16.23% | 5.7% | 2026-04-22 12:35 |
| SportsBet | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -55.85%E -26.60%K -50.77%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV +33.47%E +19.80%K +48.51%G +16.23% | 6.8% | 2026-04-22 12:39 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -54.80%E -25.49%K -47.65%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV +30.31%E +18.37%K +46.63%G +14.13% | 7.1% | 2026-04-22 12:35 |
| Pinnacle | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.87%EV -44.92%E -17.14%K -27.73%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.13%EV +20.83%E +13.62%K +39.31%G +8.19% | 3.5% | 2026-04-22 12:49 |
| TAB | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -20.11%E -5.29%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -2.07%E -1.67%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-22 12:54 |
| FanDuel | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -11.70%E -2.79%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -2.86%E -2.32%K -12.43%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-22 12:54 |
| Coolbet | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -7.49%E -1.70%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -3.65%E -2.99%K -16.59%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-22 12:54 |
| Betway | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -10.65%E -2.51%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -3.65%E -2.99%K -16.59%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-22 12:54 |
| BetMGM | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -15.90%E -3.98%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -3.65%E -2.99%K -16.59%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-22 12:54 |
| Caesars | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -15.90%E -3.98%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -3.65%E -2.99%K -16.59%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-22 12:54 |
| 888sport (SE) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -15.90%E -3.98%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -3.65%E -2.99%K -16.59%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-22 12:54 |
| LiveScore Bet | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -11.70%E -2.79%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.63%EV -4.44%E -3.67%K -21.14%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-22 12:54 |
| NordicBet | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.87%EV -4.34%E -0.954%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.13%EV -5.23%E -4.36%K -26.14%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-22 12:54 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -8.97%E -2.07%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -5.23%E -4.36%K -26.14%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-22 12:55 |
| BoyleSports | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -8.97%E -2.07%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -5.23%E -4.36%K -26.14%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-22 12:54 |
| Paddy Power | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -15.90%E -3.98%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -5.23%E -4.36%K -26.14%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-22 12:54 |
| DraftKings | 4.83I 20.70%NM 19.77%EV +1.55%E +0.320%K +0.404%G +0.006% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.23%EV -6.02%E -5.06%K -31.68%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-22 12:53 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -5.39%E -1.20%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -6.81%E -5.77%K -37.82%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-22 12:54 |
| Fliff | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.14%EV -12.75%E -3.07%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 77.86%EV -6.81%E -5.77%K -37.82%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-22 12:54 |
| Casumo | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV +7.22%E +1.42%K +1.76%G +0.127% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -7.60%E -6.49%K -44.69%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-22 12:54 |
| Unibet | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV +7.22%E +1.42%K +1.76%G +0.127% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -7.60%E -6.49%K -44.69%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-22 12:54 |
| Unibet (SE) | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV +7.22%E +1.42%K +1.76%G +0.127% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -7.60%E -6.49%K -44.69%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-22 12:54 |
| Unibet (NL) | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV +7.22%E +1.42%K +1.76%G +0.127% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -7.60%E -6.49%K -44.69%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-22 12:54 |
| betPARX | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV +7.22%E +1.42%K +1.76%G +0.127% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -7.60%E -6.49%K -44.69%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-22 12:54 |
| ATG (SE) | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV +7.22%E +1.42%K +1.76%G +0.127% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -7.60%E -6.49%K -44.69%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-22 12:54 |
| Svenska Spel | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV +7.22%E +1.42%K +1.76%G +0.127% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -7.60%E -6.49%K -44.69%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-22 12:54 |
| Unibet (UK) | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV +5.12%E +1.02%K +1.28%G +0.066% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -7.60%E -6.49%K -44.69%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-22 12:54 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV +5.12%E +1.02%K +1.28%G +0.066% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -7.60%E -6.49%K -44.69%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-22 12:54 |
| TABtouch | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.28%EV +3.02%E +0.616%K +0.774%G +0.023% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.72%EV -7.60%E -6.49%K -44.69%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-22 12:54 |
| Bet Victor | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.76%EV -0.136%E -0.029%K -0.036%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.24%EV -7.60%E -6.49%K -44.69%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-22 12:53 |
| Coral | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -3.29%E -0.715%K -0.914%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.72%EV -7.60%E -6.49%K -44.69%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-22 12:54 |
| Tipico (DE) | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.39%EV -9.60%E -2.23%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 78.61%EV -7.60%E -6.49%K -44.69%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-22 12:54 |
| Betsson | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.99%EV +4.07%E +0.822%K +1.03%G +0.042% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.01%EV -8.39%E -7.23%K -52.42%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-22 12:54 |
| Grosvenor | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.14%EV +3.02%E +0.616%K +0.774%G +0.023% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.86%EV -8.39%E -7.23%K -52.42%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-22 12:54 |
| Virgin Bet | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.14%EV +3.02%E +0.616%K +0.774%G +0.023% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.86%EV -8.39%E -7.23%K -52.42%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-22 12:54 |
| BetRivers | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.14%EV +3.02%E +0.616%K +0.774%G +0.023% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.86%EV -8.39%E -7.23%K -52.42%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-22 12:54 |
| Winamax (DE) | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -11.70%E -2.79%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 78.36%EV -8.39%E -7.23%K -52.42%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-22 12:54 |
| Winamax (FR) | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.70%EV -16.96%E -4.29%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 77.30%EV -8.39%E -7.23%K -52.42%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-22 12:54 |
| theScore Bet | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV +5.12%E +1.02%K +1.28%G +0.066% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -9.18%E -7.98%K -61.18%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-22 12:54 |
| LeoVegas | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.33%EV +0.915%E +0.191%K +0.241%G +0.002% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.67%EV -9.18%E -7.98%K -61.18%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-22 12:54 |
| 888sport | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -0.136%E -0.029%K -0.036%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.51%EV -9.18%E -7.98%K -61.18%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-22 12:54 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -0.136%E -0.029%K -0.036%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.51%EV -9.18%E -7.98%K -61.18%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-22 12:54 |
| Fanatics | 4.65I 21.51%NM 19.83%EV -2.24%E -0.481%K -0.613%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.17%EV -9.18%E -7.98%K -61.18%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-22 12:54 |
| Betclic (FR) | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.35%EV -5.39%E -1.20%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 79.65%EV -9.18%E -7.98%K -61.18%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-22 12:54 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.35%EV -0.136%E -0.029%K -0.036%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 80.65%EV -9.97%E -8.74%K -71.20%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-22 12:54 |
| PMU (FR) | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.58%EV -3.29%E -0.715%K -0.914%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 80.42%EV -11.55%E -10.31%K -96.22%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-04-22 12:54 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.79% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 79.21% | 0.2% | 2026-04-22 12:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.66% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 79.34% | 0.8% | 2026-04-22 12:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.43% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 80.57% | 0.9% | 2026-04-22 12:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.75% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 81.25% | 2.6% | 2026-04-22 12:54 |
| Matchbook | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.73% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 75.27% | 15.5% | 2026-04-22 12:54 |
| Novig | 5.52I 18.12%NM 15.34% | 1.00I 100.00%NM 84.66% | 18.1% | 2026-04-22 12:54 |