StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Arthur Fils v Ignacio Buse

Matchstart: 2026-04-24 12:00 UTC

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

58 spelbolag (20 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Arthur Fils (Hemma)

Prognos 81.51%1.23rättvist odds
EV -3.00%
Fördel -2.52%
Kelly -15.81%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.19

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
80.10%81.52%81.60%84.26%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.121.161.161.1989.29%86.30%86.21%84.03%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Ignacio Buse (Borta)

Prognos 18.49%5.41rättvist odds
EV +11.87%
Fördel +1.96%
Kelly +2.35%
Tillväxt +0.279%

med antagandet om högsta odds 6.05

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
15.74%18.48%18.40%19.90%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
4.755.175.206.0521.05%19.36%19.23%16.53%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Arthur Fils (Hemma): 81.51%; Ignacio Buse (Borta): 18.49%. För Ignacio Buse (Borta) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 5.41. 8 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 6.05, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +11.87%.

Spelbolagsodds (58 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemmaBorta ▼MarginalUppdaterat
SportsBet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.26%EV -7.90%E -6.99%K -60.73%G +0.000%6.05I 16.53%NM 15.74%EV +11.87%E +1.96%K +2.35%G +0.279%5.0%2026-04-24 01:55
FanDuel🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 83.93%EV -7.90%E -6.99%K -60.73%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.07%EV +9.10%E +1.54%K +1.86%G +0.169%5.4%2026-04-24 01:55
1xBet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 82.87%EV -4.63%E -3.96%K -27.26%G +0.000%5.66I 17.67%NM 17.13%EV +4.66%E +0.823%K +1.00%G +0.047%3.1%2026-04-24 03:25
Coolbet🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 82.34%EV -3.82%E -3.24%K -21.22%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.66%EV +1.70%E +0.309%K +0.378%G +0.006%2.9%2026-04-22 15:54
Winamax (DE)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 82.46%EV -4.63%E -3.96%K -27.26%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.54%EV +1.70%E +0.309%K +0.378%G +0.006%3.7%2026-04-23 12:14
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -7.08%E -6.21%K -50.57%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV +1.70%E +0.309%K +0.378%G +0.006%5.9%2026-04-24 01:50
TAB🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -7.90%E -6.99%K -60.73%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV +1.70%E +0.309%K +0.378%G +0.006%6.7%2026-04-23 08:04
Paddy Power🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -8.71%E -7.78%K -72.58%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV +1.70%E +0.309%K +0.378%G +0.006%7.5%2026-04-24 01:50
Pinnacle🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 81.94%EV -3.00%E -2.52%K -15.81%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.06%EV -0.147%E -0.027%K -0.033%G +0.000%2.6%2026-04-24 03:25
LowVig.ag🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 81.65%EV -3.82%E -3.24%K -21.22%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.35%EV -2.92%E -0.556%K -0.687%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-24 01:05
BetOnline.ag🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 81.65%EV -3.82%E -3.24%K -21.22%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.35%EV -2.92%E -0.556%K -0.687%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-24 01:04
Bet Right🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -5.45%E -4.70%K -34.06%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV -2.92%E -0.556%K -0.687%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-24 01:54
Betway🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -6.26%E -5.45%K -41.77%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -2.92%E -0.556%K -0.687%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-23 15:30
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -6.26%E -5.45%K -41.77%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -2.92%E -0.556%K -0.687%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-22 16:39
Betsson🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -4.63%E -3.96%K -27.26%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV -3.85%E -0.740%K -0.916%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-23 09:40
NordicBet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -4.63%E -3.96%K -27.26%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV -3.85%E -0.740%K -0.916%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-23 09:40
Fanatics🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -4.63%E -3.96%K -27.26%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV -3.85%E -0.740%K -0.916%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-23 09:45
Betclic (FR)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -4.63%E -3.96%K -27.26%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV -3.85%E -0.740%K -0.916%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-23 13:44
Winamax (FR)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -5.45%E -4.70%K -34.06%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -3.85%E -0.740%K -0.916%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 12:14
Grosvenor🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -5.45%E -4.70%K -34.06%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -3.85%E -0.740%K -0.916%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 09:24
LeoVegas🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -5.45%E -4.70%K -34.06%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -3.85%E -0.740%K -0.916%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 09:25
Casumo🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -5.45%E -4.70%K -34.06%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -3.85%E -0.740%K -0.916%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 09:24
Unibet (NL)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -5.45%E -4.70%K -34.06%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -3.85%E -0.740%K -0.916%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 09:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -5.45%E -4.70%K -34.06%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -3.85%E -0.740%K -0.916%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 09:24
Unibet🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -5.45%E -4.70%K -34.06%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -3.85%E -0.740%K -0.916%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 09:24
BetRivers🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -5.45%E -4.70%K -34.06%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -3.85%E -0.740%K -0.916%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 09:25
Unibet (SE)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -5.45%E -4.70%K -34.06%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -3.85%E -0.740%K -0.916%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 09:24
TABtouch🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -5.45%E -4.70%K -34.06%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -3.85%E -0.740%K -0.916%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 09:24
Bally Bet🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -5.45%E -4.70%K -34.06%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -3.85%E -0.740%K -0.916%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 09:24
betPARX🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -5.45%E -4.70%K -34.06%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -3.85%E -0.740%K -0.916%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 09:24
ATG (SE)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -5.45%E -4.70%K -34.06%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -3.85%E -0.740%K -0.916%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 09:24
Svenska Spel🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -5.45%E -4.70%K -34.06%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -3.85%E -0.740%K -0.916%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 09:24
DraftKings🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.57%EV -4.63%E -3.96%K -27.26%G +0.000%5.18I 19.31%NM 18.43%EV -4.22%E -0.814%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-23 09:40
LiveScore Bet🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 81.60%EV -6.26%E -5.45%K -41.77%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.40%EV -5.69%E -1.12%K -1.39%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-23 09:25
PMU (FR)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 81.60%EV -6.26%E -5.45%K -41.77%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.40%EV -5.69%E -1.12%K -1.39%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-23 10:34
Virgin Bet🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 81.60%EV -6.26%E -5.45%K -41.77%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.40%EV -5.69%E -1.12%K -1.39%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-23 09:24
GTbets🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 81.82%EV -8.71%E -7.78%K -72.58%G +0.000%5.04I 19.84%NM 18.18%EV -6.80%E -1.35%K -1.68%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-22 14:41
Unibet (FR)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -3.82%E -3.24%K -21.22%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -7.54%E -1.51%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-23 15:15
Unibet (UK)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.63%E -3.96%K -27.26%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -7.54%E -1.51%K -1.89%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-24 01:20
888sport🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.63%E -3.96%K -27.26%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -7.54%E -1.51%K -1.89%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-22 15:35
William Hill🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.63%E -3.96%K -27.26%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -7.54%E -1.51%K -1.89%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-22 18:09
888sport (SE)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.63%E -3.96%K -27.26%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -7.54%E -1.51%K -1.89%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-22 19:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.63%E -3.96%K -27.26%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -7.54%E -1.51%K -1.89%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-22 19:45
BoyleSports🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.63%E -3.96%K -27.26%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -7.54%E -1.51%K -1.89%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-23 06:00
BetUS🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.63%E -3.96%K -27.26%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -7.54%E -1.51%K -1.89%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-24 02:55
Betr (AU)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -5.45%E -4.70%K -34.06%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -7.54%E -1.51%K -1.89%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-22 17:01
BetMGM🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -5.45%E -4.70%K -34.06%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -7.54%E -1.51%K -1.89%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-23 09:24
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -6.26%E -5.45%K -41.77%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -7.54%E -1.51%K -1.89%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 09:25
Coral🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -6.26%E -5.45%K -41.77%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -7.54%E -1.51%K -1.89%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 09:24
Everygame🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -7.08%E -6.21%K -50.57%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -7.54%E -1.51%K -1.89%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-22 19:30
Caesars🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -7.08%E -6.21%K -50.57%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -7.54%E -1.51%K -1.89%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-23 10:14
Tipico (DE)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 81.57%EV -7.90%E -6.99%K -60.73%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -7.54%E -1.51%K -1.89%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-22 15:39
theScore Bet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 80.56%EV -4.63%E -3.96%K -27.26%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.44%EV -10.32%E -2.13%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-23 23:25
Neds🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 80.67%EV -6.26%E -5.45%K -41.77%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.33%EV -11.24%E -2.34%K -2.96%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-23 09:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 80.67%EV -6.26%E -5.45%K -41.77%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.33%EV -11.24%E -2.34%K -2.96%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-23 09:20
PlayUp🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -3.82%E -3.24%K -21.22%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -12.17%E -2.56%K -3.24%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-23 15:30
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 80.24%EV -4.63%E -3.96%K -27.26%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.76%EV -12.17%E -2.56%K -3.24%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-23 09:34
Bet Victor🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 80.51%EV -6.26%E -5.45%K -41.77%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -12.17%E -2.56%K -3.24%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-24 01:55
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (6)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.18I 84.75%NM 84.01%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.99%0.9%2026-04-24 03:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.18I 84.75%NM 84.01%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.99%0.9%2026-04-24 03:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.18I 84.75%NM 84.01%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.99%0.9%2026-04-24 03:15
Matchbook1.18I 84.75%NM 84.01%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.99%0.9%2026-04-23 21:50
Novig1.18I 84.75%NM 83.21%5.85I 17.09%NM 16.79%1.8%2026-04-24 03:35
Smarkets1.17I 85.47%NM 83.68%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.32%2.1%2026-04-24 03:15