مدرسة الاحتمالات

Arthur Fils v Ignacio Buse

البداية: 2026-04-24 12:00 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

58 شركة مراهنات (20 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Arthur Fils (المضيف)

التنبؤ 81.51%1.23السعر العادل
EV -3.00%
الأفضلية -2.52%
Kelly -15.81%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.19

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
80.10%81.52%81.60%84.26%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.121.161.161.1989.29%86.30%86.21%84.03%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Ignacio Buse (الضيف)

التنبؤ 18.49%5.41السعر العادل
EV +11.87%
الأفضلية +1.96%
Kelly +2.35%
النمو +0.279%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 6.05

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
15.74%18.48%18.40%19.90%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
4.755.175.206.0521.05%19.36%19.23%16.53%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (58 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼الهامشآخر تحديث
SportsBet1.13I 88.50%NM 84.26%EV -7.90%E -6.99%K -60.73%G +0.000%6.05I 16.53%NM 15.74%EV +11.87%E +1.96%K +2.35%G +0.279%5.0%2026-04-24 01:55
FanDuel1.13I 88.50%NM 83.93%EV -7.90%E -6.99%K -60.73%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.07%EV +9.10%E +1.54%K +1.86%G +0.169%5.4%2026-04-24 01:55
1xBet1.17I 85.47%NM 82.87%EV -4.63%E -3.96%K -27.26%G +0.000%5.66I 17.67%NM 17.13%EV +4.66%E +0.823%K +1.00%G +0.047%3.1%2026-04-24 03:25
Coolbet1.18I 84.75%NM 82.34%EV -3.82%E -3.24%K -21.22%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.66%EV +1.70%E +0.309%K +0.378%G +0.006%2.9%2026-04-22 15:54
Winamax (DE)1.17I 85.47%NM 82.46%EV -4.63%E -3.96%K -27.26%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.54%EV +1.70%E +0.309%K +0.378%G +0.006%3.7%2026-04-23 12:14
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -7.08%E -6.21%K -50.57%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV +1.70%E +0.309%K +0.378%G +0.006%5.9%2026-04-24 01:50
TAB1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -7.90%E -6.99%K -60.73%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV +1.70%E +0.309%K +0.378%G +0.006%6.7%2026-04-23 08:04
Paddy Power1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -8.71%E -7.78%K -72.58%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV +1.70%E +0.309%K +0.378%G +0.006%7.5%2026-04-24 01:50
Pinnacle1.19I 84.03%NM 81.94%EV -3.00%E -2.52%K -15.81%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.06%EV -0.147%E -0.027%K -0.033%G +0.000%2.6%2026-04-24 03:25
LowVig.ag1.18I 84.75%NM 81.65%EV -3.82%E -3.24%K -21.22%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.35%EV -2.92%E -0.556%K -0.687%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-24 01:05
BetOnline.ag1.18I 84.75%NM 81.65%EV -3.82%E -3.24%K -21.22%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.35%EV -2.92%E -0.556%K -0.687%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-24 01:04
Bet Right1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -5.45%E -4.70%K -34.06%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV -2.92%E -0.556%K -0.687%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-24 01:54
Betway1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -6.26%E -5.45%K -41.77%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -2.92%E -0.556%K -0.687%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-23 15:30
Hard Rock Bet1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -6.26%E -5.45%K -41.77%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -2.92%E -0.556%K -0.687%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-22 16:39
Betsson1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -4.63%E -3.96%K -27.26%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV -3.85%E -0.740%K -0.916%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-23 09:40
NordicBet1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -4.63%E -3.96%K -27.26%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV -3.85%E -0.740%K -0.916%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-23 09:40
Fanatics1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -4.63%E -3.96%K -27.26%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV -3.85%E -0.740%K -0.916%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-23 09:45
Betclic (FR)1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -4.63%E -3.96%K -27.26%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV -3.85%E -0.740%K -0.916%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-23 13:44
Winamax (FR)1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -5.45%E -4.70%K -34.06%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -3.85%E -0.740%K -0.916%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 12:14
Grosvenor1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -5.45%E -4.70%K -34.06%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -3.85%E -0.740%K -0.916%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 09:24
LeoVegas1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -5.45%E -4.70%K -34.06%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -3.85%E -0.740%K -0.916%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 09:25
Casumo1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -5.45%E -4.70%K -34.06%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -3.85%E -0.740%K -0.916%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 09:24
Unibet (NL)1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -5.45%E -4.70%K -34.06%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -3.85%E -0.740%K -0.916%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 09:25
LeoVegas (SE)1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -5.45%E -4.70%K -34.06%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -3.85%E -0.740%K -0.916%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 09:24
Unibet1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -5.45%E -4.70%K -34.06%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -3.85%E -0.740%K -0.916%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 09:24
BetRivers1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -5.45%E -4.70%K -34.06%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -3.85%E -0.740%K -0.916%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 09:25
Unibet (SE)1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -5.45%E -4.70%K -34.06%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -3.85%E -0.740%K -0.916%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 09:24
TABtouch1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -5.45%E -4.70%K -34.06%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -3.85%E -0.740%K -0.916%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 09:24
Bally Bet1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -5.45%E -4.70%K -34.06%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -3.85%E -0.740%K -0.916%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 09:24
betPARX1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -5.45%E -4.70%K -34.06%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -3.85%E -0.740%K -0.916%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 09:24
ATG (SE)1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -5.45%E -4.70%K -34.06%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -3.85%E -0.740%K -0.916%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 09:24
Svenska Spel1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -5.45%E -4.70%K -34.06%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -3.85%E -0.740%K -0.916%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 09:24
DraftKings1.17I 85.47%NM 81.57%EV -4.63%E -3.96%K -27.26%G +0.000%5.18I 19.31%NM 18.43%EV -4.22%E -0.814%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-23 09:40
LiveScore Bet1.15I 86.96%NM 81.60%EV -6.26%E -5.45%K -41.77%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.40%EV -5.69%E -1.12%K -1.39%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-23 09:25
PMU (FR)1.15I 86.96%NM 81.60%EV -6.26%E -5.45%K -41.77%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.40%EV -5.69%E -1.12%K -1.39%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-23 10:34
Virgin Bet1.15I 86.96%NM 81.60%EV -6.26%E -5.45%K -41.77%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.40%EV -5.69%E -1.12%K -1.39%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-23 09:24
GTbets1.12I 89.29%NM 81.82%EV -8.71%E -7.78%K -72.58%G +0.000%5.04I 19.84%NM 18.18%EV -6.80%E -1.35%K -1.68%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-22 14:41
Unibet (FR)1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -3.82%E -3.24%K -21.22%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -7.54%E -1.51%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-23 15:15
Unibet (UK)1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.63%E -3.96%K -27.26%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -7.54%E -1.51%K -1.89%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-24 01:20
888sport1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.63%E -3.96%K -27.26%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -7.54%E -1.51%K -1.89%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-22 15:35
William Hill1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.63%E -3.96%K -27.26%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -7.54%E -1.51%K -1.89%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-22 18:09
888sport (SE)1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.63%E -3.96%K -27.26%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -7.54%E -1.51%K -1.89%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-22 19:45
Mr Green (SE)1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.63%E -3.96%K -27.26%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -7.54%E -1.51%K -1.89%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-22 19:45
BoyleSports1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.63%E -3.96%K -27.26%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -7.54%E -1.51%K -1.89%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-23 06:00
BetUS1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.63%E -3.96%K -27.26%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -7.54%E -1.51%K -1.89%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-24 02:55
Betr (AU)1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -5.45%E -4.70%K -34.06%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -7.54%E -1.51%K -1.89%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-22 17:01
BetMGM1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -5.45%E -4.70%K -34.06%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -7.54%E -1.51%K -1.89%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-23 09:24
Ladbrokes (UK)1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -6.26%E -5.45%K -41.77%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -7.54%E -1.51%K -1.89%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 09:25
Coral1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -6.26%E -5.45%K -41.77%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -7.54%E -1.51%K -1.89%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 09:24
Everygame1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -7.08%E -6.21%K -50.57%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -7.54%E -1.51%K -1.89%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-22 19:30
Caesars1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -7.08%E -6.21%K -50.57%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -7.54%E -1.51%K -1.89%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-23 10:14
Tipico (DE)1.13I 88.50%NM 81.57%EV -7.90%E -6.99%K -60.73%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -7.54%E -1.51%K -1.89%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-22 15:39
theScore Bet1.17I 85.47%NM 80.56%EV -4.63%E -3.96%K -27.26%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.44%EV -10.32%E -2.13%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-23 23:25
Neds1.15I 86.96%NM 80.67%EV -6.26%E -5.45%K -41.77%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.33%EV -11.24%E -2.34%K -2.96%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-23 09:20
Ladbrokes (AU)1.15I 86.96%NM 80.67%EV -6.26%E -5.45%K -41.77%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.33%EV -11.24%E -2.34%K -2.96%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-23 09:20
PlayUp1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -3.82%E -3.24%K -21.22%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -12.17%E -2.56%K -3.24%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-23 15:30
PointsBet (AU)1.17I 85.47%NM 80.24%EV -4.63%E -3.96%K -27.26%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.76%EV -12.17%E -2.56%K -3.24%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-23 09:34
Bet Victor1.15I 86.96%NM 80.51%EV -6.26%E -5.45%K -41.77%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -12.17%E -2.56%K -3.24%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-24 01:55
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.18I 84.75%NM 84.01%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.99%0.9%2026-04-24 03:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.18I 84.75%NM 84.01%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.99%0.9%2026-04-24 03:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.18I 84.75%NM 84.01%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.99%0.9%2026-04-24 03:15
Matchbook1.18I 84.75%NM 84.01%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.99%0.9%2026-04-23 21:50
Novig1.18I 84.75%NM 83.21%5.85I 17.09%NM 16.79%1.8%2026-04-24 03:35
Smarkets1.17I 85.47%NM 83.68%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.32%2.1%2026-04-24 03:15