A Escola das Odds

Arthur Fils v Ignacio Buse

Início: 2026-04-24 12:00 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

58 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Arthur Fils (Local)

Previsão 81.51%1.23odd justa
EV -3.00%
Vantagem -2.52%
Kelly -15.81%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.19

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
80.10%81.52%81.60%84.26%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.121.161.161.1989.29%86.30%86.21%84.03%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Ignacio Buse (Visitante)

Previsão 18.49%5.41odd justa
EV +11.87%
Vantagem +1.96%
Kelly +2.35%
Crescimento +0.279%

pressupondo odds máximas de 6.05

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
15.74%18.48%18.40%19.90%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
4.755.175.206.0521.05%19.36%19.23%16.53%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (58 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
SportsBet1.13I 88.50%NM 84.26%EV -7.90%E -6.99%K -60.73%G +0.000%6.05I 16.53%NM 15.74%EV +11.87%E +1.96%K +2.35%G +0.279%5.0%2026-04-24 01:55
FanDuel1.13I 88.50%NM 83.93%EV -7.90%E -6.99%K -60.73%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.07%EV +9.10%E +1.54%K +1.86%G +0.169%5.4%2026-04-24 01:55
1xBet1.17I 85.47%NM 82.87%EV -4.63%E -3.96%K -27.26%G +0.000%5.66I 17.67%NM 17.13%EV +4.66%E +0.823%K +1.00%G +0.047%3.1%2026-04-24 03:25
Coolbet1.18I 84.75%NM 82.34%EV -3.82%E -3.24%K -21.22%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.66%EV +1.70%E +0.309%K +0.378%G +0.006%2.9%2026-04-22 15:54
Winamax (DE)1.17I 85.47%NM 82.46%EV -4.63%E -3.96%K -27.26%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.54%EV +1.70%E +0.309%K +0.378%G +0.006%3.7%2026-04-23 12:14
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -7.08%E -6.21%K -50.57%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV +1.70%E +0.309%K +0.378%G +0.006%5.9%2026-04-24 01:50
TAB1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -7.90%E -6.99%K -60.73%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV +1.70%E +0.309%K +0.378%G +0.006%6.7%2026-04-23 08:04
Paddy Power1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -8.71%E -7.78%K -72.58%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV +1.70%E +0.309%K +0.378%G +0.006%7.5%2026-04-24 01:50
Pinnacle1.19I 84.03%NM 81.94%EV -3.00%E -2.52%K -15.81%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.06%EV -0.147%E -0.027%K -0.033%G +0.000%2.6%2026-04-24 03:25
LowVig.ag1.18I 84.75%NM 81.65%EV -3.82%E -3.24%K -21.22%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.35%EV -2.92%E -0.556%K -0.687%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-24 01:05
BetOnline.ag1.18I 84.75%NM 81.65%EV -3.82%E -3.24%K -21.22%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.35%EV -2.92%E -0.556%K -0.687%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-24 01:04
Bet Right1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -5.45%E -4.70%K -34.06%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV -2.92%E -0.556%K -0.687%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-24 01:54
Betway1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -6.26%E -5.45%K -41.77%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -2.92%E -0.556%K -0.687%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-23 15:30
Hard Rock Bet1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -6.26%E -5.45%K -41.77%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -2.92%E -0.556%K -0.687%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-22 16:39
Betsson1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -4.63%E -3.96%K -27.26%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV -3.85%E -0.740%K -0.916%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-23 09:40
NordicBet1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -4.63%E -3.96%K -27.26%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV -3.85%E -0.740%K -0.916%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-23 09:40
Fanatics1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -4.63%E -3.96%K -27.26%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV -3.85%E -0.740%K -0.916%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-23 09:45
Betclic (FR)1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -4.63%E -3.96%K -27.26%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV -3.85%E -0.740%K -0.916%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-23 13:44
Winamax (FR)1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -5.45%E -4.70%K -34.06%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -3.85%E -0.740%K -0.916%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 12:14
Grosvenor1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -5.45%E -4.70%K -34.06%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -3.85%E -0.740%K -0.916%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 09:24
LeoVegas1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -5.45%E -4.70%K -34.06%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -3.85%E -0.740%K -0.916%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 09:25
Casumo1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -5.45%E -4.70%K -34.06%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -3.85%E -0.740%K -0.916%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 09:24
Unibet (NL)1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -5.45%E -4.70%K -34.06%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -3.85%E -0.740%K -0.916%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 09:25
LeoVegas (SE)1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -5.45%E -4.70%K -34.06%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -3.85%E -0.740%K -0.916%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 09:24
Unibet1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -5.45%E -4.70%K -34.06%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -3.85%E -0.740%K -0.916%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 09:24
BetRivers1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -5.45%E -4.70%K -34.06%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -3.85%E -0.740%K -0.916%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 09:25
Unibet (SE)1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -5.45%E -4.70%K -34.06%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -3.85%E -0.740%K -0.916%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 09:24
TABtouch1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -5.45%E -4.70%K -34.06%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -3.85%E -0.740%K -0.916%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 09:24
Bally Bet1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -5.45%E -4.70%K -34.06%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -3.85%E -0.740%K -0.916%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 09:24
betPARX1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -5.45%E -4.70%K -34.06%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -3.85%E -0.740%K -0.916%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 09:24
ATG (SE)1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -5.45%E -4.70%K -34.06%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -3.85%E -0.740%K -0.916%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 09:24
Svenska Spel1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -5.45%E -4.70%K -34.06%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -3.85%E -0.740%K -0.916%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 09:24
DraftKings1.17I 85.47%NM 81.57%EV -4.63%E -3.96%K -27.26%G +0.000%5.18I 19.31%NM 18.43%EV -4.22%E -0.814%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-23 09:40
LiveScore Bet1.15I 86.96%NM 81.60%EV -6.26%E -5.45%K -41.77%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.40%EV -5.69%E -1.12%K -1.39%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-23 09:25
PMU (FR)1.15I 86.96%NM 81.60%EV -6.26%E -5.45%K -41.77%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.40%EV -5.69%E -1.12%K -1.39%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-23 10:34
Virgin Bet1.15I 86.96%NM 81.60%EV -6.26%E -5.45%K -41.77%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.40%EV -5.69%E -1.12%K -1.39%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-23 09:24
GTbets1.12I 89.29%NM 81.82%EV -8.71%E -7.78%K -72.58%G +0.000%5.04I 19.84%NM 18.18%EV -6.80%E -1.35%K -1.68%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-22 14:41
Unibet (FR)1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -3.82%E -3.24%K -21.22%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -7.54%E -1.51%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-23 15:15
Unibet (UK)1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.63%E -3.96%K -27.26%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -7.54%E -1.51%K -1.89%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-24 01:20
888sport1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.63%E -3.96%K -27.26%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -7.54%E -1.51%K -1.89%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-22 15:35
William Hill1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.63%E -3.96%K -27.26%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -7.54%E -1.51%K -1.89%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-22 18:09
888sport (SE)1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.63%E -3.96%K -27.26%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -7.54%E -1.51%K -1.89%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-22 19:45
Mr Green (SE)1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.63%E -3.96%K -27.26%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -7.54%E -1.51%K -1.89%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-22 19:45
BoyleSports1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.63%E -3.96%K -27.26%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -7.54%E -1.51%K -1.89%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-23 06:00
BetUS1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.63%E -3.96%K -27.26%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -7.54%E -1.51%K -1.89%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-24 02:55
Betr (AU)1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -5.45%E -4.70%K -34.06%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -7.54%E -1.51%K -1.89%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-22 17:01
BetMGM1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -5.45%E -4.70%K -34.06%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -7.54%E -1.51%K -1.89%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-23 09:24
Ladbrokes (UK)1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -6.26%E -5.45%K -41.77%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -7.54%E -1.51%K -1.89%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 09:25
Coral1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -6.26%E -5.45%K -41.77%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -7.54%E -1.51%K -1.89%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 09:24
Everygame1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -7.08%E -6.21%K -50.57%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -7.54%E -1.51%K -1.89%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-22 19:30
Caesars1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -7.08%E -6.21%K -50.57%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -7.54%E -1.51%K -1.89%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-23 10:14
Tipico (DE)1.13I 88.50%NM 81.57%EV -7.90%E -6.99%K -60.73%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -7.54%E -1.51%K -1.89%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-22 15:39
theScore Bet1.17I 85.47%NM 80.56%EV -4.63%E -3.96%K -27.26%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.44%EV -10.32%E -2.13%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-23 23:25
Neds1.15I 86.96%NM 80.67%EV -6.26%E -5.45%K -41.77%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.33%EV -11.24%E -2.34%K -2.96%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-23 09:20
Ladbrokes (AU)1.15I 86.96%NM 80.67%EV -6.26%E -5.45%K -41.77%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.33%EV -11.24%E -2.34%K -2.96%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-23 09:20
PlayUp1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -3.82%E -3.24%K -21.22%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -12.17%E -2.56%K -3.24%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-23 15:30
PointsBet (AU)1.17I 85.47%NM 80.24%EV -4.63%E -3.96%K -27.26%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.76%EV -12.17%E -2.56%K -3.24%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-23 09:34
Bet Victor1.15I 86.96%NM 80.51%EV -6.26%E -5.45%K -41.77%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -12.17%E -2.56%K -3.24%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-24 01:55
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.18I 84.75%NM 84.01%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.99%0.9%2026-04-24 03:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.18I 84.75%NM 84.01%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.99%0.9%2026-04-24 03:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.18I 84.75%NM 84.01%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.99%0.9%2026-04-24 03:15
Matchbook1.18I 84.75%NM 84.01%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.99%0.9%2026-04-23 21:50
Novig1.18I 84.75%NM 83.21%5.85I 17.09%NM 16.79%1.8%2026-04-24 03:35
Smarkets1.17I 85.47%NM 83.68%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.32%2.1%2026-04-24 03:15