La scuola delle quoteLingua:Italiano
Arthur Fils v Ignacio Buse
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
Testa a testa
Arthur Fils (Casa)
Previsione 81.51%1.23quota equa
EV -3.00%
Vantaggio -2.52%
Kelly -15.81%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.19
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
80.10%81.52%81.60%84.26%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.121.161.161.1989.29%86.30%86.21%84.03%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Ignacio Buse (Trasferta)
Previsione 18.49%5.41quota equa
EV +11.87%
Vantaggio +1.96%
Kelly +2.35%
Crescita +0.279%
ipotizzando la quota massima 6.05
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
15.74%18.48%18.40%19.90%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
4.755.175.206.0521.05%19.36%19.23%16.53%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Quote dei bookmaker (58 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta ▼ | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportsBet | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.26%EV -7.90%E -6.99%K -60.73%G +0.000% | 6.05I 16.53%NM 15.74%EV +11.87%E +1.96%K +2.35%G +0.279% | 5.0% | 2026-04-24 01:55 |
| FanDuel | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.93%EV -7.90%E -6.99%K -60.73%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.07%EV +9.10%E +1.54%K +1.86%G +0.169% | 5.4% | 2026-04-24 01:55 |
| 1xBet | 1.17I 85.47%NM 82.87%EV -4.63%E -3.96%K -27.26%G +0.000% | 5.66I 17.67%NM 17.13%EV +4.66%E +0.823%K +1.00%G +0.047% | 3.1% | 2026-04-24 03:25 |
| Coolbet | 1.18I 84.75%NM 82.34%EV -3.82%E -3.24%K -21.22%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.66%EV +1.70%E +0.309%K +0.378%G +0.006% | 2.9% | 2026-04-22 15:54 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.17I 85.47%NM 82.46%EV -4.63%E -3.96%K -27.26%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.54%EV +1.70%E +0.309%K +0.378%G +0.006% | 3.7% | 2026-04-23 12:14 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -7.08%E -6.21%K -50.57%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV +1.70%E +0.309%K +0.378%G +0.006% | 5.9% | 2026-04-24 01:50 |
| TAB | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -7.90%E -6.99%K -60.73%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV +1.70%E +0.309%K +0.378%G +0.006% | 6.7% | 2026-04-23 08:04 |
| Paddy Power | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -8.71%E -7.78%K -72.58%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV +1.70%E +0.309%K +0.378%G +0.006% | 7.5% | 2026-04-24 01:50 |
| Pinnacle | 1.19I 84.03%NM 81.94%EV -3.00%E -2.52%K -15.81%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.06%EV -0.147%E -0.027%K -0.033%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-04-24 03:25 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.18I 84.75%NM 81.65%EV -3.82%E -3.24%K -21.22%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.35%EV -2.92%E -0.556%K -0.687%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-24 01:05 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.18I 84.75%NM 81.65%EV -3.82%E -3.24%K -21.22%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.35%EV -2.92%E -0.556%K -0.687%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-24 01:04 |
| Bet Right | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -5.45%E -4.70%K -34.06%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV -2.92%E -0.556%K -0.687%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-24 01:54 |
| Betway | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -6.26%E -5.45%K -41.77%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -2.92%E -0.556%K -0.687%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-23 15:30 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -6.26%E -5.45%K -41.77%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -2.92%E -0.556%K -0.687%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-22 16:39 |
| Betsson | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -4.63%E -3.96%K -27.26%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV -3.85%E -0.740%K -0.916%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-23 09:40 |
| NordicBet | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -4.63%E -3.96%K -27.26%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV -3.85%E -0.740%K -0.916%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-23 09:40 |
| Fanatics | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -4.63%E -3.96%K -27.26%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV -3.85%E -0.740%K -0.916%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-23 09:45 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -4.63%E -3.96%K -27.26%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV -3.85%E -0.740%K -0.916%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-23 13:44 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -5.45%E -4.70%K -34.06%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -3.85%E -0.740%K -0.916%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-23 12:14 |
| Grosvenor | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -5.45%E -4.70%K -34.06%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -3.85%E -0.740%K -0.916%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-23 09:24 |
| LeoVegas | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -5.45%E -4.70%K -34.06%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -3.85%E -0.740%K -0.916%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-23 09:25 |
| Casumo | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -5.45%E -4.70%K -34.06%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -3.85%E -0.740%K -0.916%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-23 09:24 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -5.45%E -4.70%K -34.06%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -3.85%E -0.740%K -0.916%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-23 09:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -5.45%E -4.70%K -34.06%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -3.85%E -0.740%K -0.916%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-23 09:24 |
| Unibet | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -5.45%E -4.70%K -34.06%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -3.85%E -0.740%K -0.916%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-23 09:24 |
| BetRivers | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -5.45%E -4.70%K -34.06%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -3.85%E -0.740%K -0.916%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-23 09:25 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -5.45%E -4.70%K -34.06%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -3.85%E -0.740%K -0.916%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-23 09:24 |
| TABtouch | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -5.45%E -4.70%K -34.06%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -3.85%E -0.740%K -0.916%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-23 09:24 |
| Bally Bet | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -5.45%E -4.70%K -34.06%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -3.85%E -0.740%K -0.916%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-23 09:24 |
| betPARX | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -5.45%E -4.70%K -34.06%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -3.85%E -0.740%K -0.916%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-23 09:24 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -5.45%E -4.70%K -34.06%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -3.85%E -0.740%K -0.916%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-23 09:24 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -5.45%E -4.70%K -34.06%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -3.85%E -0.740%K -0.916%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-23 09:24 |
| DraftKings | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.57%EV -4.63%E -3.96%K -27.26%G +0.000% | 5.18I 19.31%NM 18.43%EV -4.22%E -0.814%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-23 09:40 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.60%EV -6.26%E -5.45%K -41.77%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.40%EV -5.69%E -1.12%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-23 09:25 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.60%EV -6.26%E -5.45%K -41.77%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.40%EV -5.69%E -1.12%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-23 10:34 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.60%EV -6.26%E -5.45%K -41.77%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.40%EV -5.69%E -1.12%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-23 09:24 |
| GTbets | 1.12I 89.29%NM 81.82%EV -8.71%E -7.78%K -72.58%G +0.000% | 5.04I 19.84%NM 18.18%EV -6.80%E -1.35%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-22 14:41 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -3.82%E -3.24%K -21.22%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -7.54%E -1.51%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-23 15:15 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.63%E -3.96%K -27.26%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -7.54%E -1.51%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-24 01:20 |
| 888sport | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.63%E -3.96%K -27.26%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -7.54%E -1.51%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-22 15:35 |
| William Hill | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.63%E -3.96%K -27.26%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -7.54%E -1.51%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-22 18:09 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.63%E -3.96%K -27.26%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -7.54%E -1.51%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-22 19:45 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.63%E -3.96%K -27.26%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -7.54%E -1.51%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-22 19:45 |
| BoyleSports | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.63%E -3.96%K -27.26%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -7.54%E -1.51%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-23 06:00 |
| BetUS | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.63%E -3.96%K -27.26%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -7.54%E -1.51%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-24 02:55 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -5.45%E -4.70%K -34.06%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -7.54%E -1.51%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-22 17:01 |
| BetMGM | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -5.45%E -4.70%K -34.06%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -7.54%E -1.51%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-23 09:24 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -6.26%E -5.45%K -41.77%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -7.54%E -1.51%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-23 09:25 |
| Coral | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -6.26%E -5.45%K -41.77%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -7.54%E -1.51%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-23 09:24 |
| Everygame | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -7.08%E -6.21%K -50.57%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -7.54%E -1.51%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-22 19:30 |
| Caesars | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -7.08%E -6.21%K -50.57%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -7.54%E -1.51%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-23 10:14 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.13I 88.50%NM 81.57%EV -7.90%E -6.99%K -60.73%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -7.54%E -1.51%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-22 15:39 |
| theScore Bet | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.56%EV -4.63%E -3.96%K -27.26%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.44%EV -10.32%E -2.13%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-23 23:25 |
| Neds | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.67%EV -6.26%E -5.45%K -41.77%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.33%EV -11.24%E -2.34%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-23 09:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.67%EV -6.26%E -5.45%K -41.77%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.33%EV -11.24%E -2.34%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-23 09:20 |
| PlayUp | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -3.82%E -3.24%K -21.22%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -12.17%E -2.56%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-23 15:30 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.24%EV -4.63%E -3.96%K -27.26%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.76%EV -12.17%E -2.56%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-23 09:34 |
| Bet Victor | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.51%EV -6.26%E -5.45%K -41.77%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -12.17%E -2.56%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-24 01:55 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (6)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.18I 84.75%NM 84.01% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.99% | 0.9% | 2026-04-24 03:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.18I 84.75%NM 84.01% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.99% | 0.9% | 2026-04-24 03:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.18I 84.75%NM 84.01% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.99% | 0.9% | 2026-04-24 03:15 |
| Matchbook | 1.18I 84.75%NM 84.01% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.99% | 0.9% | 2026-04-23 21:50 |
| Novig | 1.18I 84.75%NM 83.21% | 5.85I 17.09%NM 16.79% | 1.8% | 2026-04-24 03:35 |
| Smarkets | 1.17I 85.47%NM 83.68% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.32% | 2.1% | 2026-04-24 03:15 |