Szkoła Kursów

Arthur Fils v Ignacio Buse

Początek: 2026-04-24 12:00 UTC

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

58 bukmacherów (20 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: IQM

Arthur Fils (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 81.51%1.23kurs godziwy
EV -3.00%
Przewaga -2.52%
Kelly -15.81%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 1.19

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
80.10%81.52%81.60%84.26%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.121.161.161.1989.29%86.30%86.21%84.03%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Ignacio Buse (Goście)

Prognoza 18.49%5.41kurs godziwy
EV +11.87%
Przewaga +1.96%
Kelly +2.35%
Wzrost +0.279%

przy maksymalnym kursie 6.05

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
15.74%18.48%18.40%19.90%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
4.755.175.206.0521.05%19.36%19.23%16.53%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Kursy bukmacherskie (58 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarzeGoście ▼MarżaAktualizacja
SportsBet1.13I 88.50%NM 84.26%EV -7.90%E -6.99%K -60.73%G +0.000%6.05I 16.53%NM 15.74%EV +11.87%E +1.96%K +2.35%G +0.279%5.0%2026-04-24 01:55
FanDuel1.13I 88.50%NM 83.93%EV -7.90%E -6.99%K -60.73%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.07%EV +9.10%E +1.54%K +1.86%G +0.169%5.4%2026-04-24 01:55
1xBet1.17I 85.47%NM 82.87%EV -4.63%E -3.96%K -27.26%G +0.000%5.66I 17.67%NM 17.13%EV +4.66%E +0.823%K +1.00%G +0.047%3.1%2026-04-24 03:25
Coolbet1.18I 84.75%NM 82.34%EV -3.82%E -3.24%K -21.22%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.66%EV +1.70%E +0.309%K +0.378%G +0.006%2.9%2026-04-22 15:54
Winamax (DE)1.17I 85.47%NM 82.46%EV -4.63%E -3.96%K -27.26%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.54%EV +1.70%E +0.309%K +0.378%G +0.006%3.7%2026-04-23 12:14
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -7.08%E -6.21%K -50.57%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV +1.70%E +0.309%K +0.378%G +0.006%5.9%2026-04-24 01:50
TAB1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -7.90%E -6.99%K -60.73%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV +1.70%E +0.309%K +0.378%G +0.006%6.7%2026-04-23 08:04
Paddy Power1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -8.71%E -7.78%K -72.58%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV +1.70%E +0.309%K +0.378%G +0.006%7.5%2026-04-24 01:50
Pinnacle1.19I 84.03%NM 81.94%EV -3.00%E -2.52%K -15.81%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.06%EV -0.147%E -0.027%K -0.033%G +0.000%2.6%2026-04-24 03:25
LowVig.ag1.18I 84.75%NM 81.65%EV -3.82%E -3.24%K -21.22%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.35%EV -2.92%E -0.556%K -0.687%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-24 01:05
BetOnline.ag1.18I 84.75%NM 81.65%EV -3.82%E -3.24%K -21.22%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.35%EV -2.92%E -0.556%K -0.687%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-24 01:04
Bet Right1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -5.45%E -4.70%K -34.06%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV -2.92%E -0.556%K -0.687%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-24 01:54
Betway1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -6.26%E -5.45%K -41.77%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -2.92%E -0.556%K -0.687%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-23 15:30
Hard Rock Bet1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -6.26%E -5.45%K -41.77%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -2.92%E -0.556%K -0.687%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-22 16:39
Betsson1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -4.63%E -3.96%K -27.26%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV -3.85%E -0.740%K -0.916%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-23 09:40
NordicBet1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -4.63%E -3.96%K -27.26%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV -3.85%E -0.740%K -0.916%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-23 09:40
Fanatics1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -4.63%E -3.96%K -27.26%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV -3.85%E -0.740%K -0.916%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-23 09:45
Betclic (FR)1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -4.63%E -3.96%K -27.26%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV -3.85%E -0.740%K -0.916%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-23 13:44
Winamax (FR)1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -5.45%E -4.70%K -34.06%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -3.85%E -0.740%K -0.916%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 12:14
Grosvenor1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -5.45%E -4.70%K -34.06%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -3.85%E -0.740%K -0.916%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 09:24
LeoVegas1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -5.45%E -4.70%K -34.06%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -3.85%E -0.740%K -0.916%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 09:25
Casumo1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -5.45%E -4.70%K -34.06%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -3.85%E -0.740%K -0.916%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 09:24
Unibet (NL)1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -5.45%E -4.70%K -34.06%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -3.85%E -0.740%K -0.916%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 09:25
LeoVegas (SE)1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -5.45%E -4.70%K -34.06%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -3.85%E -0.740%K -0.916%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 09:24
Unibet1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -5.45%E -4.70%K -34.06%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -3.85%E -0.740%K -0.916%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 09:24
BetRivers1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -5.45%E -4.70%K -34.06%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -3.85%E -0.740%K -0.916%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 09:25
Unibet (SE)1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -5.45%E -4.70%K -34.06%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -3.85%E -0.740%K -0.916%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 09:24
TABtouch1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -5.45%E -4.70%K -34.06%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -3.85%E -0.740%K -0.916%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 09:24
Bally Bet1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -5.45%E -4.70%K -34.06%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -3.85%E -0.740%K -0.916%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 09:24
betPARX1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -5.45%E -4.70%K -34.06%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -3.85%E -0.740%K -0.916%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 09:24
ATG (SE)1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -5.45%E -4.70%K -34.06%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -3.85%E -0.740%K -0.916%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 09:24
Svenska Spel1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -5.45%E -4.70%K -34.06%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -3.85%E -0.740%K -0.916%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 09:24
DraftKings1.17I 85.47%NM 81.57%EV -4.63%E -3.96%K -27.26%G +0.000%5.18I 19.31%NM 18.43%EV -4.22%E -0.814%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-23 09:40
LiveScore Bet1.15I 86.96%NM 81.60%EV -6.26%E -5.45%K -41.77%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.40%EV -5.69%E -1.12%K -1.39%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-23 09:25
PMU (FR)1.15I 86.96%NM 81.60%EV -6.26%E -5.45%K -41.77%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.40%EV -5.69%E -1.12%K -1.39%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-23 10:34
Virgin Bet1.15I 86.96%NM 81.60%EV -6.26%E -5.45%K -41.77%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.40%EV -5.69%E -1.12%K -1.39%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-23 09:24
GTbets1.12I 89.29%NM 81.82%EV -8.71%E -7.78%K -72.58%G +0.000%5.04I 19.84%NM 18.18%EV -6.80%E -1.35%K -1.68%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-22 14:41
Unibet (FR)1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -3.82%E -3.24%K -21.22%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -7.54%E -1.51%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-23 15:15
Unibet (UK)1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.63%E -3.96%K -27.26%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -7.54%E -1.51%K -1.89%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-24 01:20
888sport1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.63%E -3.96%K -27.26%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -7.54%E -1.51%K -1.89%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-22 15:35
William Hill1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.63%E -3.96%K -27.26%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -7.54%E -1.51%K -1.89%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-22 18:09
888sport (SE)1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.63%E -3.96%K -27.26%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -7.54%E -1.51%K -1.89%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-22 19:45
Mr Green (SE)1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.63%E -3.96%K -27.26%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -7.54%E -1.51%K -1.89%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-22 19:45
BoyleSports1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.63%E -3.96%K -27.26%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -7.54%E -1.51%K -1.89%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-23 06:00
BetUS1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.63%E -3.96%K -27.26%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -7.54%E -1.51%K -1.89%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-24 02:55
Betr (AU)1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -5.45%E -4.70%K -34.06%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -7.54%E -1.51%K -1.89%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-22 17:01
BetMGM1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -5.45%E -4.70%K -34.06%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -7.54%E -1.51%K -1.89%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-23 09:24
Ladbrokes (UK)1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -6.26%E -5.45%K -41.77%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -7.54%E -1.51%K -1.89%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 09:25
Coral1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -6.26%E -5.45%K -41.77%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -7.54%E -1.51%K -1.89%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 09:24
Everygame1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -7.08%E -6.21%K -50.57%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -7.54%E -1.51%K -1.89%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-22 19:30
Caesars1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -7.08%E -6.21%K -50.57%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -7.54%E -1.51%K -1.89%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-23 10:14
Tipico (DE)1.13I 88.50%NM 81.57%EV -7.90%E -6.99%K -60.73%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -7.54%E -1.51%K -1.89%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-22 15:39
theScore Bet1.17I 85.47%NM 80.56%EV -4.63%E -3.96%K -27.26%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.44%EV -10.32%E -2.13%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-23 23:25
Neds1.15I 86.96%NM 80.67%EV -6.26%E -5.45%K -41.77%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.33%EV -11.24%E -2.34%K -2.96%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-23 09:20
Ladbrokes (AU)1.15I 86.96%NM 80.67%EV -6.26%E -5.45%K -41.77%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.33%EV -11.24%E -2.34%K -2.96%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-23 09:20
PlayUp1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -3.82%E -3.24%K -21.22%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -12.17%E -2.56%K -3.24%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-23 15:30
PointsBet (AU)1.17I 85.47%NM 80.24%EV -4.63%E -3.96%K -27.26%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.76%EV -12.17%E -2.56%K -3.24%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-23 09:34
Bet Victor1.15I 86.96%NM 80.51%EV -6.26%E -5.45%K -41.77%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -12.17%E -2.56%K -3.24%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-24 01:55
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (6)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeMarża ▲Aktualizacja
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.18I 84.75%NM 84.01%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.99%0.9%2026-04-24 03:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.18I 84.75%NM 84.01%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.99%0.9%2026-04-24 03:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.18I 84.75%NM 84.01%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.99%0.9%2026-04-24 03:15
Matchbook1.18I 84.75%NM 84.01%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.99%0.9%2026-04-23 21:50
Novig1.18I 84.75%NM 83.21%5.85I 17.09%NM 16.79%1.8%2026-04-24 03:35
Smarkets1.17I 85.47%NM 83.68%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.32%2.1%2026-04-24 03:15