StandardmodellInterquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Arthur Fils v Ignacio Buse

Spielbeginn: 2026-04-24 12:00 UTC

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

58 Wettanbieter (20 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Arthur Fils (Heim)

Prognose 81.51%1.23faire Quote
EV -3.00%
Vorteil -2.52%
Kelly -15.81%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.19

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
80.10%81.52%81.60%84.26%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.121.161.161.1989.29%86.30%86.21%84.03%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Ignacio Buse (Auswärts)

Prognose 18.49%5.41faire Quote
EV +11.87%
Vorteil +1.96%
Kelly +2.35%
Wachstum +0.279%

bei einer Höchstquote von 6.05

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
15.74%18.48%18.40%19.90%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
4.755.175.206.0521.05%19.36%19.23%16.53%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Bei den letzten Quoten vor Spielbeginn schätzte Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) für Direkter Vergleich: Arthur Fils (Heim): 81.51%; Ignacio Buse (Auswärts): 18.49%. Für Ignacio Buse (Auswärts) entsprach diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 5.41. 8 Wettanbieter boten Schlussquoten über diesem Wert an; die beste betrug 6.05 und entsprach einem positiven Erwartungswert von +11.87%.

Wettanbieterquoten (58 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeimAuswärts ▼MargeAktualisiert
SportsBet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.26%EV -7.90%E -6.99%K -60.73%G +0.000%6.05I 16.53%NM 15.74%EV +11.87%E +1.96%K +2.35%G +0.279%5.0%2026-04-24 01:55
FanDuel🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 83.93%EV -7.90%E -6.99%K -60.73%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.07%EV +9.10%E +1.54%K +1.86%G +0.169%5.4%2026-04-24 01:55
1xBet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 82.87%EV -4.63%E -3.96%K -27.26%G +0.000%5.66I 17.67%NM 17.13%EV +4.66%E +0.823%K +1.00%G +0.047%3.1%2026-04-24 03:25
Coolbet🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 82.34%EV -3.82%E -3.24%K -21.22%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.66%EV +1.70%E +0.309%K +0.378%G +0.006%2.9%2026-04-22 15:54
Winamax (DE)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 82.46%EV -4.63%E -3.96%K -27.26%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.54%EV +1.70%E +0.309%K +0.378%G +0.006%3.7%2026-04-23 12:14
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -7.08%E -6.21%K -50.57%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV +1.70%E +0.309%K +0.378%G +0.006%5.9%2026-04-24 01:50
TAB🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -7.90%E -6.99%K -60.73%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV +1.70%E +0.309%K +0.378%G +0.006%6.7%2026-04-23 08:04
Paddy Power🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -8.71%E -7.78%K -72.58%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV +1.70%E +0.309%K +0.378%G +0.006%7.5%2026-04-24 01:50
Pinnacle🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 81.94%EV -3.00%E -2.52%K -15.81%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.06%EV -0.147%E -0.027%K -0.033%G +0.000%2.6%2026-04-24 03:25
LowVig.ag🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 81.65%EV -3.82%E -3.24%K -21.22%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.35%EV -2.92%E -0.556%K -0.687%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-24 01:05
BetOnline.ag🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 81.65%EV -3.82%E -3.24%K -21.22%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.35%EV -2.92%E -0.556%K -0.687%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-24 01:04
Bet Right🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -5.45%E -4.70%K -34.06%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV -2.92%E -0.556%K -0.687%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-24 01:54
Betway🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -6.26%E -5.45%K -41.77%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -2.92%E -0.556%K -0.687%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-23 15:30
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -6.26%E -5.45%K -41.77%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -2.92%E -0.556%K -0.687%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-22 16:39
Betsson🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -4.63%E -3.96%K -27.26%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV -3.85%E -0.740%K -0.916%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-23 09:40
NordicBet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -4.63%E -3.96%K -27.26%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV -3.85%E -0.740%K -0.916%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-23 09:40
Fanatics🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -4.63%E -3.96%K -27.26%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV -3.85%E -0.740%K -0.916%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-23 09:45
Betclic (FR)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -4.63%E -3.96%K -27.26%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV -3.85%E -0.740%K -0.916%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-23 13:44
Winamax (FR)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -5.45%E -4.70%K -34.06%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -3.85%E -0.740%K -0.916%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 12:14
Grosvenor🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -5.45%E -4.70%K -34.06%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -3.85%E -0.740%K -0.916%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 09:24
LeoVegas🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -5.45%E -4.70%K -34.06%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -3.85%E -0.740%K -0.916%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 09:25
Casumo🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -5.45%E -4.70%K -34.06%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -3.85%E -0.740%K -0.916%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 09:24
Unibet (NL)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -5.45%E -4.70%K -34.06%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -3.85%E -0.740%K -0.916%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 09:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -5.45%E -4.70%K -34.06%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -3.85%E -0.740%K -0.916%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 09:24
Unibet🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -5.45%E -4.70%K -34.06%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -3.85%E -0.740%K -0.916%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 09:24
BetRivers🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -5.45%E -4.70%K -34.06%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -3.85%E -0.740%K -0.916%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 09:25
Unibet (SE)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -5.45%E -4.70%K -34.06%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -3.85%E -0.740%K -0.916%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 09:24
TABtouch🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -5.45%E -4.70%K -34.06%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -3.85%E -0.740%K -0.916%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 09:24
Bally Bet🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -5.45%E -4.70%K -34.06%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -3.85%E -0.740%K -0.916%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 09:24
betPARX🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -5.45%E -4.70%K -34.06%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -3.85%E -0.740%K -0.916%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 09:24
ATG (SE)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -5.45%E -4.70%K -34.06%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -3.85%E -0.740%K -0.916%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 09:24
Svenska Spel🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -5.45%E -4.70%K -34.06%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -3.85%E -0.740%K -0.916%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 09:24
DraftKings🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.57%EV -4.63%E -3.96%K -27.26%G +0.000%5.18I 19.31%NM 18.43%EV -4.22%E -0.814%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-23 09:40
LiveScore Bet🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 81.60%EV -6.26%E -5.45%K -41.77%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.40%EV -5.69%E -1.12%K -1.39%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-23 09:25
PMU (FR)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 81.60%EV -6.26%E -5.45%K -41.77%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.40%EV -5.69%E -1.12%K -1.39%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-23 10:34
Virgin Bet🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 81.60%EV -6.26%E -5.45%K -41.77%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.40%EV -5.69%E -1.12%K -1.39%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-23 09:24
GTbets🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 81.82%EV -8.71%E -7.78%K -72.58%G +0.000%5.04I 19.84%NM 18.18%EV -6.80%E -1.35%K -1.68%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-22 14:41
Unibet (FR)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -3.82%E -3.24%K -21.22%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -7.54%E -1.51%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-23 15:15
Unibet (UK)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.63%E -3.96%K -27.26%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -7.54%E -1.51%K -1.89%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-24 01:20
888sport🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.63%E -3.96%K -27.26%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -7.54%E -1.51%K -1.89%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-22 15:35
William Hill🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.63%E -3.96%K -27.26%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -7.54%E -1.51%K -1.89%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-22 18:09
888sport (SE)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.63%E -3.96%K -27.26%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -7.54%E -1.51%K -1.89%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-22 19:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.63%E -3.96%K -27.26%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -7.54%E -1.51%K -1.89%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-22 19:45
BoyleSports🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.63%E -3.96%K -27.26%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -7.54%E -1.51%K -1.89%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-23 06:00
BetUS🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.63%E -3.96%K -27.26%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -7.54%E -1.51%K -1.89%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-24 02:55
Betr (AU)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -5.45%E -4.70%K -34.06%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -7.54%E -1.51%K -1.89%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-22 17:01
BetMGM🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -5.45%E -4.70%K -34.06%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -7.54%E -1.51%K -1.89%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-23 09:24
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -6.26%E -5.45%K -41.77%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -7.54%E -1.51%K -1.89%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 09:25
Coral🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -6.26%E -5.45%K -41.77%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -7.54%E -1.51%K -1.89%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 09:24
Everygame🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -7.08%E -6.21%K -50.57%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -7.54%E -1.51%K -1.89%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-22 19:30
Caesars🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -7.08%E -6.21%K -50.57%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -7.54%E -1.51%K -1.89%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-23 10:14
Tipico (DE)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 81.57%EV -7.90%E -6.99%K -60.73%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -7.54%E -1.51%K -1.89%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-22 15:39
theScore Bet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 80.56%EV -4.63%E -3.96%K -27.26%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.44%EV -10.32%E -2.13%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-23 23:25
Neds🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 80.67%EV -6.26%E -5.45%K -41.77%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.33%EV -11.24%E -2.34%K -2.96%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-23 09:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 80.67%EV -6.26%E -5.45%K -41.77%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.33%EV -11.24%E -2.34%K -2.96%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-23 09:20
PlayUp🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -3.82%E -3.24%K -21.22%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -12.17%E -2.56%K -3.24%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-23 15:30
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 80.24%EV -4.63%E -3.96%K -27.26%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.76%EV -12.17%E -2.56%K -3.24%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-23 09:34
Bet Victor🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 80.51%EV -6.26%E -5.45%K -41.77%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -12.17%E -2.56%K -3.24%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-24 01:55
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (6)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.18I 84.75%NM 84.01%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.99%0.9%2026-04-24 03:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.18I 84.75%NM 84.01%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.99%0.9%2026-04-24 03:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.18I 84.75%NM 84.01%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.99%0.9%2026-04-24 03:15
Matchbook1.18I 84.75%NM 84.01%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.99%0.9%2026-04-23 21:50
Novig1.18I 84.75%NM 83.21%5.85I 17.09%NM 16.79%1.8%2026-04-24 03:35
Smarkets1.17I 85.47%NM 83.68%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.32%2.1%2026-04-24 03:15