语言:简体中文
Tommy Paul v Luciano Darderi
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Tommy Paul (主队)
预测 54.96%1.82公平赔率
EV -2.18%
优势 -1.22%
Kelly -2.79%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.78
博彩公司预测分布
53.62%55.13%54.83%57.89%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.601.711.701.7862.50%58.59%58.82%56.18%最小值均值中位数最大值
Luciano Darderi (客队)
预测 45.04%2.22公平赔率
EV -0.454%
优势 -0.205%
Kelly -0.375%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 2.21
博彩公司预测分布
42.11%44.87%45.17%46.38%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.002.132.102.2150.00%46.94%47.62%45.25%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Tommy Paul (主队)：54.96%；Luciano Darderi (客队)：45.04%。 对于“Luciano Darderi (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.22。 当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率：最佳赔率为2.21，期望值为-0.454%，未产生正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (61 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 ▼ | 客队 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -2.18%E -1.22%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -6.31%E -3.03%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-10 15:34 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -2.18%E -1.22%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -7.21%E -3.50%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-10 15:34 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -3.28%E -1.86%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -5.41%E -2.58%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-10 15:35 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -3.28%E -1.86%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -5.41%E -2.58%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-10 15:33 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.81%EV -3.83%E -2.19%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 2.21I 45.25%NM 44.19%EV -0.454%E -0.205%K -0.375%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-05-10 15:35 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.47%EV -3.83%E -2.19%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.53%EV -1.81%E -0.828%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-05-10 15:35 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.83%E -2.19%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.41%E -2.58%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-10 15:35 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.38%E -2.51%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.16%E -1.47%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-10 15:34 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.38%E -2.51%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.16%E -1.47%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-10 15:34 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -4.38%E -2.51%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -4.51%E -2.13%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-10 15:35 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.38%E -2.51%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.41%E -2.58%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-10 15:34 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.38%E -2.51%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.41%E -2.58%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-10 15:35 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.38%E -2.51%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.41%E -2.58%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-10 15:34 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.38%E -2.51%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.41%E -2.58%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-10 15:35 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.38%E -2.51%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.41%E -2.58%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-10 15:34 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -4.38%E -2.51%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -7.66%E -3.74%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-10 15:34 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -4.38%E -2.51%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -7.66%E -3.74%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-10 15:34 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -4.38%E -2.51%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -7.66%E -3.74%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-10 15:34 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.53%EV -4.93%E -2.85%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.47%EV -2.71%E -1.25%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-10 15:34 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.95%EV -4.93%E -2.85%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 2.11I 47.39%NM 45.05%EV -4.96%E -2.35%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-10 15:34 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.93%E -2.85%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.41%E -2.58%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-10 15:34 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.93%E -2.85%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.41%E -2.58%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-10 15:34 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.93%E -2.85%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.41%E -2.58%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-10 15:34 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.93%E -2.85%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.41%E -2.58%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-10 15:35 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.93%E -2.85%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.41%E -2.58%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-10 15:34 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.59%EV -4.93%E -2.85%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.41%EV -6.31%E -3.03%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-10 15:35 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -4.93%E -2.85%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -9.91%E -4.96%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-10 15:35 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.47%E -3.18%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.51%E -2.13%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-10 15:35 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.47%EV -6.02%E -3.52%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 44.53%EV -4.06%E -1.90%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-10 15:35 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -6.02%E -3.52%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.41%E -2.58%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-10 15:35 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -6.57%E -3.87%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -4.51%E -2.13%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-10 15:35 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.57%E -3.87%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.41%E -2.58%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-10 15:34 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.57%E -3.87%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.41%E -2.58%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-10 15:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.57%E -3.87%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.41%E -2.58%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-10 15:34 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.57%E -3.87%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.41%E -2.58%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-10 15:35 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.57%E -3.87%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.41%E -2.58%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-10 15:34 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.57%E -3.87%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.66%E -3.74%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-10 15:34 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.57%E -3.87%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.66%E -3.74%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-10 15:34 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.57%E -3.87%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.66%E -3.74%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-10 15:34 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -7.12%E -4.22%K -10.32%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -3.16%E -1.47%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-10 15:35 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -7.12%E -4.22%K -10.32%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -5.41%E -2.58%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-10 15:34 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -8.22%E -4.92%K -12.27%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -0.904%E -0.411%K -0.754%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-10 15:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -8.22%E -4.92%K -12.27%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -0.904%E -0.411%K -0.754%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-10 15:35 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -8.22%E -4.92%K -12.27%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -0.904%E -0.411%K -0.754%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-10 15:34 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -8.22%E -4.92%K -12.27%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -0.904%E -0.411%K -0.754%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-10 15:34 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -8.22%E -4.92%K -12.27%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -0.904%E -0.411%K -0.754%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-10 15:34 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -8.22%E -4.92%K -12.27%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -0.904%E -0.411%K -0.754%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-10 15:34 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -8.22%E -4.92%K -12.27%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -0.904%E -0.411%K -0.754%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-10 15:34 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -8.22%E -4.92%K -12.27%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -0.904%E -0.411%K -0.754%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-10 15:34 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -8.22%E -4.92%K -12.27%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -0.904%E -0.411%K -0.754%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-10 15:35 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -8.22%E -4.92%K -12.27%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -0.904%E -0.411%K -0.754%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-10 15:35 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -8.22%E -4.92%K -12.27%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -0.904%E -0.411%K -0.754%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-10 15:34 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -8.22%E -4.92%K -12.27%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -0.904%E -0.411%K -0.754%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-10 15:34 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -8.22%E -4.92%K -12.27%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -0.904%E -0.411%K -0.754%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-10 15:35 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -8.22%E -4.92%K -12.27%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -0.904%E -0.411%K -0.754%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-10 15:34 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -8.22%E -4.92%K -12.27%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -0.904%E -0.411%K -0.754%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-10 15:34 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.92%EV -9.32%E -5.65%K -14.34%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.08%EV -1.81%E -0.828%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-10 15:35 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.81%EV -9.32%E -5.65%K -14.34%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.19%EV -2.26%E -1.04%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-10 15:34 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.81%EV -9.32%E -5.65%K -14.34%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.19%EV -2.26%E -1.04%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-10 15:35 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -9.32%E -5.65%K -14.34%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -5.41%E -2.58%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-10 15:34 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -12.07%E -7.54%K -20.12%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -0.904%E -0.411%K -0.754%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-10 15:35 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (6)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.94% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 44.06% | 0.4% | 2026-05-10 15:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.94% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 44.06% | 0.4% | 2026-05-10 15:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.94% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 44.06% | 0.4% | 2026-05-10 15:35 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.94% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 44.06% | 0.4% | 2026-05-10 15:35 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.28% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 43.72% | 2.1% | 2026-05-10 15:35 |
| Novig◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.92% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08% | 2.2% | 2026-05-10 15:35 |