Szkoła Kursów

Tommy Paul v Luciano Darderi

Początek: 2026-05-10 15:50 UTC

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

61 bukmacherów (23 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: IQM

Tommy Paul (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 54.96%1.82kurs godziwy
EV -2.18%
Przewaga -1.22%
Kelly -2.79%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 1.78

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
53.62%55.13%54.83%57.89%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.601.711.701.7862.50%58.59%58.82%56.18%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Luciano Darderi (Goście)

Prognoza 45.04%2.22kurs godziwy
EV -0.454%
Przewaga -0.205%
Kelly -0.375%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 2.21

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
42.11%44.87%45.17%46.38%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.002.132.102.2150.00%46.94%47.62%45.25%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Kursy bukmacherskie (61 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarze ▼GościeMarżaAktualizacja
SportsBet1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -2.18%E -1.22%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -6.31%E -3.03%K -5.84%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-10 15:34
FanDuel1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -2.18%E -1.22%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -7.21%E -3.50%K -6.80%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-10 15:34
Winamax (DE)1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -3.28%E -1.86%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -5.41%E -2.58%K -4.92%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-10 15:35
Betclic (FR)1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -3.28%E -1.86%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -5.41%E -2.58%K -4.92%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-10 15:33
Pinnacle1.75I 57.14%NM 55.81%EV -3.83%E -2.19%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 44.19%EV -0.454%E -0.205%K -0.375%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-10 15:35
Coolbet1.75I 57.14%NM 55.47%EV -3.83%E -2.19%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.53%EV -1.81%E -0.828%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-10 15:35
Unibet (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.83%E -2.19%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.41%E -2.58%K -4.92%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-10 15:35
LowVig.ag1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.38%E -2.51%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.16%E -1.47%K -2.74%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-10 15:34
BetOnline.ag1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.38%E -2.51%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.16%E -1.47%K -2.74%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-10 15:34
DraftKings1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -4.38%E -2.51%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -4.51%E -2.13%K -4.02%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-10 15:35
Fanatics1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.38%E -2.51%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.41%E -2.58%K -4.92%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-10 15:34
Betsson1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.38%E -2.51%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.41%E -2.58%K -4.92%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-10 15:35
NordicBet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.38%E -2.51%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.41%E -2.58%K -4.92%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-10 15:34
theScore Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.38%E -2.51%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.41%E -2.58%K -4.92%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-10 15:35
ReBet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.38%E -2.51%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.41%E -2.58%K -4.92%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-10 15:34
Winamax (FR)1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -4.38%E -2.51%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -7.66%E -3.74%K -7.30%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-10 15:34
Unibet (FR)1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -4.38%E -2.51%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -7.66%E -3.74%K -7.30%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-10 15:34
PointsBet (AU)1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -4.38%E -2.51%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -7.66%E -3.74%K -7.30%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-10 15:34
1xBet1.73I 57.80%NM 55.53%EV -4.93%E -2.85%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.47%EV -2.71%E -1.25%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-10 15:34
GTbets1.73I 57.80%NM 54.95%EV -4.93%E -2.85%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 45.05%EV -4.96%E -2.35%K -4.47%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-10 15:34
Betway1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.93%E -2.85%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.41%E -2.58%K -4.92%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-10 15:34
888sport1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.93%E -2.85%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.41%E -2.58%K -4.92%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-10 15:34
William Hill1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.93%E -2.85%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.41%E -2.58%K -4.92%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-10 15:34
888sport (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.93%E -2.85%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.41%E -2.58%K -4.92%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-10 15:35
Mr Green (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.93%E -2.85%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.41%E -2.58%K -4.92%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-10 15:34
Codere (IT)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.59%EV -4.93%E -2.85%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.41%EV -6.31%E -3.03%K -5.84%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-10 15:35
Paddy Power1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -4.93%E -2.85%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -9.91%E -4.96%K -9.91%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-10 15:35
Bet Right1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.47%E -3.18%K -7.60%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.51%E -2.13%K -4.02%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-10 15:35
Marathon Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.47%EV -6.02%E -3.52%K -8.49%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 44.53%EV -4.06%E -1.90%K -3.59%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-10 15:35
Caesars1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -6.02%E -3.52%K -8.49%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.41%E -2.58%K -4.92%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-10 15:35
PlayUp1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -6.57%E -3.87%K -9.39%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -4.51%E -2.13%K -4.02%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-10 15:35
Betr (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.57%E -3.87%K -9.39%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.41%E -2.58%K -4.92%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-10 15:34
Coral1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.57%E -3.87%K -9.39%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.41%E -2.58%K -4.92%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-10 15:35
Ladbrokes (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.57%E -3.87%K -9.39%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.41%E -2.58%K -4.92%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-10 15:34
TAB1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.57%E -3.87%K -9.39%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.41%E -2.58%K -4.92%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-10 15:35
NetBet (FR)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.57%E -3.87%K -9.39%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.41%E -2.58%K -4.92%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-10 15:34
Neds1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.57%E -3.87%K -9.39%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.66%E -3.74%K -7.30%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-10 15:34
Ladbrokes (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.57%E -3.87%K -9.39%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.66%E -3.74%K -7.30%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-10 15:34
Bet Victor1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.57%E -3.87%K -9.39%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.66%E -3.74%K -7.30%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-10 15:34
BetUS1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -7.12%E -4.22%K -10.32%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -3.16%E -1.47%K -2.74%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-10 15:35
BetMGM1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -7.12%E -4.22%K -10.32%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -5.41%E -2.58%K -4.92%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-10 15:34
Unibet1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -8.22%E -4.92%K -12.27%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -0.904%E -0.411%K -0.754%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-10 15:35
LeoVegas (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -8.22%E -4.92%K -12.27%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -0.904%E -0.411%K -0.754%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-10 15:35
Grosvenor1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -8.22%E -4.92%K -12.27%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -0.904%E -0.411%K -0.754%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-10 15:34
BoyleSports1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -8.22%E -4.92%K -12.27%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -0.904%E -0.411%K -0.754%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-10 15:34
Casumo1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -8.22%E -4.92%K -12.27%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -0.904%E -0.411%K -0.754%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-10 15:34
LeoVegas1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -8.22%E -4.92%K -12.27%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -0.904%E -0.411%K -0.754%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-10 15:34
Unibet (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -8.22%E -4.92%K -12.27%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -0.904%E -0.411%K -0.754%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-10 15:34
TABtouch1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -8.22%E -4.92%K -12.27%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -0.904%E -0.411%K -0.754%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-10 15:34
Unibet (NL)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -8.22%E -4.92%K -12.27%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -0.904%E -0.411%K -0.754%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-10 15:35
BetRivers1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -8.22%E -4.92%K -12.27%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -0.904%E -0.411%K -0.754%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-10 15:35
betPARX1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -8.22%E -4.92%K -12.27%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -0.904%E -0.411%K -0.754%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-10 15:34
Bally Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -8.22%E -4.92%K -12.27%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -0.904%E -0.411%K -0.754%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-10 15:34
Svenska Spel1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -8.22%E -4.92%K -12.27%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -0.904%E -0.411%K -0.754%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-10 15:35
ATG (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -8.22%E -4.92%K -12.27%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -0.904%E -0.411%K -0.754%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-10 15:34
Hard Rock Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -8.22%E -4.92%K -12.27%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -0.904%E -0.411%K -0.754%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-10 15:34
PMU (FR)1.65I 60.61%NM 56.92%EV -9.32%E -5.65%K -14.34%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.08%EV -1.81%E -0.828%K -1.53%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-10 15:35
Virgin Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 56.81%EV -9.32%E -5.65%K -14.34%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.19%EV -2.26%E -1.04%K -1.93%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-10 15:34
LiveScore Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 56.81%EV -9.32%E -5.65%K -14.34%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.19%EV -2.26%E -1.04%K -1.93%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-10 15:35
Everygame1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -9.32%E -5.65%K -14.34%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -5.41%E -2.58%K -4.92%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-10 15:34
Tipico (DE)1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -12.07%E -7.54%K -20.12%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -0.904%E -0.411%K -0.754%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-10 15:35
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (6)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeMarża ▲Aktualizacja
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.78I 56.18%NM 55.94%2.26I 44.25%NM 44.06%0.4%2026-05-10 15:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.78I 56.18%NM 55.94%2.26I 44.25%NM 44.06%0.4%2026-05-10 15:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.78I 56.18%NM 55.94%2.26I 44.25%NM 44.06%0.4%2026-05-10 15:35
Matchbook1.78I 56.18%NM 55.94%2.26I 44.25%NM 44.06%0.4%2026-05-10 15:35
Smarkets1.74I 57.47%NM 56.28%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.72%2.1%2026-05-10 15:35
Novig1.75I 57.14%NM 55.92%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08%2.2%2026-05-10 15:35