مدرسة الاحتمالات

Tommy Paul v Luciano Darderi

البداية: 2026-05-10 15:50 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

61 شركة مراهنات (23 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Tommy Paul (المضيف)

التنبؤ 54.96%1.82السعر العادل
EV -2.18%
الأفضلية -1.22%
Kelly -2.79%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.78

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
53.62%55.13%54.83%57.89%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.601.711.701.7862.50%58.59%58.82%56.18%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Luciano Darderi (الضيف)

التنبؤ 45.04%2.22السعر العادل
EV -0.454%
الأفضلية -0.205%
Kelly -0.375%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.21

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
42.11%44.87%45.17%46.38%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.002.132.102.2150.00%46.94%47.62%45.25%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (61 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفالهامشآخر تحديث
SportsBet1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -2.18%E -1.22%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -6.31%E -3.03%K -5.84%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-10 15:34
FanDuel1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -2.18%E -1.22%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -7.21%E -3.50%K -6.80%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-10 15:34
Winamax (DE)1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -3.28%E -1.86%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -5.41%E -2.58%K -4.92%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-10 15:35
Betclic (FR)1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -3.28%E -1.86%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -5.41%E -2.58%K -4.92%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-10 15:33
Pinnacle1.75I 57.14%NM 55.81%EV -3.83%E -2.19%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 44.19%EV -0.454%E -0.205%K -0.375%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-10 15:35
Coolbet1.75I 57.14%NM 55.47%EV -3.83%E -2.19%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.53%EV -1.81%E -0.828%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-10 15:35
Unibet (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.83%E -2.19%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.41%E -2.58%K -4.92%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-10 15:35
LowVig.ag1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.38%E -2.51%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.16%E -1.47%K -2.74%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-10 15:34
BetOnline.ag1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.38%E -2.51%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.16%E -1.47%K -2.74%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-10 15:34
DraftKings1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -4.38%E -2.51%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -4.51%E -2.13%K -4.02%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-10 15:35
Fanatics1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.38%E -2.51%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.41%E -2.58%K -4.92%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-10 15:34
Betsson1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.38%E -2.51%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.41%E -2.58%K -4.92%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-10 15:35
NordicBet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.38%E -2.51%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.41%E -2.58%K -4.92%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-10 15:34
theScore Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.38%E -2.51%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.41%E -2.58%K -4.92%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-10 15:35
ReBet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.38%E -2.51%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.41%E -2.58%K -4.92%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-10 15:34
Winamax (FR)1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -4.38%E -2.51%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -7.66%E -3.74%K -7.30%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-10 15:34
Unibet (FR)1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -4.38%E -2.51%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -7.66%E -3.74%K -7.30%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-10 15:34
PointsBet (AU)1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -4.38%E -2.51%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -7.66%E -3.74%K -7.30%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-10 15:34
1xBet1.73I 57.80%NM 55.53%EV -4.93%E -2.85%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.47%EV -2.71%E -1.25%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-10 15:34
GTbets1.73I 57.80%NM 54.95%EV -4.93%E -2.85%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 45.05%EV -4.96%E -2.35%K -4.47%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-10 15:34
Betway1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.93%E -2.85%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.41%E -2.58%K -4.92%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-10 15:34
888sport1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.93%E -2.85%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.41%E -2.58%K -4.92%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-10 15:34
William Hill1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.93%E -2.85%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.41%E -2.58%K -4.92%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-10 15:34
888sport (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.93%E -2.85%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.41%E -2.58%K -4.92%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-10 15:35
Mr Green (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.93%E -2.85%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.41%E -2.58%K -4.92%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-10 15:34
Codere (IT)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.59%EV -4.93%E -2.85%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.41%EV -6.31%E -3.03%K -5.84%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-10 15:35
Paddy Power1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -4.93%E -2.85%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -9.91%E -4.96%K -9.91%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-10 15:35
Bet Right1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.47%E -3.18%K -7.60%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.51%E -2.13%K -4.02%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-10 15:35
Marathon Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.47%EV -6.02%E -3.52%K -8.49%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 44.53%EV -4.06%E -1.90%K -3.59%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-10 15:35
Caesars1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -6.02%E -3.52%K -8.49%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.41%E -2.58%K -4.92%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-10 15:35
PlayUp1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -6.57%E -3.87%K -9.39%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -4.51%E -2.13%K -4.02%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-10 15:35
Betr (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.57%E -3.87%K -9.39%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.41%E -2.58%K -4.92%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-10 15:34
Coral1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.57%E -3.87%K -9.39%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.41%E -2.58%K -4.92%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-10 15:35
Ladbrokes (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.57%E -3.87%K -9.39%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.41%E -2.58%K -4.92%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-10 15:34
TAB1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.57%E -3.87%K -9.39%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.41%E -2.58%K -4.92%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-10 15:35
NetBet (FR)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.57%E -3.87%K -9.39%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.41%E -2.58%K -4.92%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-10 15:34
Neds1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.57%E -3.87%K -9.39%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.66%E -3.74%K -7.30%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-10 15:34
Ladbrokes (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.57%E -3.87%K -9.39%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.66%E -3.74%K -7.30%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-10 15:34
Bet Victor1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.57%E -3.87%K -9.39%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.66%E -3.74%K -7.30%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-10 15:34
BetUS1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -7.12%E -4.22%K -10.32%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -3.16%E -1.47%K -2.74%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-10 15:35
BetMGM1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -7.12%E -4.22%K -10.32%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -5.41%E -2.58%K -4.92%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-10 15:34
Unibet1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -8.22%E -4.92%K -12.27%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -0.904%E -0.411%K -0.754%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-10 15:35
LeoVegas (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -8.22%E -4.92%K -12.27%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -0.904%E -0.411%K -0.754%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-10 15:35
Grosvenor1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -8.22%E -4.92%K -12.27%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -0.904%E -0.411%K -0.754%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-10 15:34
BoyleSports1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -8.22%E -4.92%K -12.27%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -0.904%E -0.411%K -0.754%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-10 15:34
Casumo1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -8.22%E -4.92%K -12.27%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -0.904%E -0.411%K -0.754%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-10 15:34
LeoVegas1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -8.22%E -4.92%K -12.27%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -0.904%E -0.411%K -0.754%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-10 15:34
Unibet (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -8.22%E -4.92%K -12.27%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -0.904%E -0.411%K -0.754%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-10 15:34
TABtouch1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -8.22%E -4.92%K -12.27%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -0.904%E -0.411%K -0.754%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-10 15:34
Unibet (NL)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -8.22%E -4.92%K -12.27%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -0.904%E -0.411%K -0.754%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-10 15:35
BetRivers1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -8.22%E -4.92%K -12.27%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -0.904%E -0.411%K -0.754%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-10 15:35
betPARX1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -8.22%E -4.92%K -12.27%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -0.904%E -0.411%K -0.754%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-10 15:34
Bally Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -8.22%E -4.92%K -12.27%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -0.904%E -0.411%K -0.754%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-10 15:34
Svenska Spel1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -8.22%E -4.92%K -12.27%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -0.904%E -0.411%K -0.754%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-10 15:35
ATG (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -8.22%E -4.92%K -12.27%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -0.904%E -0.411%K -0.754%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-10 15:34
Hard Rock Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -8.22%E -4.92%K -12.27%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -0.904%E -0.411%K -0.754%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-10 15:34
PMU (FR)1.65I 60.61%NM 56.92%EV -9.32%E -5.65%K -14.34%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.08%EV -1.81%E -0.828%K -1.53%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-10 15:35
Virgin Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 56.81%EV -9.32%E -5.65%K -14.34%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.19%EV -2.26%E -1.04%K -1.93%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-10 15:34
LiveScore Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 56.81%EV -9.32%E -5.65%K -14.34%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.19%EV -2.26%E -1.04%K -1.93%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-10 15:35
Everygame1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -9.32%E -5.65%K -14.34%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -5.41%E -2.58%K -4.92%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-10 15:34
Tipico (DE)1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -12.07%E -7.54%K -20.12%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -0.904%E -0.411%K -0.754%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-10 15:35
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.78I 56.18%NM 55.94%2.26I 44.25%NM 44.06%0.4%2026-05-10 15:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.78I 56.18%NM 55.94%2.26I 44.25%NM 44.06%0.4%2026-05-10 15:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.78I 56.18%NM 55.94%2.26I 44.25%NM 44.06%0.4%2026-05-10 15:35
Matchbook1.78I 56.18%NM 55.94%2.26I 44.25%NM 44.06%0.4%2026-05-10 15:35
Smarkets1.74I 57.47%NM 56.28%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.72%2.1%2026-05-10 15:35
Novig1.75I 57.14%NM 55.92%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08%2.2%2026-05-10 15:35