La scuola delle quoteLingua:Italiano
Tommy Paul v Luciano Darderi
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
Testa a testa
Tommy Paul (Casa)
Previsione 54.96%1.82quota equa
EV -2.18%
Vantaggio -1.22%
Kelly -2.79%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.78
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
53.62%55.13%54.83%57.89%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.601.711.701.7862.50%58.59%58.82%56.18%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Luciano Darderi (Trasferta)
Previsione 45.04%2.22quota equa
EV -0.454%
Vantaggio -0.205%
Kelly -0.375%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 2.21
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
42.11%44.87%45.17%46.38%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.002.132.102.2150.00%46.94%47.62%45.25%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Quote dei bookmaker (61 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa ▼ | Trasferta | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportsBet | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -2.18%E -1.22%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -6.31%E -3.03%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-10 15:34 |
| FanDuel | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -2.18%E -1.22%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -7.21%E -3.50%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-10 15:34 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -3.28%E -1.86%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -5.41%E -2.58%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-10 15:35 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -3.28%E -1.86%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -5.41%E -2.58%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-10 15:33 |
| Pinnacle | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.81%EV -3.83%E -2.19%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 2.21I 45.25%NM 44.19%EV -0.454%E -0.205%K -0.375%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-05-10 15:35 |
| Coolbet | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.47%EV -3.83%E -2.19%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.53%EV -1.81%E -0.828%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-05-10 15:35 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.83%E -2.19%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.41%E -2.58%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-10 15:35 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.38%E -2.51%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.16%E -1.47%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-10 15:34 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.38%E -2.51%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.16%E -1.47%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-10 15:34 |
| DraftKings | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -4.38%E -2.51%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -4.51%E -2.13%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-10 15:35 |
| Fanatics | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.38%E -2.51%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.41%E -2.58%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-10 15:34 |
| Betsson | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.38%E -2.51%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.41%E -2.58%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-10 15:35 |
| NordicBet | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.38%E -2.51%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.41%E -2.58%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-10 15:34 |
| theScore Bet | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.38%E -2.51%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.41%E -2.58%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-10 15:35 |
| ReBet | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.38%E -2.51%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.41%E -2.58%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-10 15:34 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -4.38%E -2.51%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -7.66%E -3.74%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-10 15:34 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -4.38%E -2.51%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -7.66%E -3.74%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-10 15:34 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -4.38%E -2.51%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -7.66%E -3.74%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-10 15:34 |
| 1xBet | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.53%EV -4.93%E -2.85%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.47%EV -2.71%E -1.25%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-10 15:34 |
| GTbets | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.95%EV -4.93%E -2.85%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 2.11I 47.39%NM 45.05%EV -4.96%E -2.35%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-10 15:34 |
| Betway | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.93%E -2.85%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.41%E -2.58%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-10 15:34 |
| 888sport | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.93%E -2.85%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.41%E -2.58%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-10 15:34 |
| William Hill | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.93%E -2.85%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.41%E -2.58%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-10 15:34 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.93%E -2.85%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.41%E -2.58%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-10 15:35 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.93%E -2.85%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.41%E -2.58%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-10 15:34 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.59%EV -4.93%E -2.85%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.41%EV -6.31%E -3.03%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-10 15:35 |
| Paddy Power | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -4.93%E -2.85%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -9.91%E -4.96%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-10 15:35 |
| Bet Right | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.47%E -3.18%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.51%E -2.13%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-10 15:35 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.47%EV -6.02%E -3.52%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 44.53%EV -4.06%E -1.90%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-10 15:35 |
| Caesars | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -6.02%E -3.52%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.41%E -2.58%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-10 15:35 |
| PlayUp | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -6.57%E -3.87%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -4.51%E -2.13%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-10 15:35 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.57%E -3.87%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.41%E -2.58%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-10 15:34 |
| Coral | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.57%E -3.87%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.41%E -2.58%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-10 15:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.57%E -3.87%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.41%E -2.58%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-10 15:34 |
| TAB | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.57%E -3.87%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.41%E -2.58%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-10 15:35 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.57%E -3.87%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.41%E -2.58%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-10 15:34 |
| Neds | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.57%E -3.87%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.66%E -3.74%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-10 15:34 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.57%E -3.87%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.66%E -3.74%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-10 15:34 |
| Bet Victor | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.57%E -3.87%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.66%E -3.74%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-10 15:34 |
| BetUS | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -7.12%E -4.22%K -10.32%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -3.16%E -1.47%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-10 15:35 |
| BetMGM | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -7.12%E -4.22%K -10.32%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -5.41%E -2.58%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-10 15:34 |
| Unibet | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -8.22%E -4.92%K -12.27%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -0.904%E -0.411%K -0.754%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-10 15:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -8.22%E -4.92%K -12.27%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -0.904%E -0.411%K -0.754%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-10 15:35 |
| Grosvenor | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -8.22%E -4.92%K -12.27%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -0.904%E -0.411%K -0.754%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-10 15:34 |
| BoyleSports | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -8.22%E -4.92%K -12.27%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -0.904%E -0.411%K -0.754%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-10 15:34 |
| Casumo | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -8.22%E -4.92%K -12.27%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -0.904%E -0.411%K -0.754%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-10 15:34 |
| LeoVegas | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -8.22%E -4.92%K -12.27%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -0.904%E -0.411%K -0.754%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-10 15:34 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -8.22%E -4.92%K -12.27%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -0.904%E -0.411%K -0.754%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-10 15:34 |
| TABtouch | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -8.22%E -4.92%K -12.27%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -0.904%E -0.411%K -0.754%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-10 15:34 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -8.22%E -4.92%K -12.27%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -0.904%E -0.411%K -0.754%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-10 15:35 |
| BetRivers | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -8.22%E -4.92%K -12.27%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -0.904%E -0.411%K -0.754%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-10 15:35 |
| betPARX | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -8.22%E -4.92%K -12.27%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -0.904%E -0.411%K -0.754%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-10 15:34 |
| Bally Bet | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -8.22%E -4.92%K -12.27%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -0.904%E -0.411%K -0.754%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-10 15:34 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -8.22%E -4.92%K -12.27%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -0.904%E -0.411%K -0.754%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-10 15:35 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -8.22%E -4.92%K -12.27%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -0.904%E -0.411%K -0.754%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-10 15:34 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -8.22%E -4.92%K -12.27%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -0.904%E -0.411%K -0.754%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-10 15:34 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.92%EV -9.32%E -5.65%K -14.34%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.08%EV -1.81%E -0.828%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-10 15:35 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.81%EV -9.32%E -5.65%K -14.34%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.19%EV -2.26%E -1.04%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-10 15:34 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.81%EV -9.32%E -5.65%K -14.34%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.19%EV -2.26%E -1.04%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-10 15:35 |
| Everygame | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -9.32%E -5.65%K -14.34%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -5.41%E -2.58%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-10 15:34 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -12.07%E -7.54%K -20.12%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -0.904%E -0.411%K -0.754%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-10 15:35 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (6)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.94% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 44.06% | 0.4% | 2026-05-10 15:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.94% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 44.06% | 0.4% | 2026-05-10 15:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.94% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 44.06% | 0.4% | 2026-05-10 15:35 |
| Matchbook | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.94% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 44.06% | 0.4% | 2026-05-10 15:35 |
| Smarkets | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.28% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 43.72% | 2.1% | 2026-05-10 15:35 |
| Novig | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.92% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08% | 2.2% | 2026-05-10 15:35 |