L’École des cotesLangue:Français
Tommy Paul v Luciano Darderi
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Tommy Paul (Local)
Prévision 54.96%1.82cote équitable
EV -2.18%
Avantage -1.22%
Kelly -2.79%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.78
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
53.62%55.13%54.83%57.89%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.601.711.701.7862.50%58.59%58.82%56.18%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Luciano Darderi (Visiteur)
Prévision 45.04%2.22cote équitable
EV -0.454%
Avantage -0.205%
Kelly -0.375%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.21
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
42.11%44.87%45.17%46.38%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.002.132.102.2150.00%46.94%47.62%45.25%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (61 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportsBet | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -2.18%E -1.22%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -6.31%E -3.03%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-10 15:34 |
| FanDuel | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -2.18%E -1.22%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -7.21%E -3.50%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-10 15:34 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -3.28%E -1.86%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -5.41%E -2.58%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-10 15:35 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -3.28%E -1.86%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -5.41%E -2.58%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-10 15:33 |
| Pinnacle | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.81%EV -3.83%E -2.19%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 2.21I 45.25%NM 44.19%EV -0.454%E -0.205%K -0.375%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-05-10 15:35 |
| Coolbet | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.47%EV -3.83%E -2.19%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.53%EV -1.81%E -0.828%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-05-10 15:35 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.83%E -2.19%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.41%E -2.58%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-10 15:35 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.38%E -2.51%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.16%E -1.47%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-10 15:34 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.38%E -2.51%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.16%E -1.47%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-10 15:34 |
| DraftKings | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -4.38%E -2.51%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -4.51%E -2.13%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-10 15:35 |
| Fanatics | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.38%E -2.51%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.41%E -2.58%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-10 15:34 |
| Betsson | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.38%E -2.51%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.41%E -2.58%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-10 15:35 |
| NordicBet | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.38%E -2.51%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.41%E -2.58%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-10 15:34 |
| theScore Bet | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.38%E -2.51%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.41%E -2.58%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-10 15:35 |
| ReBet | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.38%E -2.51%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.41%E -2.58%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-10 15:34 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -4.38%E -2.51%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -7.66%E -3.74%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-10 15:34 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -4.38%E -2.51%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -7.66%E -3.74%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-10 15:34 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -4.38%E -2.51%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -7.66%E -3.74%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-10 15:34 |
| 1xBet | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.53%EV -4.93%E -2.85%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.47%EV -2.71%E -1.25%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-10 15:34 |
| GTbets | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.95%EV -4.93%E -2.85%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 2.11I 47.39%NM 45.05%EV -4.96%E -2.35%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-10 15:34 |
| Betway | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.93%E -2.85%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.41%E -2.58%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-10 15:34 |
| 888sport | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.93%E -2.85%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.41%E -2.58%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-10 15:34 |
| William Hill | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.93%E -2.85%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.41%E -2.58%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-10 15:34 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.93%E -2.85%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.41%E -2.58%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-10 15:35 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.93%E -2.85%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.41%E -2.58%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-10 15:34 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.59%EV -4.93%E -2.85%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.41%EV -6.31%E -3.03%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-10 15:35 |
| Paddy Power | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -4.93%E -2.85%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -9.91%E -4.96%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-10 15:35 |
| Bet Right | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.47%E -3.18%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.51%E -2.13%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-10 15:35 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.47%EV -6.02%E -3.52%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 44.53%EV -4.06%E -1.90%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-10 15:35 |
| Caesars | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -6.02%E -3.52%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.41%E -2.58%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-10 15:35 |
| PlayUp | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -6.57%E -3.87%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -4.51%E -2.13%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-10 15:35 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.57%E -3.87%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.41%E -2.58%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-10 15:34 |
| Coral | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.57%E -3.87%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.41%E -2.58%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-10 15:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.57%E -3.87%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.41%E -2.58%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-10 15:34 |
| TAB | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.57%E -3.87%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.41%E -2.58%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-10 15:35 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.57%E -3.87%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.41%E -2.58%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-10 15:34 |
| Neds | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.57%E -3.87%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.66%E -3.74%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-10 15:34 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.57%E -3.87%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.66%E -3.74%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-10 15:34 |
| Bet Victor | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.57%E -3.87%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.66%E -3.74%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-10 15:34 |
| BetUS | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -7.12%E -4.22%K -10.32%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -3.16%E -1.47%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-10 15:35 |
| BetMGM | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -7.12%E -4.22%K -10.32%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -5.41%E -2.58%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-10 15:34 |
| Unibet | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -8.22%E -4.92%K -12.27%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -0.904%E -0.411%K -0.754%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-10 15:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -8.22%E -4.92%K -12.27%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -0.904%E -0.411%K -0.754%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-10 15:35 |
| Grosvenor | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -8.22%E -4.92%K -12.27%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -0.904%E -0.411%K -0.754%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-10 15:34 |
| BoyleSports | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -8.22%E -4.92%K -12.27%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -0.904%E -0.411%K -0.754%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-10 15:34 |
| Casumo | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -8.22%E -4.92%K -12.27%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -0.904%E -0.411%K -0.754%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-10 15:34 |
| LeoVegas | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -8.22%E -4.92%K -12.27%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -0.904%E -0.411%K -0.754%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-10 15:34 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -8.22%E -4.92%K -12.27%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -0.904%E -0.411%K -0.754%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-10 15:34 |
| TABtouch | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -8.22%E -4.92%K -12.27%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -0.904%E -0.411%K -0.754%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-10 15:34 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -8.22%E -4.92%K -12.27%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -0.904%E -0.411%K -0.754%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-10 15:35 |
| BetRivers | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -8.22%E -4.92%K -12.27%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -0.904%E -0.411%K -0.754%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-10 15:35 |
| betPARX | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -8.22%E -4.92%K -12.27%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -0.904%E -0.411%K -0.754%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-10 15:34 |
| Bally Bet | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -8.22%E -4.92%K -12.27%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -0.904%E -0.411%K -0.754%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-10 15:34 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -8.22%E -4.92%K -12.27%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -0.904%E -0.411%K -0.754%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-10 15:35 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -8.22%E -4.92%K -12.27%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -0.904%E -0.411%K -0.754%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-10 15:34 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -8.22%E -4.92%K -12.27%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -0.904%E -0.411%K -0.754%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-10 15:34 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.92%EV -9.32%E -5.65%K -14.34%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.08%EV -1.81%E -0.828%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-10 15:35 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.81%EV -9.32%E -5.65%K -14.34%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.19%EV -2.26%E -1.04%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-10 15:34 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.81%EV -9.32%E -5.65%K -14.34%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.19%EV -2.26%E -1.04%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-10 15:35 |
| Everygame | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -9.32%E -5.65%K -14.34%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -5.41%E -2.58%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-10 15:34 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -12.07%E -7.54%K -20.12%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -0.904%E -0.411%K -0.754%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-10 15:35 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (6)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.94% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 44.06% | 0.4% | 2026-05-10 15:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.94% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 44.06% | 0.4% | 2026-05-10 15:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.94% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 44.06% | 0.4% | 2026-05-10 15:35 |
| Matchbook | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.94% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 44.06% | 0.4% | 2026-05-10 15:35 |
| Smarkets | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.28% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 43.72% | 2.1% | 2026-05-10 15:35 |
| Novig | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.92% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08% | 2.2% | 2026-05-10 15:35 |