Tommy Paul v Luciano Darderi

Início: 2026-05-10 15:50 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

61 casas de apostas (23 na análise )

55%

45%

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Tommy Paul (Local)

Previsão 54.96%1.82odd justa

EV -2.18%

Vantagem -1.22%

Kelly -2.79%

Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.78

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas

53.62%55.13%54.83%57.89%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Distribuição das odds

1.601.711.701.7862.50%58.59%58.82%56.18%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Luciano Darderi (Visitante)

Previsão 45.04%2.22odd justa

EV -0.454%

Vantagem -0.205%

Kelly -0.375%

Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.21

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas

42.11%44.87%45.17%46.38%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Distribuição das odds

2.002.132.102.2150.00%46.94%47.62%45.25%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (61 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostas	Local ▼	Visitante	Margem	Atualização
SportsBet	1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -2.18%E -1.22%K -2.79%G +0.000%	2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -6.31%E -3.03%K -5.84%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-05-10 15:34
FanDuel	1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -2.18%E -1.22%K -2.79%G +0.000%	2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -7.21%E -3.50%K -6.80%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-05-10 15:34
Winamax (DE)	1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -3.28%E -1.86%K -4.31%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -5.41%E -2.58%K -4.92%G +0.000%	4.4%	2026-05-10 15:35
Betclic (FR)	1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -3.28%E -1.86%K -4.31%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -5.41%E -2.58%K -4.92%G +0.000%	4.4%	2026-05-10 15:33
Pinnacle	1.75I 57.14%NM 55.81%EV -3.83%E -2.19%K -5.10%G +0.000%	2.21I 45.25%NM 44.19%EV -0.454%E -0.205%K -0.375%G +0.000%	2.4%	2026-05-10 15:35
Coolbet	1.75I 57.14%NM 55.47%EV -3.83%E -2.19%K -5.10%G +0.000%	2.18I 45.87%NM 44.53%EV -1.81%E -0.828%K -1.53%G +0.000%	3.0%	2026-05-10 15:35
Unibet (UK)	1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.83%E -2.19%K -5.10%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.41%E -2.58%K -4.92%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-05-10 15:35
LowVig.ag	1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.38%E -2.51%K -5.91%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.16%E -1.47%K -2.74%G +0.000%	4.0%	2026-05-10 15:34
BetOnline.ag	1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.38%E -2.51%K -5.91%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.16%E -1.47%K -2.74%G +0.000%	4.0%	2026-05-10 15:34
DraftKings	1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -4.38%E -2.51%K -5.91%G +0.000%	2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -4.51%E -2.13%K -4.02%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-05-10 15:35
Fanatics	1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.38%E -2.51%K -5.91%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.41%E -2.58%K -4.92%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-05-10 15:34
Betsson	1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.38%E -2.51%K -5.91%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.41%E -2.58%K -4.92%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-05-10 15:35
NordicBet	1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.38%E -2.51%K -5.91%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.41%E -2.58%K -4.92%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-05-10 15:34
theScore Bet	1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.38%E -2.51%K -5.91%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.41%E -2.58%K -4.92%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-05-10 15:35
ReBet	1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.38%E -2.51%K -5.91%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.41%E -2.58%K -4.92%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-05-10 15:34
Winamax (FR)	1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -4.38%E -2.51%K -5.91%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -7.66%E -3.74%K -7.30%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-05-10 15:34
Unibet (FR)	1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -4.38%E -2.51%K -5.91%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -7.66%E -3.74%K -7.30%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-05-10 15:34
PointsBet (AU)	1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -4.38%E -2.51%K -5.91%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -7.66%E -3.74%K -7.30%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-05-10 15:34
1xBet	1.73I 57.80%NM 55.53%EV -4.93%E -2.85%K -6.75%G +0.000%	2.16I 46.30%NM 44.47%EV -2.71%E -1.25%K -2.33%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-05-10 15:34
GTbets	1.73I 57.80%NM 54.95%EV -4.93%E -2.85%K -6.75%G +0.000%	2.11I 47.39%NM 45.05%EV -4.96%E -2.35%K -4.47%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-05-10 15:34
Betway	1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.93%E -2.85%K -6.75%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.41%E -2.58%K -4.92%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-05-10 15:34
888sport	1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.93%E -2.85%K -6.75%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.41%E -2.58%K -4.92%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-05-10 15:34
William Hill	1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.93%E -2.85%K -6.75%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.41%E -2.58%K -4.92%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-05-10 15:34
888sport (SE)	1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.93%E -2.85%K -6.75%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.41%E -2.58%K -4.92%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-05-10 15:35
Mr Green (SE)	1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.93%E -2.85%K -6.75%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.41%E -2.58%K -4.92%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-05-10 15:34
Codere (IT)	1.73I 57.80%NM 54.59%EV -4.93%E -2.85%K -6.75%G +0.000%	2.08I 48.08%NM 45.41%EV -6.31%E -3.03%K -5.84%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-05-10 15:35
Paddy Power	1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -4.93%E -2.85%K -6.75%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -9.91%E -4.96%K -9.91%G +0.000%	7.8%	2026-05-10 15:35
Bet Right	1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.47%E -3.18%K -7.60%G +0.000%	2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.51%E -2.13%K -4.02%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-05-10 15:35
Marathon Bet	1.71I 58.48%NM 55.47%EV -6.02%E -3.52%K -8.49%G +0.000%	2.13I 46.95%NM 44.53%EV -4.06%E -1.90%K -3.59%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-05-10 15:35
Caesars	1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -6.02%E -3.52%K -8.49%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.41%E -2.58%K -4.92%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-05-10 15:35
PlayUp	1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -6.57%E -3.87%K -9.39%G +0.000%	2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -4.51%E -2.13%K -4.02%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-05-10 15:35
Betr (AU)	1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.57%E -3.87%K -9.39%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.41%E -2.58%K -4.92%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-05-10 15:34
Coral	1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.57%E -3.87%K -9.39%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.41%E -2.58%K -4.92%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-05-10 15:35
Ladbrokes (UK)	1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.57%E -3.87%K -9.39%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.41%E -2.58%K -4.92%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-05-10 15:34
TAB	1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.57%E -3.87%K -9.39%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.41%E -2.58%K -4.92%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-05-10 15:35
NetBet (FR)	1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.57%E -3.87%K -9.39%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.41%E -2.58%K -4.92%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-05-10 15:34
Neds	1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.57%E -3.87%K -9.39%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.66%E -3.74%K -7.30%G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-05-10 15:34
Ladbrokes (AU)	1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.57%E -3.87%K -9.39%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.66%E -3.74%K -7.30%G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-05-10 15:34
Bet Victor	1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.57%E -3.87%K -9.39%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.66%E -3.74%K -7.30%G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-05-10 15:34
BetUS	1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -7.12%E -4.22%K -10.32%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -3.16%E -1.47%K -2.74%G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-05-10 15:35
BetMGM	1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -7.12%E -4.22%K -10.32%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -5.41%E -2.58%K -4.92%G +0.000%	6.8%	2026-05-10 15:34
Unibet	1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -8.22%E -4.92%K -12.27%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -0.904%E -0.411%K -0.754%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-05-10 15:35
LeoVegas (SE)	1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -8.22%E -4.92%K -12.27%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -0.904%E -0.411%K -0.754%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-05-10 15:35
Grosvenor	1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -8.22%E -4.92%K -12.27%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -0.904%E -0.411%K -0.754%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-05-10 15:34
BoyleSports	1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -8.22%E -4.92%K -12.27%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -0.904%E -0.411%K -0.754%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-05-10 15:34
Casumo	1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -8.22%E -4.92%K -12.27%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -0.904%E -0.411%K -0.754%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-05-10 15:34
LeoVegas	1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -8.22%E -4.92%K -12.27%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -0.904%E -0.411%K -0.754%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-05-10 15:34
Unibet (SE)	1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -8.22%E -4.92%K -12.27%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -0.904%E -0.411%K -0.754%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-05-10 15:34
TABtouch	1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -8.22%E -4.92%K -12.27%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -0.904%E -0.411%K -0.754%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-05-10 15:34
Unibet (NL)	1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -8.22%E -4.92%K -12.27%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -0.904%E -0.411%K -0.754%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-05-10 15:35
BetRivers	1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -8.22%E -4.92%K -12.27%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -0.904%E -0.411%K -0.754%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-05-10 15:35
betPARX	1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -8.22%E -4.92%K -12.27%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -0.904%E -0.411%K -0.754%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-05-10 15:34
Bally Bet	1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -8.22%E -4.92%K -12.27%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -0.904%E -0.411%K -0.754%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-05-10 15:34
Svenska Spel	1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -8.22%E -4.92%K -12.27%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -0.904%E -0.411%K -0.754%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-05-10 15:35
ATG (SE)	1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -8.22%E -4.92%K -12.27%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -0.904%E -0.411%K -0.754%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-05-10 15:34
Hard Rock Bet	1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -8.22%E -4.92%K -12.27%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -0.904%E -0.411%K -0.754%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-05-10 15:34
PMU (FR)	1.65I 60.61%NM 56.92%EV -9.32%E -5.65%K -14.34%G +0.000%	2.18I 45.87%NM 43.08%EV -1.81%E -0.828%K -1.53%G +0.000%	6.5%	2026-05-10 15:35
Virgin Bet	1.65I 60.61%NM 56.81%EV -9.32%E -5.65%K -14.34%G +0.000%	2.17I 46.08%NM 43.19%EV -2.26%E -1.04%K -1.93%G +0.000%	6.7%	2026-05-10 15:34
LiveScore Bet	1.65I 60.61%NM 56.81%EV -9.32%E -5.65%K -14.34%G +0.000%	2.17I 46.08%NM 43.19%EV -2.26%E -1.04%K -1.93%G +0.000%	6.7%	2026-05-10 15:35
Everygame	1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -9.32%E -5.65%K -14.34%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -5.41%E -2.58%K -4.92%G +0.000%	8.2%	2026-05-10 15:34
Tipico (DE)	1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -12.07%E -7.54%K -20.12%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -0.904%E -0.411%K -0.754%G +0.000%	8.0%	2026-05-10 15:35

Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostas	Local	Visitante	Margem ▲	Atualização
Betfair Exchange (AU)	1.78I 56.18%NM 55.94%	2.26I 44.25%NM 44.06%	0.4%	2026-05-10 15:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)	1.78I 56.18%NM 55.94%	2.26I 44.25%NM 44.06%	0.4%	2026-05-10 15:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)	1.78I 56.18%NM 55.94%	2.26I 44.25%NM 44.06%	0.4%	2026-05-10 15:35
Matchbook	1.78I 56.18%NM 55.94%	2.26I 44.25%NM 44.06%	0.4%	2026-05-10 15:35
Smarkets	1.74I 57.47%NM 56.28%	2.24I 44.64%NM 43.72%	2.1%	2026-05-10 15:35
Novig	1.75I 57.14%NM 55.92%	2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08%	2.2%	2026-05-10 15:35