Idioma:Português
Rafael Jodar v Luciano Darderi
Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →
Frente a frente
Rafael Jodar (Local)
Previsão 65.40%1.53odd justa
EV -1.90%
Vantagem -1.27%
Kelly -3.81%
Crescimento +0.000%
pressupondo odds máximas de 1.50
Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
63.41%65.42%65.48%67.29%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.401.451.441.5071.43%69.20%69.44%66.67%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Luciano Darderi (Visitante)
Previsão 34.60%2.89odd justa
EV -0.347%
Vantagem -0.120%
Kelly -0.184%
Crescimento +0.000%
pressupondo odds máximas de 2.88
Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
32.71%34.58%34.52%36.59%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.602.732.752.8838.46%36.57%36.36%34.72%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Rafael Jodar (Local): 65.40%; Luciano Darderi (Visitante): 34.60%. Para Luciano Darderi (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.89. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 2.88, com valor esperado de -0.347%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.
Odds das casas de apostas (63 casas de apostas)
Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.
| Casa de apostas | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margem | Atualização |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 65.12%EV -1.90%E -1.27%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.88%EV -3.11%E -1.11%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-05-13 20:45 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.77%EV -1.90%E -1.27%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 36.23%EV -8.65%E -3.28%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-13 20:45 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -1.90%E -1.27%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -10.04%E -3.86%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-13 20:37 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.27%EV -2.56%E -1.72%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 35.73%EV -7.27%E -2.71%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-13 20:45 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.25%EV -3.21%E -2.17%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 35.75%EV -7.96%E -2.99%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-13 20:45 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.97%EV -3.86%E -2.63%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 34.03%EV -1.38%E -0.486%K -0.748%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-05-13 20:44 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.65%EV -3.86%E -2.63%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 2.81I 35.59%NM 34.35%EV -2.77%E -0.985%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-05-13 20:44 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.65%EV -3.86%E -2.63%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 2.81I 35.59%NM 34.35%EV -2.77%E -0.985%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-05-13 20:44 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -3.86%E -2.63%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -3.11%E -1.11%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-13 20:45 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -3.86%E -2.63%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -3.11%E -1.11%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-13 20:45 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -3.86%E -2.63%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -4.84%E -1.76%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-13 20:44 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -3.86%E -2.63%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -4.84%E -1.76%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-13 20:34 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.48%EV -4.52%E -3.10%K -9.82%G +0.000% | 2.77I 36.10%NM 34.52%EV -4.15%E -1.50%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-13 20:45 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -4.52%E -3.10%K -9.82%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -6.57%E -2.44%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-13 20:45 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.04%EV -4.52%E -3.10%K -9.82%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -10.04%E -3.86%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-13 20:45 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -5.17%E -3.57%K -11.50%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.11%E -1.11%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-13 20:45 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -5.17%E -3.57%K -11.50%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.11%E -1.11%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-13 20:45 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.17%E -3.57%K -11.50%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.84%E -1.76%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-13 20:45 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.17%E -3.57%K -11.50%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.84%E -1.76%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-13 20:45 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.17%E -3.57%K -11.50%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.84%E -1.76%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-13 20:39 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.17%E -3.57%K -11.50%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.84%E -1.76%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-13 20:45 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.17%E -3.57%K -11.50%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.84%E -1.76%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-13 20:39 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.17%E -3.57%K -11.50%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -6.57%E -2.44%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-13 20:45 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.17%E -3.57%K -11.50%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -6.57%E -2.44%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-13 20:44 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.17%E -3.57%K -11.50%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -6.57%E -2.44%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-13 20:45 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.36%EV -5.83%E -4.05%K -13.24%G +0.000% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 33.64%EV -1.73%E -0.609%K -0.941%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-13 20:39 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.83%E -4.05%K -13.24%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -3.11%E -1.11%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-13 20:44 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.83%E -4.05%K -13.24%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -3.11%E -1.11%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-13 20:44 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.83%E -4.05%K -13.24%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -3.11%E -1.11%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-13 20:44 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.83%E -4.05%K -13.24%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -3.11%E -1.11%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-13 20:44 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.83%E -4.05%K -13.24%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -3.11%E -1.11%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-13 20:45 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.83%E -4.05%K -13.24%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -3.11%E -1.11%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-13 20:45 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.83%E -4.05%K -13.24%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -3.11%E -1.11%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-13 20:45 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.83%E -4.05%K -13.24%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -3.11%E -1.11%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-13 20:45 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.83%E -4.05%K -13.24%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -3.11%E -1.11%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-13 20:45 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.83%E -4.05%K -13.24%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -3.11%E -1.11%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-13 20:45 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.83%E -4.05%K -13.24%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -3.11%E -1.11%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-13 20:45 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.83%E -4.05%K -13.24%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -3.11%E -1.11%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-13 20:45 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.83%E -4.05%K -13.24%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.84%E -1.76%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-13 20:45 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.83%E -4.05%K -13.24%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.84%E -1.76%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-13 20:44 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -5.83%E -4.05%K -13.24%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -6.57%E -2.44%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-13 20:45 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -5.83%E -4.05%K -13.24%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -8.30%E -3.13%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-13 20:45 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -5.83%E -4.05%K -13.24%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -8.30%E -3.13%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-13 20:45 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -5.83%E -4.05%K -13.24%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -8.30%E -3.13%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-13 20:45 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.83%E -4.05%K -13.24%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -9.34%E -3.57%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-13 20:45 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.83%E -4.05%K -13.24%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -9.34%E -3.57%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-13 20:44 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.83%E -4.05%K -13.24%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -9.34%E -3.57%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-13 20:45 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.83%E -4.05%K -13.24%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -9.34%E -3.57%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-13 20:45 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -5.83%E -4.05%K -13.24%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -10.04%E -3.86%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-13 20:37 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -5.83%E -4.05%K -13.24%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -10.04%E -3.86%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-13 20:44 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -6.48%E -4.53%K -15.07%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -1.38%E -0.486%K -0.748%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-13 20:44 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -6.48%E -4.53%K -15.07%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -4.84%E -1.76%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-13 20:45 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -6.48%E -4.53%K -15.07%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -6.57%E -2.44%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-13 20:41 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -7.13%E -5.02%K -16.99%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -3.11%E -1.11%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-13 20:44 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -7.13%E -5.02%K -16.99%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -3.11%E -1.11%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-13 20:45 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -7.13%E -5.02%K -16.99%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -4.84%E -1.76%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-13 20:44 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -7.13%E -5.02%K -16.99%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -6.57%E -2.44%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-13 20:45 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -7.13%E -5.02%K -16.99%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -6.57%E -2.44%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-13 20:45 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 64.84%EV -7.79%E -5.52%K -19.00%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.16%EV -10.04%E -3.86%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-13 20:45 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -8.44%E -6.03%K -21.11%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -0.347%E -0.120%K -0.184%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-13 20:43 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -8.44%E -6.03%K -21.11%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -6.57%E -2.44%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-13 20:45 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -8.44%E -6.03%K -21.11%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -6.57%E -2.44%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-13 20:44 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.00%EV -8.44%E -6.03%K -21.11%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.00%EV -10.04%E -3.86%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-13 20:41 |
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas
Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.
Bolsas de apostas (6)
| Casa de apostas | Local | Visitante | Margem ▲ | Atualização |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.51I 66.23%NM 66.07% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.93% | 0.2% | 2026-05-13 20:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.51I 66.23%NM 66.07% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.93% | 0.2% | 2026-05-13 20:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.51I 66.23%NM 66.07% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.93% | 0.2% | 2026-05-13 20:45 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.61% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 34.39% | 0.3% | 2026-05-13 20:45 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.48I 67.57%NM 66.06% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.94% | 2.3% | 2026-05-13 20:45 |
| Novig◎ | 1.47I 68.03%NM 66.44% | 2.91I 34.36%NM 33.56% | 2.4% | 2026-05-13 20:43 |