Die Wettquotenschule

Rafael Jodar v Luciano Darderi

Spielbeginn: 2026-05-13 20:50 UTC

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

63 Wettanbieter (23 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: IQM

Rafael Jodar (Heim)

Prognose 65.40%1.53faire Quote
EV -1.90%
Vorteil -1.27%
Kelly -3.81%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.50

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
63.41%65.42%65.48%67.29%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
1.401.451.441.5071.43%69.20%69.44%66.67%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Luciano Darderi (Auswärts)

Prognose 34.60%2.89faire Quote
EV -0.347%
Vorteil -0.120%
Kelly -0.184%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 2.88

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
32.71%34.58%34.52%36.59%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
2.602.732.752.8838.46%36.57%36.36%34.72%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Wettanbieterquoten (63 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeim ▼AuswärtsMargeAktualisiert
Pinnacle1.50I 66.67%NM 65.12%EV -1.90%E -1.27%K -3.81%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.88%EV -3.11%E -1.11%K -1.73%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-13 20:45
1xBet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.77%EV -1.90%E -1.27%K -3.81%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 36.23%EV -8.65%E -3.28%K -5.27%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-13 20:45
William Hill1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -1.90%E -1.27%K -3.81%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -10.04%E -3.86%K -6.27%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-13 20:37
FanDuel1.49I 67.11%NM 64.27%EV -2.56%E -1.72%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 35.73%EV -7.27%E -2.71%K -4.33%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-13 20:45
SportsBet1.48I 67.57%NM 64.25%EV -3.21%E -2.17%K -6.69%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 35.75%EV -7.96%E -2.99%K -4.79%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-13 20:45
Coolbet1.47I 68.03%NM 65.97%EV -3.86%E -2.63%K -8.22%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 34.03%EV -1.38%E -0.486%K -0.748%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-13 20:44
LowVig.ag1.47I 68.03%NM 65.65%EV -3.86%E -2.63%K -8.22%G +0.000%2.81I 35.59%NM 34.35%EV -2.77%E -0.985%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-13 20:44
BetOnline.ag1.47I 68.03%NM 65.65%EV -3.86%E -2.63%K -8.22%G +0.000%2.81I 35.59%NM 34.35%EV -2.77%E -0.985%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-13 20:44
Winamax (DE)1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -3.86%E -2.63%K -8.22%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -3.11%E -1.11%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-13 20:45
theScore Bet1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -3.86%E -2.63%K -8.22%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -3.11%E -1.11%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-13 20:45
BetUS1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -3.86%E -2.63%K -8.22%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -4.84%E -1.76%K -2.77%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-13 20:44
BetAnything1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -3.86%E -2.63%K -8.22%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -4.84%E -1.76%K -2.77%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-13 20:34
DraftKings1.46I 68.49%NM 65.48%EV -4.52%E -3.10%K -9.82%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 34.52%EV -4.15%E -1.50%K -2.35%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-13 20:45
Marathon Bet1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -4.52%E -3.10%K -9.82%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -6.57%E -2.44%K -3.87%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-13 20:45
TAB1.46I 68.49%NM 64.04%EV -4.52%E -3.10%K -9.82%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -10.04%E -3.86%K -6.27%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-13 20:45
Unibet1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -5.17%E -3.57%K -11.50%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.11%E -1.11%K -1.73%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-13 20:45
Hard Rock Bet1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -5.17%E -3.57%K -11.50%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.11%E -1.11%K -1.73%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-13 20:45
Betway1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.17%E -3.57%K -11.50%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.84%E -1.76%K -2.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-13 20:45
Unibet (UK)1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.17%E -3.57%K -11.50%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.84%E -1.76%K -2.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-13 20:45
Unibet (FR)1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.17%E -3.57%K -11.50%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.84%E -1.76%K -2.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-13 20:39
Winamax (FR)1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.17%E -3.57%K -11.50%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.84%E -1.76%K -2.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-13 20:45
ReBet1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.17%E -3.57%K -11.50%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.84%E -1.76%K -2.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-13 20:39
Betsson1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.17%E -3.57%K -11.50%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -6.57%E -2.44%K -3.87%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-13 20:45
NordicBet1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.17%E -3.57%K -11.50%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -6.57%E -2.44%K -3.87%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-13 20:44
PlayUp1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.17%E -3.57%K -11.50%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -6.57%E -2.44%K -3.87%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-13 20:45
GTbets1.44I 69.44%NM 66.36%EV -5.83%E -4.05%K -13.24%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 33.64%EV -1.73%E -0.609%K -0.941%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-13 20:39
LeoVegas (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.83%E -4.05%K -13.24%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -3.11%E -1.11%K -1.73%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-13 20:44
Unibet (NL)1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.83%E -4.05%K -13.24%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -3.11%E -1.11%K -1.73%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-13 20:44
Casumo1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.83%E -4.05%K -13.24%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -3.11%E -1.11%K -1.73%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-13 20:44
TABtouch1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.83%E -4.05%K -13.24%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -3.11%E -1.11%K -1.73%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-13 20:44
Unibet (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.83%E -4.05%K -13.24%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -3.11%E -1.11%K -1.73%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-13 20:45
LeoVegas1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.83%E -4.05%K -13.24%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -3.11%E -1.11%K -1.73%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-13 20:45
Grosvenor1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.83%E -4.05%K -13.24%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -3.11%E -1.11%K -1.73%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-13 20:45
BetRivers1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.83%E -4.05%K -13.24%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -3.11%E -1.11%K -1.73%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-13 20:45
betPARX1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.83%E -4.05%K -13.24%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -3.11%E -1.11%K -1.73%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-13 20:45
Svenska Spel1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.83%E -4.05%K -13.24%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -3.11%E -1.11%K -1.73%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-13 20:45
ATG (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.83%E -4.05%K -13.24%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -3.11%E -1.11%K -1.73%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-13 20:45
Bally Bet1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.83%E -4.05%K -13.24%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -3.11%E -1.11%K -1.73%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-13 20:45
Codere (IT)1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.83%E -4.05%K -13.24%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.84%E -1.76%K -2.77%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-13 20:45
BetMGM1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.83%E -4.05%K -13.24%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.84%E -1.76%K -2.77%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-13 20:44
Fanatics1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -5.83%E -4.05%K -13.24%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -6.57%E -2.44%K -3.87%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-13 20:45
PointsBet (AU)1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -5.83%E -4.05%K -13.24%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -8.30%E -3.13%K -5.03%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-13 20:45
Ladbrokes (AU)1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -5.83%E -4.05%K -13.24%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -8.30%E -3.13%K -5.03%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-13 20:45
Neds1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -5.83%E -4.05%K -13.24%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -8.30%E -3.13%K -5.03%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-13 20:45
888sport1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.83%E -4.05%K -13.24%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -9.34%E -3.57%K -5.77%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-13 20:45
Paddy Power1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.83%E -4.05%K -13.24%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -9.34%E -3.57%K -5.77%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-13 20:44
888sport (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.83%E -4.05%K -13.24%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -9.34%E -3.57%K -5.77%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-13 20:45
Mr Green (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.83%E -4.05%K -13.24%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -9.34%E -3.57%K -5.77%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-13 20:45
Bet Victor1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -5.83%E -4.05%K -13.24%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -10.04%E -3.86%K -6.27%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-13 20:37
Everygame1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -5.83%E -4.05%K -13.24%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -10.04%E -3.86%K -6.27%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-13 20:44
Bet Right1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -6.48%E -4.53%K -15.07%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -1.38%E -0.486%K -0.748%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-13 20:44
PMU (FR)1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -6.48%E -4.53%K -15.07%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -4.84%E -1.76%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-13 20:45
NetBet (FR)1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -6.48%E -4.53%K -15.07%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -6.57%E -2.44%K -3.87%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-13 20:41
Betr (AU)1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -7.13%E -5.02%K -16.99%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -3.11%E -1.11%K -1.73%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-13 20:44
Tipico (DE)1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -7.13%E -5.02%K -16.99%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -3.11%E -1.11%K -1.73%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-13 20:45
Caesars1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -7.13%E -5.02%K -16.99%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -4.84%E -1.76%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-13 20:44
Virgin Bet1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -7.13%E -5.02%K -16.99%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -6.57%E -2.44%K -3.87%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-13 20:45
LiveScore Bet1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -7.13%E -5.02%K -16.99%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -6.57%E -2.44%K -3.87%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-13 20:45
Fliff1.41I 70.92%NM 64.84%EV -7.79%E -5.52%K -19.00%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.16%EV -10.04%E -3.86%K -6.27%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-13 20:45
BoyleSports1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -8.44%E -6.03%K -21.11%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -0.347%E -0.120%K -0.184%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-13 20:43
Ladbrokes (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -8.44%E -6.03%K -21.11%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -6.57%E -2.44%K -3.87%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-13 20:45
Coral1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -8.44%E -6.03%K -21.11%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -6.57%E -2.44%K -3.87%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-13 20:44
Betclic (FR)1.40I 71.43%NM 65.00%EV -8.44%E -6.03%K -21.11%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.00%EV -10.04%E -3.86%K -6.27%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-13 20:41
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (6)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.51I 66.23%NM 66.07%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.93%0.2%2026-05-13 20:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.51I 66.23%NM 66.07%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.93%0.2%2026-05-13 20:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.51I 66.23%NM 66.07%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.93%0.2%2026-05-13 20:45
Matchbook1.52I 65.79%NM 65.61%2.90I 34.48%NM 34.39%0.3%2026-05-13 20:45
Smarkets1.48I 67.57%NM 66.06%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.94%2.3%2026-05-13 20:45
Novig1.47I 68.03%NM 66.44%2.91I 34.36%NM 33.56%2.4%2026-05-13 20:43