Szkoła Kursów

Rafael Jodar v Luciano Darderi

Początek: 2026-05-13 20:50 UTC

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

63 bukmacherów (23 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: IQM

Rafael Jodar (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 65.40%1.53kurs godziwy
EV -1.90%
Przewaga -1.27%
Kelly -3.81%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 1.50

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
63.41%65.42%65.48%67.29%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.401.451.441.5071.43%69.20%69.44%66.67%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Luciano Darderi (Goście)

Prognoza 34.60%2.89kurs godziwy
EV -0.347%
Przewaga -0.120%
Kelly -0.184%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 2.88

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
32.71%34.58%34.52%36.59%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.602.732.752.8838.46%36.57%36.36%34.72%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Kursy bukmacherskie (63 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarze ▼GościeMarżaAktualizacja
Pinnacle1.50I 66.67%NM 65.12%EV -1.90%E -1.27%K -3.81%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.88%EV -3.11%E -1.11%K -1.73%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-13 20:45
1xBet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.77%EV -1.90%E -1.27%K -3.81%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 36.23%EV -8.65%E -3.28%K -5.27%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-13 20:45
William Hill1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -1.90%E -1.27%K -3.81%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -10.04%E -3.86%K -6.27%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-13 20:37
FanDuel1.49I 67.11%NM 64.27%EV -2.56%E -1.72%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 35.73%EV -7.27%E -2.71%K -4.33%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-13 20:45
SportsBet1.48I 67.57%NM 64.25%EV -3.21%E -2.17%K -6.69%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 35.75%EV -7.96%E -2.99%K -4.79%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-13 20:45
Coolbet1.47I 68.03%NM 65.97%EV -3.86%E -2.63%K -8.22%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 34.03%EV -1.38%E -0.486%K -0.748%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-13 20:44
LowVig.ag1.47I 68.03%NM 65.65%EV -3.86%E -2.63%K -8.22%G +0.000%2.81I 35.59%NM 34.35%EV -2.77%E -0.985%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-13 20:44
BetOnline.ag1.47I 68.03%NM 65.65%EV -3.86%E -2.63%K -8.22%G +0.000%2.81I 35.59%NM 34.35%EV -2.77%E -0.985%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-13 20:44
Winamax (DE)1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -3.86%E -2.63%K -8.22%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -3.11%E -1.11%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-13 20:45
theScore Bet1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -3.86%E -2.63%K -8.22%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -3.11%E -1.11%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-13 20:45
BetUS1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -3.86%E -2.63%K -8.22%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -4.84%E -1.76%K -2.77%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-13 20:44
BetAnything1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -3.86%E -2.63%K -8.22%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -4.84%E -1.76%K -2.77%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-13 20:34
DraftKings1.46I 68.49%NM 65.48%EV -4.52%E -3.10%K -9.82%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 34.52%EV -4.15%E -1.50%K -2.35%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-13 20:45
Marathon Bet1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -4.52%E -3.10%K -9.82%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -6.57%E -2.44%K -3.87%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-13 20:45
TAB1.46I 68.49%NM 64.04%EV -4.52%E -3.10%K -9.82%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -10.04%E -3.86%K -6.27%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-13 20:45
Unibet1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -5.17%E -3.57%K -11.50%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.11%E -1.11%K -1.73%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-13 20:45
Hard Rock Bet1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -5.17%E -3.57%K -11.50%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.11%E -1.11%K -1.73%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-13 20:45
Betway1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.17%E -3.57%K -11.50%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.84%E -1.76%K -2.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-13 20:45
Unibet (UK)1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.17%E -3.57%K -11.50%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.84%E -1.76%K -2.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-13 20:45
Unibet (FR)1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.17%E -3.57%K -11.50%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.84%E -1.76%K -2.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-13 20:39
Winamax (FR)1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.17%E -3.57%K -11.50%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.84%E -1.76%K -2.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-13 20:45
ReBet1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.17%E -3.57%K -11.50%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.84%E -1.76%K -2.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-13 20:39
Betsson1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.17%E -3.57%K -11.50%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -6.57%E -2.44%K -3.87%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-13 20:45
NordicBet1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.17%E -3.57%K -11.50%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -6.57%E -2.44%K -3.87%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-13 20:44
PlayUp1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.17%E -3.57%K -11.50%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -6.57%E -2.44%K -3.87%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-13 20:45
GTbets1.44I 69.44%NM 66.36%EV -5.83%E -4.05%K -13.24%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 33.64%EV -1.73%E -0.609%K -0.941%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-13 20:39
LeoVegas (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.83%E -4.05%K -13.24%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -3.11%E -1.11%K -1.73%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-13 20:44
Unibet (NL)1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.83%E -4.05%K -13.24%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -3.11%E -1.11%K -1.73%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-13 20:44
Casumo1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.83%E -4.05%K -13.24%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -3.11%E -1.11%K -1.73%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-13 20:44
TABtouch1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.83%E -4.05%K -13.24%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -3.11%E -1.11%K -1.73%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-13 20:44
Unibet (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.83%E -4.05%K -13.24%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -3.11%E -1.11%K -1.73%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-13 20:45
LeoVegas1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.83%E -4.05%K -13.24%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -3.11%E -1.11%K -1.73%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-13 20:45
Grosvenor1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.83%E -4.05%K -13.24%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -3.11%E -1.11%K -1.73%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-13 20:45
BetRivers1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.83%E -4.05%K -13.24%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -3.11%E -1.11%K -1.73%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-13 20:45
betPARX1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.83%E -4.05%K -13.24%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -3.11%E -1.11%K -1.73%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-13 20:45
Svenska Spel1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.83%E -4.05%K -13.24%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -3.11%E -1.11%K -1.73%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-13 20:45
ATG (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.83%E -4.05%K -13.24%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -3.11%E -1.11%K -1.73%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-13 20:45
Bally Bet1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.83%E -4.05%K -13.24%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -3.11%E -1.11%K -1.73%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-13 20:45
Codere (IT)1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.83%E -4.05%K -13.24%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.84%E -1.76%K -2.77%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-13 20:45
BetMGM1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.83%E -4.05%K -13.24%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.84%E -1.76%K -2.77%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-13 20:44
Fanatics1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -5.83%E -4.05%K -13.24%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -6.57%E -2.44%K -3.87%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-13 20:45
PointsBet (AU)1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -5.83%E -4.05%K -13.24%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -8.30%E -3.13%K -5.03%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-13 20:45
Ladbrokes (AU)1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -5.83%E -4.05%K -13.24%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -8.30%E -3.13%K -5.03%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-13 20:45
Neds1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -5.83%E -4.05%K -13.24%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -8.30%E -3.13%K -5.03%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-13 20:45
888sport1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.83%E -4.05%K -13.24%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -9.34%E -3.57%K -5.77%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-13 20:45
Paddy Power1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.83%E -4.05%K -13.24%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -9.34%E -3.57%K -5.77%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-13 20:44
888sport (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.83%E -4.05%K -13.24%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -9.34%E -3.57%K -5.77%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-13 20:45
Mr Green (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.83%E -4.05%K -13.24%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -9.34%E -3.57%K -5.77%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-13 20:45
Bet Victor1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -5.83%E -4.05%K -13.24%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -10.04%E -3.86%K -6.27%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-13 20:37
Everygame1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -5.83%E -4.05%K -13.24%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -10.04%E -3.86%K -6.27%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-13 20:44
Bet Right1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -6.48%E -4.53%K -15.07%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -1.38%E -0.486%K -0.748%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-13 20:44
PMU (FR)1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -6.48%E -4.53%K -15.07%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -4.84%E -1.76%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-13 20:45
NetBet (FR)1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -6.48%E -4.53%K -15.07%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -6.57%E -2.44%K -3.87%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-13 20:41
Betr (AU)1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -7.13%E -5.02%K -16.99%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -3.11%E -1.11%K -1.73%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-13 20:44
Tipico (DE)1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -7.13%E -5.02%K -16.99%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -3.11%E -1.11%K -1.73%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-13 20:45
Caesars1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -7.13%E -5.02%K -16.99%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -4.84%E -1.76%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-13 20:44
Virgin Bet1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -7.13%E -5.02%K -16.99%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -6.57%E -2.44%K -3.87%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-13 20:45
LiveScore Bet1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -7.13%E -5.02%K -16.99%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -6.57%E -2.44%K -3.87%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-13 20:45
Fliff1.41I 70.92%NM 64.84%EV -7.79%E -5.52%K -19.00%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.16%EV -10.04%E -3.86%K -6.27%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-13 20:45
BoyleSports1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -8.44%E -6.03%K -21.11%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -0.347%E -0.120%K -0.184%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-13 20:43
Ladbrokes (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -8.44%E -6.03%K -21.11%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -6.57%E -2.44%K -3.87%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-13 20:45
Coral1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -8.44%E -6.03%K -21.11%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -6.57%E -2.44%K -3.87%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-13 20:44
Betclic (FR)1.40I 71.43%NM 65.00%EV -8.44%E -6.03%K -21.11%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.00%EV -10.04%E -3.86%K -6.27%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-13 20:41
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (6)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeMarża ▲Aktualizacja
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.51I 66.23%NM 66.07%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.93%0.2%2026-05-13 20:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.51I 66.23%NM 66.07%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.93%0.2%2026-05-13 20:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.51I 66.23%NM 66.07%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.93%0.2%2026-05-13 20:45
Matchbook1.52I 65.79%NM 65.61%2.90I 34.48%NM 34.39%0.3%2026-05-13 20:45
Smarkets1.48I 67.57%NM 66.06%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.94%2.3%2026-05-13 20:45
Novig1.47I 68.03%NM 66.44%2.91I 34.36%NM 33.56%2.4%2026-05-13 20:43