StandaardmodelInterkwartielgemiddelde (Gecureerde Lijst)

Rafael Jodar v Luciano Darderi

Aanvang: 2026-05-13 20:50 UTC

Slotodds — de berekende kansen en verwachtingswaarde uit de laatste vóór aanvang geregistreerde odds, volgens het geselecteerde model. De wedstrijd is begonnen; dit zijn dus geen actuele cijfers. Beoordeel de betrouwbaarheid van de waarschijnlijkheidsprognoses van ieder model aan de hand van alle uitslagen van afgehandelde wedstrijden →

Wedstrijduitslag

63 wedaanbieders (23 in de analyse )

Geschatte kans op iedere uitslag volgens het model: Interkwartielgemiddelde (Gecureerde Lijst)

Rafael Jodar (Thuis)

Prognose 65.40%1.53margevrije odds
EV -1.90%
Voordeel -1.27%
Kelly -3.81%
Groei +0.000%

bij maximale odds 1.50

Verdeling van de kansschattingen van wedaanbieders
63.41%65.42%65.48%67.29%MIN.GEMIDDELDEMEDIAANMAX.
Verdeling van de odds
1.401.451.441.5071.43%69.20%69.44%66.67%MIN.GEMIDDELDEMEDIAANMAX.

Luciano Darderi (Uit)

Prognose 34.60%2.89margevrije odds
EV -0.347%
Voordeel -0.120%
Kelly -0.184%
Groei +0.000%

bij maximale odds 2.88

Verdeling van de kansschattingen van wedaanbieders
32.71%34.58%34.52%36.59%MIN.GEMIDDELDEMEDIAANMAX.
Verdeling van de odds
2.602.732.752.8838.46%36.57%36.36%34.72%MIN.GEMIDDELDEMEDIAANMAX.

Bij de laatste odds voor de aftrap schatte Interkwartielgemiddelde (Gecureerde Lijst) voor Wedstrijduitslag: Rafael Jodar (Thuis): 65.40%; Luciano Darderi (Uit): 34.60%. Voor Luciano Darderi (Uit) kwam deze schatting overeen met eerlijke decimale odds van 2.89. Geen enkele geschikte wedaanbieder bood slotodds boven dat niveau: de beste waren 2.88, met een verwachtingswaarde van -0.347%; ze leverden geen positieve verwachtingswaarde op.

Odds van wedaanbieders (63 wedaanbieders)

Wij zijn niet verbonden aan enige wedaanbieder en ontvangen geen vergoeding voor transacties die bij hen worden verricht.

WedaanbiederThuis ▼UitMargeBijgewerkt
Pinnacle🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 65.12%EV -1.90%E -1.27%K -3.81%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.88%EV -3.11%E -1.11%K -1.73%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-13 20:45
1xBet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.77%EV -1.90%E -1.27%K -3.81%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 36.23%EV -8.65%E -3.28%K -5.27%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-13 20:45
William Hill🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -1.90%E -1.27%K -3.81%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -10.04%E -3.86%K -6.27%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-13 20:37
FanDuel🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.27%EV -2.56%E -1.72%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 35.73%EV -7.27%E -2.71%K -4.33%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-13 20:45
SportsBet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.25%EV -3.21%E -2.17%K -6.69%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 35.75%EV -7.96%E -2.99%K -4.79%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-13 20:45
Coolbet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.97%EV -3.86%E -2.63%K -8.22%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 34.03%EV -1.38%E -0.486%K -0.748%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-13 20:44
LowVig.ag🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.65%EV -3.86%E -2.63%K -8.22%G +0.000%2.81I 35.59%NM 34.35%EV -2.77%E -0.985%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-13 20:44
BetOnline.ag🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.65%EV -3.86%E -2.63%K -8.22%G +0.000%2.81I 35.59%NM 34.35%EV -2.77%E -0.985%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-13 20:44
Winamax (DE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -3.86%E -2.63%K -8.22%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -3.11%E -1.11%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-13 20:45
theScore Bet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -3.86%E -2.63%K -8.22%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -3.11%E -1.11%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-13 20:45
BetUS🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -3.86%E -2.63%K -8.22%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -4.84%E -1.76%K -2.77%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-13 20:44
BetAnything🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -3.86%E -2.63%K -8.22%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -4.84%E -1.76%K -2.77%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-13 20:34
DraftKings🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 65.48%EV -4.52%E -3.10%K -9.82%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 34.52%EV -4.15%E -1.50%K -2.35%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-13 20:45
Marathon Bet🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -4.52%E -3.10%K -9.82%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -6.57%E -2.44%K -3.87%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-13 20:45
TAB🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 64.04%EV -4.52%E -3.10%K -9.82%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -10.04%E -3.86%K -6.27%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-13 20:45
Unibet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -5.17%E -3.57%K -11.50%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.11%E -1.11%K -1.73%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-13 20:45
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -5.17%E -3.57%K -11.50%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.11%E -1.11%K -1.73%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-13 20:45
Betway🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.17%E -3.57%K -11.50%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.84%E -1.76%K -2.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-13 20:45
Unibet (UK)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.17%E -3.57%K -11.50%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.84%E -1.76%K -2.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-13 20:45
Unibet (FR)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.17%E -3.57%K -11.50%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.84%E -1.76%K -2.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-13 20:39
Winamax (FR)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.17%E -3.57%K -11.50%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.84%E -1.76%K -2.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-13 20:45
ReBet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.17%E -3.57%K -11.50%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.84%E -1.76%K -2.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-13 20:39
Betsson🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.17%E -3.57%K -11.50%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -6.57%E -2.44%K -3.87%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-13 20:45
NordicBet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.17%E -3.57%K -11.50%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -6.57%E -2.44%K -3.87%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-13 20:44
PlayUp🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.17%E -3.57%K -11.50%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -6.57%E -2.44%K -3.87%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-13 20:45
GTbets🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.36%EV -5.83%E -4.05%K -13.24%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 33.64%EV -1.73%E -0.609%K -0.941%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-13 20:39
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.83%E -4.05%K -13.24%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -3.11%E -1.11%K -1.73%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-13 20:44
Unibet (NL)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.83%E -4.05%K -13.24%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -3.11%E -1.11%K -1.73%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-13 20:44
Casumo🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.83%E -4.05%K -13.24%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -3.11%E -1.11%K -1.73%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-13 20:44
TABtouch🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.83%E -4.05%K -13.24%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -3.11%E -1.11%K -1.73%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-13 20:44
Unibet (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.83%E -4.05%K -13.24%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -3.11%E -1.11%K -1.73%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-13 20:45
LeoVegas🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.83%E -4.05%K -13.24%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -3.11%E -1.11%K -1.73%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-13 20:45
Grosvenor🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.83%E -4.05%K -13.24%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -3.11%E -1.11%K -1.73%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-13 20:45
BetRivers🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.83%E -4.05%K -13.24%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -3.11%E -1.11%K -1.73%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-13 20:45
betPARX🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.83%E -4.05%K -13.24%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -3.11%E -1.11%K -1.73%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-13 20:45
Svenska Spel🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.83%E -4.05%K -13.24%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -3.11%E -1.11%K -1.73%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-13 20:45
ATG (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.83%E -4.05%K -13.24%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -3.11%E -1.11%K -1.73%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-13 20:45
Bally Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.83%E -4.05%K -13.24%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -3.11%E -1.11%K -1.73%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-13 20:45
Codere (IT)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.83%E -4.05%K -13.24%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.84%E -1.76%K -2.77%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-13 20:45
BetMGM🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.83%E -4.05%K -13.24%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.84%E -1.76%K -2.77%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-13 20:44
Fanatics🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -5.83%E -4.05%K -13.24%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -6.57%E -2.44%K -3.87%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-13 20:45
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -5.83%E -4.05%K -13.24%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -8.30%E -3.13%K -5.03%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-13 20:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -5.83%E -4.05%K -13.24%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -8.30%E -3.13%K -5.03%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-13 20:45
Neds🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -5.83%E -4.05%K -13.24%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -8.30%E -3.13%K -5.03%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-13 20:45
888sport🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.83%E -4.05%K -13.24%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -9.34%E -3.57%K -5.77%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-13 20:45
Paddy Power🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.83%E -4.05%K -13.24%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -9.34%E -3.57%K -5.77%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-13 20:44
888sport (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.83%E -4.05%K -13.24%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -9.34%E -3.57%K -5.77%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-13 20:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.83%E -4.05%K -13.24%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -9.34%E -3.57%K -5.77%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-13 20:45
Bet Victor🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -5.83%E -4.05%K -13.24%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -10.04%E -3.86%K -6.27%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-13 20:37
Everygame🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -5.83%E -4.05%K -13.24%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -10.04%E -3.86%K -6.27%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-13 20:44
Bet Right🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -6.48%E -4.53%K -15.07%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -1.38%E -0.486%K -0.748%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-13 20:44
PMU (FR)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -6.48%E -4.53%K -15.07%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -4.84%E -1.76%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-13 20:45
NetBet (FR)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -6.48%E -4.53%K -15.07%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -6.57%E -2.44%K -3.87%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-13 20:41
Betr (AU)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -7.13%E -5.02%K -16.99%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -3.11%E -1.11%K -1.73%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-13 20:44
Tipico (DE)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -7.13%E -5.02%K -16.99%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -3.11%E -1.11%K -1.73%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-13 20:45
Caesars🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -7.13%E -5.02%K -16.99%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -4.84%E -1.76%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-13 20:44
Virgin Bet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -7.13%E -5.02%K -16.99%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -6.57%E -2.44%K -3.87%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-13 20:45
LiveScore Bet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -7.13%E -5.02%K -16.99%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -6.57%E -2.44%K -3.87%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-13 20:45
Fliff🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 64.84%EV -7.79%E -5.52%K -19.00%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.16%EV -10.04%E -3.86%K -6.27%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-13 20:45
BoyleSports🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -8.44%E -6.03%K -21.11%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -0.347%E -0.120%K -0.184%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-13 20:43
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -8.44%E -6.03%K -21.11%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -6.57%E -2.44%K -3.87%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-13 20:45
Coral🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -8.44%E -6.03%K -21.11%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -6.57%E -2.44%K -3.87%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-13 20:44
Betclic (FR)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.00%EV -8.44%E -6.03%K -21.11%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.00%EV -10.04%E -3.86%K -6.27%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-13 20:41
Marge = Marge · I = Impliciete kans · NM = Margevrije kans · EV = Verwachtingswaarde · E = Voordeel · K = Kelly-criterium · G = Groei van het speelkapitaal

Bijgewerkt geeft aan wanneer iedere wedaanbieder zijn odds voor het laatst wijzigde. Een ouder tijdstip betekent dus dat de odds niet zijn bewogen, niet dat ze verouderd zijn. Wedaanbieders die gedurende de laatste ongeveer 15 minuten niet zijn waargenomen, worden normaal uitgesloten; alleen wanneer de gegevensstroom van een volledige markt stilvalt, worden de laatst geregistreerde odds getoond.

Weddenschapsbeurzen (6)

WedaanbiederThuisUitMarge ▲Bijgewerkt
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.51I 66.23%NM 66.07%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.93%0.2%2026-05-13 20:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.51I 66.23%NM 66.07%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.93%0.2%2026-05-13 20:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.51I 66.23%NM 66.07%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.93%0.2%2026-05-13 20:45
Matchbook1.52I 65.79%NM 65.61%2.90I 34.48%NM 34.39%0.3%2026-05-13 20:45
Smarkets1.48I 67.57%NM 66.06%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.94%2.3%2026-05-13 20:45
Novig1.47I 68.03%NM 66.44%2.91I 34.36%NM 33.56%2.4%2026-05-13 20:43