StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Rafael Jodar v Learner Tien

Matchstart: 2026-05-12 10:25 UTC

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

63 spelbolag (23 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Rafael Jodar (Hemma)

Prognos 76.55%1.31rättvist odds
EV -2.01%
Fördel -1.57%
Kelly -7.19%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.28

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
74.70%76.52%76.34%78.10%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.201.241.251.2883.33%80.42%80.00%78.13%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Learner Tien (Borta)

Prognos 23.45%4.26rättvist odds
EV +2.00%
Fördel +0.460%
Kelly +0.598%
Tillväxt +0.012%

med antagandet om högsta odds 4.35

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
21.90%23.48%23.66%25.30%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
3.753.994.004.3526.67%25.03%25.00%22.99%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Rafael Jodar (Hemma): 76.55%; Learner Tien (Borta): 23.45%. För Learner Tien (Borta) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 4.26. 4 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 4.35, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +2.00%.

Spelbolagsodds (63 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemmaBorta ▼MarginalUppdaterat
Coolbet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 77.68%EV -4.31%E -3.45%K -17.24%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.32%EV +2.00%E +0.460%K +0.598%G +0.012%3.0%2026-05-12 10:14
SportsBet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -6.61%E -5.42%K -30.03%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV +2.00%E +0.460%K +0.598%G +0.012%5.0%2026-05-12 10:15
FanDuel🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 77.76%EV -5.84%E -4.75%K -25.40%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%EV +0.830%E +0.193%K +0.251%G +0.002%4.6%2026-05-12 10:14
BetAnything🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -6.61%E -5.42%K -30.03%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV +0.830%E +0.193%K +0.251%G +0.002%5.2%2026-05-12 07:34
Pinnacle🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 77.03%EV -2.78%E -2.19%K -10.30%G +0.000%4.26I 23.47%NM 22.97%EV -0.108%E -0.025%K -0.033%G +0.000%2.2%2026-05-12 10:09
DraftKings🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 77.43%EV -5.84%E -4.75%K -25.40%G +0.000%4.22I 23.70%NM 22.57%EV -1.05%E -0.248%K -0.325%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-12 10:14
Paddy Power🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -6.61%E -5.42%K -30.03%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -1.52%E -0.361%K -0.473%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-12 10:14
BoyleSports🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -6.61%E -5.42%K -30.03%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -1.52%E -0.361%K -0.473%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-12 10:18
Betr (AU)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -8.14%E -6.78%K -40.69%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -1.52%E -0.361%K -0.473%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-12 08:14
Fanatics🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.99%EV -5.08%E -4.09%K -21.15%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 23.01%EV -2.69%E -0.648%K -0.853%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-12 05:59
Betsson🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.08%E -4.09%K -21.15%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -3.86%E -0.941%K -1.25%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-12 10:15
NordicBet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.08%E -4.09%K -21.15%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -3.86%E -0.941%K -1.25%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-12 10:14
Unibet (UK)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.08%E -4.09%K -21.15%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -3.86%E -0.941%K -1.25%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-12 10:14
ReBet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.08%E -4.09%K -21.15%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -3.86%E -0.941%K -1.25%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-12 10:14
NetBet (FR)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -6.61%E -5.42%K -30.03%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -3.86%E -0.941%K -1.25%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-12 10:19
Marathon Bet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.56%EV -5.08%E -4.09%K -21.15%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.44%EV -5.03%E -1.24%K -1.65%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-12 10:14
LowVig.ag🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 76.23%EV -3.55%E -2.81%K -13.64%G +0.000%4.04I 24.75%NM 23.77%EV -5.27%E -1.30%K -1.73%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-12 05:44
BetOnline.ag🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 76.23%EV -3.55%E -2.81%K -13.64%G +0.000%4.04I 24.75%NM 23.77%EV -5.27%E -1.30%K -1.73%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-12 05:43
1xBet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.24%EV -4.31%E -3.45%K -17.24%G +0.000%4.01I 24.94%NM 23.76%EV -5.97%E -1.49%K -1.98%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-12 10:19
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -2.78%E -2.19%K -10.30%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV -6.20%E -1.55%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-12 07:14
Bet Right🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.31%E -3.45%K -17.24%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.20%E -1.55%K -2.07%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-12 10:19
Betway🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.31%E -3.45%K -17.24%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.20%E -1.55%K -2.07%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-12 09:59
888sport🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.31%E -3.45%K -17.24%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.20%E -1.55%K -2.07%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-12 07:09
William Hill🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.31%E -3.45%K -17.24%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.20%E -1.55%K -2.07%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-12 07:44
888sport (SE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.31%E -3.45%K -17.24%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.20%E -1.55%K -2.07%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-12 07:09
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.31%E -3.45%K -17.24%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.20%E -1.55%K -2.07%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-12 07:09
BetUS🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.31%E -3.45%K -17.24%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.20%E -1.55%K -2.07%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-12 05:44
Codere (IT)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -5.08%E -4.09%K -21.15%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.20%E -1.55%K -2.07%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-12 10:19
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -5.08%E -4.09%K -21.15%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.20%E -1.55%K -2.07%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-12 05:59
theScore Bet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -5.08%E -4.09%K -21.15%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.20%E -1.55%K -2.07%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-12 10:15
BetMGM🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -5.08%E -4.09%K -21.15%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.20%E -1.55%K -2.07%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-12 07:59
Betclic (FR)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -5.08%E -4.09%K -21.15%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.20%E -1.55%K -2.07%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-12 10:14
Tipico (DE)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -8.14%E -6.78%K -40.69%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -6.20%E -1.55%K -2.07%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-12 10:19
GTbets🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.82%EV -3.55%E -2.81%K -13.64%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.18%EV -7.38%E -1.87%K -2.50%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-11 20:49
Grosvenor🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.82%EV -3.55%E -2.81%K -13.64%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.18%EV -7.38%E -1.87%K -2.50%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-12 07:14
Casumo🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.82%EV -3.55%E -2.81%K -13.64%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.18%EV -7.38%E -1.87%K -2.50%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-12 07:14
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.82%EV -3.55%E -2.81%K -13.64%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.18%EV -7.38%E -1.87%K -2.50%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-12 07:14
LeoVegas🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.82%EV -3.55%E -2.81%K -13.64%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.18%EV -7.38%E -1.87%K -2.50%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-12 07:14
BetRivers🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.82%EV -3.55%E -2.81%K -13.64%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.18%EV -7.38%E -1.87%K -2.50%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-12 07:14
Unibet (SE)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.82%EV -3.55%E -2.81%K -13.64%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.18%EV -7.38%E -1.87%K -2.50%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-12 07:14
Unibet (NL)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.82%EV -3.55%E -2.81%K -13.64%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.18%EV -7.38%E -1.87%K -2.50%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-12 07:14
Unibet🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.82%EV -3.55%E -2.81%K -13.64%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.18%EV -7.38%E -1.87%K -2.50%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-12 07:14
TABtouch🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.82%EV -3.55%E -2.81%K -13.64%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.18%EV -7.38%E -1.87%K -2.50%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-12 07:14
Svenska Spel🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.82%EV -3.55%E -2.81%K -13.64%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.18%EV -7.38%E -1.87%K -2.50%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-12 07:14
Bally Bet🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.82%EV -3.55%E -2.81%K -13.64%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.18%EV -7.38%E -1.87%K -2.50%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-12 07:14
ATG (SE)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.82%EV -3.55%E -2.81%K -13.64%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.18%EV -7.38%E -1.87%K -2.50%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-12 07:14
betPARX🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.82%EV -3.55%E -2.81%K -13.64%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.18%EV -7.38%E -1.87%K -2.50%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-12 07:14
Fliff🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 76.25%EV -5.84%E -4.75%K -25.40%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.75%EV -7.38%E -1.87%K -2.50%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-12 10:19
Winamax (DE)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 75.29%EV -2.01%E -1.57%K -7.19%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.71%EV -8.55%E -2.19%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-12 10:14
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -6.61%E -5.42%K -30.03%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -8.55%E -2.19%K -2.95%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-12 07:59
Coral🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -6.61%E -5.42%K -30.03%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -8.55%E -2.19%K -2.95%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-12 08:00
PlayUp🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -4.31%E -3.45%K -17.24%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -9.72%E -2.53%K -3.41%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-12 01:29
Unibet (FR)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 75.94%EV -6.61%E -5.42%K -30.03%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.06%EV -9.72%E -2.53%K -3.41%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-12 10:20
PMU (FR)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -4.31%E -3.45%K -17.24%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -10.89%E -2.87%K -3.89%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-12 06:19
Caesars🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -4.31%E -3.45%K -17.24%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -10.89%E -2.87%K -3.89%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-12 06:35
TAB🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -5.08%E -4.09%K -21.15%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -10.89%E -2.87%K -3.89%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-12 05:43
Virgin Bet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -5.08%E -4.09%K -21.15%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -10.89%E -2.87%K -3.89%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-12 06:19
LiveScore Bet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -5.08%E -4.09%K -21.15%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -10.89%E -2.87%K -3.89%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-12 06:20
Neds🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 75.70%EV -6.61%E -5.42%K -30.03%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -10.89%E -2.87%K -3.89%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-12 08:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 75.70%EV -6.61%E -5.42%K -30.03%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -10.89%E -2.87%K -3.89%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-12 08:00
Winamax (FR)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -2.78%E -2.19%K -10.30%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -12.07%E -3.22%K -4.39%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-12 10:14
Everygame🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -6.61%E -5.42%K -30.03%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -12.07%E -3.22%K -4.39%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-12 07:09
Bet Victor🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -6.61%E -5.42%K -30.03%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -12.07%E -3.22%K -4.39%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-12 07:39
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (6)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.27I 78.74%NM 77.99%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01%1.0%2026-05-12 10:14
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.27I 78.74%NM 77.99%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01%1.0%2026-05-12 10:14
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.27I 78.74%NM 77.99%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01%1.0%2026-05-12 10:19
Matchbook1.27I 78.74%NM 77.99%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01%1.0%2026-05-12 10:14
Smarkets1.25I 80.00%NM 78.26%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.74%2.2%2026-05-12 10:19
Novig1.25I 80.00%NM 77.52%4.31I 23.20%NM 22.48%3.2%2026-05-12 10:20