A Escola das Odds

Rafael Jodar v Learner Tien

Início: 2026-05-12 10:25 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

63 casas de apostas (23 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Rafael Jodar (Local)

Previsão 76.55%1.31odd justa
EV -2.01%
Vantagem -1.57%
Kelly -7.19%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.28

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
74.70%76.52%76.34%78.10%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.201.241.251.2883.33%80.42%80.00%78.13%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Learner Tien (Visitante)

Previsão 23.45%4.26odd justa
EV +2.00%
Vantagem +0.460%
Kelly +0.598%
Crescimento +0.012%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.35

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
21.90%23.48%23.66%25.30%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.753.994.004.3526.67%25.03%25.00%22.99%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (63 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
Coolbet1.25I 80.00%NM 77.68%EV -4.31%E -3.45%K -17.24%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.32%EV +2.00%E +0.460%K +0.598%G +0.012%3.0%2026-05-12 10:14
SportsBet1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -6.61%E -5.42%K -30.03%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV +2.00%E +0.460%K +0.598%G +0.012%5.0%2026-05-12 10:15
FanDuel1.23I 81.30%NM 77.76%EV -5.84%E -4.75%K -25.40%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%EV +0.830%E +0.193%K +0.251%G +0.002%4.6%2026-05-12 10:14
BetAnything1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -6.61%E -5.42%K -30.03%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV +0.830%E +0.193%K +0.251%G +0.002%5.2%2026-05-12 07:34
Pinnacle1.27I 78.74%NM 77.03%EV -2.78%E -2.19%K -10.30%G +0.000%4.26I 23.47%NM 22.97%EV -0.108%E -0.025%K -0.033%G +0.000%2.2%2026-05-12 10:09
DraftKings1.23I 81.30%NM 77.43%EV -5.84%E -4.75%K -25.40%G +0.000%4.22I 23.70%NM 22.57%EV -1.05%E -0.248%K -0.325%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-12 10:14
Paddy Power1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -6.61%E -5.42%K -30.03%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -1.52%E -0.361%K -0.473%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-12 10:14
BoyleSports1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -6.61%E -5.42%K -30.03%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -1.52%E -0.361%K -0.473%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-12 10:18
Betr (AU)1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -8.14%E -6.78%K -40.69%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -1.52%E -0.361%K -0.473%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-12 08:14
Fanatics1.24I 80.65%NM 76.99%EV -5.08%E -4.09%K -21.15%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 23.01%EV -2.69%E -0.648%K -0.853%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-12 05:59
Betsson1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.08%E -4.09%K -21.15%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -3.86%E -0.941%K -1.25%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-12 10:15
NordicBet1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.08%E -4.09%K -21.15%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -3.86%E -0.941%K -1.25%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-12 10:14
Unibet (UK)1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.08%E -4.09%K -21.15%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -3.86%E -0.941%K -1.25%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-12 10:14
ReBet1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.08%E -4.09%K -21.15%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -3.86%E -0.941%K -1.25%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-12 10:14
NetBet (FR)1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -6.61%E -5.42%K -30.03%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -3.86%E -0.941%K -1.25%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-12 10:19
Marathon Bet1.24I 80.65%NM 76.56%EV -5.08%E -4.09%K -21.15%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.44%EV -5.03%E -1.24%K -1.65%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-12 10:14
LowVig.ag1.26I 79.37%NM 76.23%EV -3.55%E -2.81%K -13.64%G +0.000%4.04I 24.75%NM 23.77%EV -5.27%E -1.30%K -1.73%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-12 05:44
BetOnline.ag1.26I 79.37%NM 76.23%EV -3.55%E -2.81%K -13.64%G +0.000%4.04I 24.75%NM 23.77%EV -5.27%E -1.30%K -1.73%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-12 05:43
1xBet1.25I 80.00%NM 76.24%EV -4.31%E -3.45%K -17.24%G +0.000%4.01I 24.94%NM 23.76%EV -5.97%E -1.49%K -1.98%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-12 10:19
Hard Rock Bet1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -2.78%E -2.19%K -10.30%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV -6.20%E -1.55%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-12 07:14
Bet Right1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.31%E -3.45%K -17.24%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.20%E -1.55%K -2.07%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-12 10:19
Betway1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.31%E -3.45%K -17.24%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.20%E -1.55%K -2.07%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-12 09:59
888sport1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.31%E -3.45%K -17.24%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.20%E -1.55%K -2.07%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-12 07:09
William Hill1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.31%E -3.45%K -17.24%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.20%E -1.55%K -2.07%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-12 07:44
888sport (SE)1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.31%E -3.45%K -17.24%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.20%E -1.55%K -2.07%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-12 07:09
Mr Green (SE)1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.31%E -3.45%K -17.24%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.20%E -1.55%K -2.07%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-12 07:09
BetUS1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.31%E -3.45%K -17.24%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.20%E -1.55%K -2.07%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-12 05:44
Codere (IT)1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -5.08%E -4.09%K -21.15%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.20%E -1.55%K -2.07%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-12 10:19
PointsBet (AU)1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -5.08%E -4.09%K -21.15%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.20%E -1.55%K -2.07%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-12 05:59
theScore Bet1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -5.08%E -4.09%K -21.15%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.20%E -1.55%K -2.07%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-12 10:15
BetMGM1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -5.08%E -4.09%K -21.15%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.20%E -1.55%K -2.07%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-12 07:59
Betclic (FR)1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -5.08%E -4.09%K -21.15%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.20%E -1.55%K -2.07%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-12 10:14
Tipico (DE)1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -8.14%E -6.78%K -40.69%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -6.20%E -1.55%K -2.07%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-12 10:19
GTbets1.26I 79.37%NM 75.82%EV -3.55%E -2.81%K -13.64%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.18%EV -7.38%E -1.87%K -2.50%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-11 20:49
Grosvenor1.26I 79.37%NM 75.82%EV -3.55%E -2.81%K -13.64%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.18%EV -7.38%E -1.87%K -2.50%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-12 07:14
Casumo1.26I 79.37%NM 75.82%EV -3.55%E -2.81%K -13.64%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.18%EV -7.38%E -1.87%K -2.50%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-12 07:14
LeoVegas (SE)1.26I 79.37%NM 75.82%EV -3.55%E -2.81%K -13.64%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.18%EV -7.38%E -1.87%K -2.50%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-12 07:14
LeoVegas1.26I 79.37%NM 75.82%EV -3.55%E -2.81%K -13.64%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.18%EV -7.38%E -1.87%K -2.50%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-12 07:14
BetRivers1.26I 79.37%NM 75.82%EV -3.55%E -2.81%K -13.64%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.18%EV -7.38%E -1.87%K -2.50%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-12 07:14
Unibet (SE)1.26I 79.37%NM 75.82%EV -3.55%E -2.81%K -13.64%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.18%EV -7.38%E -1.87%K -2.50%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-12 07:14
Unibet (NL)1.26I 79.37%NM 75.82%EV -3.55%E -2.81%K -13.64%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.18%EV -7.38%E -1.87%K -2.50%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-12 07:14
Unibet1.26I 79.37%NM 75.82%EV -3.55%E -2.81%K -13.64%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.18%EV -7.38%E -1.87%K -2.50%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-12 07:14
TABtouch1.26I 79.37%NM 75.82%EV -3.55%E -2.81%K -13.64%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.18%EV -7.38%E -1.87%K -2.50%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-12 07:14
Svenska Spel1.26I 79.37%NM 75.82%EV -3.55%E -2.81%K -13.64%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.18%EV -7.38%E -1.87%K -2.50%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-12 07:14
Bally Bet1.26I 79.37%NM 75.82%EV -3.55%E -2.81%K -13.64%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.18%EV -7.38%E -1.87%K -2.50%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-12 07:14
ATG (SE)1.26I 79.37%NM 75.82%EV -3.55%E -2.81%K -13.64%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.18%EV -7.38%E -1.87%K -2.50%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-12 07:14
betPARX1.26I 79.37%NM 75.82%EV -3.55%E -2.81%K -13.64%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.18%EV -7.38%E -1.87%K -2.50%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-12 07:14
Fliff1.23I 81.30%NM 76.25%EV -5.84%E -4.75%K -25.40%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.75%EV -7.38%E -1.87%K -2.50%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-12 10:19
Winamax (DE)1.28I 78.13%NM 75.29%EV -2.01%E -1.57%K -7.19%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.71%EV -8.55%E -2.19%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-12 10:14
Ladbrokes (UK)1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -6.61%E -5.42%K -30.03%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -8.55%E -2.19%K -2.95%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-12 07:59
Coral1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -6.61%E -5.42%K -30.03%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -8.55%E -2.19%K -2.95%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-12 08:00
PlayUp1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -4.31%E -3.45%K -17.24%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -9.72%E -2.53%K -3.41%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-12 01:29
Unibet (FR)1.22I 81.97%NM 75.94%EV -6.61%E -5.42%K -30.03%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.06%EV -9.72%E -2.53%K -3.41%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-12 10:20
PMU (FR)1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -4.31%E -3.45%K -17.24%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -10.89%E -2.87%K -3.89%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-12 06:19
Caesars1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -4.31%E -3.45%K -17.24%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -10.89%E -2.87%K -3.89%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-12 06:35
TAB1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -5.08%E -4.09%K -21.15%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -10.89%E -2.87%K -3.89%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-12 05:43
Virgin Bet1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -5.08%E -4.09%K -21.15%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -10.89%E -2.87%K -3.89%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-12 06:19
LiveScore Bet1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -5.08%E -4.09%K -21.15%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -10.89%E -2.87%K -3.89%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-12 06:20
Neds1.22I 81.97%NM 75.70%EV -6.61%E -5.42%K -30.03%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -10.89%E -2.87%K -3.89%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-12 08:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.22I 81.97%NM 75.70%EV -6.61%E -5.42%K -30.03%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -10.89%E -2.87%K -3.89%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-12 08:00
Winamax (FR)1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -2.78%E -2.19%K -10.30%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -12.07%E -3.22%K -4.39%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-12 10:14
Everygame1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -6.61%E -5.42%K -30.03%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -12.07%E -3.22%K -4.39%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-12 07:09
Bet Victor1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -6.61%E -5.42%K -30.03%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -12.07%E -3.22%K -4.39%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-12 07:39
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.27I 78.74%NM 77.99%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01%1.0%2026-05-12 10:14
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.27I 78.74%NM 77.99%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01%1.0%2026-05-12 10:14
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.27I 78.74%NM 77.99%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01%1.0%2026-05-12 10:19
Matchbook1.27I 78.74%NM 77.99%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01%1.0%2026-05-12 10:14
Smarkets1.25I 80.00%NM 78.26%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.74%2.2%2026-05-12 10:19
Novig1.25I 80.00%NM 77.52%4.31I 23.20%NM 22.48%3.2%2026-05-12 10:20