Idioma:Português
Rafael Jodar v Learner Tien
Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →
Frente a frente
Rafael Jodar (Local)
Previsão 76.55%1.31odd justa
EV -2.01%
Vantagem -1.57%
Kelly -7.19%
Crescimento +0.000%
pressupondo odds máximas de 1.28
Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
74.70%76.52%76.34%78.10%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.201.241.251.2883.33%80.42%80.00%78.13%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Learner Tien (Visitante)
Previsão 23.45%4.26odd justa
EV +2.00%
Vantagem +0.460%
Kelly +0.598%
Crescimento +0.012%
pressupondo odds máximas de 4.35
Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
21.90%23.48%23.66%25.30%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.753.994.004.3526.67%25.03%25.00%22.99%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Rafael Jodar (Local): 76.55%; Learner Tien (Visitante): 23.45%. Para Learner Tien (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 4.26. 4 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 4.35, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +2.00%.
Odds das casas de apostas (63 casas de apostas)
Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.
| Casa de apostas | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margem | Atualização |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 77.68%EV -4.31%E -3.45%K -17.24%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.32%EV +2.00%E +0.460%K +0.598%G +0.012% | 3.0% | 2026-05-12 10:14 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -6.61%E -5.42%K -30.03%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV +2.00%E +0.460%K +0.598%G +0.012% | 5.0% | 2026-05-12 10:15 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.76%EV -5.84%E -4.75%K -25.40%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%EV +0.830%E +0.193%K +0.251%G +0.002% | 4.6% | 2026-05-12 10:14 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -6.61%E -5.42%K -30.03%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV +0.830%E +0.193%K +0.251%G +0.002% | 5.2% | 2026-05-12 07:34 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.03%EV -2.78%E -2.19%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 4.26I 23.47%NM 22.97%EV -0.108%E -0.025%K -0.033%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-05-12 10:09 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.43%EV -5.84%E -4.75%K -25.40%G +0.000% | 4.22I 23.70%NM 22.57%EV -1.05%E -0.248%K -0.325%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-12 10:14 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -6.61%E -5.42%K -30.03%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -1.52%E -0.361%K -0.473%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-12 10:14 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -6.61%E -5.42%K -30.03%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -1.52%E -0.361%K -0.473%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-12 10:18 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -8.14%E -6.78%K -40.69%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -1.52%E -0.361%K -0.473%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-12 08:14 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.99%EV -5.08%E -4.09%K -21.15%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 23.01%EV -2.69%E -0.648%K -0.853%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-12 05:59 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.08%E -4.09%K -21.15%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -3.86%E -0.941%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-12 10:15 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.08%E -4.09%K -21.15%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -3.86%E -0.941%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-12 10:14 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.08%E -4.09%K -21.15%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -3.86%E -0.941%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-12 10:14 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.08%E -4.09%K -21.15%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -3.86%E -0.941%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-12 10:14 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -6.61%E -5.42%K -30.03%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -3.86%E -0.941%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-12 10:19 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.56%EV -5.08%E -4.09%K -21.15%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.44%EV -5.03%E -1.24%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-12 10:14 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.23%EV -3.55%E -2.81%K -13.64%G +0.000% | 4.04I 24.75%NM 23.77%EV -5.27%E -1.30%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-12 05:44 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.23%EV -3.55%E -2.81%K -13.64%G +0.000% | 4.04I 24.75%NM 23.77%EV -5.27%E -1.30%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-12 05:43 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.24%EV -4.31%E -3.45%K -17.24%G +0.000% | 4.01I 24.94%NM 23.76%EV -5.97%E -1.49%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-12 10:19 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -2.78%E -2.19%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV -6.20%E -1.55%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-12 07:14 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.31%E -3.45%K -17.24%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.20%E -1.55%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-12 10:19 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.31%E -3.45%K -17.24%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.20%E -1.55%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-12 09:59 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.31%E -3.45%K -17.24%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.20%E -1.55%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-12 07:09 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.31%E -3.45%K -17.24%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.20%E -1.55%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-12 07:44 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.31%E -3.45%K -17.24%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.20%E -1.55%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-12 07:09 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.31%E -3.45%K -17.24%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.20%E -1.55%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-12 07:09 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.31%E -3.45%K -17.24%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.20%E -1.55%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-12 05:44 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -5.08%E -4.09%K -21.15%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.20%E -1.55%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-12 10:19 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -5.08%E -4.09%K -21.15%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.20%E -1.55%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-12 05:59 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -5.08%E -4.09%K -21.15%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.20%E -1.55%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-12 10:15 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -5.08%E -4.09%K -21.15%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.20%E -1.55%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-12 07:59 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -5.08%E -4.09%K -21.15%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.20%E -1.55%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-12 10:14 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -8.14%E -6.78%K -40.69%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -6.20%E -1.55%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-12 10:19 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.82%EV -3.55%E -2.81%K -13.64%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.18%EV -7.38%E -1.87%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-11 20:49 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.82%EV -3.55%E -2.81%K -13.64%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.18%EV -7.38%E -1.87%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-12 07:14 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.82%EV -3.55%E -2.81%K -13.64%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.18%EV -7.38%E -1.87%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-12 07:14 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.82%EV -3.55%E -2.81%K -13.64%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.18%EV -7.38%E -1.87%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-12 07:14 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.82%EV -3.55%E -2.81%K -13.64%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.18%EV -7.38%E -1.87%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-12 07:14 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.82%EV -3.55%E -2.81%K -13.64%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.18%EV -7.38%E -1.87%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-12 07:14 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.82%EV -3.55%E -2.81%K -13.64%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.18%EV -7.38%E -1.87%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-12 07:14 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.82%EV -3.55%E -2.81%K -13.64%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.18%EV -7.38%E -1.87%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-12 07:14 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.82%EV -3.55%E -2.81%K -13.64%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.18%EV -7.38%E -1.87%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-12 07:14 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.82%EV -3.55%E -2.81%K -13.64%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.18%EV -7.38%E -1.87%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-12 07:14 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.82%EV -3.55%E -2.81%K -13.64%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.18%EV -7.38%E -1.87%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-12 07:14 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.82%EV -3.55%E -2.81%K -13.64%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.18%EV -7.38%E -1.87%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-12 07:14 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.82%EV -3.55%E -2.81%K -13.64%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.18%EV -7.38%E -1.87%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-12 07:14 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.82%EV -3.55%E -2.81%K -13.64%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.18%EV -7.38%E -1.87%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-12 07:14 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.25%EV -5.84%E -4.75%K -25.40%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.75%EV -7.38%E -1.87%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-12 10:19 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 75.29%EV -2.01%E -1.57%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.71%EV -8.55%E -2.19%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-12 10:14 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -6.61%E -5.42%K -30.03%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -8.55%E -2.19%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-12 07:59 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -6.61%E -5.42%K -30.03%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -8.55%E -2.19%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-12 08:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -4.31%E -3.45%K -17.24%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -9.72%E -2.53%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-12 01:29 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.94%EV -6.61%E -5.42%K -30.03%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.06%EV -9.72%E -2.53%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-12 10:20 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -4.31%E -3.45%K -17.24%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -10.89%E -2.87%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-12 06:19 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -4.31%E -3.45%K -17.24%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -10.89%E -2.87%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-12 06:35 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -5.08%E -4.09%K -21.15%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -10.89%E -2.87%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-12 05:43 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -5.08%E -4.09%K -21.15%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -10.89%E -2.87%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-12 06:19 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -5.08%E -4.09%K -21.15%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -10.89%E -2.87%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-12 06:20 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.70%EV -6.61%E -5.42%K -30.03%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -10.89%E -2.87%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-12 08:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.70%EV -6.61%E -5.42%K -30.03%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -10.89%E -2.87%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-12 08:00 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -2.78%E -2.19%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -12.07%E -3.22%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-12 10:14 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -6.61%E -5.42%K -30.03%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -12.07%E -3.22%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-12 07:09 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -6.61%E -5.42%K -30.03%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -12.07%E -3.22%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-12 07:39 |
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas
Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.
Bolsas de apostas (6)
| Casa de apostas | Local | Visitante | Margem ▲ | Atualização |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.99% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01% | 1.0% | 2026-05-12 10:14 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.99% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01% | 1.0% | 2026-05-12 10:14 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.99% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01% | 1.0% | 2026-05-12 10:19 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.99% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01% | 1.0% | 2026-05-12 10:14 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.25I 80.00%NM 78.26% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.74% | 2.2% | 2026-05-12 10:19 |
| Novig◎ | 1.25I 80.00%NM 77.52% | 4.31I 23.20%NM 22.48% | 3.2% | 2026-05-12 10:20 |